Anthropic Just Lapped OpenAI and Nobody’s Chill

Wall Street’s open. The redemption window isn’t.

Money is doing two contradictory things at once this week. The front door is wide open: Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 ahead of OpenAI, SpaceX priced a $75 billion listing for June 12, and Masa Son is on CNBC calling AI “50x bigger” than the dot-com boom. The back door is bolted shut: Cliffwater could only return a third of what its LPs asked for, and Partners Group gated its flagship buyout fund and lost 17% of its market cap in a day. The chingus spent the episode pulling on that thread — plus why Ian thinks your next AI model lives on your laptop, not in the cloud. Let’s get into it.

SpaceX IPO, Sam vs. Elon, Polymarket Ban, Anthropic Earnings

SpaceX & Anthropic Deal, Cloudflare Layoff, Gamestop & eBay, and Sam Altman

Join us as we dive into the spicy world of tech and business in this episode of the Three Commas Podcast! 🚀 In this episode, we discuss the latest drama surrounding OpenAI, Elon Musk's lawsuit, and the implications for the AI industry. We also explore GameStop's bold move to acquire eBay and what it means for the future of meme stocks. Key takeaways: * The fallout from Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and its impact on the tech landscape. * GameStop's surprising proposal to acquire eBay and the challenges ahead. * Insights into the evolving dynamics of the AI market and public perception. Timestamps: 00:00 Chingus — the new besties 02:27 Sam Altman's leaked texts to Mira Murati 08:42 Elon Musk is running both sides of the OpenAI story 13:30 Are OpenAI's products actually getting better? 15:25 SpaceX cuts a multi-year compute deal with Anthropic 19:53 Should xAI just pivot to hardware? 24:13 DeepSeek's $7B raise and the "Chinese discount" 26:33 Anthropic's 5D chess — from DoD risk-list to IPO 29:18 Cloudflare cuts 1,100 jobs and drops 24% 33:06 "We don't count you as an AI company" 34:43 OpenAI is the canary in the coal mine 35:38 GameStop's $56B bid for eBay 40:29 The unprepped bro CEO archetype 46:30 Sign off (chingu, hippo poop, see you next week) What's your take on the latest tech drama? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Subscribe for weekly insights and analysis on the latest in tech and business! #ThreeCommasPodcast #TechNews #BusinessTrends

AI just blew up a $5.7B PE deal

Three VCs, one mic, three opinions you won’t hear at a fund meeting. Hosted by Eric, Ian, and Kevin. ---------------------------------------- Toma Bravo just handed Medallia to its creditors and ate an estimated $5.7 billion in equity value — the largest LBO write-off since 2008. The story sounds like a one-firm miscalculation, but underneath it is something bigger: AI is starting to reprice every SaaS multiple anyone underwrote in 2021. We also got into Beijing forcing the unwind of a $2B Meta deal after the money had already wired, the Powell succession drama, and why Ian thinks Middle Eastern LP capital calls are a flight risk.

Cursor for $60B, Tesla’s Lie, and FTX’s Lost Empire

This week, Sam Bankman-Fried tweeted from prison about the FTX portfolio he could have held — Anthropic, SpaceX, Cursor, Solana, Robinhood — and the boys spent half the episode doing the math on what might have been the greatest VC fund ever assembled by an alleged fraudster. Meanwhile, Elon quietly admitted that 4 million Tesla owners were lied to about Full Self-Driving, SpaceX put a $60 billion option on Cursor, and Apple picked a CEO who has literally never made a LinkedIn post. Recorded at 9:30pm Pacific from three time zones, two hemispheres, and one very tired Papa Eric.