Beta Finch - Semiconductors - EN
More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: CHIPS (https://betafinch.com/groups/CHIPS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/CHIPS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown. Today we're diving into Intel's Q2 2026 numbers, and there's a lot to unpack here. But before we get into it — this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: And Alex, this was not a quiet quarter from Intel. Seventh straight quarter of beating guidance, and CEO Lip-Bu Tan called it the strongest revenue growth in over 15 years. ALEX: Let's start with the headline numbers. Q2 revenue came in at $16.1 billion, that's $1.8 billion above the midpoint of guidance. Non-GAAP gross margin was 41.8%, about 280 basis points better than expected. And EPS was $0.42 versus guidance of just $0.20. JORDAN: That EPS beat is huge — more than double the guide. And it wasn't just financial engineering. CFO Dave Zinsner said it was driven by higher revenue, better yields, and higher ASPs from mix and pricing. Operating cash flow was $7 billion, and they're sitting on about $30 billion in cash and short-term investments. ALEX: The big theme of this call, though, is supply versus demand. Intel says demand is outpacing supply across basically everything — leading-edge logic, wafers, memory, substrates. Zinsner put a number on it too, noting they were undershipping demand by more than a billion dollars last quarter. JORDAN: Which is a good problem to have, but it does mean they're leaving revenue on the table. That's part of why CapEx is jumping — they're now guiding to more than $20 billion for 2026, up significantly from where they started the year, and 2027 CapEx is expected to be significantly higher still. ALEX: Let's talk segments, because there's a real divergence here. Data Center and AI, DCAI, was the star — $6.3 billion in revenue, up 24% sequentially and 59% year-over-year. Operating profit there was $2.5 billion, 40% margin, up about a billion dollars quarter-over-quarter. JORDAN: Server CPU growth was described as the strongest on record. Xeon 6 is one of the fastest-ramping products in company history. And they launched Xeon 6+, codenamed Clearwater Forest — that's their first server chip built on the 18A process. ALEX: On the client side — CCPG, which used to just be the PC business, now rebranded to include physical AI — revenue was $8.9 billion, up 15% sequentially. But Zinsner was pretty candid that the strength was mostly ASP-driven, some mix, some price increases to offset rising costs, rather than unit growth. JORDAN: And that's an important nuance for listeners. The underlying PC market is actually expected to be sub-seasonal in the second half, down low double digits for all of 2026, largely because of rising memory prices and constraints. So client revenue holding up is really about pricing power and product mix skewing toward higher-end chips, not a booming PC market. ALEX: There was also a notable inventory charge in client — about $173 million hit to operating profit — tied to products that weren't fully completed due to chipset shortages. Intel decided it made more sense to redirect that capacity elsewhere. JORDAN: Now, Intel Foundry — this is the piece everyone watches closest given the turnaround story. Foundry revenue was $5.8 billion, up 6% sequentially, with 18A output up more than 50% quarter-over-quarter and running about 25% above internal targets. External foundry revenue specifically was $293 million — still small, but the operating loss narrowed to $2.1 billion, improving $348 million from last quarter. ALEX: And they gave a real cost data point — Panther Lake's primary SKU cost is down roughly 50% year-to-date, with another 20% reduction targeted by year-end. JORDAN: The forward-looking piece that stood out to me wa This episode includes AI-generated content.
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