Good Returns

The Strait Is Open, Oil Is Back to $70, and the Inflation Story Just Changed

24 min · 26. juni 2026
episode The Strait Is Open, Oil Is Back to $70, and the Inflation Story Just Changed cover

Beskrivelse

The Strait of Hormuz is reopening. Oil is back to $70 — erasing the entire war premium. May's inflation print came in hot, but bond investors already looked through it as yields fell. The thesis Matt has been holding since late February is essentially complete. Matt and Garrett close that chapter this week — clearly, honestly, and with the context that the timeline was messier than expected but the destination was always right. They also break down semiconductor volatility and what it tells you about concentrated trades, and why the diversified investor's week looked nothing like the S&P 500 headline. Remote episode — tighter than usual, but the content earned its own episode. Good Returns is for educational purposes only and is not individual financial, tax, or legal advice. Momentum Wealth is a registered investment advisor.

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Alle episoder

33 episoder

episode The Strait Is Open, Oil Is Back to $70, and the Inflation Story Just Changed cover

The Strait Is Open, Oil Is Back to $70, and the Inflation Story Just Changed

The Strait of Hormuz is reopening. Oil is back to $70 — erasing the entire war premium. May's inflation print came in hot, but bond investors already looked through it as yields fell. The thesis Matt has been holding since late February is essentially complete. Matt and Garrett close that chapter this week — clearly, honestly, and with the context that the timeline was messier than expected but the destination was always right. They also break down semiconductor volatility and what it tells you about concentrated trades, and why the diversified investor's week looked nothing like the S&P 500 headline. Remote episode — tighter than usual, but the content earned its own episode. Good Returns is for educational purposes only and is not individual financial, tax, or legal advice. Momentum Wealth is a registered investment advisor.

26. juni 202624 min
episode Oil Crashed, the Fed Changed Its Language, and the Biggest IPO in History Just Happened cover

Oil Crashed, the Fed Changed Its Language, and the Biggest IPO in History Just Happened

Oil fell 13% on a ceasefire framework announcement. Kevin Warsh held his first Fed press conference and signaled the end of the dot plot era. SpaceX completed the largest IPO in recorded history. And this morning, the ceasefire framework was paused as Israel continued bombing Lebanon and Iran disputed the terms. Matt and Garrett recorded this episode in real time — covering the week honestly, including the complication that arrived before the mics went on. The Fed conversation is the centerpiece: what just changed, why the bond market's signal matters more than the hawkish headline, and why Matt's Greenspan comparison from months ago just got confirmed. In the Planning Room: how to think about IPOs — and the dollar cost averaging approach Matt and Garrett actually use with clients who want exposure to newly public companies. Good Returns is for educational purposes only and is not individual financial, tax, or legal advice. Momentum Wealth is a registered investment advisor.

19. juni 202656 min