San Francisco’s Housing Math Gets a Reality Check — June 16, 2026
San Francisco housing fee reform turns on brutal project math: impact fees fund real infrastructure, but Terner, SPUR, city and state documents point to a pipeline where most projects still do not pencil out, with housing-element compliance looming over local control.
IN THIS EPISODE
1. Staffing Analysis of the San Francisco Police Department 2025 [https://media.api.sf.gov/documents/PoliceCommission111925-_Report_2025_SFPD_Staffing_Analysis_vFinal.pdf] — City & County of San Francisco Police Department
fNIU Staffing Analysis of the San Francisco Police Department 2025 June 30, 2025 City & County of San Francisco Police Department 2 SFPD Staffing Analysis About this report In November 2020, San Francisco voters approved Proposition E, amending the City Charter to remove the previously established Police staffing baseline and requiring the Police Department to submit a report and recommendation…
2. Step Back — San Francisco is talking about cutting housing fees to get more homes built — but what are those fees actually paying for, and are they really big enough to change whether a project pencils out?
BACKGROUND SOURCES
* Assessing the Cost of Impact Fees on Affordable Housing: An Analysis of Low-Income Housing Tax Credit Projects in California - Terner Center [https://ternercenter.berkeley.edu/research-and-policy/assessing-the-cost-of-impact-fees-on-affordable-housing-an-analysis-of-low-income-housing-tax-credit-projects-in-california/] — Carolina Reid
* These Fees Make Affordable Housing More Expensive. Developers Want to Slash Them | KQED [https://www.kqed.org/news/12070650/these-fees-make-affordable-housing-more-expensive-developers-want-to-slash-them] — KQED
* These Fees Make Affordable Housing More Expensive. Developers Want to Slash Them | KQED [https://stage.kqed.org/news/12070650/these-fees-make-affordable-housing-more-expensive-developers-want-to-slash-them] — KQED
* Report Highlights the Math That Keeps Housing From Being Built in San Francisco | SPUR [https://www.spur.org/news/2026-06-01/report-highlights-math-keeps-housing-being-built-san-francisco] — SPUR
* City-Imposed Costs on Housing Can Undermine the Public Benefits They Were Meant to Deliver | SPUR [https://www.spur.org/news/2026-04-06/city-imposed-costs-housing-can-undermine-public-benefits-they-were-meant-deliver] — SPUR
* SF's tax and fee carrots don't stop its home building slide | Politics | sfexaminer.com [https://www.sfexaminer.com/news/politics/sfs-tax-and-fee-carrots-dont-stop-its-home-building-slide/article_507de3a3-172a-4f88-a850-62f15655fcf2.html] — Patrick Hoge | Examiner staff writer
* Are development fees too high for CA affordable housing? | Sacramento Bee [https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article314440777.html] — HECTOR AMEZCUA
3. [PDF] Fact Sheet: Housing Fee Reform Plan - SF.gov [https://media.api.sf.gov/documents/6.26.23_Housing_Fee_Reform_Fact_Sheet.pdf] — San Francisco Mayor's Office
OFFICE OF THE MAYOR LONDON N. BREED SAN FRANCISCO MAYOR 1 DR. CARLTON B. GOODLETT PLACE, ROOM 200 SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA 94102-4681 TELEPHONE: (415) 554-6141 Fact Sheet: Housing Fee Reform Plan Mayor London N. Breed and President of the Board of Supervisors Aaron Peskin have proposed a Housing Fee Reform Plan that will unlock the housing pipeline and accelerate the planning, approval and…
4. [PDF] San Francisco Housing Policy and Practice Review [https://www.hcd.ca.gov/sites/default/files/docs/policy-and-research/plan-report/sf-housing-policy-and-practice-review.pdf] — California Department of Housing and Community Development
San Francisco Housing Policy and Practice Review California Department of Housing and Community Development Housing Policy Development Division Released October 2023 Table of Contents Introduction ..............................................................1 Statutory Authority for this Review ..........................1 Why Review San Francisco? ...................................2…
* > “> The City’s failure to implement the Required Actions will result in HCD initiating the process to revoke housing element compliance. Various consequences may apply if the City does not have a housing element in compliance with Housing Element Law, including ineligibility or…” — Hacker News (3 pts thread) [https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38022749]
Our take: That pull quote gets at why Housing Element compliance is not just planning-department paperwork. If Sacramento can threaten funding, the attorney general, penalties, or even local land-use authority, San Francisco’s old habit of slow-walking housing has a much higher price tag.
5. Housing Element: Implementing Programs | San Francisco General Plan [https://generalplan.sfplanning.org/I1_Housing_Implementing_Programs.htm] — San Francisco Planning Department
### Search the General Plan
- GOALS, OBJECTIVES & POLICIES
[Goals, Objectives and Policies](I1_Housing.htm)- IMPLEMENTING PROGRAMS
[1. Affordable Housing Resources and Equitable Access](#HOU_IMP_1) [2. Stabilizing Tenants and Rental Housing](#HOU_IMP_2) [3. Preventing and Eliminating Homelessness](#HOU_IMP_3) [4. Redressing and Preventing Discrimination](#HOU_IMP_4) [5. Centering Equity…
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