Fighting Assumptions Podcast

Lightning does strike twice (and thrice, and a million times)

4 min · 10. apr. 2026
episode Lightning does strike twice (and thrice, and a million times) cover

Beskrivelse

Today, we are tackling a phrase you’ve probably used to comfort a friend: “Lightning never strikes twice in the same place.” We use it to reassure people. Survived a freak round of corporate layoffs? Don’t worry, lightning never strikes twice. Dealt with a bizarre plumbing disaster? Relax, lightning never strikes twice. It is a linguistic pat on the back, implying that the universe operates on a strict quota system for bad luck. Once you’ve paid your dues to statistical improbability, you are safe. It is a lovely sentiment. But as a scientific rule of thumb? It is dangerously, objectively wrong. In fact, lightning loves to strike twice. And three times. And sometimes a hundred times. It’s time to retire this assumption. Read more… [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/p/lightning-does-strike-twice-and-thrice] Get full access to Fighting Assumptions at fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

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We’ve all used the excuse. You walk into the kitchen, stare blankly at the open refrigerator, and realise you have absolutely no idea what you came for. “Ugh, I have the memory of a goldfish,” you mutter to yourself. It’s a universally understood piece of cultural shorthand. We are told, and thus we assume, that the humble goldfish (Carassius auratus) lives in a perpetual loop of instant reset: a serene, blissful existence where every three seconds the universe is born anew. There’s just one problem: It’s complete nonsense. Read more… [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/p/the-three-second-lie-why-your-goldfish] Get full access to Fighting Assumptions at fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

I går5 min
episode Lightning does strike twice (and thrice, and a million times) cover

Lightning does strike twice (and thrice, and a million times)

Today, we are tackling a phrase you’ve probably used to comfort a friend: “Lightning never strikes twice in the same place.” We use it to reassure people. Survived a freak round of corporate layoffs? Don’t worry, lightning never strikes twice. Dealt with a bizarre plumbing disaster? Relax, lightning never strikes twice. It is a linguistic pat on the back, implying that the universe operates on a strict quota system for bad luck. Once you’ve paid your dues to statistical improbability, you are safe. It is a lovely sentiment. But as a scientific rule of thumb? It is dangerously, objectively wrong. In fact, lightning loves to strike twice. And three times. And sometimes a hundred times. It’s time to retire this assumption. Read more… [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/p/lightning-does-strike-twice-and-thrice] Get full access to Fighting Assumptions at fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe [https://fightingassumptions.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

10. apr. 20264 min