The US-Iran Deal Trump Knows He Has to Take

Trump Called Netanyahu "Crazy." Israel Bombed Lebanon Anyway.

Matt Carano and CJ Killmer bring you the latest in news and politics. This week, Trump's own officials leaked a call to Axios where he called Netanyahu "crazy" and "ungrateful." Hours later, Israel ran its worst bombing campaign in southern Lebanon in weeks. The feud made headlines. The policy didn't move an inch. Matt and CJ Killmer break down why the blowup was theater, why the Iran war is the most unpopular American war in modern history yet nobody's in the streets, and what the $32 million it took to unseat Thomas Massie actually tells you about who runs US foreign policy. Plus: the case for capture, the Vietnam-era stat-juking playing out again, and the escalation that closed Kuwait's main airport. CJ also previews the new episode of the Dangerous History Podcast — the Peloponnesian War, the Sicilian Expedition, and why a 2,400-year-old "it'll be easy" war keeps repeating. Chapters: 00:00 CJ's new Dangerous History episodes 08:00 Warhawks vs. skeptics — Alcibiades, Nicias, and the "easy war" 28:00 Juking the stats: Vietnam, McNamara, and what "winning" hides 32:00 Two-thirds against the war, so where's the movement? 37:00 $150 oil and why Democrats won't pull the plug 49:00 The "performative" Trump-Netanyahu call 50:00 Lebanon: the real crux of the ceasefire 1:01:00 Compromat, Kushner, and the case for capture 1:09:00 What the Massie defeat actually proves 1:15:00 Tankers, Kuwait, and where we stand New episodes weekly. Aggressive toward power, welcoming toward the curious. On Twitter: https://x.com/matthewcarano [https://x.com/matthewcarano] https://x.com/KillmerCj [https://x.com/KillmerCj] YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BraveTheNewWrld [https://www.youtube.com/@BraveTheNewWrld]

The Mad Dream of Conquest: From Iran to Oman, an Empire That Can't Stop.

The media keeps insisting an Iran deal is imminent. Read the terms and it's obvious no one in Tehran would sign — not after being surprise-attacked twice mid-negotiation, including the killing of their own leader. Matt and CJ start there and end up somewhere bigger: what a declining empire does when it stops believing in limits. From Trump threatening to "blow up" Oman over the Strait of Hormuz, to Beirut bombed over the weekend, to boats destroyed off South America with Cuba teed up next — this is a foreign policy with no brakes. CJ brings the history: Eisenhower ending the Korean War in under a year because he understood limits, and Thucydides watching Athens chase the mad dream of conquest. Then a full breakdown of the Libertarian Party's disaster convention, the LPNH purge, and where the liberty movement should actually be fighting. In this one: * Why Iran negotiates from strength — and why no concessions means no signature * The economic bill coming due: gas, inflation, fertilizer shortages, famine * An empire that can't stop: Oman, Lebanon, Cuba, the neglected hemisphere * Eisenhower, Thucydides, and leaders who once understood limits * The LP convention meltdown, the 15–2 disaffiliation of LPNH, and the Massie question Brave The New World with Matt Carano and CJ Killmer. New episodes weekly. https://x.com/matthewcarano [https://x.com/matthewcarano] https://x.com/KillmerCj [https://x.com/KillmerCj]

Is $32 Million To Take Out Massie An Act Of War?

The Israel lobby just spent $32 million to remove Thomas Massie from Congress. AIPAC bragged about it on X within hours. A sitting Defense Secretary flew to Kentucky to campaign against him — federal law be damned. And here's the kicker: the three most expensive House primaries in US history were all decided by the same foreign lobby, all against members who criticized Israel. Matt and CJ work through the central question: at what point does this stop being lobbying and start being an act of war? Plus: the generational collapse in support for Israel (75% to 40% among under-30 Republicans), the IHRA laws now embedded in 38 states, Mark Levin's "Nazis and jihadis" rant, the Epstein angle, the Charlie Kirk timing, the "political dark matter" framework for understanding Trump's 180s — and why Americans killing COVID tyranny by refusing to comply is the template for what comes next.

The Most Orwellian War in Modern History | CJ Killmer Returns

CJ Killmer of the Dangerous History Podcast is back after a brutal few months, and we walk through where the United States actually stands two and a half months into the war with Iran. The blockade is theater. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. Every justification the administration has given has shifted, and every objective they set is unreachable. Trump is in Beijing this week asking Xi for help on a war he says he doesn't need help with. CJ takes us back to 1948 and walks the full history of the Israel lobby's grip on American foreign policy. Truman's reelection calculation. Eisenhower at Suez. Kennedy on Israeli nukes. Reagan's one and only pushback. Carter's Camp David walkback. Why Netanyahu's time preference is shorter than Trump's term. We get into the Massie primary, the Tucker apology, the Charlie Kirk void, the campaign promises Trump has run against, and why the midterms are going to cream Republicans. Subscribe for new episodes weekly.

The US-Iran Deal Trump Knows He Has to Take

Iran sent its response to the United States this weekend. Trump posted "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE" on Truth Social. He knows what the deal is going to look like. So does anyone willing to look at the receipts. The Strait of Hormuz belongs to Iran. The blockade is theater. The polling at home is the worst any wartime president has ever seen. Gas is climbing toward five dollars and the midterms are six months away. This episode walks through what's actually on the table, what's actually happening at the Strait, and why Lebanon is the piece this whole thing turns on. Israel went to war to topple Iran. Israel couldn't. So Netanyahu pivoted to taking land — Gaza, the West Bank, southern Lebanon. The trade Trump is negotiating right now is whether the United States keeps providing the cover. Plus the four pressure points crushing Trump's clock at home, the damage to American credibility abroad, and what to watch in the next two weeks. CHAPTERS * 0:00 — Trump Knows * 2:00 — What's Actually on the Table * 9:00 — The Strait, the Blockade, and the Geography Problem * 17:00 — Lebanon Is the Real Trade * 27:00 — Why Trump's Clock Is Running Out * 37:00 — The View From Outside * 45:00 — What Comes Next, and the Close WHAT THIS EPISODE COVERS * The 14-point US Memorandum of Understanding and Iran's counterproposal * Why the US naval blockade of Iranian ports is theater * The Lebanon-as-carrot trade between Trump and Netanyahu * The third round of direct Israel-Lebanon talks at the State Department this Wednesday and Thursday * The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing the same days * The Massie primary in Kentucky * The five signals to watch over the next two weeks