Lyt til My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

I want to tell you about a midsize business owner drowning in consultants. He kept hiring them, one after another, each promising to turn things around. They’d show up, drop off a fancy report, and disappear. Meanwhile, his profit stayed flat, his team was overwhelmed, and he barely slept. One night, he was alone in his office, staring at a payroll he wasn’t sure he could cover. That’s when it hit him. He told me, “I realized it’s on me. No one’s coming to save my business.” That moment was his turning point. So, what’s yours? Download The Profit Gap for free at TheProfitBootCamp.com to see 5 hidden reasons family businesses work hard but still fall short of profit. [https://www.theprofitbootcamp.com/] THE TURNING POINT EVERY OWNER NEEDS Let’s be real: hoping someone else will fix your problems is tempting. A consultant, a new hire, maybe even some magic software. But here’s the truth: no one will care about your business as much as you do. Consultants can advise, pinpoint blind spots, and maybe even hand you a plan. But if you don’t act, nothing changes. I’ve seen owners spend thousands on experts only to shelve their advice because it felt too hard or the timing wasn’t “perfect.” Waiting for the right moment is a trap. Your business doesn’t have time for that. The problems are piling up: low margins, stressed teams, endless emergencies, they’re not going away on their own. You have to step up. YOUR CALENDAR TELLS THE TRUTH I know what you’re thinking: “I’m already doing everything I can!” But are you? Pull up your calendar right now. What does it say? If it’s packed with meetings, emails, and putting out fires, you’re probably not leading; you’re reacting. Your calendar tells the truth about your priorities. If there’s no time blocked for profit-focused work, like reviewing your P&L or cutting a bloated expense, you’re not owning the future of your business. One client I worked with swore he had no time for strategy. His calendar showed 12 hours a week chasing emergencies, zero on profit. We carved out just 90 minutes a week to review his financials. Within months, his managers solved problems without him, and the whole business felt calmer and more focused. That’s the power of taking charge. Here’s the thing: you can’t pay someone to care as much as you do. You can hire the best accountant and the sharpest operations manager, but responsibility for your business’s success rests with you. It’s not about working harder; it’s about working smarter. Start small. Pick one profit-related task this week. Maybe it’s canceling an unused subscription, renegotiating a vendor contract, or reviewing your pricing. Do it by Friday. One task, done well, can shift your momentum. A client thought he needed a complete overhaul to boost profit. Instead, we started with one thing: he cut a $900 monthly software he barely used. That small win gave him the confidence to tackle bigger issues. START SMALL, LEAD STRONG Your team is watching you, too. They feed off your clarity and energy. If you’re scattered, putting out fires, they’ll be scattered too. But they’ll follow if you show up focused with a clear plan. That client I mentioned. Whose calendar was filled with firefighting? Once he started those weekly financial reviews, his team noticed. They started coming to meetings prepared, pitching ideas to save money. Your leadership sets the tone. When you own your business’s future, you also allow your team to step up. Owning your business isn’t just about responsibility; it’s your biggest advantage. No one knows your customers, team, or vision like you do. That’s your edge. But you have to use it. Stop waiting for a savior. Stop hoping the market will turn or a new hire will fix everything. The power to change your business is in your hands right now. So, here’s your action step for this week: open your calendar and block 30 minutes to tackle one profit task. Review your P&L and look for one cost to cut. Maybe it’s calling a vendor to negotiate a better rate. Just do it. That’s how you start owning your business again. You’re ready to step up, but here’s the catch: what if your business is already leaking cash? In our next episode, we’ll uncover the hidden ways your company is losing money and why waiting even one more month could cost you everything. Don’t miss it. ACTION * Cut one cost: Block 30 minutes, review P&L, and cut one expense. Just one. Lead by example. Download The Profit Gap for free at TheProfitBootCamp.com to see 5 hidden reasons family businesses work hard but still fall short of profit. [https://www.theprofitbootcamp.com/]   ANDREW’S BOOKS * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX] * My Worst Investment Ever [https://amzn.to/2PDApAo] * 9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y] * Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points [https://amzn.to/3emBO8M] ANDREW’S ONLINE PROGRAMS * Valuation Master Class [https://valuationmasterclass.com/] * The Become a Better Investor Community [https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community] * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-stock-market] * Finance Made Ridiculously Simple [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple] * FVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the World [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/fvmr-investing-quantamental-investing-across-the-world] * Become a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influence [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/gp] * Transform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 Points [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/transformyourbusiness] * Achieve Your Goals [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/achieve-your-goals] CONNECT WITH ANDREW STOTZ: * astotz.com [https://www.astotz.com/] * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewstotz/] * Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/andrewstotzpage] * Instagram [https://www.instagram.com/andstotz/] * Threads [https://www.threads.net/@andstotz] * X [https://twitter.com/Andrew_Stotz] * YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/c/andrewstotzpage] * My Worst Investment Ever Podcast [https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/my-worst-investment-ever-podcast/id1416554991?mt=2]

In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing [https://amzn.to/4ebG33x]. In this series, they discuss Chapter 30: The Economically Irrational Investor Preference for Dividend-Paying Stocks. LEARNING: The dividend policy is irrelevant to stock returns.   > “Stock prices tend to rise in the month before they pay the dividend, because dumb retail investors overvalue dividends, and then they tend to revert back after the dividend gets paid.” > Larry Swedroe   In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing [https://amzn.to/4ebG33x]. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/] to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/ep645-larry-swedroe-beware-of-idiosyncratic-risks/]. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 30: The Economically Irrational Investor Preference for Dividend-Paying Stocks. CHAPTER 30: THE ECONOMICALLY IRRATIONAL INVESTOR PREFERENCE FOR DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS In this chapter, Larry discusses why many investors prefer cash dividends, especially those using a cash flow approach to spending. Larry explains that experts have established that dividend policy should be irrelevant to stock returns, which is supported by historical evidence. Stocks with the same exposure to common factors (such as size, value, momentum, and profitability/quality) have had the same returns, whether they pay dividends or not. Despite theory and evidence, many investors express a preference for dividend-paying stocks. THE FALLACY OF THE FREE DIVIDEND As Larry explains, investors tend to assume that dividends offer a safe hedge against the large price fluctuations that stocks experience. However, this assumption ignores that the dividend is offset by the fall in the stock price—the fallacy of the free dividend is a common misconception in the investment world. Larry adds that stocks with the same “loading,” or exposure, to the four factors (size, value, momentum, and profitability/quality) have the same expected return regardless of their dividend policy. This has important implications because about 60% of US and 40% of international stocks do not pay dividends. Thus, any screen that includes dividends results in far less diversified portfolios than they could be if they had not included dividends in the portfolio design. Less diversified portfolios are less efficient because they have a higher potential dispersion of returns without any compensation in the form of higher expected returns. TAXES MATTER Larry notes that what is particularly puzzling about the preference for dividends is that taxable investors should favor the self-dividend (by selling shares) if cash flow is required. Taxes play a crucial role in investment decisions, and understanding their implications is essential for making informed choices. Even in tax-advantaged accounts, investors who diversify globally (the prudent strategy) should prefer capital gains because the foreign tax credits associated with dividends have no value in tax-advantaged accounts. WHY DO INVESTORS STILL PREFER DIVIDENDS? Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman, two leaders in behavioral finance, attempted to explain the behavioral anomaly of a preference for cash dividends [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0304405X84900254?via%3Dihub]. The first explanation is that, in terms of their ability to control spending, investors may recognize that they have problems with the inability to delay gratification. To address this problem, they adopt a cash flow approach to spending—they limit their spending to only the interest and dividends from their investment portfolio. In other words, the investor desires to defer spending but knows he doesn’t have the will, so he creates a situation that limits his opportunities and, thus, reduces the temptations. THE PROSPECT THEORY The second explanation of why investors prefer dividends is based on “prospect theory.” Prospect theory states that people value gains and losses differently. As such, they will base decisions on perceived gains rather than losses. Thus, if a person was given two equal choices, one expressed in terms of possible gains and the other in potential losses, they would choose the former. Because taking dividends doesn’t involve selling stock, it’s preferred to a total return approach, which may require self-created dividends through sales. The reason is that sales might affect the realization of losses, which are too painful for people to accept (they exhibit loss aversion). FURTHER READING 1. Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani, “Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares [https://www.researchgate.net/publication/24102112_Dividend_Policy_Growth_and_the_Valuation_Of_Shares],” Journal of Business (October 1961). 2. Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman, “Explaining Investor Preference for Cash Dividends [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0304405X84900254?via%3Dihub],” Journal of Financial Economics (June 1984). DID YOU MISS OUT ON THE PREVIOUS CHAPTERS? CHECK THEM OUT: PART I: HOW MARKETS WORK: HOW SECURITY PRICES ARE DETERMINED AND WHY IT’S SO DIFFICULT TO OUTPERFORM * Enrich Your Future 01: The Determinants of the Risk and Return of Stocks and Bonds [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-01-the-determinants-of-the-risk-and-return-of-stocks-and-bonds/] * Enrich Your Future 02: How Markets Set Prices [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-02-how-markets-set-prices/] * Enrich Your Future 03: Persistence of Performance: Athletes Versus Investment Managers [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-03-persistence-of-performance-athletes-versus-investment-managers/] * Enrich Your Future 04: Why Is Persistent Outperformance So Hard to Find? [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-04-why-is-persistent-outperformance-so-hard-to-find/] * Enrich Your Future 05: Great Companies Do Not Make High-Return Investments [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-05-great-companies-do-not-make-high-return-investments/] * Enrich Your Future 06: Market Efficiency and the Case of Pete Rose [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-06-market-efficiency-and-the-case-of-pete-rose/] * Enrich Your Future 07: The Value of Security Analysis [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-07-the-value-of-security-analysis/] * Enrich Your Future 08: High Economic Growth Doesn’t Always Mean High Stock Market Return [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-08-high-economic-growth-doesnt-always-mean-high-stock-market-return/] * Enrich Your Future 09: The Fed Model and the Money Illusion [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-09-the-fed-model-and-the-money-illusion/] PART II: STRATEGIC PORTFOLIO DECISIONS * Enrich Your Future 10: You Won’t Beat the Market Even the Best Funds Don’t [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-10-you-wont-beat-the-market-even-the-best-funds-dont/] * Enrich Your Future 11: Long-Term Outperformance Is Not Always Evidence of Skill [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-11-long-term-outperformance-is-not-always-evidence-of-skill/] * Enrich Your Future 12: When Confronted With a Loser’s Game Do Not Play [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-12-when-confronted-with-a-losers-game-do-not-play/] * Enrich Your Future 13: Past Performance Is Not a Predictor of Future Performance [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-13-past-performance-is-not-a-predictor-of-future-performance/] * Enrich Your Future 14: Stocks Are Risky No Matter How Long the Horizon [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-14-stocks-are-risky-no-matter-how-long-the-horizon/] * Enrich Your Future 15: Individual Stocks Are Riskier Than You Believe [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-15-individual-stocks-are-riskier-than-you-believe/] * Enrich Your Future 16: The Estimated Return Is Not Inevitable [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-16-the-estimated-return-is-not-inevitable/] * Enrich Your Future 17: Take a Portfolio Approach to Your Investments [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-17-take-a-portfolio-approach-to-your-investments/] * Enrich Your Future 18: Build a Portfolio That Can Withstand the Black Swans [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-18-build-a-portfolio-that-can-withstand-the-black-swans/] * Enrich Your Future 19: The Gold Illusion: Why Investing in Gold May Not Be Safe [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-19-the-gold-illusion-why-investing-in-gold-may-not-be-safe/] * Enrich Your Future 20: Passive Investing Is the Key to Prudent Wealth Management [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-20-passive-investing-is-the-key-to-prudent-wealth-management/] PART III: BEHAVIORAL FINANCE: WE HAVE MET THE ENEMY AND HE IS US * Enrich Your Future 21: Think You Can Beat the Market? Think Again [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-21-think-you-can-beat-the-market-think-again/] * Enrich Your Future 22: Some Risks Are Not Worth Taking [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-22-some-risks-are-not-worth-taking/] * Enrich Your Future 23: Seeing Through the Frame: Making Better Investment Decisions [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-23-seeing-through-the-frame-making-better-investment-decisions/] * Enrich Your Future 24: Why Smart People Do Dumb Things [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-24-why-smart-people-do-dumb-things/] * Enrich Your Future 25: Stock Crashes Happen—Be Prepared [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-25-stock-crashes-happen-be-prepared/] * Enrich Your Future 26: Should You Invest Now or Spread It Out? [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-26-should-you-invest-now-or-spread-it-out/] * Enrich Your Future 27: Pascal’s Wager: Betting on Consequences Over Probabilities [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-27-pascals-wager-betting-on-consequences-over-probabilities/] * Enrich Your Future 28 & 29: How to Outsmart Your Investing Biases [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-28-29-how-to-outsmart-your-investing-biases/] ABOUT LARRY SWEDROE Larry Swedroe [https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-swedroe-18778267/] was head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/]. Since joining the firm in 1996, Larry has spent his time, talent, and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing with an enthusiasm few can match. Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need [https://amzn.to/3HC9QnZ].” He has authored or co-authored 18 books. Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television on various outlets. Larry is a prolific writer, regularly contributing to multiple outlets, including AlphaArchitect [https://alphaarchitect.com/blog/], Advisor Perspectives [https://www.advisorperspectives.com/search?q=Larry+Swedroe], and Wealth Management [https://www.wealthmanagement.com/search/node/Larry%20Swedroe].   [spp-transcript]   CONNECT WITH LARRY SWEDROE * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-swedroe-18778267/] * X [https://twitter.com/larryswedroe] * Website [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/] * Books [https://amzn.to/3JfpUgx] ANDREW’S BOOKS * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX] * My Worst Investment Ever [https://amzn.to/2PDApAo] * 9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y] * Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points [https://amzn.to/3emBO8M] ANDREW’S ONLINE PROGRAMS * Valuation Master Class [https://valuationmasterclass.com/] * The Become a Better Investor Community [https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community] * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-stock-market] * Finance Made Ridiculously Simple [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple] * FVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the World [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/fvmr-investing-quantamental-investing-across-the-world] * Become a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influence [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/gp] * Transform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 Points [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/transformyourbusiness] * Achieve Your Goals [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/achieve-your-goals] CONNECT WITH ANDREW STOTZ: * astotz.com [https://www.astotz.com/] * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewstotz/] * Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/andrewstotzpage] * Instagram [https://www.instagram.com/andstotz/] * Threads [https://www.threads.net/@andstotz] * X [https://twitter.com/Andrew_Stotz] * YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/c/andrewstotzpage] * My Worst Investment Ever Podcast [https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/my-worst-investment-ever-podcast/id1416554991?mt=2]

I, COFFEE: THE CAPITALIST MIRACLE BEHIND YOUR MORNING CUP I am the cup of coffee warming your hands right now. A simple drink with a story no government could brew. My journey from a cherry on a tree to your morning ritual is a testament to freedom, ambition, and human ingenuity. I exist not because of a single plan by a government or business but because of countless decisions, risks, and exchanges made by individuals and companies. I am the child of voluntary trade, fierce competition, and the pursuit of profit, all working without a master plan. These forces grow me, move me, roast me, and deliver me to you. No single person could make me from start to finish, yet billions of cups like me are made every day. PRIVATE OWNERSHIP GIVES RISE TO AMBITION I began as a cherry on a small farm in Costa Rica, grown by Manuel. Because he owns the land, he has reason to think long-term, studying prices, testing new methods, and planting varieties that take years to bear fruit. He’s not just farming for today; he’s betting on tomorrow. That’s what capitalism rewards: patience, planning, and the courage to take risks. Manuel’s commitment to tomorrow propels his green coffee bean across borders, where profit and competition transform local harvests into global goods. PROFIT CONNECTS PERSONAL EFFORT TO PROGRESS Once picked, my journey begins from fruit to finished drink. I pass through the hands of workers and businesses, each driven by their own needs. No one is in it for love. They’re in it for a paycheck. And that’s precisely the point. The drive to earn a living keeps the whole system in motion. Profit isn’t greed; it’s survival. Prices tell people what is scarce and wanted; markets change direction overnight. To survive, you adapt. To win, you innovate. That’s how competition works; it’s the quiet engine pushing new ideas forward. In capitalism, you don’t get to stand still. Evolve, and you’ll thrive. Stay stuck, and you’ll disappear. TRADE WORKS WITHOUT CENTRAL CONTROL As I leave the processing facility, my journey goes global. I cross oceans and borders. The people along the way live in different countries, speak different languages, follow different beliefs, and may even hate each other, yet they still cooperate. Peace is the quiet miracle of capitalism. The market’s invisible hand turns individual pursuits into shared progress. Each region plays to its strengths. Manuel grows coffee in Costa Rica. Luigi builds espresso machines in Italy. They’ve never met, but through trade, they both win. By trading rather than trying to do everything alone, both end up better off. CONSUMERS DETERMINE WHAT SURVIVES At the roasting factory, experts dial in flavor. The process begins with precise heat control, powered by machines and fuels from distant places. Roasters adjust their methods to meet customer expectations because you, the consumer, decide who wins. I don’t exist by chance. Every choice, a dark roast or a decaf, oat milk or cream, sends a signal. You’re the boss here. I’m shaped by what you sip. That’s why quality matters. Even minor errors lead to waste, lost sales, and the risk of being replaced by someone who gets it right. EVERY JOB CONTRIBUTES TO FINAL VALUE Each role, from warehouse staff to maintenance teams, shapes the outcome. The technician who calibrates the roaster’s heat, the quality inspector who catches defects, and the logistics coordinator who ensures delivery affect how I taste in the end. In this system, no task is too small. A green coffee warehouse worker in Indonesia who rotates inventory properly helps ensure I arrive fresh in Denver. One mistake and a competitor gets the next order. SPECIALIZATION TURNS EFFORT INTO EXCELLENCE At the café, baristas add their expertise, turning a roasted bean into your favorite cup: a bold black coffee, a tangy espresso, or a smooth latte. They steam, clean, pour, and seal. And they know: just one overheated shot or cracked lid, and everything I’ve been through goes to waste. That’s the harsh reality of capitalism. Each choice leads towards profit or loss. Accountability isn’t imposed; it’s automatic. COMPETITION ENFORCES ACCOUNTABILITY Some argue that markets need heavy rules, but I’ve seen competition shape behavior better than any bureaucracy. The people who move me act responsibly not because they’re forced to, but because trust pays off. Break that trust, and the market makes you pay. Even sustainability depends on you. When you choose shade-grown beans or Rainforest Alliance-certified coffee, farms change. Your fair-trade purchases raise wages. Your demand for carbon-neutral shipping pushes the whole system forward. I’m not made greener by policy memos; I’m made greener by you. That’s capitalism. VOLUNTARY EXCHANGE CREATES SOMETHING GREATER So here I am, your coffee, warming your hands just as I began this story. I started as a simple cherry on a tree, and through countless individual decisions, I’ve become your morning ritual. No one commanded my journey from Costa Rica to your cup, yet I arrived through millions of voluntary exchanges. I’m not just a drink but living proof that capitalism, at its best, transforms strangers into partners and simple beans into something extraordinary. As you sip me slowly, remember: every drop represents a quiet miracle of human cooperation, brewed not by force but by freedom, the same freedom that will bring your cup tomorrow and every morning after. Essay by Andrew Stotz, loosely adapted from Leonard E. Read’s “I, Pencil” ANDREW’S BOOKS * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX] * My Worst Investment Ever [https://amzn.to/2PDApAo] * 9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y] * Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points [https://amzn.to/3emBO8M] ANDREW’S ONLINE PROGRAMS * Valuation Master Class [https://valuationmasterclass.com/] * The Become a Better Investor Community [https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community] * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-stock-market] * Finance Made Ridiculously Simple [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple] * FVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the World [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/fvmr-investing-quantamental-investing-across-the-world] * Become a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influence [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/gp] * Transform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 Points [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/transformyourbusiness] * Achieve Your Goals [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/achieve-your-goals] CONNECT WITH ANDREW STOTZ: * astotz.com [https://www.astotz.com/] * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewstotz/] * Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/andrewstotzpage] * Instagram [https://www.instagram.com/andstotz/] * Threads [https://www.threads.net/@andstotz] * X [https://twitter.com/Andrew_Stotz] * YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/c/andrewstotzpage] * My Worst Investment Ever Podcast [https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/my-worst-investment-ever-podcast/id1416554991?mt=2]

BIO: Collin Plume, a precious metals expert and serial entrepreneur, helps investors maximize returns with minimal risk. STORY: Collin inherited some money from his grandmother at 18. When two of his college friends came to him with the idea of creating a TV show, but on the internet, he cut them a check that was way too much than what he should have. The business didn’t work. LEARNING: If you’re going to make a mistake in something, make it yourself and learn from it.   > “If I’m going to make a mistake, I will make it myself. I will put my blood, sweat, and tears into it.” > Collin Plume   GUEST PROFILE Collin Plume [https://www.linkedin.com/in/collin-plume/], a precious metals expert and serial entrepreneur, helps investors maximize returns with minimal risk. Founder of Noble Gold Investments [https://noblegoldinvestments.com/] and My Digital Money [https://www.mydigitalmoney.com/], he champions alternative assets like metals, real estate, and crypto. He is a dedicated family man who prioritizes integrity and client success in navigating complex financial markets. WORST INVESTMENT EVER Collin inherited some money from his grandmother at 18. He did some traveling and a few other things with the money. Two of Collin’s college friends came to him with the idea of creating a TV show but on the internet. In theory, it made a lot of sense. They raised money, and Collin cut them a check that was way too much than what he should have. Unfortunately, Collin didn’t fully engage with the idea beyond writing the check. He didn’t foresee the potential pitfalls. The business, however, didn’t pan out. Collin’s deepest regret in this investment was not actively participating in the business and learning from it. He lost money and the opportunity to grow as an entrepreneur. LESSONS LEARNED * If you’re going to make a mistake in something, make it yourself. Don’t give money to someone else to make a mistake on your behalf—they will learn from it, you won’t. * Teach your kids how to make money from an early age. ANDREW’S TAKEAWAYS * Families should take it upon themselves to protect the next generation. ACTIONABLE ADVICE If you get that opportunity, take it and learn from it, but know that if you invest, you’ll probably never see $1 come back to you. Also, you could jump on the bandwagon of a totally new and exciting idea, but there are some successful businesses out there that you can invest in. COLLIN’S RECOMMENDATIONS Collin advises seeking out new mentors in different areas every year. Continuous learning and growth through mentorship is a powerful tool for personal development, and Collin himself has found it invaluable in his journey as an entrepreneur. NO.1 GOAL FOR THE NEXT 12 MONTHS Collin’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to train some people to take over more of the day-to-day operations in two of his businesses. On a personal level, he wants to go on one of the big hiking trips he’s never been able to do. PARTING WORDS   > “I love this show—everything about it. You’re a great guy to talk to. I appreciate you having me on; it’s been a pleasure to be with you.” > Collin Plume   [spp-transcript]   CONNECT WITH COLLIN PLUME * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/collin-plume/] * Instagram [https://www.instagram.com/noblegoldinvestments/]  * X [https://x.com/collin_plume] * YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@NobleGold] * Book  [https://amzn.to/4kOH2tX] * Website [https://noblegoldinvestments.com/] ANDREW’S BOOKS * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX] * My Worst Investment Ever [https://amzn.to/2PDApAo] * 9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y] * Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points [https://amzn.to/3emBO8M] ANDREW’S ONLINE PROGRAMS * Valuation Master Class [https://valuationmasterclass.com/] * The Become a Better Investor Community [https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community] * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-stock-market] * Finance Made Ridiculously Simple [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple] * FVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the World [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/fvmr-investing-quantamental-investing-across-the-world] * Become a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influence [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/gp] * Transform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 Points [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/transformyourbusiness] * Achieve Your Goals [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/achieve-your-goals] CONNECT WITH ANDREW STOTZ: * astotz.com [https://www.astotz.com/] * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewstotz/] * Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/andrewstotzpage] * Instagram [https://www.instagram.com/andstotz/] * Threads [https://www.threads.net/@andstotz] * X [https://twitter.com/Andrew_Stotz] * YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/c/andrewstotzpage] * My Worst Investment Ever Podcast [https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/my-worst-investment-ever-podcast/id1416554991?mt=2]

In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing [https://amzn.to/4ebG33x]. In this series, they discuss Chapter 28: Buy, Hold, or Sell and the Endowment Effect and Chapter 29: The Drivers of Investor Behavior. LEARNING: Smart people are humble and able to admit when they have made a mistake.   > “As humans, we make all kinds of behavioral errors. Thus, it should not be surprising that we make them when investing. Smart people are, however, humble and able to admit when they have made a mistake.” > Larry Swedroe   In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing [https://amzn.to/4ebG33x]. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/] to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/ep645-larry-swedroe-beware-of-idiosyncratic-risks/]. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 28: Buy, Hold, or Sell and the Endowment Effect and Chapter 29: The Drivers of Investor Behavior. CHAPTER 28: BUY, HOLD, OR SELL AND THE ENDOWMENT EFFECT In this chapter, Larry discusses one of the more frequent risk management problems: holding or selling an asset and how the endowment effect affects this decision. THE ENDOWMENT EFFECT Larry begins by empathetically explaining how the endowment effect, a common behavioral quirk, often causes individuals to make poor investment decisions. For example, it leads investors to hold onto assets they wouldn’t purchase if they didn’t already own them. Whether it’s because the assets don’t fit into their asset allocation plan or because they view them as overpriced, they’re no longer the best choice from a risk/reward perspective. Larry shares the most common example of the endowment effect. People are often reluctant to sell stocks or mutual funds that they inherited or a deceased spouse purchased. Many people will usually say, “I can’t sell that stock; it was my grandfather’s favorite, and he’d owned it since 1952.” Or, “That stock has been in my family for generations.” Or, “My husband worked for that company for 40 years. I couldn’t possibly sell it.” Another example of an investor subject to the endowment effect is stock accumulated through stock options or some type of profit-sharing/retirement plan. HOW TO AVOID THE ENDOWMENT EFFECT Larry says you can avoid the endowment effect by asking: If I didn’t already own this asset, how much would I buy today as part of my overall investment plan? If the answer is, “I wouldn’t buy any,” or, “I would buy less than I currently hold,” you should sell. The rule applies whether the asset is a bottle of wine, a stock, a bond, or a mutual fund. He adds that you should only own an investment if it fits into your overall asset allocation plan. CHAPTER 29: THE DRIVERS OF INVESTOR BEHAVIOR In this chapter, Larry discusses how investors make errors simply because they are humans prone to behavioral mistakes. He reviews some of the more common ones to help you avoid making such mistakes. EGO-DRIVEN INVESTMENTS In this type of mistake, investors want more than returns from their investments. For instance, some investors continue investing in hedge funds, despite their lousy performance, for the same reasons they buy a Rolex or carry a Gucci bag with an oversized logo—they are expressions of status, available only to the wealthy. Such investment decisions are ego-driven, with demand fueled by the desire to be a “member of the club.” THE DESIRE TO BE ABOVE-AVERAGE Overconfidence in our abilities is a very healthy attribute. It makes us feel good about ourselves, creating a positive framework for navigating life’s experiences. Unfortunately, being overconfident in our investment skills can lead to investment mistakes—and so does what seems to be the all-too-human desire to be above average. Overconfidence is such a huge problem that it even causes people to delude themselves—the truth is so painful that the delusion allows them to continue to be overconfident. It leads to unrealistic optimism, causing investors to concentrate their portfolios on a handful of stocks rather than gain the benefits of diversification (the only free lunch in investing). FRAMING THE PROBLEM According to Larry, many errors we make as human beings and investors result from how we frame problems [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-23-seeing-through-the-frame-making-better-investment-decisions/]. “Framing the problem” refers to the way we perceive and interpret a situation, which can significantly influence our decisions. If a situation is framed from a negative viewpoint, people tend to focus on that. On the other hand, if a problem is framed positively, the results are pretty different. Consider the following example from Jason Zweig’s Your Money & Your Brain [https://amzn.to/3CdLu3Y]: * Pregnant women are more willing to agree to amniocentesis if told they face a 20% chance of having a Down syndrome child than if told there is an 80% chance they will have a normal baby. Regarding investing, the so-called professionals are framed as having all the advantages. The average investor then believes they stand no chance against the “professionals” and invests in active funds. However, Larry quotes various investment gurus and researchers who believe that investors without knowledge of the stocks they buy can earn market returns by investing in index funds. Since the average fund underperforms its benchmark index fund, and the average active investor underperforms the very funds in which they invest, the know-nothing index investor earns above-average returns by simply earning market returns. CONFIRMATION BIAS Another major cause of investment errors is “confirmation bias [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/isms-20-larry-swedroe-do-you-extrapolate-from-small-samples-and-trust-your-intuition/],” the tendency for people to favor information that confirms their preconceptions or hypotheses regardless of whether the information is true while disregarding evidence that is contrary to them. As a result, people gather evidence, recall information selectively from memory, and interpret it in a biased way. For instance, investors who believe they can pick winning stocks are regularly oblivious to their losing record and record wins as evidence confirming their stock-picking skills. However, they neglect to record losses as disconfirming evidence. Similarly, investors may ignore negative news about a company they are invested in, focusing only on positive information that supports their investment decision. BE HUMBLE AND ADMIT YOUR MISTAKES In conclusion, Larry reiterates that we’re all human and prone to behavioral mistakes. However, he underscores the importance of humility in admitting when we’ve made a mistake. He encourages us to see learning from our errors as a cause for celebration, as it means we’ll be less wrong in the future. He reminds us that what sets us apart from fools is our ability to learn and not repeat our mistakes, expecting different outcomes. FURTHER READING 1. Meir Statman, “What Investors Really Want [https://amzn.to/4iRFDAX],” McGraw-Hill, 2010. 2. Jonathan Burton, “Investment Titans [https://amzn.to/4hCZp26],” McGraw-Hill, 2000. 3. Jason Zweig, “Your Money and Your Brain [https://amzn.to/4izHJ8X],” Simon and Schuster, 2008. 4. Peter Lynch, “Is There Life After Babe Ruth [https://brianlangis.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/lynch-barrons-1990.pdf],” Barron’s, April 2, 1990. 5. 1993 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report [https://theoraclesclassroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/1993-Berkshire-AR.pdf]. 6. Larry Swedroe and R.C. Balaban, “Investment Mistakes Even Smart People Make and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/4hG4BCv],” McGraw-Hill, 2011. DID YOU MISS OUT ON THE PREVIOUS CHAPTERS? CHECK THEM OUT: PART I: HOW MARKETS WORK: HOW SECURITY PRICES ARE DETERMINED AND WHY IT’S SO DIFFICULT TO OUTPERFORM * Enrich Your Future 01: The Determinants of the Risk and Return of Stocks and Bonds [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-01-the-determinants-of-the-risk-and-return-of-stocks-and-bonds/] * Enrich Your Future 02: How Markets Set Prices [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-02-how-markets-set-prices/] * Enrich Your Future 03: Persistence of Performance: Athletes Versus Investment Managers [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-03-persistence-of-performance-athletes-versus-investment-managers/] * Enrich Your Future 04: Why Is Persistent Outperformance So Hard to Find? [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-04-why-is-persistent-outperformance-so-hard-to-find/] * Enrich Your Future 05: Great Companies Do Not Make High-Return Investments [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-05-great-companies-do-not-make-high-return-investments/] * Enrich Your Future 06: Market Efficiency and the Case of Pete Rose [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-06-market-efficiency-and-the-case-of-pete-rose/] * Enrich Your Future 07: The Value of Security Analysis [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-07-the-value-of-security-analysis/] * Enrich Your Future 08: High Economic Growth Doesn’t Always Mean High Stock Market Return [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-08-high-economic-growth-doesnt-always-mean-high-stock-market-return/] * Enrich Your Future 09: The Fed Model and the Money Illusion [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-09-the-fed-model-and-the-money-illusion/] PART II: STRATEGIC PORTFOLIO DECISIONS * Enrich Your Future 10: You Won’t Beat the Market Even the Best Funds Don’t [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-10-you-wont-beat-the-market-even-the-best-funds-dont/] * Enrich Your Future 11: Long-Term Outperformance Is Not Always Evidence of Skill [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-11-long-term-outperformance-is-not-always-evidence-of-skill/] * Enrich Your Future 12: When Confronted With a Loser’s Game Do Not Play [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-12-when-confronted-with-a-losers-game-do-not-play/] * Enrich Your Future 13: Past Performance Is Not a Predictor of Future Performance [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-13-past-performance-is-not-a-predictor-of-future-performance/] * Enrich Your Future 14: Stocks Are Risky No Matter How Long the Horizon [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-14-stocks-are-risky-no-matter-how-long-the-horizon/] * Enrich Your Future 15: Individual Stocks Are Riskier Than You Believe [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-15-individual-stocks-are-riskier-than-you-believe/] * Enrich Your Future 16: The Estimated Return Is Not Inevitable [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-16-the-estimated-return-is-not-inevitable/] * Enrich Your Future 17: Take a Portfolio Approach to Your Investments [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-17-take-a-portfolio-approach-to-your-investments/] * Enrich Your Future 18: Build a Portfolio That Can Withstand the Black Swans [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-18-build-a-portfolio-that-can-withstand-the-black-swans/] * Enrich Your Future 19: The Gold Illusion: Why Investing in Gold May Not Be Safe [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-19-the-gold-illusion-why-investing-in-gold-may-not-be-safe/] * Enrich Your Future 20: Passive Investing Is the Key to Prudent Wealth Management [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-20-passive-investing-is-the-key-to-prudent-wealth-management/] PART III: BEHAVIORAL FINANCE: WE HAVE MET THE ENEMY AND HE IS US * Enrich Your Future 21: Think You Can Beat the Market? Think Again [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-21-think-you-can-beat-the-market-think-again/] * Enrich Your Future 22: Some Risks Are Not Worth Taking [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-22-some-risks-are-not-worth-taking/] * Enrich Your Future 23: Seeing Through the Frame: Making Better Investment Decisions [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-23-seeing-through-the-frame-making-better-investment-decisions/] * Enrich Your Future 24: Why Smart People Do Dumb Things [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-24-why-smart-people-do-dumb-things/] * Enrich Your Future 25: Stock Crashes Happen—Be Prepared [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-25-stock-crashes-happen-be-prepared/] * Enrich Your Future 26: Should You Invest Now or Spread It Out? [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-26-should-you-invest-now-or-spread-it-out/] * Enrich Your Future 27: Pascal’s Wager: Betting on Consequences Over Probabilities [https://myworstinvestmentever.com/enrich-your-future-27-pascals-wager-betting-on-consequences-over-probabilities/] ABOUT LARRY SWEDROE Larry Swedroe [https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-swedroe-18778267/] was head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/]. Since joining the firm in 1996, Larry has spent his time, talent, and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing with an enthusiasm few can match. Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need [https://amzn.to/3HC9QnZ].” He has authored or co-authored 18 books. Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television on various outlets. Larry is a prolific writer, regularly contributing to multiple outlets, including AlphaArchitect [https://alphaarchitect.com/blog/], Advisor Perspectives [https://www.advisorperspectives.com/search?q=Larry+Swedroe], and Wealth Management [https://www.wealthmanagement.com/search/node/Larry%20Swedroe].   [spp-transcript]   CONNECT WITH LARRY SWEDROE * LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-swedroe-18778267/] * X [https://twitter.com/larryswedroe] * Website [https://buckinghamwealthpartners.com/] * Books [https://amzn.to/3JfpUgx] ANDREW’S BOOKS * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX] * My Worst Investment Ever [https://amzn.to/2PDApAo] * 9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them [https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y] * Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points [https://amzn.to/3emBO8M] ANDREW’S ONLINE PROGRAMS * Valuation Master Class [https://valuationmasterclass.com/] * The Become a Better Investor Community [https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community] * How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-stock-market] * Finance Made Ridiculously Simple [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple] * FVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the World [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/fvmr-investing-quantamental-investing-across-the-world] * Become a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influence [https://academy.astotz.com/courses/gp] *