Financial Detox® Show

Should You Hold Cash Waiting for the Market to Crash?

6 min · 10. mar. 2026
episode Should You Hold Cash Waiting for the Market to Crash? cover

Beskrivelse

Should you hold cash and wait for the next market crash? The idea of keeping "dry powder" cash on the sidelines waiting for the perfect moment to invest sounds smart. Many investors believe they can step aside during uncertain markets and jump back in when prices fall. But there's a major problem with that strategy. You never know when the market's best days will occur, and missing just a few of them can dramatically reduce your long-term wealth. Today on Financial Detox, Jason and Alex break down the real cost of holding too much cash, why timing the market rarely works, and what the data actually shows about staying invested. What we cover today: 📌 What "dry powder" and "cash on the sidelines" really mean 📌 Why timing the market is harder than most investors think 📌 The $10,000 → $2 million investing example 📌 How missing just a few of the market's best days crushes returns 📌 Why the stock market wins roughly 70–74% of the time 📌 When holding cash actually does make sense (short-term goals) 📌 Why a living, interactive financial plan matters more than market predictions If you've been wondering whether you should move to cash and wait for a better entry point, this episode will help you understand why patience, discipline, and a well-constructed portfolio usually outperform trying to time the market. 💬 Want Help Reviewing Your Portfolio? [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] If you'd like help evaluating how much cash you should hold, how your portfolio is positioned for long-term growth, or how your investments align with your financial plan, schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with our IDA Wealth team. 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Disclosure: The information presented in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. Charts and data referenced in this episode are provided by First Trust [https://www.ftportfolios.com/Retail/Commentary/CommentaryArchiveList.aspx?CommentaryTypeCode=CRKINVT&CommentaryCategoryCode=INSIGHTS_COMMENTARY]: "Growth of $10k" and "S&P 500 Index: Positive and Negative Years [https://243068591.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/243068591/financial%20detox/Slide%205.pdf]". The analysis of missing the best days assumes continuous investment over the referenced time period, which may not be feasible for all investors. References to markets being positive approximately 74% of the time are based on historical observations of calendar-year returns for the S&P 500 Index and are not a guarantee of future market behavior. These examples are intended to illustrate the potential impact of investor behavior, such as reacting to market headlines, short-term volatility, or attempting to time the market. Actual investor experiences and results will vary based on individual circumstances. The S&P 500 Index is a market index that tracks the performance of approximately 500 of the largest publicly traded U.S. companies and is commonly used as a broad measure of the U.S. stock market. The index is unmanaged, cannot be invested in directly, and does not reflect the deduction of advisory fees, trading costs, taxes, or other expenses that would reduce actual investor returns. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. No statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise of performance, or a guarantee of results. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") does not provide specific tax or legal advice. Intelligence Driven Advisers is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For additional information about our services, fees, and potential conflicts of interest, please review our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, available at www.idawealth.com [http://www.idawealth.com/].

Kommentarer

0

Vær den første til at kommentere

Tilmeld dig nu og bliv en del af Financial Detox® Show-fællesskabet!

Kom i gang

1 måned kun 9 kr.

Derefter 99 kr. / måned · Opsig når som helst.

  • Podcasts kun på Podimo
  • 20 lydbogstimer pr. måned
  • Gratis podcasts

Alle episoder

251 episoder

episode Should You Buy the SpaceX IPO? cover

Should You Buy the SpaceX IPO?

Do you really need the SpaceX IPO in your portfolio? With SpaceX expected to become the largest IPO in history, investors everywhere are asking the same questions: * Am I missing out? * Should I try to buy shares immediately? * What happens if I don't own it? Today, on Financial Detox, Jason and Alex separate hype from reality and explain what most investors misunderstand about IPO investing. The truth is that the biggest risk may not be missing the IPO, it may be chasing it for the wrong reasons. The conversation goes beyond SpaceX and explores why companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, and Databricks are changing the way investors think about public and private markets. What we cover today: 📌 Why everyone is talking about the SpaceX IPO 📌 How the public stock market has shrunk over the last 20 years 📌 Why private equity is delaying or replacing traditional IPOs 📌 The three biggest mistakes investors make with IPOs 📌 Why most people never actually get the IPO price 📌 The hidden risk of the six-month lockup period 📌 Why FOMO is not an investment strategy 📌 How private markets can provide earlier access to innovation 📌 Why a disciplined investment philosophy matters more than headlines The goal isn't to predict whether SpaceX will soar or stumble after it goes public. The goal is to help you build a portfolio that doesn't depend on chasing the latest hot investment. Because great investing isn't about owning every exciting company. It's about having a repeatable process and making decisions that fit your long-term financial plan. 💬 Want Help Building an Investment Strategy That Doesn't Rely on Headlines? [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] If you'd like to learn more about how private markets, alternative investments, and disciplined portfolio construction fit into a comprehensive financial plan, schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with the IDA Wealth team: https://www.idawealth.com/contact/ [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Episode Disclosure: The information presented in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. The views expressed in this episode regarding IPOs, private market investing, and specific companies, including SpaceX, reflect the opinions of the speakers at the time of recording and are subject to change. They are intended as general education only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. IPO and private market investments are not suitable for all investors and involve additional risks including illiquidity, lack of transparency, and potential total loss of principal. Certain IDA clients currently hold positions in SpaceX through private markets, which represents a potential conflict of interest in the context of this discussion. The effect of the SpaceX IPO on any existing private market positions is unknown, and no outcome — positive or negative — should be assumed. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. No statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise of performance or a guarantee of results. Private market investments and IPOs are not suitable for all investors and involve significant risks including illiquidity and potential loss of principal. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") does not provide specific tax or legal advice. IDA is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For additional information about our services, fees, and potential conflicts of interest, please review our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, available at www.idawealth.com [http://www.idawealth.com].

12. juni 202613 min
episode What a REAL Financial Plan Looks Like cover

What a REAL Financial Plan Looks Like

Most people think they have a financial plan. But when you ask what that plan actually is, the answer is usually: "Some mutual funds, ETFs, a broker… and hopefully retirement works out." That is not a financial plan. Today, on Financial Detox, Jason and Alex break down the massive difference between simply owning investments and having a true, interactive financial plan designed around your life, taxes, spending, goals, and long-term decision-making. You'll see how real planning works: Modeling lifetime income and spending Stress testing for volatility and inflation Analyzing taxes and future cash flow Testing retirement scenarios in real time Creating clarity around what you can actually afford The goal is not just portfolio growth. The goal is freedom, confidence, and the ability to make decisions without fear. What we cover in this episode: 📌 Why most investors do NOT actually have a financial plan 📌 The difference between investments and integrated planning 📌 How interactive planning changes retirement decisions 📌 Why stress testing matters more than market predictions 📌 The role inflation plays in future spending power 📌 How detailed cash flow analysis creates confidence 📌 Why great planning helps clients enjoy life more today If you've ever wondered: "Am I actually okay financially?" or "How much can I really spend in retirement?" This episode will completely change how you think about financial planning. 💬 Want Help Building a Real Financial Plan? Schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with the IDA Wealth team: https://www.idawealth.com/contact/ [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Episode Disclosure: The information presented in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise or guarantee of future performance. Probability of success figures reflect Monte Carlo simulation results and are hypothetical and illustrative only. They do not represent actual investment results and are not a guarantee of future performance. Outcomes will vary based on market conditions, individual circumstances, and the assumptions used; simulations do not account for all possible market scenarios, fees, taxes, or changes in your financial situation. Client scenarios and plan illustrations referenced are hypothetical or anonymized, do not represent any specific client's experience, and should not be interpreted as a testimonial or endorsement. References to financial planning in this episode are intended to be educational and to encourage listeners to understand what a comprehensive financial plan is. Many qualified financial professionals offer comprehensive planning services, and we encourage listeners to ask questions and ensure they understand the scope of planning they are receiving. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. IDA does not provide specific tax or legal advice. For more information, including our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, visit www.idawealth.com [https://www.idawealth.com].

3. juni 202612 min
episode The Truth About Private Credit Redemptions & "Retail Panic" cover

The Truth About Private Credit Redemptions & "Retail Panic"

Private credit is suddenly everywhere in the headlines. Redemption requests are rising. Retail investors are panicking. And many people who don't even understand private credit are suddenly convinced something is "breaking." So what's actually happening? In this special episode of Financial Detox, Jason and Alex sit down with Phil Huber, Managing Director & Head of Portfolio Solutions at Cliffwater, one of the leading firms in the private credit space, to unpack what private credit really is, how it works, the risks investors should understand, and why today's headlines may not tell the full story. What we cover today: 📌 What private credit actually is, and why it exists 📌 How the 2008 financial crisis changed lending markets 📌 Why banks pulled back from middle-market lending 📌 The difference between private credit and traditional bonds 📌 What "redemption panic" really means in semi-liquid funds 📌 The real risks investors should understand before allocating 📌 Why yield and risk are always connected 📌 How private credit performed during the GFC, COVID, and rising rates 📌 Why institutional investors continue allocating heavily to alternatives 📌 The importance of manager selection and diversification Phil also explains how private credit funds manage liquidity, what default rates actually look like today, and why investors should think about private credit as a long-term portfolio complement, not a replacement for traditional assets. If you've been hearing alarming headlines about private credit, interval funds, or redemptions, this episode will help you separate emotional narratives from actual portfolio construction principles. 💬 Want Help Reviewing Your Portfolio? [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] If you want to better understand whether alternatives, private credit, or private markets belong in your portfolio, schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with the IDA Wealth team: 🔗 Learn more about Cliffwater [https://www.cliffwater.com/] and private credit research 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Episode Disclosure: The information in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. This episode features Phil Huber, Managing Director at Cliffwater, appearing in an unpaid capacity. Cliffwater is one of multiple fund managers IDA evaluates and utilizes, and IDA does not maintain an exclusive relationship with Cliffwater. All statements made by Phil Huber regarding Cliffwater, its funds, or the private credit market reflect the views and opinions of Cliffwater and its representatives only and should not be interpreted as an independent endorsement by IDA of Cliffwater or any of its products. Any references to historical performance, yield figures, index returns, credit loss statistics, or capital market assumptions discussed in this episode are sourced from Cliffwater and reflect Cliffwater's own research and proprietary index data. For full methodology, performance history, and supporting documentation, visit cliffwater.com. All performance figures represent the opinions of Cliffwater and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no guarantee that historical return or loss patterns will continue. Any statements by IDA suggesting the firm may add value for clients reflect general expressions of the firm's investment philosophy and are not a guarantee of any specific outcome or return. Actual results will vary based on individual client circumstances, market conditions, and other factors outside IDA's control. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. No statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise of performance, or a guarantee of results. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") does not provide specific tax or legal advice. Intelligence Driven Advisers is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For more information, including our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, visit www.idawealth.com.

19. maj 202639 min
episode Is AI Giving You Bad Financial Advice? cover

Is AI Giving You Bad Financial Advice?

Is AI helping your finances… or quietly hurting them? Tools like ChatGPT, Claude and other AI-driven platforms are exploding in popularity, and for good reason. They're fast, accessible, and incredibly powerful. But when it comes to financial decisions, there's a dangerous gap most people don't see. Today on Financial Detox, Jason and Alex break down the hidden risks of using AI for investing, tax planning, and portfolio decisions, and why "good advice in theory" can be devastating in real life. What we cover today: 📌 Why AI creates a dangerous illusion of personalized advice 📌 How asking the wrong question leads to the wrong financial outcome 📌 The critical gaps AI misses (tax strategy, timing, coordination) 📌 Why tax drag, asset location, and execution matter more than principles 📌 How AI can push investors into yield-chasing and bad decisions 📌 The hidden flaws in "standard" portfolio recommendations (like 60/40) 📌 Why accountability and human advice still matter in high-stakes decisions AI can make you smarter, but it can also give you false confidence. If you're using AI to make financial decisions (or thinking about it), this episode will help you understand where it adds value, and where it can quietly cost you. 💬 Want Help Reviewing Your Portfolio? [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] If you want a second opinion on your portfolio, tax strategy, or financial plan ,especially in a world where AI is influencing decisions. Schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with our IDA Wealth team. 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Episode Disclosure: The information in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. This episode discusses the use of AI tools in personal financial decision-making, including topics such as Roth IRA conversions, tax-efficient investing, yield-focused investing, and portfolio construction. All AI prompts and scenarios referenced are for illustrative purposes only. AI-generated output does not constitute financial advice and does not account for your individual tax situation, risk tolerance, time horizon, or personal circumstances. Consult a qualified financial or tax professional before making any financial decisions. References to investment products (including REITs, BDCs, high yield bonds, and ETFs) are educational only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Higher yield does not guarantee higher returns. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. No statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise of performance, or a guarantee of results. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") does not provide specific tax or legal advice. Intelligence Driven Advisers is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For more information, including our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, visit www.idawealth.com [http://www.idawealth.com].

5. maj 202618 min
episode High Yield Doesn't Mean High Income cover

High Yield Doesn't Mean High Income

Does high yield actually mean high income? A lot of investors see a high-yield bond, REIT, BDC, dividend stock, or income product and assume the same thing: higher yield means better income and better returns. But that assumption can be dangerous. Today on Financial Detox, Jason and Alex break down the hidden risks behind chasing yield, why high-yield investments are often misunderstood, and how investors can end up taking on far more risk than they realize. What we cover today: 📌 Why "high yield" does not automatically mean strong total return 📌 Jason's personal mistake chasing a 10% yielding investment 📌 How return of capital can create the illusion of income 📌 Why leverage can quietly turn yield into risk 📌 The difference between yield, cash flow, and total return 📌 Why high-yield products often hide complexity in the fine print 📌 How market volatility can expose weak income strategies 📌 Why understanding the source of yield matters more than the percentage itself If you've ever been tempted by a high-yield investment or wondered whether income products are really as safe as they sound, this episode will help you think more clearly about the tradeoffs, the risks, and the right way to evaluate yield. 💬 Want Help Reviewing Your Portfolio? [https://www.idawealth.com/contact/] If you'd like help understanding whether the yield in your portfolio is sustainable, or whether you may be holding more risk than you realize, schedule a no-cost, no-obligation consultation with our IDA Wealth team. 📺 Watch us on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialDetox] Disclosure: The information presented in this episode of Financial Detox is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. This episode discusses "yield" versus "total return" using historical examples for illustrative purposes only. These examples do not represent the performance of any specific investment or client portfolio. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual outcomes will vary based on market conditions, fees, and individual circumstances. Data presented is sourced from third-party providers, including Bloomberg, Preqin, and J.P. Morgan Asset Management (including "U.S. Private Credit vs. U.S. High Yield," [https://www.advisorpedia.com/strategists/is-private-credit-growth-cannibalizing-the-high-yield-market/] data as of May 9, 2024, and "Correlations, Returns and Yields" [https://am.jpmorgan.com/ch/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/guide-to-alternatives/guide-to-alternatives-slides/alts-in-aggregate/gta-yield/]). These sources are believed to be reliable but have not been independently verified and are provided for informational purposes only. Higher risk or volatility does not guarantee higher returns, and investments with greater risk may experience greater losses. References to the "risk-free rate" or yields on U.S. Treasury securities (e.g., "in the high 3% range") reflect general market conditions at a point in time, are subject to change, and are not guaranteed. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. No statement in this episode should be interpreted as a promise of performance, or a guarantee of results. Intelligence Driven Advisers ("IDA") does not provide specific tax or legal advice. Intelligence Driven Advisers is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For additional information about our services, fees, and potential conflicts of interest, please review our Form ADV Part 2A and Form CRS, available at www.idawealth.com [http://www.idawealth.com].

7. apr. 202617 min