Sound Economies with Mel & Peter

Tighter belts in Asia – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 21 May 2026

29 min · 21. maj 2026
episode Tighter belts in Asia – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 21 May 2026 cover

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Developing Asia is feeling more squeezed as oil prices stay high. We look at further demand reduction measures in the Philippines to avert stagflation, Thailand’s new debt for additional consumer subsidies, and India winding down fuel support. We also turn down Indonesia’s planned export controls on coal and palm oil, and revisit our expectations for global stocks in 2026. Timestamp: (00:00) - Episode rundown (00:18) - Intro (00:46) - Quick updates (02:35) - Danantara's new export controls on coal, palm oil (08:00) - Managing oil prices and domestic demand in the Philippines and Thailand (13:03) - India PM slows down fuel subsidies (18:55) - Our conviction vs market forecast on global stocks (25:41) - Our global outlook

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episode Tighter belts in Asia – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 21 May 2026 cover

Tighter belts in Asia – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 21 May 2026

Developing Asia is feeling more squeezed as oil prices stay high. We look at further demand reduction measures in the Philippines to avert stagflation, Thailand’s new debt for additional consumer subsidies, and India winding down fuel support. We also turn down Indonesia’s planned export controls on coal and palm oil, and revisit our expectations for global stocks in 2026. Timestamp: (00:00) - Episode rundown (00:18) - Intro (00:46) - Quick updates (02:35) - Danantara's new export controls on coal, palm oil (08:00) - Managing oil prices and domestic demand in the Philippines and Thailand (13:03) - India PM slows down fuel subsidies (18:55) - Our conviction vs market forecast on global stocks (25:41) - Our global outlook

21. maj 202629 min
episode First oil, now food – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 14 May 2026 cover

First oil, now food – Sound Economies with Mel & Peter, 14 May 2026

Oil prices may have already peaked in reaction to the US-Iran conflict, but food prices are slowly catching up. This episode also looks at the removal of 18 Indonesian stocks from MSCI indices, the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, and surging UK gilt rates amid renewed political uncertainty. Timestamp: (00:00) - Webinar: ‘Where Can Indexes & Factors Fall Short?’ [https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_Z0zHtwYkRkOi3IWluFrzvQ] (00:34) - Episode rundown (00:49) - Intro (01:16) - Quick updates (02:27) - Removal of 18 Indonesian stocks from the MSCI global indices (07:18) - Trump meets Xi in Beijing (14:17) - US-Iran conflict and the rise of global food prices (21:01) - UK gilt rates reach new peaks (25:16) - Our global outlook

14. maj 202629 min