Future Engineering Bets
Hydrogen fuel cells have long been positioned as the next evolution in automotive powertrains, but the reality is proving far more challenging. In this episode of Future Engineering Bets, Fred Warner examines whether hydrogen is still a viable long‑term bet for automotive, or whether the market has already moved on. Drawing on direct experience in hydrogen fuel cell programmes across aerospace and automotive, the episode looks at why the technology has struggled to scale - and why capital, in many cases, is starting to pull back. From infrastructure challenges and cost barriers to competition from battery electric vehicles and shifting OEM strategies, this episode unpacks where hydrogen may still have a role - and where it likely doesn’t. In this episode: * Why hydrogen fuel cells were once seen as the successor to EVs * The “chicken and egg” problem holding infrastructure back * Why hydrogen struggles to compete with battery technology today * Logistics, cost, and energy density challenges * Why hydrogen may still have a role in heavy‑duty transport * How capital markets and OEMs are repositioning around hydrogen * BMW, Toyota, Stellantis and Honda’s current hydrogen strategies * Where hydrogen still has credibility - and where it doesn’t Chapters: 00:00 – Hydrogen Fuel Cells: A Viable Bet? 00:58 – The Infrastructure Problem Holding Hydrogen Back 02:01 – Why Hydrogen Struggles Against EVs 05:43 – Capital Pullback Across the Industry 06:11 – BMW & Toyota Keep Hydrogen Alive 09:09 – The One Area Hydrogen Still Works: Heavy Trucks About Future Engineering Bets: Future Engineering Bets is for CEOs, board members, and private equity investors making high-stakes decisions in electrification, energy transition, and advanced engineering strategy. Get a boardroom-level view of the engineering decisions shaping billions in capital investment and defining the future of automotive and mobility. Each episode breaks down the engineering, commercial, and strategic realities behind topics such as: * Electric vehicles and the global EV transition * Hybrid powertrains and the future of internal combustion * Hydrogen, sustainable fuels, and emerging propulsion systems * Product strategy and R&D investment at OEM and Tier 1 level * Market dynamics across Europe, the US, and China * The impact of regulation versus real consumer demand If you are responsible for product direction, capital allocation, or technology strategy, this series will help you think more clearly about where to place your next bet. About Fred Warner: Fred Warner, Founder of 7Q Ltd (https://7q.ltd/ [https://7q.ltd/]), is a specialist partner and Chartered Engineer connecting capital investment with no nonsense value creation. With a background spanning motorsport, aerospace, automotive, clean tech, rail, and electronics - including experience across F1, Honeywell, GE, and Meggitt - Fred works with CEOs, boards, and investors on high stakes engineering and R&D programmes. Connect with Fred on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/fred-warner/ [https://www.linkedin.com/in/fred-warner/]
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