The Forecast

Inside the Digital Ad Jungle with Dan Pino

In this follow-up to our conversation with Myles Bugbee on digital ad waste, we venture deeper into the ad jungle with Dan Pino, Director at DSPolitical. We dig into the murky terrain of programmatic buying, CTV targeting, and why campaigns keep falling for bad metrics. Dan shares lessons from Pete 2020, insights from recent RCTs, and hard truths about what actually moves voters—and what just burns budget.

The Thanksgiving Forecast: With Nick Rathod

For our Thanksgiving-themed episode of The Forecast, we are joined by Nick Rathod, one of the brightest strategists on the left. Nick worked with three presidents and two vice presidents, ran Everytown’s state campaigns, helped build the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau with Elizabeth Warren, and managed Beto’s run for Texas governor. We cover a lot of ground:  ✅ How Virginia made history in 2025—and what the surprise redistricting effort could mean for control of the House  ✅ What Democrats still get wrong (and occasionally right) about message discipline  ✅ Whether we’re watching the early stages of a MAGA civil war—and how Marjorie Taylor Greene fits into it  ✅ Why political operatives keep losing friendships over primaries, and whether we can fix that  ✅ And yes… Epstein.

The East Wing, the Garden Thief, and the NYC Mayoral Race (with Arun Chaudhary)

This week on The Forecast, we're joined by filmmaker, strategist, and longtime friend Arun Chaudhary for a sharp — and at times sideways — conversation about power, politics, and produce. We talk about: * The destruction of the East Wing and what it symbolizes * Keegan's favorite conspiracy theory about Arun controlling President Obama * The true story behind who was stealing vegetables from the White House garden * Why Trump might not want the government to reopen * And what gives us a little hope: the NYC mayoral election

Myles' Forecast | Sep 22, 2025

Digital ad waste is draining campaigns—and costing us elections. In this episode of The Forecast, strategist Myles Bugbee introduces Receipts, a new tool designed to expose hidden costs, eliminate fraud, and ensure that more dollars actually reach voters.

Jill's Forecast | Aug 7, 2025

“We need co-regulation, not neoliberalism of the soul.” This week’s episode with trauma-informed systems thinker Jill Barrett opens with a gentle existential jolt: Keegan, riding a wave of political and psychic tension, asks whether deregulation under authoritarian regimes is dysregulating our nervous systems. Now, deregulation is typically what happens when lobbyists win—rules get gutted, protections disappear, and markets run wild. But the nervous system doesn’t deregulate; it dysregulates, getting stuck in survival mode. That means either revving into fight-or-flight or shutting down into freeze or fawn, even when there’s no real threat.” And yet… Keegan’s slip might be more accurate than it seems. Because what is happening in this moment—through media, policy, climate disruption, fascist tactics, and everyday isolation—is both a political and a biological dismantling. The rules of human thriving are being stripped away. This isn’t just an assault on government protections. It’s an assault on our ability to feel safe, grounded, and connected.