Is the AI bubble ready to burst?

Is the AI bubble ready to burst?

Anthropic — the company behind Claude — has filed confidentially for an IPO, with OpenAI and SpaceX circling public markets too. The valuations are staggering. But when expectations run this high, the debut itself becomes a test: is this a once-in-a-generation boom, or are the warning signs already flashing? If you want to explore Stratiphy or build your own rules-based portfolio, you can use our referral link: 🔗 https://www.stratiphy.io/referrals?code=INVESTINGSTAKES [https://www.stratiphy.io/referrals?code=INVESTINGSTAKES] Disclosure: This is a referral link. We may receive a benefit if you sign up using it. In this episode of Investing Stakes, Edmund Greaves is joined by Chris Ling, Chief Investment Officer at Stratiphy, and Chris Tuite of MRM, to dig into what the Anthropic listing means for ordinary investors. We ask whether AI stocks are overvalued, why huge CapEx spending isn't yet matched by revenue, and what the recent pullback from firms like Uber, Duolingo and Microsoft tells us about the road ahead. We also look at the "picks and shovels" approach — backing the infrastructure around AI rather than betting the house on a single stock — and check in on how our own Stratiphy portfolios are performing. Catch earlier episodes in the Investing Stakes series to see how we got started with our £500 portfolios. Stratiphy uses systematic investment strategies based on momentum and moving averages to remove guesswork from portfolio management. Edmund and Chris are investing real money and tracking performance over time. Subscribe to follow the full series as the portfolios evolve. This series is produced in partnership with Stratiphy. Chapters 0:00 The AI IPO race: Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX  1:50 What is Stratiphy?  3:25 Why Anthropic is going public  4:55 Does the AI trade ring alarm bells?  6:05 The bubble case: when CapEx outruns revenue  9:55 How index funds force you into AI stocks  10:50 Can you stay cautious without sitting it out?  13:40 The semiconductor surge and calling the top 15:55 Portfolio check-in: how the strategies are doing  17:40 Picks and shovels: investing around AI  21:45 Is the hype being manufactured for the IPOs?  24:05 Wrap-up About Stratiphy Stratiphy is an investing app that helps everyday investors build and track systematic strategies using algorithmic investing and backtesting. Learn more about Stratiphy here:  https://www.stratiphy.io/referrals?code=INVESTINGSTAKES [https://www.stratiphy.io/referrals?code=INVESTINGSTAKES] Important: This content is for information and discussion only and is not financial advice. Capital is at risk and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. MOUTHY MONEY *Our substack* https://mouthymoney.substack.com/ [https://mouthymoney.substack.com/] *Get in touch* ⁠⁠editors@mouthymoney.co.uk [editors@mouthymoney.co.uk] ⁠⁠ DISCLAIMER This video is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, mortgage or other forms of financial advice. If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with. Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. For more information visit ⁠⁠⁠www.fca.org.uk/investsmart⁠ [http://www.fca.org.uk/investsmart%E2%81%A0]. Please note, video captions are auto-generated and may not be 100% accurate.

Who owns Britain's £2.9 trillion national debt?

Politicians keep saying they don't want to be "in hock to the bond market" — but what does that actually mean, and who is the bond market anyway? In this episode of the Mouthy Money podcast, Edmund Greaves and Chris Tuite (MRM) pull back the curtain on UK gilts: what government bonds are, how they work, who really owns Britain's £2.9 trillion national debt, and why all of it matters for normal people saving for the long term. Ed and Chris break down how gilts function, why yields rise and fall, and how the bond market can quietly "discipline" an elected government's spending plans — the heart of the left-wing complaint about being beholden to faceless investors. But as they discover, the bond market isn't a shadowy cabal of top-hatted financiers. A huge chunk of it is pension funds, insurers and ordinary savers — quite possibly including you. They also dig into why this isn't abstract: gilt yields set the "risk-free rate" that prices everything from mortgages and annuities to savings rates and the value of the stock market. The 2022 mini-budget showed exactly how political choices ripple straight into your finances. 📊 KEY STATS COVERED: - UK national debt: ~£2.91 trillion (about 94% of GDP — highest since the 1960s) - Annual government borrowing: ~£132 billion - Overseas investors hold ~32% of UK gilts - The Bank of England holds roughly 19–24% - Banks & financial institutions hold ~23% - UK pension funds & insurers hold ~21% — and own nearly half the index-linked gilt market - Less than 1% of gilts are held directly by households 💬 What do you think — is the bond market a healthy check on government spending, or an undemocratic constraint? Let us know in the comments. We try to reply to everyone. 👍 Like, subscribe and hit the bell for weekly personal finance that puts the personal back into your money. MOUTHY MONEY Our substack mouthymoney.substack.co.uk [http://mouthymoney.substack.co.uk/]  Get in touch ⁠⁠editors@mouthymoney.co.uk [editors@mouthymoney.co.uk] ⁠⁠ DISCLAIMER This video is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, mortgage or other forms of financial advice. If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with. Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. For more information visit ⁠⁠⁠www.fca.org.uk/investsmart⁠ [http://www.fca.org.uk/investsmart%E2%81%A0]. Please note, video captions are auto-generated and may not be 100% accurate.

What The UK’s Inflation Figures Aren’t Telling You

Inflation is falling in the UK, at least, according to the official numbers. But for a lot of people, the cost of living still feels painfully high. Petrol prices are rising again, energy bills could jump later this year, and households are still feeling the aftershocks of the inflation spike that followed the Ukraine war.In this episode of the Mouthy Money Podcast, Ed and Chris dig into the latest UK inflation figures and ask why the story feels so disconnected from everyday life. They look at energy prices, fuel duty cuts, VAT changes and the government’s latest cost of living measures, along with the role the Bank of England plays in controlling inflation and interest rates.The conversation also explores what higher inflation means for mortgages, savings accounts, investing and long-term financial planning. Are markets really prepared for another inflation shock? Could government support measures make things worse again? And why do inflation statistics often feel so different from people’s real-world experience? MOUTHY MONEY Our substack mouthymoney.substack.co.uk [http://mouthymoney.substack.co.uk/]  Get in touch ⁠⁠editors@mouthymoney.co.uk [editors@mouthymoney.co.uk] ⁠⁠ DISCLAIMER This video is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, mortgage or other forms of financial advice. If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with. Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. For more information visit ⁠⁠⁠www.fca.org.uk/investsmart⁠ [http://www.fca.org.uk/investsmart%E2%81%A0]. Please note, video captions are auto-generated and may not be 100% accurate.

Fix or Tracker: Surviving the UK Mortgage Madness

Are you staring down the barrel of a remortgage? You aren't alone. In this episode, Ed and Chris tackle the ultimate UK homeowner’s dilemma: do you lock in the safety of a fixed-rate mortgage, or roll the dice on a tracker in a completely unpredictable market? With his own remortgage deadline looming, Chris pulls back the curtain on his options, the maths behind his strict new household budget, and the agonising psychological battle of trying to time the market. Meanwhile, Ed delivers some hard truths on why waiting to “get lucky” with interest rates is a dangerous game to play. The guys also break down exactly how global tensions, inflation expectations and looming UK political chaos are feeding directly into swap rates and what that means for your monthly repayments. In this episode, we cover: * The Fixed vs. Tracker Debate: Which makes more sense right now? * The Macro Effect: How the Middle East crisis and UK political uncertainty are actively shaping mortgage rates. * The "Luck" Fallacy: Why you should stop waiting for a lucky break and take control of your debt. * Practical Defense Strategies: The power of overpaying, managing your Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio, and bulletproofing your rainy day fund. * The Safety Net: How to lock in a baseline rate today while keeping your options open for tomorrow. 04:09 – Rolling the Dice: The Gamble of the Tracker  05:47 – Ed’s Take: Why Certainty Wins  08:28 – The Hidden Factor: UK Political Uncertainty  10:42 – The Psychology of Debt & Chasing "Luck"  13:36 – Forcing Your Own Fortune: The LTV Strategy  16:15 – The Budget Bulletproof Test: Protecting the Rainy Day Fund  18:33 – The Power of Overpaying & Overcoming Behavioral Anchoring  21:09 – Outro: Let Us Know Your Strategy  *MOUTHY MONEY* *Our substack* mouthymoney.substack.co.uk [http://mouthymoney.substack.co.uk/]  *Get in touch* ⁠⁠editors@mouthymoney.co.uk [editors@mouthymoney.co.uk] ⁠⁠ DISCLAIMER This video is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, mortgage or other forms of financial advice. If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with. Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. For more information visit ⁠⁠⁠www.fca.org.uk/investsmart⁠ [http://www.fca.org.uk/investsmart%E2%81%A0]. Please note, video captions are auto-generated and may not be 100% accurate.

Is Your Summer Holiday Costing You £500,000?

In this episode of Mouthy Money, Ed is joined by Sahar Nazir to tackle the ultimate financial dilemma: should you spend your hard-earned cash on an annual holiday, or invest it for your future? With the average Brit planning to drop over £5,500 on holidays this year, we break down the staggering maths of compounding interest. Could that week in the sun actually be stealing half a million pounds from your retirement? We share our biggest vacation spending regrets (including missed flights across the Andes!), debate the "buy it twice" luxury rule, and reveal our top strategies for balancing immediate gratification with long-term wealth building. Whether you're a hardcore saver or a massive spender, this episode is packed with hacks to help you pay yourself first, travel without guilt, and rethink your out-of-office plans. Don't forget to let us know in the comments: Are holidays an essential part of your year, or a luxury you’re willing to sacrifice for financial freedom? 00:00:00 – Intro: The £500,000 Holiday Dilemma 00:01:30 – Welcome Sahar & The £5.5k Holiday Stat 00:02:40 – Ed's Expensive £2,500 Crete Getaway 00:03:40 – Sahar’s Japan Trip & The Weak Yen Hack 00:05:10 – Ed's Worst Holiday Mistake (Stranded in Chile!) 00:07:20 – The Hidden Cost of £5k+ Annual Holidays 00:09:10 – The Math: Turning Holiday Budgets into £519,000 00:10:40 – The "Buy It Twice" Luxury Rule 00:12:30 – Spender vs. Saver Mindsets & Money Regrets 00:14:40 – Striking a Balance: Cheaper Trips & Camping 00:16:30 – Holiday Sinking Funds & Bank Card Mistakes 00:18:10 – The Ultimate Money Hack: Pay Yourself First 00:19:20 – Final Thoughts & Community Question *MOUTHY MONEY* *Our substack* mouthymoney.substack.co.uk [http://mouthymoney.substack.co.uk/]  *Get in touch* ⁠⁠editors@mouthymoney.co.uk [editors@mouthymoney.co.uk] ⁠⁠ DISCLAIMER This video is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, mortgage or other forms of financial advice. If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with. Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. For more information visit ⁠⁠⁠www.fca.org.uk/investsmart⁠ [http://www.fca.org.uk/investsmart%E2%81%A0]. Please note, video captions are auto-generated and may not be 100% accurate.