Toadstool Sports

Wednesday BEST BETS | Wasted Bullpens | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/20/26

1 h 52 min · 20. maj 2026
episode Wednesday BEST BETS | Wasted Bullpens | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/20/26 cover

Beskrivelse

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB BOS/KC F5 Under 4 +100 LAD/SD F5 Under 4 -115 WNBA CON +1.5 MLB First 5 Unders + WNBA Dog Play | Toadstool Sports (May 20) Picks & Leans Toad recaps a 2-0 day (now 87-37-5 over the last 46 days), vents about Cleveland’s historic NBA collapse vs the Knicks, then breaks down the May 20 betting board with a focus on MLB. He discusses multiple matchups and leans, including Minnesota on the moneyline/split run line, Giants–Diamondbacks over, and Braves–Marlins first five under, plus thoughts on several other totals and sides. His two official MLB plays are first five under 4 in Red Sox–Royals (Early vs Wacha) and first five under in Dodgers–Padres (Ohtani vs Vázquez), both aimed at avoiding taxed bullpens. In the WNBA, he backs Connecticut +1.5 (and some moneyline) over Seattle based on travel, revenge, and regression angles, while briefly touching NHL and Spurs–OKC Game 2. 00:00 Gambler Blues Intro 01:27 Show Opening Hot Streak 02:38 NBA Implosion Rant 05:11 Quick Chat Shoutouts 05:36 Baseball Card Setup 05:57 Reds Phillies Breakdown 11:59 Orioles Rays Pitching Change 18:09 Astros Twins Lean Minnesota 22:52 Rangers Rockies Coors Angles 26:57 Giants Dbacks Total Talk 31:54 White Sox Mariners Rematch 36:01 Braves Marlins Bullpen Fatigue 36:38 Sale vs Junk First Five Under 40:33 Guardians Tigers Avoid Spot 45:02 Mets Nationals Debut Starter 50:23 Blue Jays Yankees Fade Angle 56:05 Card Recap And Quick Break 58:41 Red Sox Royals First Five Under 01:05:24 Brewers Cubs Wind Total Drop 01:10:30 Pirates Cardinals Early Under Lean 01:15:02 Dodgers Padres Under 01:17:38 Ohtani vs Vasquez Breakdown 01:20:24 Market Signals and Odds 01:21:58 As Angels Over Lean 01:26:58 WNBA Slate and Leans 01:32:10 Connecticut at Seattle Best Bet 01:37:26 NHL Vegas Colorado Preview 01:40:50 NBA Spurs Thunder Game Two 01:49:14 Plays Recap and Sign Off 01:51:53 Outro Song #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

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episode Sunday BEST BETS | No Playoffs | MLB & WNBA | 5/31/26 cover

Sunday BEST BETS | No Playoffs | MLB & WNBA | 5/31/26

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIN/PIT F5 Under 4 -115 KC F5 -105 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Sun May 31): Twins/Pirates F5 Under + Royals/Rangers F5 ML Toad recaps a 1–2 day, then breaks down Sunday, May 31 betting boards across MLB (plus a brief WNBA note), focusing on pitching matchups, bullpen rest, offense ranks, market splits, and totals. He discusses key games including Blue Jays/Orioles (Toronto bullpen concerns), Padres/Nationals (leans over), Rays/Angels (McClanahan edge), Braves/Reds (leans Reds F5 but passes), Red Sox/Guardians (leans under), Mets/Marlins (leans Mets, notes Miami opener possibility), Tigers/White Sox (passes despite public on Chicago), Brewers/Astros (Mierzowski dominance but pricey), Giants/Rockies (leans over), Yankees/A’s (leans Yankees), D-backs/Mariners (leans under), Phillies/Dodgers (Dodgers edge), and Cubs/Cardinals (leans over). Official plays: Twins–Pirates 1st 5 under 4 and Royals 1st 5 moneyline behind Michael Wacha. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:27 Show Intro Recap 03:08 Odds Board Frustration 03:30 Jays Orioles Breakdown 08:28 Twins Pirates Pick 13:21 Padres Nats Over Lean 21:10 Rays Angels Mismatch 27:15 Braves Reds Spot 32:58 Red Sox Guardians Preview 36:38 Bibee Red Sox Breakdown 38:10 Under and Side Lean 40:04 Marlins Mets Motivation 41:31 Junk vs McLain Matchup 45:20 Tigers White Sox Sweep 47:31 Montero Burke Pitching 51:48 Brewers Astros Mismatch 52:53 Miz Dominance 58:09 Royals Rangers Best Bet 01:00:17 Wacha vs Leiter Edge 01:07:20 Giants Rockies Coors Over 01:13:47 Yankees Athletics Rubber Match 01:14:19 Yankees Bullpen Edge 01:14:50 Will Warren Breakdown 01:16:50 Lopez Trouble Signs 01:18:21 Yankees Betting Angle 01:20:01 Arizona Seattle Preview 01:21:53 Kelly vs Miller Pitching 01:24:36 Under and Side Lean 01:26:09 Phillies Dodgers Mismatch 01:28:29 Yamamoto vs Painter 01:31:45 Cubs Cardinals Nightcap 01:33:10 Wicks Liberatore Analysis 01:35:53 Over Lean and Market 01:36:58 WNBA Quick Take 01:39:26 Plays and Wrap Up 01:40:27 Miami Opener Confusion 01:42:51 Final Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffsb

31. maj 20261 h 47 min
episode Saturday BEST BETS | Game 7 | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/30/26 cover

Saturday BEST BETS | Game 7 | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/30/26

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA OKC -3.5 MLB TOR F5 -125 LAA/TB F5 Under 3.5 +100 Saturday Picks: Blue Jays F5, Angels/Rays F5 Under & OKC Game 7 (May 30) Toad returns for the May 30 episode after going 1-1 the prior day, recaps the MLB results, and works through a large Saturday slate using odds, bullpen/offense rankings, splits, and matchup history while passing on several games. He considers spots like team travel, bullpen usage, public vs. money splits, and low totals, with a near-play on Padres/Nationals first-five under. Official picks are Toronto first five moneyline vs. Baltimore (backing Teoscar Savage over Brandon Young and avoiding Toronto’s taxed bullpen after a bullpen game), Angels/Rays first five under 3.5 (Detmers vs. Rasmussen, avoiding bullpens), and NBA Game 7 Oklahoma City -3.5, citing zigzag, home/experience edges, and expected shooting/FT regression after a blowout loss. 00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues 01:28 Show Intro and Yesterday Recap 04:03 Odds Screen Setup and White Sox Tigers 08:45 Twins Pirates Breakdown 14:13 Padres Nationals Under Lean 21:06 Official Play Blue Jays F5 28:02 Royals Rangers Low Total Talk 34:00 Official Play Angels Rays F5 Under 41:40 Red Sox Bello Opener Rant 43:22 Bullpen Edge Boston 44:35 Gray vs Messick Breakdown 47:51 Low Total Under Talk 49:01 Marlins Mets Bullpen Game 53:25 Mets First Five Lean 54:38 Brewers Astros Pitching Puzzle 59:43 Braves Reds Over Angle 01:05:08 Quick Reset Break 01:06:48 Cubs Cardinals Matchup 01:12:03 Giants Rockies Coors Chaos 01:17:25 Yankees As Stadium Factor 01:22:47 Yankees A's Betting Angles 01:23:43 Dbacks Mariners Under Talk 01:30:33 Ghost Runner Rant 01:31:04 Phillies Dodgers Pitching Shift 01:39:19 WNBA Seattle Toronto Value 01:43:22 WNBA LA Connecticut Spot 01:46:56 WNBA Indiana Portland Spread 01:50:59 NBA Game 7 OKC Zigzag 02:01:38 Wrap Up Best Bets #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

I går2 h 5 min
episode Friday BEST BETS | Cold as Ice | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/29/26 cover

Friday BEST BETS | Cold as Ice | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/29/26

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB ATL/CIN Over 9.5 -105 MIN/PIT F5 Under 4 -105 MLB Picks for Friday May 29: Braves/Reds Over 9.5 + Twins/Pirates F5 Under 4 | Toadstool Sports Toad returns with Toadstool Sports for Friday, May 29th after going 0-1 the previous day, recapping the Tigers’ hitting woes and a missed MLB over while noting he had the Oklahoma City team total under correct. He gives two official MLB totals: Braves vs. Reds over 9.5, citing Cincinnati’s hitter-friendly park, favorable offense profiles, and mistrust of both starters (Grant Holmes’ walks and poor Reds matchup numbers; Chris Paddock’s struggles and hittability) plus Cincinnati’s weak bullpen; and Twins vs. Pirates first five under 4, avoiding shaky bullpens and leaning on starter unfamiliarity edges with Taj Bradley and Jared Jones returning. He also shares leans and situational notes on other MLB games, discusses problems finding betting split data, and briefly covers WNBA opinions and a hockey lean toward Carolina to close out their series. 00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues 01:27 Show Intro and Yesterday Recap 02:29 Today Card and Data Tools 04:18 Braves Reds Total Over 11:16 Twins Pirates First Five Under 17:42 Quick Leans Padres Nationals 22:54 Blue Jays Orioles Unclear Pitching 26:09 Angels Rays Conflicting Signals 32:58 Plays Recap and Chat Check 33:37 Red Sox Guardians Opener Strategy 43:16 Marlins Mets Rematch Setup 43:57 Mets Marlins Spot 45:25 Meyer vs Peralta 48:02 Under Lean Market 50:35 Cubs Cardinals Edge 52:52 Imanaga Bounce Back 56:16 Cubs Moneyline Call 57:28 Tigers White Sox Chaos 01:00:18 Melton vs Fedde 01:03:12 Detroit Lean Line 01:04:53 Royals Rangers Slump 01:07:28 Kolek vs Gore 01:11:18 Break Intermission 01:12:13 Slump Montage 01:13:47 Brewers Astros Read 01:15:41 Crow vs Tang 01:20:10 Giants Rockies Coors 01:22:07 Webb Returns Injury 01:24:32 Rockies Lorenzen Woes 01:24:45 Giants Rockies Pitching Fade 01:25:52 Giants Side and Total Lean 01:27:18 Yankees A's Stadium Spot 01:28:15 Rodon vs Severino Breakdown 01:32:05 Yankees Team Total Angle 01:33:53 Dbacks Mariners Letdown Spot 01:35:59 Gallen Kirby and Under Case 01:40:05 Phillies Dodgers Series Preview 01:42:07 Wheeler vs Dodgers Matchup 01:44:04 Robleski and Total Debate 01:46:53 WNBA Card Phoenix at Liberty 01:49:33 Sparks Mystics Travel Spots 01:52:17 Sky Lynx Zigzag Talk 01:56:41 Dream vs Portland Mismatch 01:59:14 Canes Closeout Pricey Line 02:04:13 Final Plays and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

29. maj 20262 h 7 min
episode Thursday BEST BETS | Slim Pickins | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/28/26 cover

Thursday BEST BETS | Slim Pickins | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/28/26

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB LAA/DET Over 8.5 -112 Toadstool Sports (May 28): Only Official Play — Angels/Tigers Over 8.5 + MLB, WNBA & NBA Leans Toad recaps going 1-1 the prior day, praising the Anaheim/Detroit first-five under and venting about a late collapse that spoiled Connecticut +6.5 in the WNBA. For Thursday, May 28, he calls it a small slate and gives one official play: Angels vs. Tigers over 8.5 (noting shaky bullpens and concerns with the starters). He then runs through leans and situational notes across the rest of the board, including White Sox vs. Twins (bulpen game concerns for Minnesota), Braves vs. Red Sox (low-total look with Sale vs. Talley), Blue Jays vs. Orioles (possible letdown spot and over lean), Cubs vs. Pirates (Skenes matchup and a rare over consideration), and Astros vs. Rangers (under/first-five under lean). He also discusses WNBA leans (Vegas over Dallas; Golden State over Indiana) and NBA Game 6 (Spurs vs. OKC) ideas like Spurs moneyline and OKC team total under. 00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 02:03 WNBA Bad Beat Rant 05:04 Today’s Best Bet Over 07:00 Angels Tigers Pitching Breakdown 10:13 Leans Twins White Sox 15:33 Discord and Community Talk 16:15 Leans Braves Red Sox 22:27 Fenway Heckler Storytime 23:50 Leans Blue Jays Orioles 29:04 Bassitt vs Orioles Angle 30:24 Over Lean Jays Orioles 31:46 Cubs Momentum vs Skenes 33:10 Ray Matchup Concerns 34:43 Can Cubs Hit Skenes 37:47 Astros Rangers Breakdown 39:00 Arreguetti Walk Warning 41:14 Eovaldi and Under Lean 43:45 WNBA Vegas at Dallas 46:19 WNBA Fever at Valkyries 49:07 NBA Game 6 Zigzag 57:25 Best Bets and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

28. maj 202659 min
episode Wednesday BEST BETS | No Playoffs? | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/27/26 cover

Wednesday BEST BETS | No Playoffs? | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/27/26

My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB LAA/DET F5 Under 4 -115 WNBA CON +6.5 May 27 Picks: Angels/Tigers F5 Under + Sun +6.5 | MLB, WNBA & NHL Leans (Toadstool Sports) Toad recaps a 2-1 day and discusses difficulties finding betting percentage data, then breaks down the Wednesday getaway-day MLB slate with notes on pitching matchups, bullpens, situational angles, and market splits, including leans on Miami–Toronto under (preferably F5), Cleveland avoiding a sweep, Cubs–Pirates over, and other matchups like Phillies–Padres, Rays–Orioles, Yankees–Royals, Astros–Rangers, and Rockies–Dodgers. His only MLB play is Angels–Tigers 1st five under 4 (around -115), citing strong starters José Soriano (road split) and Casey Mize (home split) and avoiding the bullpens. In the WNBA he adds Connecticut Sun +6.5 at Portland, emphasizing Portland’s return-home/letdown spot and prior close matchup, and he briefly leans Washington vs Seattle and mentions Liberty vs Phoenix. He also comments on the NHL Carolina–Montreal matchup and closes with channel plugs and record notes. 00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues 01:39 Show Intro And Recap 03:38 Today Card And Data Issues 05:41 Marlins Blue Jays Under Look 10:30 Nationals Guardians Sweep Spot 15:40 Cardinals Brewers Unlisted Starter 19:48 Mariners Athletics Stadium Concerns 25:13 Why Home Run Props Suck 28:29 Diamondbacks Giants Under Lean 34:20 Phillies Padres Sanchez Vs Buehler 41:38 Rays Orioles No Starter Listed 43:30 Rays Orioles Breakdown 44:51 Bullpen Game Uncertainty 47:57 Angels Tigers First Five Under 50:50 Soriano vs Mize Pitching Duel 55:38 Cubs Pirates Over Lean 57:18 Taillon and Chandler Concerns 01:02:32 Red Sox Braves Rivalry 01:05:15 Elder vs Earle Total Talk 01:11:46 Reds Mets Bullpen Chaos 01:17:57 Twins White Sox Debut Angle 01:23:12 Yankees Royals After Blowout 01:25:30 Cole Back In Form 01:26:25 Cameron Versus Yankees 01:27:50 Yankees Line And Total 01:29:32 Astros Rangers Breakdown 01:30:43 Burroughs Versus DeGrom 01:33:38 Texas Side And Under 01:35:16 Dodgers Rockies Mismatch 01:36:38 Sugano Versus Ohtani 01:38:55 Dodgers Price Too High 01:40:50 WNBA Slate Begins 01:41:03 Liberty Bounce Back Spot 01:43:03 Sky Versus Tempo 01:45:09 Dream Lynx Total Lean 01:48:39 Sun Plus Points Play 01:55:40 Mystics Storm Zigzag 01:58:49 NHL Game On The Fly 01:58:55 Canes Habs Series Read 02:02:13 Final Plays And Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

27. maj 20262 h 6 min