Stack the Week

Stack the Week

1 h 6 min · 5. juni 2026
episode Stack the Week cover

Beskrivelse

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for June 1 through June 5. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. A chirping of hacks. A crazy partner in a war of moderate ceasefiring. A powers vote with no power. A slush fund still slushing. An enforcement bill that outlasts the revolt. A jobs number nobody saw coming. A Manhattan of bees underground, a ghost up on the mountain, and the screwworm is back thanks to the world’s first trillionaire. Let’s take it day by day. Monday June 1 Monday was about leverage and who actually has it — a president learning that more bombs don’t buy more obedience, neither does allyship with Israel, a slush fund his own party wouldn’t swallow, ten thousand government lawyers who decided the work wasn’t worth their names, and five and a half million bees who’ve held the same patch of cemetery since before any of them were born. Bored The president of the United States occupied many parts of the register Monday on the war he started in Iran. He told CNBC’s Eamon Javers he’d lost interest. “If they’re over, honestly, I don’t care,” he said, referring to peace talks. “I could care less. If they’re over, they’re over. If they’re not, you know — I think they took too much time. Frankly, I thought they started to get very boring.” (Isn’t that the metric you want for peace talks? Boring? War is exciting. Peace talks you want to be boring.) The president criticized Republican “hacks” for “chirping” about his handling of the war. Wait till he learns what happens to him at the hands of his own party later in the week! And on Truth Social he claimed credit for stopping something: that he’d personally kept the Israelis from striking the southern suburbs of Beirut. The public posture was boredom. The private posture, according to two U.S. officials and a third source briefed on the call, was rage. This is all Axios reporting. Summarizing the president’s remarks to Benjamin Netanyahu, one official said Trump told the Israeli leader: And you’ll want to cover the ears of young ones: “You’re f*****g crazy. You’d be in prison if it weren’t for me. I’m saving your ass. Everybody hates you now. Everybody hates Israel because of this.” A second Axios source said Trump at one point yelled, “What the f**k are you doing?” This does not sound like the transcript of a victory party. Remember, the public posture from the president is that the United States has “met and exceeded all military objectives” and achieved “total and complete victory” in the war in Iran. Netanyahu’s office disputes the personal remarks. The deal the president said was close last Friday wasn’t close. After a Situation Room meeting, he sent the preliminary framework — a 60-day extension of the April 7 ceasefire — back for changes. He wants tougher language and more promises from Tehran before any of its frozen funds are released. As a candidate, Trump hammered Barack Obama for unfreezing Iranian money under the 2015 nuclear deal. Now that he can launch the bombers and has, he is discovering what Obama discovered: bombs only get you so far. The Strait, slightly ajar Before the war, more than 100 commercial ships a day passed through the Strait of Hormuz. They carried everything from the fertilizer that helps feed corn crops to the helium that goes in MRI machines. These are container ships about 1,000 feet long — half the size of the reflecting pool in Washington, this week’s most popular unit of measurement. Over the last three weeks, the U.S. has guided about 70 through total. An average of three a day. To make the passage, most ships are turning off their Automatic Identification Systems and running dark. A Greek supertanker carrying two million barrels of crude crossed that way last week. So did a Chinese-owned vessel loaded with fertilizer. This pokey pace won’t refire the global economy. But it might mean that whatever is being learned moving these ships through can be scaled up later. The painstaking work reminds us how ridiculous it was for some — including the president — to suggest that countries who rely on the strait should just hop in and escort their own ships. They didn’t start the war, so it was a tough ask in the first place. And given how hard this has been even for the U.S. military, it puts the lie to the armchair pundits who said other countries could just snap their fingers and watch the traffic come roaring back. Cord cutters in the Strait. A few weeks back we wrote about Iran’s idea of charging a toll for the internet cables under the Strait of Hormuz. On Monday, DealBook reported that Silicon Valley has concerns about this. In early May an Iranian military spokesman said the country might demand license fees from Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Meta to use the cables they operate under the strait — and hinted the cables could be cut. So the tech giants are running what one adviser called “intensive back-channel engagement” to protect their subsea networks. Usually we don’t go in for that kind of jargon here at Stack the Week. What the hell does “intensive back-channel engagement” mean anyway? But we’ve been unable to learn anything more. It sounds kinda weak. Iran’s own news agency puts the traffic at about $10 trillion a day. The cables carry roughly 99 percent of the world’s internet, according to the International Telecommunication Union. And there aren’t many people who can fix a cut. Four companies lay undersea cable. Maybe twenty repair ships exist, most of them weeks from the Middle East. In 2024, a single cut in the Red Sea took down a quarter of the region’s internet for weeks. It took months. But let’s not make this sound like a fella could dive in the water with a kitchen knife in his teeth. Combat divers, the most effective way to cut the fiber optic cables in the Strait, would have to use specialized equipment, because modern fiber-optic cables are protected by dense engineering armor comprising galvanized steel wires and insulating materials. The slush fund goeth This next story about the president’s slush fund is going to change by the end of the week. But here at Stack the Week, we have a theory: that walking through the news day by day adds context a Friday summary can’t. A story delivered all at once on Friday flattens things. It front-loads the latest and the loudest, and that can bruise your understanding. We might be wrong. So weigh in, if you have a view. Monday, the Trump administration said it would pause the $1.8 billion fund built to compensate the president’s allies. It was complying with a court order — and bowing to a revolt among Republicans. The fund would have paid people who said the federal government wrongly targeted them. In practice, that meant January 6th defendants and Trump associates. Majority Leader John Thune said Monday he hoped the White House would shut it down on its own. His words: “The best way to handle it is if the administration decides to shut it down themselves.” A pause is not a death. So this will likely go a few more rounds. But even if the fund disappears, don’t reach for the eraser to update your commemorative Stack the Week Destruction of Norms tracker. The norms are broken even if the fund never pays out a cent. Because in defending the fund the Vice President, the Speaker of the House, and the acting attorney general would not rule out that the money might go to convicted defendants — people who assaulted police officers. Ten thousand lawyers One in five lawyers who worked for the federal government at the end of 2024 had left by March 2026. That’s an exodus of more than 10,000 attorneys, according to a New York Times analysis of federal employment data. Some retired. Some were cut. Some quit over the administration’s policies. The effect is the same: the federal government is no longer the place an ambitious public-interest lawyer wants on a résumé. Many are taking their experience to Democratic state attorneys general and the nonprofits suing the administration. George Washington University’s law school is a fifteen-minute walk from the White House. It’s now steering public-service students toward state legislatures and city councils instead. Scott Bourque, who just finished his first year at Georgetown Law, turned down a Justice Department internship. “A lot of people I’ve spoken to just in the last few months have said that they would look down on a person if they had a federal job on their résumé that they started during this administration,” he said. “Some people have explicitly said they would see a person willing to go to work at this D.O.J. as somebody they couldn’t trust.” Graham Platner’s accounting The Republican party transformed itself for Donald Trump, changing its once-ironclad views on personal morality, trade, and democracy abroad. Democrats, whose party did a smaller-bore version of morality-tailoring to defend Bill Clinton, now face the question again: what conduct is so inconsistent with party values that its worth risking the party gaining power? Graham Platner is a Marine veteran with no political experience who has surged ahead in Maine’s June 9 Senate primary, drawing big crowds and endorsements from Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and Arizona Senator Ruben Gallego. He has also weathered, in order: a Reddit history denigrating women; a tattoo recognized as a Nazi symbol, which he has since covered; and now the texts. The New York Times and Wall Street Journal report that shortly after Platner launched his campaign last year, his wife, Amy Gertner, flagged to staff that he had exchanged sexual messages with other women. Gertner said Saturday she was “deeply hurt,” and accused a former campaign confidante of betraying her by making the messages public. The race is a toss-up, and control of the Senate may run through it — which is the whole problem. Platner led Susan Collins by nine points in a University of New Hampshire poll last week. So the question Democrats are asking is whether anything is disqualifying anymore — or whether Trump, who survived scandals that ended other careers, has reset the floor. “I find that tattoo and his commentary about it to be personally disqualifying,” Representative Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts said on CNN. Senator Cory Booker, asked about the texts: “Yeah, I have concerns. That guy has questions to answer, and that’s what campaigns are for.” The biggest concern at the start of the week was whether there were more shoes to drop about Platner’s past. Trapped before you start and before 40 Two new studies, released Monday, reveal a harsh reality about the modern career: the first five years matter more than ever, but a structural trap in the office is making them much harder to navigate. The first study, from the New York Fed, looks at the starting line. It found that young college graduates are struggling to get hired because of a fundamental breakdown in how offices work now. Young grads actually want to be in the office to learn, but they are being forced into remote work by default because the people who are supposed to train them aren’t there. Senior managers and experienced staff now have the leverage to work from home, leaving the physical office empty. When companies try to solve this by letting the new hires work from home too, they hit a wall: it is incredibly difficult to train and mentor an inexperienced worker entirely over a screen. Because both sides are rarely in the same room, companies have simply grown wary of hiring the inexperienced at all. In fact, the Fed estimates this empty-office mismatch—not generative AI—explains 64 percent of the recent rise in unemployment among young graduates. The second study, from the Burning Glass Institute and NYU, shows why this matters long-term. Tracking 1.3 million careers since 2000, researchers found that roughly a quarter of American professionals hit a career wall before age 40, going five or more years without a raise or promotion. While the study attributes these stalls to rigid career fields–some jobs just don’t have good advancement ladders– and low-value “paper” certifications– you go to school to train and then it doesn’t pay off in the real world– the most critical factor is early momentum. A mid-career plateau isn’t a sudden event; it is decided in the first few years on the job. The Core Takeaway: The two findings form a troubling loop. Because senior mentors are working from home, young grads are either left sitting in an empty office or isolated behind a screen. This deprives them of the intense, in-person mentorship required to build early momentum—making them far more likely to hit a career ceiling before they turn 40. The pancreas, cracked An experimental pill nearly doubled survival time for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer — one of the deadliest cancers there is. The drug, daraxonrasib, blocks a mutated protein that drives tumor growth in more than 90 percent of pancreatic cancer cases, a target that eluded treatment for decades. In a trial of 500 patients whose metastatic cancer had stopped responding to other treatment, the daily pill roughly doubled survival time with fewer severe side effects. + The five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is about 13 percent. It’s on track to become the second-leading cause of cancer death in the U.S. by 2040. A trillion-dollar offering There are many ways to measure the race for AI dominance: the size of the model, the chips you can get your hands on, and the money you can raise to pay for both. On Monday, Anthropic — whose chatbot, Claude, thinks this lede is doing real work — told regulators in an unsigned, two-paragraph blog post that it’s seeking an initial public offering. It’s being referred to as a “trillion-dollar offering,” which is not official, but instead the loose, breathy journalistic shorthand for the possible valuation, not the literal money changing hands. A valuation is the number of shares times the stock price of each share. Anthropic is racing primarily with Open AI and SpaceX. Most of the money goes to “compute” — the raw computing power the models run on, which Anthropic rents from Microsoft, Amazon, and Google. In practice that means warehouse-scale buildings packed with specialized chips called GPUs, the processors Nvidia built for graphics and now sells for AI. Thousands of them are wired together to work as a single machine — Nvidia’s CEO calls a data center one “unit of compute.” A single rack of these chips draws more than ten times the power of an ordinary server rack, enough heat that air can’t cool it and chilled water has to be piped directly to the chip. The chips themselves run two to four times hotter than the processors in a normal computer. The constraint isn’t ideas. It’s silicon and electricity — there aren’t enough chips, and where there are chips there often isn’t enough power to run them. The dead hang How long do you think you could hang from a pull-up bar? An 81-year-old arthritic widow set the Guinness World Record for the longest dead hang by a woman over 80, holding on for three minutes and three seconds. She took up dead-hanging to cope with grief after losing her husband of 60 years. Most healthy adults manage thirty to sixty seconds. Grip strength, it turns out, is one of the better predictors of how long a person lives — possibly because a strong grip is a sign of overall strength, possibly because a weak one is a symptom of cells aging faster than they should. Five million bees A cemetery in Ithaca, New York, holds one of the largest and oldest known colonies of ground-nesting bees ever documented — an estimated 5.5 million of them packed into an acre and a half. That’s more than three times the human population of Manhattan, living under a single graveyard. And their lives are much like those of us who live in Manhattan, they’re always confused by the constant breakdowns and shifting schedule of the C train. No, they are like city dwellers in that they are autonomous, not members of a hive. They’ve just chosen to live in the place because it suits their lifestyle. They are born, go out into the world and collect food for their offspring and do that until they die. The children essentially choose to live near where they were born. They’re just like us! Nearly six in 10 young adults live within 10 miles of where they grew up, and eight in 10 live within 100 miles. They’re a solitary mining bee, Andrena regularis, the kind that nests underground rather than in hives — which describes about 75 percent of all bee species, a fact that surprises most people who only think about honeybees who somehow get into the office even though I’ve got the windows closed. The bees have been at East Lawn Cemetery since at least the early 1900s. The cemetery dates to 1878. The bees, in other words, have outlasted nearly everyone buried above them. The discovery came because a Cornell lab worker named Rachel Fordyce used to cut through the cemetery on her way to work. One spring morning in 2022, she noticed the ground was moving. She caught a few in a jar and brought them to her supervisor. They don’t sting. Bespoke flour It used to be that when a wealthy urban striver carried a bag of white powder around, they were looking to party. Now they’re looking to bake. Premium millers are riding a convergence of health trends — fiber-maxxers, GLP-1 users, and the Make America Healthy Again crowd all hunting for food that’s less processed and more nutritionally dense. A five-pound sack of Cairnspring Mills’ Sequoia T85 all-purpose flour runs $18, against about $5 for the supermarket brand. The Oregon company’s CEO, Kevin Morse, wants to “do for flour what Blue Bottle did for coffee” — build a premium-but-reachable middle tier in a business that’s all giants at the top and tiny independents at the bottom. Still, for fluffy biscuits nothing really can replace the cocaine Mom used to use. Tuesday June 2 Tuesday asked what a job is even for: a spy chief who knows real estate, a press office sealed shut to keep information in, a list of admirals scrubbed of women and Black men in a Navy full of both, and a retirement that didn’t fit. Massive Kyiv Attack Russia launched one of its deadliest attacks in months early Tuesday — about 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Kyiv and the central city of Dnipro. At least 22 people were killed and more than 100 wounded. Russia warned a week ago that it would hit the capital, and then made the city wait. For days it launched planes in patterns that mimicked a large attack, setting off alarms and wearing people down. Families slept in subway stations and parking garages for nights on end — tents and yoga mats on the station floors, dogs barking, children unable to sleep. More than 41,000 people, including nearly 4,500 children, sheltered in the Kyiv metro overnight, a record in recent years. A BBC reporter two floors underground felt the explosions through the building: missiles, then drones, then more missiles. People came up to find their neighborhoods rearranged — windows gone, cars turned to twisted, black popovers of metal. Russia called it retaliation for a Ukrainian drone strike on a dormitory in Russian-held Luhansk that it said killed 21 students; the toll couldn’t be verified. Ukraine has had the better of the war lately, hitting Russian oil facilities and reaching Moscow itself with long-range drones while the front line stays frozen. No Experience necessary President Trump named Bill Pulte, the 38-year-old head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, acting Director of National Intelligence — a job that coordinates 18 intelligence agencies and oversees the President’s Daily Brief. Pulte has no known background in intelligence, defense, or national security. He is a real-estate scion and Trump loyalist who, even in his housing job, found ways to pursue the president’s enemies: he referred Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook and New York Attorney General Letitia James for prosecution over mortgage-document errors so ordinary that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had made them too. He replaces Tulsi Gabbard, who resigned last month after her husband’s cancer diagnosis. Trump announced it on Truth Social and praised Pulte’s grasp of “the safety and soundness of the Markets.” The skepticism on Capitol Hill crossed party lines. “We don’t need a weaponized D.N.I.,” said Majority Leader John Thune. “We need professionals there.” He added that if Trump wants Pulte in the job permanently, “he’s got a lengthy road ahead of him” — a reminder that this is an acting appointment, which avoids a confirmation vote and runs, by law, about 210 days. The job was created in the wake of the attacks of 9/11 to coordinate the government’s vast information-gathering capabilities because, to use a phrase popular after those attacks, the dots had not been connected between the various silos gathering intelligence. The job has very little real estate dealings. The audit shield lives Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche told House appropriators Tuesday that the administration is permanently scrapping the $1.8 billion fund meant to pay people who claimed the federal government wrongly targeted them — mostly January 6 defendants and Trump associates. A federal judge had blocked it, a bipartisan revolt had stalled the GOP’s own immigration bill over it, and a second judge threatened to investigate whether the president’s lawyers had abused the courts. But the acting attorney general would not agree to put it in writing, as he did with the formation of the fund. What does survive is a provision authored by Blanche shielding Trump, his family, and his businesses from IRS audits. Senator Thom Tillis flagged it, noting that the family’s net worth has nearly doubled in eighteen months since Trump took office. AI’s 30-day window President Trump signed an executive order Tuesday asking technology companies to voluntarily give the government a look at new AI models before releasing them — up to 30 days — a turn for an administration that had mostly taken a hands-off approach to AI meddling. “Excessive regulation of the A.I. sector could kill a transformative industry just as it’s taking off,” JD Vance had said last month. “The A.I. future is not going to be won by hand-wringing about safety. It will be won by building.” That’s changed now. The order also asks the Treasury secretary to build an AI “cybersecurity clearinghouse” to review vulnerabilities the models find. Last month Anthropic announced a model called Mythos, so good at finding security flaws in software that the company warned it could trigger a cybersecurity “reckoning” and declined to release it publicly. The NSA has used Mythos to probe the U.S. government’s own software. The White House, people in the industry and the administration said, wants to avoid the blame if an AI-enabled attack ever lands. The 30 days started as 90 — the president scrapped the stricter version hours before a signing ceremony with executives already invited. The final language closely resembles the voluntary deals the Biden administration struck with OpenAI and Anthropic in 2024, the ones this administration had trashed. Crossed off Hegseth’s list Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth blocked the promotions of nine Navy officers that a board of senior admirals had already selected — three of them women, two of them Black men. The result is a slate of 22 nominees for one-star admiral that looks little like the Navy it will help lead. No women made the new list, though women are about 21 percent of the active-duty Navy. Only two nonwhite officers made it, though racial minorities are about 38 percent. Pentagon rules say a defense secretary is supposed to pull officers from a promotion list only for moral, mental, physical, or professional failings — not for who they are. Five current and former defense officials, speaking anonymously, described the intervention as driven by Hegseth’s anti-diversity politics. In his life before this job, Hegseth was on record opposing women in combat. Nearly 60 percent of the senior officers he has fired are female or Black, according to Senator Jack Reed, the top Democrat on the Armed Services Committee. Glamour, the shopping list For nearly 90 years, Glamour mixed fashion and beauty with award-winning journalism — it won a National Magazine Award in 2023 for coverage pushing for federal paid family leave. That era is over. Condé Nast is refocusing the publication on shopping posts — “Granny Sandals Are the Secret to a Stylish Summer Look,” “The Best Spray Sunscreens for Easy Reapplication” — built to earn commissions when readers click through to Amazon and Nordstrom. The company cut much of the already-thin U.S. editorial staff in April and parted with editor-in-chief Samantha Barry without a plan to replace her. The bet is that display ads and affiliate links can carry the site without the cost of making the fussy journalism. Fortunately women looking for an editorial voice to match their intelligence can find it in newsletters and podcasts. Serena, on grass Six months ago Serena Williams posted, “Omg yall I’m NOT coming back.” OMG y’all, she’s coming back. Thursday she accepted a doubles wild card for next week’s HSBC Championships at Queen’s Club in London — the grass tune-up for Wimbledon, where she’s won seven singles titles. It’s her first competitive match in nearly four years, since she “evolved away” from the sport after the 2022 US Open. Whether Wimbledon itself is next, she didn’t say. She is 44. Her partner, the Canadian Victoria Mboko, is 19 and already ranked ninth in the world — a quarter-century between them on the same side of the net. Williams won 23 Grand Slam singles titles, one shy of Margaret Court’s all-time record of 24, a number she’s been parked next to since 2017. But every match she plays at 44 nudges a different record: the oldest woman to win a Grand Slam. The youngest players she’d have to get through weren’t born when she won her first. Wednesday June 3 Coping to crazy, ballroom dancing, a tariff backdoor, showing bureaucrats the door, and the bathtub analogy that might explain next year. Crazy, on the record The president confirmed what Axios reported Monday — that he’d called Benjamin Netanyahu crazy on the phone — and said out loud that Israel is complicating his peace talks with Iran. The private fury became public acknowledgment in the space of two days. It came with a result. Israel and Lebanon agreed Wednesday to renew their fragile ceasefire and to set up a number of “pilot” security zones inside Lebanon, areas from which Hezbollah fighters would be banned. In an oval office availability with reporters the president displayed a chart he had asked for. It’s title: “Our Pool is Bigger than Skyscrapers.” It showed the reflecting pool, which the president has ordered renovated, compared to the size of the Empire State Building, World Trade Center, Sears Tower. “In that part of the world, ceasefire is when you’re shooting in a more moderate manner,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Wednesday. He said the current situation was under control and peace talks with Iran were advancing. CA Gov. California’s top-two primary sent a Republican and a Democrat to a November runoff for governor: Steve Hilton, the British-born former Fox News host Trump endorsed, and Xavier Becerra, the former HHS secretary and state attorney general. Becerra held second place ahead of Tom Steyer — the billionaire climate activist who spent more than $200 million running to the left of the field. Becerra’s path opened only when Representative Eric Swalwell’s campaign collapsed in April amid sexual-assault allegations, and when Democratic voters — who’d spent months splitting among candidates they found uninspiring — finally consolidated. That splitting was the danger: polls had shown two Republicans might sweep the primary in one of the bluest states in the country, because Republicans had lined up behind Hilton while Democrats hadn’t lined up behind anyone. The fear was real enough that it launched a spring campaign to repeal the top-two system California has used for fifteen years. Senate drops ballroom Senate Republicans pulled up to a billion dollars in Secret Service funding for President Trump’s ballroom out of their immigration enforcement bill Wednesday. Two things killed it. First, the rules. The Senate parliamentarian, Elizabeth MacDonough, ruled the ballroom money didn’t belong in a bill Republicans were trying to pass on a simple majority — it had nothing to do with immigration, which was the bill’s whole point. Keep it in, and Democrats could have filibustered the entire package. Second, the politics. Several Republican senators said out loud they didn’t want to fund a ballroom in a bill about border enforcement. And the mood soured further after Trump endorsed Ken Paxton over sitting Senator John Cornyn in the Texas primary runoff. Funding the president’s ballroom while he’s picking off your own colleagues is a hard sell. Trump called Majority Leader John Thune and urged him to fire her, claiming she was put there by Obama. Senate parliamentarians are chosen by the Senate, not the White House, which he knows, so this was a lie. Speaking of which. Trump said he’d cover the cost himself. When it was announced in July at $200 million, he said it would be private — “some donors or whatever.” By late March, with the price doubled to $400 million, he was still insistent: “This is taxpayer-free. We have no taxpayer putting up 10 cents.” Then, after the April attempted shooting at the White House Correspondents’ dinner, some Republicans cited security and proposed public money. Taxpayer-free became a billion-dollar federal line item — and now, not even that. Schedule F is for firing. For most of the 19th century, federal jobs were handouts, given to the president’s friends and supporters, which bred corruption and incompetence. Then in 1881, a man who’d been denied a government post shot and killed President James Garfield. You can watch a very good account of this on Netflix. Death by Lightning. After that, Congress began building the protections — a series of laws meant to shield government workers from being fired for politics, so the work would carry from one administration to the next regardless of who won. Wednesday, President Trump signed an executive order stripping civil service protections from roughly 8,000 senior career federal workers. Division heads, IT chiefs, the people who write regulations, the analysts who tell agencies what the evidence says like toxicologists and epidemiologists. The people who track what’s making us sick. They are now at-will employees. They can be fired without a reason. To keep your job in one of these positions now, the practical test shifts from doing the job well to staying aligned with the president’s agenda. The administration says that’s the point — and frames it as accountability, not politics. Every other organization, for-profit or nonprofit, is run by a CEO who sets priorities and hires people accountable to them. Members of both parties have complained about this constraint for years. Everett Kelley, head of the American Federation of Government Employees, says the practical effect is fear: workers who once reported waste, fraud, and abuse because they were protected from retaliation will now think twice before speaking up. When the order was first proposed, more than 40,000 people filed public comments. About 94 percent opposed it. The press office becomes a cone of silence The Pentagon on Wednesday locked up the press room even tighter. It designated its public-affairs office a Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility — a SCIF, a secured classified space — and barred reporters from it. The stated reason: speechwriters handling classified material now share the room. The practical effect is that the Iranian nuclear program is in better working order than the accountability in the American form of government. By converting a public-facing office into a literal vault, reporters are physically locked out. Even journalists with permanent building badges can no longer walk in to ask a question. And that press corps was already thinned out. After the administration forced reporters to sign a loyalty pledge against gathering “unauthorized” information, legacy media walked out. They were replaced by handpicked partisan cheerleaders. Now, even the pom-pom shakers are locked out. Musk sets a record not on his list SpaceX set the terms of what would be the largest public offering in history: a target valuation of about $1.75 trillion. The valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest company in America, above Tesla, and the offering more than triple the size of the largest U.S. IPO before it. It also puts a number on Musk’s path to becoming the first trillionaire. Ahead of SpaceX’s planned initial public offering this month, a New York Times analysis of Elon Musk’s public claims over the last 15 years reveals a massive gap between his rhetoric and reality. Of more than 600 goals Musk laid out across his businesses, he delivered on time just 19 percent of the time. The rest? He was late or failed to deliver 35 percent of the time, and left another 33 percent too vague or abandoned without a public update. Nowhere is this “Musk Time” math clearer than in his grandest obsession: colonizing Mars. Founded in 2002 to make humanity “multiplanetary,” SpaceX has seen its Martian timeline constantly shift: * 2011: Musk claimed SpaceX would reach Mars in 10 years, or “worst case, 15 to 20 years.” * April 2024: He told employees he expected one million people to live on Mars in 20 years, quietly directing staff to sketch out blueprints for a Martian city. * February 2026: Musk moved the goalposts yet again, admitting a Martian city would take “20+ years.” Instead, he announced a pivot: SpaceX would focus on colonizing the moon first. Shoot for Mars; if you miss, you might land on the moon. Tariff wall workaround If you had to guess, would you say that president Trump is deeply concerned about forced labor overseas? He is now. The administration proposed new tariffs on 60 countries, citing forced labor. After an investigation under Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act, the U.S. Trade Representative found that none of the 60 countries adequately enforces a ban on goods made with forced labor, and proposed duties of at least 10 percent — with China, India, Japan, and about 40 others facing 12.5 percent. It’s the biggest effort to rebuild the tariff regime since the Supreme Court struck down most of the “Liberation Day” levies in February. The court ruled the administration had overreached its emergency powers, and Section 301 grants explicit statutory authority instead — far harder to overturn. A European Union official called the forced-labor finding “utterly absurd.” The EU has some of the strictest labor and supply-chain laws in the world, and being swept in with the other 59 reads to Brussels as a pretext — a way to push tariffs back above the 15 percent rate Europe had already negotiated in exchange for lowering its own duties. They might find the timing suspicious too. The new duties are timed to take effect as the temporary 10 percent global baseline tariff expires in late July. It’s basically the old plan by another route. Super El Niño possibly developing Imagine the Pacific Ocean as a giant bathtub with the wind blowing across the top of it. Most of the time, that wind blows steadily from the Americas toward Asia, and it pushes the warm surface water along with it — so warm water piles up on the Asia side, and cold water from way down deep rises up to fill in along the South America side. In an El Niño, the wind gets tired and stops pushing. So all that warm water that was piled up on the far side comes sloshing back toward the Americas, like water in a tub when you stop pushing the scalding water from the tap away from you and it rolls back at you. Now there’s a huge stretch of ocean that’s way warmer than it should be. That’s what we can expect if forecasters are right and a strong — possibly “super” — El Niño is on the way. The UN’s weather agency puts the odds at 80 percent before September, 90 percent before November, with most models calling it at least moderate and some saying it could be the strongest this century. All that ocean heat in the Americas doesn’t stay in the water; it bleeds into the air, which is why an intense El Niño nearly guarantees a record-hot year. And it doesn’t stop at temperature — it rearranges the weather for the whole planet at once. Warm ocean throws more moisture into the sky and bends the jet stream, the high-altitude river of wind that steers storms. Where the storms get steered toward, it floods — the U.S. Gulf Coast and Southeast usually catch the wet end. Where the storms get steered away from, the ground dries out and burns; that’s the story across much of the Pacific and into the drought-prone tropics. Harvests fail in the dried-out places. And the same heat that’s warming the air is cooking the shallow water where coral lives, until the coral starves and bleaches white — which collapses the reefs that a quarter of all sea life depends on for food and shelter. The “El Niño of the Century” in 1997–98 — the one forecasters are using as the model for this one — did damage measured in the trillions. And it doesn’t end when the water cools: a 2023 study in Science found El Niño can drag down a country’s economic growth for years afterward. El Niño isn’t caused by global warming — it’s a natural cycle that’s been swinging for thousands of years. But it now swings on top of a hotter baseline created by global warming. Each El Niño briefly releases a load of stored ocean heat into the air, and when that spike lands on an already-warmer planet, it tends to set the global temperature record — which is why forecasters are watching 2027. Americans soften support of LGBTQ+ issues American support for LGBTQ+ rights has stalled and begun to slip after two decades of climbing, according to a new Gallup survey. Support for same-sex marriage has dropped six points from its recent peak to 65 percent, while moral acceptance of gay and lesbian relationships has hit a decade-long low at 62 percent. And the share who consider changing one’s gender morally acceptable has fallen eight points in five years, to 38 percent. Between 1996 and 2022, support for same-sex marriage rose 44 points, from 27 to 71 percent. Gallup ties the decline to the conservative pushback against diversity programs built to foster acceptance. National park fees for July 4 celebration The administration is taking money meant for the national parks and spending it on the Fourth of July in Washington. At least $90 million in park entry fees — money paid at the gates of places like Yellowstone and Yosemite — is being routed to the capital. That’s according to internal Park Service documents obtained by the Washington Post. Some of it pays for fireworks — a $1.6 million display, more than five times the usual. Most of the money — $76 million — goes to fixing fountains, including the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool. Meanwhile, the parks that money came from are sitting on a $24 billion repair backlog. Retro tech comeback Unlike bucket hats and baggy jeans, clunky tech is a 90s relic coming back that serves a purpose other than to embarrass the user. The companies building artificial intelligence need somewhere to put it. AI doesn’t run on a phone or a laptop — it runs in data centers, warehouse-sized buildings packed with computers, and those buildings have to be built and filled. That means somebody has to make the unglamorous guts: the servers that do the work, the chips that store the memory, the cables and gear that wire it all together. For years almost nobody invested in making more of that stuff, because demand was flat. Now demand is exploding, and there isn’t enough to go around. So the companies that make the guts are suddenly worth a fortune — and a lot of them are names you’d have called washed-up. Dell, Nokia, Lenovo, Cisco, Intel — the giants of the 1990s tech boom, the ones that faded when the dot-com bubble burst and a flashier generation took over. They’re back, because the AI boom needs exactly the boring, physical, deeply unsexy things they’ve always made. The numbers are staggering. Seven of these old-guard companies are up an average of 158 percent this year — meaning if you’d held their stock since January, your money would have more than doubled. Together they’ve gained $1.7 trillion in value. Dell rose 33 percent in a single day, the biggest one-day jump in its history. Nokia is up 124 percent on the year. Lenovo had its best month in more than 25 years. Churchill and his brushes A London museum, the Wallace Collection, has mounted the first major British retrospective of Winston Churchill’s paintings in more than 65 years — and makes the case that he was no weekend hobbyist but a painter worth taking seriously, and a leader whose vulnerabilities show on the canvas. He started in 1915, in his early forties, at the lowest point of his career: blamed for the catastrophic failure of the Gallipoli campaign and demoted. He took a command post on the Western Front and brought his easel; one early canvas showed a bombed-out battalion in a Belgian village. He later called painting a kind of therapy. “Painting is complete as a distraction,” he wrote in 1921. “I know of nothing which, without exhausting the body, more entirely absorbs the mind. Whatever the worries of the hour or the threats of the future, once the picture has begun to flow along, there is no room for them.” He produced more than 500 canvases before he set the brush down in 1962, in his late eighties. How many world leaders were painters on the side?: Artnet has a list of 10 famous politicians who painted. George W. Bush, Ulysses S Grant, Jimmy Carter, Dwight D. Eisenhower. Hitler, also, famously. Thursday, June 4 The war powers vote has no power, neither do GOP slush fund scolds, oil’s nearly at bottom, but the AG is on the rise, more Platner shoes fall as does John Bolton. House votes to limit Trump’s war powers The Republican-led House did something this Republican-led House doesn’t do: praise the police who protected them on January 6th? No, nothing so grave as that. What the chamber did on Thursday was pass a war powers resolution directing an end to U.S. military engagement in Iran. Four Republicans crossed the aisle. The resolution does not stop the war. It heads to a Senate where its path is unclear, and the president can ignore it. What it does is put on the record that a chamber his party controls no longer trusts him to manage the fight. The president treated it as betrayal: “Who would do such an unpatriotic thing, right in the middle of my final negotiations to end the War with the Islamic Republic of Iran.” The four Republicans split two ways: two are libertarians who oppose foreign wars on principle, one of them a longtime Trump antagonist already beaten in his primary by a Trump-backed challenger. The other two are mainstream Republicans from competitive districts where a war polling this badly is a liability — one of them a freshman and former Army helicopter pilot who’d voted with Trump on nearly everything, including the first two Iran votes, before switching in May. We were struck here by someone from the other body: Republican leader John Thune said his members were “asking the right questions and trying to figure out the strategy going forward.” It read as anodyne when I first came across it in the Washington Post. But it was not. The president’s own allies in the Senate are saying, on the record, that they don’t know what the strategy in Iran is. The ceasefire that didn’t last the day The Trump administration announced an Israel–Lebanon ceasefire on Thursday, brokered in Washington and pitched as a possible first step toward winding down the three-month war on Iran. It did not survive the announcement. Within hours Israel was hitting southern Lebanon with rounds of strikes, the leader of Hezbollah — who had not been at the table — rejected the deal outright, and his fighters fired rockets at Israeli forces inside Lebanon. The collapse was written into the setup. You cannot end a war by signing a paper with everyone except the people doing the shooting. Hezbollah wasn’t a party to the talks, so the talks bound Israel and Lebanon’s government to a quiet that Hezbollah had no reason to keep. The fund with no name. The Senate spent Thursday morning stuck on a single fight inside a $70 billion immigration enforcement bill. The fight was over the $1.8 billion Justice Department settlement pot we told you on Monday was dead. How it failed is the part worth understanding. Republican leaders had the votes to save the fund. But a straight party-line vote would force their most vulnerable members — senators up for reelection in states where a slush fund for people who beat up police officers is a loser — to go on record protecting it. So leadership arranged the math. They leaned on a senator from a safe seat to vote no, locking in the outcome before the endangered senators ever voted. That freed the vulnerable ones to vote yes, against the fund, knowing their votes couldn’t actually kill it and spark the ire of President Trump. A vote is supposed to be the moment a politician is accountable: you’re for the thing or against it, and the voters find out. This one was built so the accountability and the outcome came apart. The senators who’d pay a price at home got to look like they fought the fund. The fund survived anyway. The president didn’t act like a man whose fund was in danger. Asked about it by CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he said he’d check with the lawyers, then praised it. He did not praise Collins. He told her to smile and complained that she didn’t smile — performing, in a rambling press availability, the exact leering behavior our mothers had to endure and that the rest of us thought had been shamed out of public life. Tank bottom Four executives told POLITICO that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has drained the world’s petroleum inventories toward levels that will send energy prices surging within weeks. Global stocks now hold about 7.5 billion barrels, down roughly 500 million since the war began. That sounds like a cushion, but most of it already has buyers, and a chunk of the rest can’t actually be used — it’s the oil that has to stay in the pipelines and the bottoms of the tanks just to keep crude moving. Strip that out and the usable supply is thin. In some regions it’s nearing the point where there’s no spare barrel left to absorb a shock — which is exactly when prices spike. “I’ve never seen inventory numbers fall so much so quickly,” said Jim Burkhard, who runs crude oil research at S&P Global. “It is stunning.” Hold that in your mind. If you’re on a jog and you missed it, hit the ten second rewind. Now… In late April the president said gas would “drop like a rock” the moment the war ended — “there’s so much of it, it’s all over the place, sitting all over the oceans of the world.” On May 5 he said it would “come crashing down.” Back in March, asked on Meet the Press whether gas would be under $3 a gallon by summer, the energy secretary allowed it was “a goal of the administration and very possible.” A phoenix from under the bus Last week, former Attorney General Pam Bondi threw her own deputy under the bus. The colossal mishandling of the Epstein files — the release that named victims and redacted the names of the men accused of abusing them — was, she said, Todd Blanche’s fault. This week the deputy rose from under the Greyhound. At a Rose Garden dinner Thursday, the president announced he’ll nominate Blanche — the acting attorney general, and before that his own personal defense lawyer — to run the Justice Department for good. Blanche is the man who set up the settlement fund. He’s also carried out a string of the president’s moves against the people he holds grudges against. Blanche must be confirmed by the Judiciary Committee and then the whole Senate.. Democrat John Fetterman has already declared himself a no. Republican Thom Tillis tied his own vote to the settlement fund — the one Blanche built — warning that until the Senate deals with it, Blanche is “not going to have a very good time in Judiciary Committee.” The president predicted the process would move “very quickly,” which has become an indication in this White House that in fact the opposite will take place. The president has a habit of declaring a thing done before it’s done, to make it harder to undo — the way he kept announcing, during the war, that Iran had agreed to a deal, or wanted one, before Iran had said any such thing. Say the outcome out loud, often enough, and resistance starts to look like obstruction. “Very quickly” isn’t a prediction. It’s pressure. The blunt instrument The Niskanen Center, a nonpartisan think tank, delivered a report Thursday on the National Guard in Washington. First: the deployment “was not a waste. It produced a significant reduction in property crime, and it did so quickly, which matters when residents and businesses are demanding visible action.” But: it was “an expensive tool deployed in the wrong places for the wrong types of crime, at a daily cost per person 60 percent higher than an MPD officer,” with a hidden drag on the civilian economy — soldiers pulled from regular jobs to stand on corners. Then the alternative: a well-designed deployment of city police at the same cost, “targeted to D.C.’s documented hotspots and oriented toward the violent crime problem that the Guard did not touch, would be expected to produce social benefits an order of magnitude larger.” That gap — between what the Guard delivered and what smart conventional policing could deliver — is the case for treating where you put officers and what you point them at as the real levers of public safety, rather than the blunt instrument of military-style presence or sheer headcount. What that means in practice: ten cops sent to the three blocks where the shootings actually happen will do more than a thousand soldiers spread across the city to be seen. The Guard cut “opportunistic” crime — property theft, car break-ins — by 24 percent. On violent crime, robberies and assaults, it had no measurable effect, and robberies were already falling before Trump returned to office. John Bolton John Bolton, the national security adviser Trump hired and then turned on, agreed Thursday to plead guilty to a single count of illegal retention of classified information — down from eighteen counts. He will pay a $2.25 million fine and could face up to five years in prison. The charges grew out of diary entries Bolton kept during his time in the first Trump White House and stored at home, and from more than a thousand pages about his daily activities that prosecutors say he shared through a personal email account with two people not authorized to see them — his wife and his daughter, according to CNN’s reporting. Another Platner shoe The NYT on Thursday published a piece titled “Several Women Who Dated Graham Platner Recall ‘Unsettling’ Behavior. [https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/04/us/politics/graham-platner-maine-senate-former-girlfriends.html]” It included the accounts of six women who had been romantically involved with Platner and alleges a range of upsetting and inappropriate behavior, including one account of physical violence. Platner appeared on MSNow Thursday evening and denied that particular account while admitting that in the Times piece, “there’s a lot about my struggling, not being a good boyfriend, certainly self-medicating with alcohol. And I have been very upfront since the beginning of this campaign that that was a pretty dark period of my life after I came back from my combat service.” Platner has vowed to remain in the race. The screwworm crosses A flesh-eating parasite that the United States spent decades keeping out has turned up in a Texas calf. The USDA confirmed Wednesday — a day after saying there were no U.S. cases — that a three-week-old calf in Zavala County had New World screwworm, larvae found in the animal’s umbilical area. It is the first detection in U.S. livestock since the 1960s. The screwworm is exactly as bad as its name. Females lay eggs in any open wound on a warm-blooded animal — a scrape, a fresh brand, a healing ear tag. The larvae hatch and burrow into living flesh with sharp mouth hooks, feeding and widening the wound until, untreated, the host dies. The U.S. eradicated it once, in the 1960s, with an elegant trick: release millions of sterilized male flies, let them mate with wild females, and watch the population breed itself into infertile eggs. The trick still works, but last year, the Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency cut funding for a USAID-backed program that monitored and contained the screwworm in Central America. The cut came days before the U.S. lifted a temporary pause on cattle imports from Mexico — so livestock crossed the border with the surveillance gone. The pest then moved north past barriers that had held for decades. Texas’s cattle industry is worth $15 billion, and beef prices are already at records with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low. The eradication tools are being scrambled now. As a result of a thoroughly predictable outcome from throwing the baby out with the bathwater, DOGE’s unofficial slogan. Coal comes back The administration is directing roughly $700 million toward reviving coal power, funding the construction of two new generating units. To put the number in context: the last new coal plant in the United States came online in 2013. The industry’s decline was not chiefly a matter of regulation — it was that natural gas and renewables got cheaper. Reversing that with federal money is less an energy policy than a wager that the government can pay to make an old fuel competitive again. It’s also the dirtiest bet on the board. Burn coal to make a unit of electricity and you put out about twice the carbon dioxide that natural gas does. During The Oval Office press availability to announce this move, the president appeared to nod off while his director of the Environmental Protection Agency was making the case for this policy. Jan. 6. second offensenders A Lawfare study found that out of the more than 1,500 people granted clemency for the January 6 attack, at least 97 have since been arrested, charged, or convicted of separate crimes — roughly one in sixteen. Some of those later offenses were made possible by the pardons themselves, which restored gun rights and erased the supervision that might have caught the next crime earlier. In Denmark a cabinet majority Denmark has a cabinet where women outnumber men for the first time. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen — herself the first woman to win a third term — named eleven women and ten men, putting female representation at 52 percent. For comparison, the closest the United States has come was Joe Biden’s cabinet, where women held 12 of 25 seats. That’s 48 percent Drama thatchers Should traditional long straw or the more modern water reed be used in making thatched roofs? Are you stick of talking about this? Influencers clogging your feed going on about it? Well, this is a very heavy and hot question among English master-thatchers, of whom there are roughly 800. Britain has about 60,000 thatched homes left, two-tenths of one percent of its housing. The purists hold that the only true thatch is long straw — wheat stalks, threshed of their grain, the roof historians believe England started with. The modernists prefer water reed, which lasts longer. The catch is where the reed comes from. Before 1800, straw covered ninety percent of England’s thatched roofs. That ratio has now flipped to reed — except the reed isn’t pulled from the local river anymore. Much of it ships in from Eastern Europe and China. A thatchers’ conference in Oxford in the late 1990s nearly came to blows, the academic chairing it threatening to adjourn if the feuding artisans wouldn’t settle down. One thatcher, who’s witnessed at least four brawls, offered an explanation: the work is solitary, done alone at the top of a ladder, and it draws a certain kind of person. “I’ll use the word ‘cantankerous,’” he said. “We know our own minds and we stick to things.” Friday, June 5 The jobs number beat the forecast, immigration funding beat the blockade, the ceasefire kept shooting, Hollywood proves it can succeed without its superhero addiction, but one shows up on the mountain. May jobs report Job growth surged in May, and economists did not see it coming. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 172,000— down a hair from April’s upwardly revised 179,000, and more than double the 80,000 Wall Street expected. Unemployment held at 4.3 percent. Leisure and hospitality led every sector with 70,000 jobs, five times its average monthly gain over the past year. Local government added 55,000. Health care, the steady engine of the past two years, added 35,000, about its usual pace. Social assistance added 12,000. The leisure-and-hospitality spike is the part nobody fully expected, and the New York Times floats an explanation: the World Cup. Cities across the country are staffing up for the tourists coming to watch it. That means the jobs aren’t durable. Air transportation shed about 9,000 jobs, the wreckage of Spirit Airlines folding and leaving 17,000 full- and part-time workers without a job. Immigration enforcement passes Senate The Senate pushed through a $70 billion bill early Friday to fund President Trump’s immigration crackdown through the rest of his term, then sent it to the House, which was expected to pass it fast. The vote was 52 to 47. All the talk earlier in the week that Senate Republicans didn’t like this or that thing from the President didn’t amount to very much. Some voted with the Democrats to do things like shut down the President’s slush fund, but in the end all those amendments failed. $1 billion May at the box office The domestic box office cleared $1 billion in May for only the ninth time in movie history — and for the first time, it did it without a Marvel movie carrying the month. The other eight billion-dollar Mays all leaned on a superhero. May 2026 got there on a different roster: Michael at $210 million, The Devil Wears Prada 2 at $209 million, The Mandalorian and Grogu at $137 million, Obsession at $104.7 million, and Backrooms at $81 million. A biopic, a sequel two decades in the making, Baby Yoda, and two horror movies. Sherpa found alive A Sherpa guide given up for dead on Mount Everest was found alive Thursday after six days alone on the mountain with no food and no bottled oxygen. Hillary Dawa Sherpa, 52, was last seen May 29 resting above Camp 3, at around 7,500 meters — the altitude where the air is too thin to expect a person to last long. He got separated from his client and team, who had already descended with the last group of the season. The ladders across the Khumbu Icefall, fixed by Sherpas to get climbers through the most dangerous stretch of the route, had already been taken down. His family had begun his funeral rites. Then a cleaning crew spotted him crawling through the icefall — frostbitten, exhausted, alive. His daughter, Mendo Lhamu, told the Associated Press the family asked for photos before they could believe it was him. How he survived comes down to who he is. “Sherpas are built tough growing up in the mountains,” said Ang Tshering Sherpa, a leading figure in the community. “If there was someone else in his place they might not have survived.” From his hospital bed Friday, the man himself was plainer about it. He told BBC News Nepali he ran out of oxygen and got left behind, ate ice every day and the chocolate in his pockets, and didn’t think he would make it. The rescue closed the busiest season Everest has ever seen — more than 1,000 climbers summiting the south side, a record 274 of them on a single day, May 20. Five people died this season. He was not one of them. Health misinformation fuels Ebola outbreak In the Democratic Republic of Congo, at least 63 people have died of Ebola out of 397 confirmed cases. A big challenge has been that many of the people in the outbreak’s path don’t believe the outbreak is real. Residents of Ituri province have launched at least three attacks on health centers, demanding the bodies of the dead. During the attacks, some people believed to have Ebola walked out, and health workers lost track of where they went. The mistrust is not new. This is Congo’s 17th Ebola outbreak since the virus was first identified there in 1976, and resistance to public-health protocols has come with nearly every one. Residents of one province were so doubtful that when a local religious leader died of Ebola, his parishioners– distrustful of the government and the hospitals– wanted to open the coffin and look. Ebola is contagious even in death. As WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus put it Friday, launching a response plan with the Africa CDC: misinformation is almost as dangerous as the virus, and it travels just as fast. 60 Minutes The news at 60 Minutes was not a drama we thought would benefit from a daily blow by blow so we’re going to wrap it all together for you Friday. By Friday the survivors had planted a flag at 60 Minutes, the most decorated news program in television history. Correspondents Leslie Stahl, Bill Whitaker and John Wertheim announced they were staying. The show would have died if they’d left, they said. That’s because after this week, they were the last correspondents standing. Three days earlier, on Tuesday, CBS fired Scott Pelley the day after he confronted the show’s new executive producer, Nick Bilton, in front of the entire staff on Bilton’s first day. Pelley accused CBS News editor-in-chief Bari Weiss of “murdering” the show by ousting executive producer Tanya Simon, Simon’s deputy, a few producers and correspondents Sharyn Alfonsi and Cecilia Vega the week before. Last season the show grew its audience nine percent. He grilled Bilton, a technology journalist and best-selling author Weiss had installed, on running a legacy newsmagazine he’d never worked in and Bilton and Weiss’s qualifications given that they had never run organizations approaching the size and complexity of the ones they were now renovating. Bilton responded: “I have been a journalist for 25 years, Scott.” The staff applauded Pelley. Bilton fired him “for cause” the next evening, calling the confrontation a “performative display of hostility.” Then Pelley went public. He said management had told him to “inject falsehoods and bias into a politically sensitive story” and to include unverified claims — instructions which echo claims made by ousted correspondents Vega and Alfonsi, but which Pelly said he’d refused. He said politicians were now being invited to pick which correspondents would interview them. Weiss denies the charges. When she told staff she’d tried to “find a way back” with Pelley, he called that false: no one, he said, had offered a way back at all. Pelley tied it to the owners. Paramount Skydance’s David Ellison installed Weiss, encouraged her to shake up CBS News, and signed off on the firing. The legend of 60 Minutes, Pelley said, was being discarded “to curry a moment of favor with the Trump administration.” Paramount, whose purchase of CBS was approved after the network settled a lawsuit brought by the president, is currently awaiting crucial Justice Department antitrust clearance and an FCC foreign-ownership waiver for its proposed $111 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. Pelley spent 37 years at CBS. He reported from wars, covered the White House, anchored the evening news, and filed for 60 Minutes from places where the work could get you killed. His departure statement thanked the people who “encouraged and enriched my work, very often at the risk of their own lives.” When he anchored the Evening News, Pelley kept photographs on the set of the CBS correspondents and crew killed in the line of duty, so he would not forget them. You can read many more details elsewhere. It’s been covered a lot, as has Pelley’s extraordinary CBS career, perhaps the most decorated in broadcast television. It’s said it is better to live by what they’ll say in your eulogy than by what it says on your resume. Pelley doesn’t have to choose. When his time at CBS came to an end, it was greeted with a flood of testimonials to the character and dedication he showed nurturing talent, providing a model of excellence, and stewarding the values that gave meaning to the daily labors of tens of thousands of people at CBS over the years, including your correspondent. That

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Stack the Week

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for June 8 through June 12. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you for those who have reviewed it on Apple Podcasts Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. Declarations that the war is over aren’t over. Inflation isn’t over either. Xi shows even autocrats can be good neighbors. A semitrailer of bourbon vanishes in daylight. Epstein reaches the Situation Room. Ukraine outlasts the Great War. The cost of kicking it on the South Lawn, and solar power passes coal. The bears come down the mountain. Let’s take it day by day. Monday June 8 Iran and Israel Last week Donald Trump called Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu crazy and swore at him. It was notable not only that he was swearing at America’s ally, but that so many people in the White House were anxious to tell reporters that this had taken place. This week started on a similar sour note. The two launched the Iran war together a hundred days ago, boasting of “unprecedented ‘shoulder to shoulder’ cooperation.” Monday they were fighting each other in public — Trump saying Netanyahu doesn’t get a vote on how the war ends, Netanyahu saying in an on camera rebuttal that he does. The spat was set off by a chain of events that went back a week. On June 3, the U.S. brokered an Israel–Lebanon ceasefire in Washington. The next day Hezbollah rejected it and fired rockets at Israel. Sunday Netanyahu ordered a strike on Hezbollah’s stronghold in southern Beirut. That same day, Iran fired ballistic missiles at northern Israel in support of Hezbollah — the first Iranian fire since the April 8 ceasefire. Enter Trump. On Sunday, he tried to stop Israel’s retaliation for the Iranian attack. He told Fox News he’d tell Netanyahu not to hit back, and urged Iran to the table: “You’ve shot your missiles, that’s enough. Get back to the table and make a deal.” He also told Fox he hadn’t known about Israel’s Beirut strikes and was angry about them. He then told Axios he would call Netanyahu “right now and tell him not to strike back,” and that the U.S. is “very close to a final deal with Iran… I don’t want it to blow up because of what is happening now.” In a phone interview with the Financial Times the same night — referring to Netanyahu’s say over any U.S.-Iran deal — Trump said: “He won’t have any choice. I call the shots. I call all the shots. He doesn’t call the shots.” At this point you need to evaluate whether people who say they call the shots really call the shots. Remember a few weeks ago when I said this entire war is taking place in real time and in public? I’m sticking to that. Israel ignored the U.S. president and approved its biggest wave of strikes on Iran since April at around 4:30 p.m. Sunday. Trump called Netanyahu shortly after and told him to halt it — Trump’s second call to Netanyahu in under 24 hours. Israel then struck Iran anyway. Trump posted on Truth Social that both sides should stop “immediately.” Netanyahu waited nearly a day, then posted a two-minute prerecorded video: “Israel has every right to self-defense, and we will exercise that right whenever necessary” — said “with appreciation and respect… to my friend President Trump.” Netanyahu is reading the battlefield and domestic politics. He’s trailing in the polls with a hard re-election ahead. A New York Times analysis suggests striking Hezbollah let him show his base he’d stand up to Trump, who’d just scolded him over Beirut. But the Times of Israel reports Netanyahu actually resisted far-right pressure to defy Trump on the Iran strikes — “Why should we pick a fight with him?” Hold this in your brain too. It could be all theater. The Financial Times separately reported Trump knew Israel’s plans all along — good cop talks, bad cop strikes, by design. A former official: if Israel does the dirty work the U.S. wants done, Trump’s “happy with that.” We’ve heard that before in this war. The U.S. let Israel kill all the Iranian leaders at the start of the war. Let is a funny word in that context because the U.S. lives with the consequences. Weaponization fund not dead When we ended Stack the Week last week, Anne correctly asked whether the fund was dead or not. I couldn’t give her a good answer. First, because it was unclear: the acting attorney general said the weaponization fund was dead, but since Todd Blanche has been actively carrying out the president’s wishes against the norms of the office and the legal profession, a discerning listener could be suspicious. And the president’s answer last week to Kaitlan Collins’ basic question about whether the fund was dead betrayed such irritation that it lined up with what we know: when the president is angry in public, he’s putting pressure on his aides to give him what he wants. I hadn’t conveyed that full picture. Sunday the picture got more color. Trump sat for an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press,” and when Kristen Welker asked the same question—was he backing off the fund completely, as Blanche had said, or looking for another way to revive it—he didn’t answer it. He defended it. People had been destroyed by what he called a fake weaponization of government, he said; lives ruined, jobs and families lost, suicides. “If it was up to me, I’d pay them the kind of money that they deserve.” He called the fund a great idea, said other Republicans agreed, and allowed only that approval was someone else’s job: if it passes, great; if not, he’d be disappointed. So Blanche’s “dead” and the president’s “great idea” are not the same position. Then Welker asked whether anyone who attacked police on January 6th should get taxpayer money. Trump wouldn’t rule it out—he said he’d have to see it, then pivoted to the claim that 97 percent of those people were set up by dirty cops and a crooked FBI. Welker noted there’s no evidence the FBI ushered rioters inside or any of the other claims the president made. Which, I hate to be gauche, means that the president who raises his hand to protect the Constitution is lying with the wide sweep of his hand in order to pretend that people who tried to undermine that Constitution through force on his behalf had been tricked into it by the FBI which is in the executive branch he leads. I belabor this because if, in the middle of a tennis match, one of the players started eating the tennis balls, it would be worth noting. Is that analogy apt? It doesn’t track, but it might have caused you to pay attention to a development that might just seem like the way things go, given all that this president has done, so if I knocked you out of complacency then it did a useful journalistic thing, which is to put an event into context when the very idea of context is under assault. Now back to that Meet the Press interview. It went the way these things go. Trump called the 2020 election and last week’s California primary rigged—Welker said there was no evidence—and Trump provided none, attacked NBC, unclipped his microphone, and walked off. “Let’s call it quits because I’ve had enough.” The Ring of Fire The earth’s surface is a cracked eggshell — a dozen rigid pieces sliding slowly on hot rock underneath. All the action — earthquakes and volcanoes — happens at the cracks. It feels like the continental coastlines should line up with these cracks, but they usually don’t. The Atlantic seafloor and the Americas sit on the same piece, moving together like two cars side by side at 65 — no collision, nothing to rupture. The Pacific seafloor is the exception: its own separate plate, ringed by cracks that run exactly at the coastline. All the way around the edge, the Pacific plate is ramming into the plates carrying Japan, Alaska, California, Chile, Indonesia. And because ocean crust is denser than continental crust, the seafloor loses every one of those collisions: it bends and dives underneath the continent, like one car getting forced under another in a head-on crash. The plates stick, strain builds for decades, then slips all at once. Draw a line connecting every place this happens around the rim of the Pacific and you get a 25,000-mile horseshoe called not the horseshoe of fire but the ring of fire. This is not Johnny Cash’s fault. Nine of every ten earthquakes on Earth happen along it, and three of every four active volcanoes sit on it. The Philippines and its 7,000 islands sit on that horseshoe and on Monday were hit by a magnitude 7.8 earthquake offshore, at 7:37 a.m. — the hour children were arriving for the first day of school after summer break, fresh uniforms, waiting for the flag raising that starts the day. At least 35 people are dead and about a dozen still missing, with more than 200 injured, most of them in buildings that came down. In Glan, the shaking brought a mountainside down on the houses at its foot, killing 13 people at once. A meter-high tsunami came ashore. Ebola spread The Ebola outbreak could be the worst ever. And we’ll get to the mayhem in a second, but since we’re not in the business of freaking you out until you’re scratching at the liquor cabinet with an allen wrench to break the lock, there is some moderation in order. Some experts believe the strain of Ebola circulating might have a slightly lower mortality rate than other common variants. So far 12 patients have recovered from their Ebola cases. And the outbreak, of the Bundibugyo species of Ebola, has an estimated case-fatality rate of 17.4% so far according to the WHO—compared to an average of 50% during past outbreaks. The 2014-2016 outbreak was the worst in recorded history, with more than 28,000 reported cases and about 11,300 deaths. Right now there are over 515 cases and 100 deaths. Okay, but here’s the problem. The doctors fighting it are spooked by the speed. Dr. Alan Gonzalez of Doctors Without Borders said in a statement Monday: “Never before has an Ebola outbreak recorded so many cases so soon after its declaration.” Some of that jump is just better testing, which is the good kind of bad news. The bad kind is the open question underneath it: are exposed people staying home? That’s the whole game in stopping Ebola, and the numbers aren’t reassuring. Health workers are tracing the contacts of only about 40 percent of confirmed cases in Ituri, NPR reports, and dozens of people have walked out of treatment centers and gone back to their communities. AI job cuts The line is blurring between genuine disruption in corporate America and the theatrical need to name an outside force as a pretext for firings. On one hand, the traditional entry-level ladder in finance and tech is being systematically dismantled; the massive “human assembly line” of junior analysts and developers who once spent their nights formatting spreadsheets and fixing basic code is being replaced by automation, forcing college graduates to compete for a radically smaller pool of highly specialized AI roles. On paper, it looks like a textbook example of creative destruction. One job category dies, a more productive one takes its place, and the economy moves forward. In a vacuum, there’s nothing wrong with that. But AI isn’t trading old jobs for new ones at the same rate—companies are eliminating three entry-level positions and only hiring one specialized tech worker to replace them. This creates a giant “judgment gap,” because if young graduates only learn how to code the AI rather than learning the actual business from the ground up, there won’t be anyone trained to step into senior leadership roles a decade from now. U.S. employers announced just over 97,000 job cuts in May 2026, according to a report [https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-may-job-cuts-rise-16-from-april-highest-may-total-since-2020/] released last Thursday by outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. According to the report, employers cited AI as the primary reason for almost 40% of May’s announced job cuts, up from 7% in January, 10% in February, 25% in March and 26% in April. On the other hand, the term “artificial intelligence” has become an incredibly potent shield for management teams, argues the New York Times. Because Wall Street instantly rewards any company that mentions automation and margin efficiency, executives are eagerly using AI as a convenient smoke screen to sweep away old hiring mistakes, mask lost market share, and fatten their profit margins without enduring the typical investor backlash that accompanies a standard corporate slowdown. So what we don’t know is whether the move to AI is a smart pivot or whether AI is being used to pass off a stumble as a pivot. 11,000 bottles of bourbon 11,000 bottles of bourbon on the wall, eleven thousand bottles of bourbon, take 11,000 down and drive away in a semitrailer, no bottles of bourbon on the wall. This is what happened in Philadelphia, according to the New York Times. A semitrailer driver impersonating a legitimate employee got away with 18 pallets of Noble Oak bourbon, containing 10,800 bottles in a “coordinated cargo theft operation carried out in broad daylight,” officials announced. The haul from the warehouse was worth about $500,000. Losses attributed to cargo thefts nationwide jumped to about $725 million in 2025, a 60 percent increase from 2024, according to CargoNet, a business focused on theft prevention and recovery for the insurance industry. Why is this happening? Original sin, obviously, but the modern surge boils down to a mix of basic economics, clever hacking, and the nature of the goods themselves. First, think about the inventory. Thieves have realized that stealing electronics like iPhones or laptops is a bad business model today—they have unique serial numbers, GPS trackers, and can be remotely locked the moment they go missing. Food and alcohol are the exact opposite. Fruit, frozen chicken, and premium bourbon don’t carry unique digital serial numbers or barcodes that can be tracked by police. Once those 10,800 bottles of bourbon leave the warehouse, they look exactly like every other bottle of Noble Oak on the market. Food and drinks can be offloaded to shady distributors or small grocery stores incredibly quickly, and it’s largely untraceable. Second, the legal system actually works in the thieves’ favor here due to safety laws. If the police do manage to recover a stolen shipment of frozen beef or seafood a few days later, the “cold chain” has been broken. Because authorities can’t prove the food was kept at the right temperature, the insurance company mandates the entire shipment be destroyed. The evidence literally gets thrown away. Finally, the method of stealing has gone digital. Thieves aren’t cutting fences in the middle of the night anymore; they are using “strategic theft.” Criminal syndicates use phishing scams to hack into shipping networks and load boards. They find out exactly what high-value items are being shipped and when. Then, they create fake identities or buy up small, real trucking companies with clean records, show up at the warehouse in broad daylight with fake paperwork, and just drive away with the goods before the real driver even shows up. That’s how you get the massive wave of holiday heists we saw in December alone: Beef in Texas: valued at $161,000 Chocolate in New Jersey: valued at $150,000 Blueberries and kiwis in New Jersey: valued at $160,000 Processed lobster meat: valued at $400,000, which completely disappeared after being picked up from a warehouse in Taunton, Mass. Tuesday June 9 Apache down At 3:30 a.m. Tuesday, an Army Apache gunship went down off the coast of Oman. This brought the president into the mire. While CENTCOM spent Tuesday morning doing the typical, cautious military dance—issuing dry statements that the crash was “under investigation” and refusing to rule out mechanical failure—Trump completely bypassed them. At about 12:30 he accused Iranians of shooting down the chopper and declared the U.S. “must, of necessity, respond.” Within hours, CENTCOM launched retaliatory air strikes lighting up Iran’s southern coast. The split-screen from Monday made the Israeli Prime Minister look isolated and defiant. But by Tuesday night, Iran’s aggression forced the U.S. to do exactly what Netanyahu had wanted all along: engage Iran directly. The narrative that Trump was “calling all the shots” to wind down the war collapsed the moment an Iranian drone collided with an American helicopter. Airline profits crash from war The 102-day-old war has changed the economics of flight. Some catch-up first: in the early fuel freak-out, carriers like Ryanair predicted they’d run out by the end of May. That didn’t happen. The Strait of Hormuz carried about 400,000 barrels of jet fuel a day before Iran’s blockade, and Europe has replaced much of that lost supply with cargoes from the U.S., Nigeria, and India — fuel now traveling record distances to reach the planes that burn it. So the industry isn’t grounded by a lack of fuel. It’s being re-sorted by who locked in their fuel prices before the war and who didn’t. Airlines can buy fuel years in advance at a fixed price — a hedge, in industry terms — which costs extra when oil is cheap but means that when war sends prices soaring, you keep paying the old price. Ryanair and Europe’s legacy carriers hedged. They’re passing the smaller blow to passengers anyway: the average domestic round-trip hit $358 this spring, up 18 percent year-over-year, per Kayak booking data analyzed by Deutsche Bank, and Delta, American, United, JetBlue, and Alaska have all raised checked-bag fees — revenue their executives concede will outlast the war. The airlines that skipped the insurance are paying the war price for every gallon. United, largely unhedged, has seen its average advance-purchase fares spike more than 90 percent. Spirit, unhedged and already broke, is being wiped off the board. This week the International Air Transport Association, the industry’s top global trade group, projected that airline profits will fall by half in 2026. Jet fuel was up 62.4 percent year-over-year for the week ending June 5, per IATA. U.S. airlines spent more than $6 billion on fuel in April — 78 percent more than a year earlier, while burning slightly less of it, according to Bureau of Transportation Statistics data released Monday. Platner Advances Unsurprisingly, Graham Platner took the Democratic nomination in Maine — roughly 78 percent to 17 for governor Janet Mills, who suspended her campaign in April but stayed on the ballot. If Democrats are going to win back the Senate, they almost certainly have to beat the Republican incumbent Susan Collins. Platner is now the instrument. The record being weighed: unearthed social media posts with offensive comments about women and rape; a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol, since covered with new ink; reports that he sent sexually explicit messages to several women early in his marriage, and accusations from ex-girlfriends of toxic behavior. His candidacy is a test of what Democrats think about men who mistreat women in word and deed. Al Franken was run out of the party over one photo and eight women’s accusations of unwanted touching. Has Platner done worse? Franken’s resignation cost the party nothing — Minnesota’s Democratic governor would name his replacement. Tolerating Platner is the price of the seat that may decide the Senate. Which suggests the standard was never independent of what it cost. Tuesday night. Democratic leader Chuck Schumer, who had initially backed Mills, declared in a joint statement with New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (who had helped run out Franken): “In November, Maine voters will elect Graham Platner, and we will win a Senate majority.” No agonizing, no asterisk. Platner is not just key to winning back the Senate, he is also an avatar of a populist movement on the left that is the energetic center of the Democratic Party. Has the political process in both parties reached a new accommodation: that the problems Americans face are so in need of remedy that imperfect lawmakers, perfectly aligned on core issues, are acceptable — and at what point does the accommodation stop being new and start being the standard? In South Carolina, Congresswoman Nancy Mace lost her bid for governor, finishing behind the Trump-backed Lt. Gov. who advanced to a runoff. After years of trying on and off to align herself with Trump, Mace aggressively pushed for release of the Epstein files — and lost the president’s favor. Sen. Lindsey Graham, never beloved by the MAGA base but armed with Trump’s endorsement and millions in spending, held off challenger Mark Lynch to make the November ballot. Artemis III crew announced NASA officially named the four-person crew for its mid-2027 Artemis III mission on Tuesday. They won’t go to the moon, but perform a high-risk tech rehearsal in low-Earth orbit. For roughly two weeks, the crew will test rendezvous and docking maneuvers with mock-up or operational lunar landers built by private contractors. Troubleshooting will prepare for the same activity in 2028 a quarter-million miles away on the moon mission. That timeline is looking shaky. To get astronauts from orbit down to the lunar dust, NASA is entirely dependent on private vehicles from SpaceX (Starship) and Blue Origin (Blue Moon). Neither vehicle has finished development, nor are the heavy-lift rockets meant to haul them into space anywhere near ready. SpaceX’s Starship has repeatedly failed during critical test flights, and Blue Origin is still recovering from a catastrophic New Glenn rocket explosion on May 28 that severely damaged the company’s only launchpad but was good news for the writers searching for good metaphors of failure without using AI. “Launchpad disaster” has now been refreshed in the lexicon. China hopes to land astronauts on the moon by 2030 and the race is on, not just to plant a flag on the lunar south pole but also to establish the baseline legal, commercial, and economic framework for the next century of space development. The look of the crew drew comment. The roster includes an African American, the first astronaut of Salvadoran descent, and a famed Italian test pilot who survived a twenty thirteen spacewalk mishap when his helmet rapidly filled with leaking cooling water. Yet for all of its international and ethnic diversity, the crew is entirely male. NASA previously had a prominent, explicit pledge on its website committing to land “the first woman and the first person of color” on the lunar surface. That language was quietly expunged weeks after the administration initiated a federal crackdown on diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives early last year. Xi goes to Pyongyang Monday in Pyongyang, children hopped and waved balloons, a military band played two national anthems, a 21-gun salute boomed across Kim Il-sung Square, and buildings draped in Chinese and North Korean flags carried banners reading: “We warmly welcome Comrade Xi Jinping.” The Chinese president had come to North Korea for the first time in seven years. Kim Jong Un called him “the greatest state guest,” per North Korean state media, and declared friendship with China “the most important top-priority strategic work.” Over two days the leaders planted a fir tree, toured a Workers’ Party cadre school where the party’s managerial staff are trained, and laid tribute at the tower honoring Chinese soldiers who died fighting alongside the North in the Korean War. When Xi last visited in 2019, he said Beijing would play a constructive role in denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula. Once a topic that Donald Trump cared about. After his 2018 Singapore summit, Trump famously declared on Twitter that there was “no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea” and told Americans to “sleep well tonight.” His Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, swatted away skepticism over the vague deal, telling reporters the U.S. fully expected the regime to take “major” disarmament steps within two years. President Trump’s claims about ending the North Korean nuclear program didn’t come to pass. Probably worth keeping in mind when evaluating claims about the nature of the Iranian nuclear program. This time the word nuclear appeared nowhere — not in the Chinese readout, not in the North Korean one. The week before Xi landed, Kim unveiled a new plant for producing nuclear material and ordered his arsenal expanded “at an exponential rate.” His sister, Kim Yo Jong, called American denuclearization hopes an “anachronistic dream” — and called “false” the White House claim that Xi and Trump had affirmed the goal at their Beijing summit last month. So as this meeting wrapped up on Tuesday, we wondered, what’s the relationship between the two countries anyway? That could be a great transition or the best I could do in a rush. There is no secondary betting market so your wagers on which it is will have to be for bottlecaps or something. North Korea is China’s only treaty partner, but Kim has spent recent years playing autocrat’s footsie with Moscow — more than 10,000 North Korean troops sent to fight in Ukraine, a mutual defense pact signed with Putin in 2024. A new relationship with Moscow that can provide cash for the starving North Korea allows its leader to go around China possibly and develop its nuclear program. Xi doesn’t really want a nuclear armed neighbor who’s not on deeply friendly terms, so he came bearing what China can offer that Russia can’t: reopened border crossings, resumed flights and trains, trade back at pre-pandemic levels, and — analysts told the AP — likely rice, fertilizer, and Chinese tour groups. Kim paid in the currency Beijing values most, publicly endorsing the One China principle on Taiwan. So the trade, as Reuters’ analysts read it: Kim backs China’s claim to Taiwan; China stops mentioning Kim’s bombs. “Beijing has very clearly moved on from that issue and now tacitly accepts North Korea as a nuclear state,” said Jeremy Chan of the Eurasia Group. Those bombs are accumulating. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung told reporters Monday that the North now produces enough nuclear material annually for 10 to 20 weapons and is close to perfecting an intercontinental ballistic missile. Social Security shortfall Social Security is not a savings account with your name on it. The money taken out of your paycheck this Friday goes almost immediately back out the door as a check to somebody’s grandmother. Today’s workers pay today’s retirees. Last year, 185 million Americans paid in and 70 million collected — retirees, disabled workers, and the survivors of workers who died. It’s a bucket brigade, not a piggy bank. For decades the brigade collected more water than the fire needed, because the baby boomers — the biggest generation in American history — were all working and paying in at once. But here’s the part most people don’t know: the surplus was never set aside as cash. By law, Social Security lent every extra dollar to the U.S. Treasury, which spent it on everything else — wars, highways, tax cuts — and handed back IOUs in the form of special Treasury bonds. Those bonds are legally binding and earn interest. But they’re a claim on future tax dollars, not money in a drawer. The trust fund is less a piggy bank than a loan Social Security made to the rest of the government, which is now due. The repayment began in stages. In 2010, the boomers’ retirements started outrunning their replacements’ paychecks: for the first time in a generation, payroll taxes alone no longer covered the benefits going out. But for a decade, the interest paid by the federal government on those Treasury IOUs covered the gap. Then in 2021 even the interest wasn’t enough, and the system started cashing in the bonds themselves. Every redeemed bond is money the Treasury must now raise — through taxes or fresh borrowing — to pay back what it spent decades ago. Last year the gap was $160 billion. Remember who owes the money. The same Treasury that must redeem Social Security’s bonds is already running deficits of nearly $2 trillion a year, on top of a national debt approaching $38 trillion. So when Social Security cashes an IOU, the government doesn’t reach into savings — it has none. It borrows the money from new lenders to repay the old loan, at today’s interest rates, while paying interest on everything it already owes. Now the news: The government’s trustees reported this month that the bonds run out in the fourth quarter of 2032 — three months sooner than last year’s projection. When that happens, Social Security does not go bankrupt. Workers keep paying in every Friday; that money still flows straight out. It’s just only enough to cover 78 percent of promised benefits, and the law doesn’t let the system borrow the difference. Checks automatically shrink 22 percent. A $2,000 monthly check becomes $1,560 — for everyone, all at once, no vote required. And the hole keeps deepening: by 2100, incoming taxes would cover only 62 percent. The biggest reason is the most human one: Americans are having fewer babies than the government’s accountants assumed. The trustees cut their long-run forecast from 1.90 children per woman to 1.75 — and in a bucket brigade, fewer children today means fewer hands passing water in 2055. That single revision did more damage to the long-term math than anything Congress passed. Second, last year’s tax law: some retirees pay income tax on their benefits, and that money cycles back into the fund; the law cut those taxes, so less cycles back. Third, immigration fell — and immigrants are quietly one of the system’s better deals, since millions pay payroll taxes that some can never legally collect as benefits. You may have noticed that we started that item not by giving you the news, but a little refresher on social security. Here at Stack the Week we believe some news lands better on prepared ground. The alternative is to tell you the news first, then explain the system, and hope you can fit the news inside the explanation — except by the time you’ve relearned the system, you’ve forgotten the news. iPhones Interruptus For twenty years, demographers have hunted whatever has been quietly switching off America’s maternity wards. The fertility rate has fallen every year but two since 2007, hitting another record low in 2025 — 53.1 births per 1,000 women of childbearing age, per federal data released in April, and total births were down to about 3.6 million. For comparison, the fertility rate at the height of the Baby Boom in 1957 was 122.9 births per 1,000 women, and the fertility rate in 2006 was 68.5 births per 1,000 women. The suspect lineup has included the Great Recession, contraception, abortion access, rising female education, and, in one earnest academic effort, the MTV show “16 and Pregnant.” Now two new papers point at the device most readers are holding while they hear this: the fertility rate began falling in 2007, the year the iPhone was born. The question is how you prove a phone prevents a pregnancy. No ethics board lets you randomly assign teenagers smartphones and count the babies. Economist Caitlin Myers of Middlebury College and her student Ezekiel Hooper found that history had run the experiment for them. From its 2007 launch until February 2011, the iPhone worked only on AT&T’s network, and AT&T’s coverage was spotty — so some American counties got the iPhone era on schedule while otherwise identical counties waited. Births fell in both. But they fell faster where the iPhone was: by that measure, the device caused as much as half of the national fertility decline from 2007 to 2011, with the sharpest drop among 15-to-24-year-olds. In the second study economists at the University of Cincinnati analyzed 128 countries and found that teenage fertility declines accelerated once smartphones became a mass phenomenon — in Iran and Costa Rica, Guatemala and Turkey, countries that share no health care system, welfare state, abortion law, or religious tradition. “Whatever caused it was something global,” they wrote — “something that arrived in roughly the same form in all of these places at roughly the same time.” Back home, they confirmed it with American data: teen fertility fell fastest in counties with the best broadband and 4G. As for the mechanism, Myers offers three candidates, in descending order of innocence: young people socializing on their phones instead of in person, and therefore not in the back seats where pregnancies historically began; phones delivering better information about contraception; and phones delivering pornography as a substitute for the real thing. Booze by the thimble If you’re enjoying the Stack of the Week with a cocktail this fine Friday we are at a philosophical crossroads. Either plug your ears for about 10 seconds or make sure your cold glass is full up to the collar because you might need it to get through this item. You can pause the machine while you wrestle with this question or the top of the bottle. Okay, here is the item: People who have even one drink per day face a slightly increased risk of premature death from illness or injury directly attributable to alcohol, researchers found—affecting one in 1,000 people. Two drinks a day—a level long considered safe for men—and that risk rises to one in 25. That’s according to a federally funded study published independently Tuesday in the Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs. The Trump administration chose not to incorporate that information in new dietary guidelines released earlier this year, which suggested limiting alcohol consumption but excluded a specific recommendation of a daily limit, as they had before. The study was one of two commissioned during the Biden administration to inform those guidelines. The other report concluded the opposite—that moderate drinking was healthier than not drinking at all. Some of its panelists had financial ties to the alcohol industry. Robert M. Vincent, the former government official who commissioned the study warning of alcohol’s risks, claimed in an editorial accompanying it that he was fired last year because it produced evidence “at odds with commercial interests.” Vincent also says that while serving in the Trump administration he was “asked to kill the study.” He didn’t. The alcohol industry had sought to keep the study in the icebox since a draft version circulated last year, claiming the research was ideologically driven and flawed. The industry is losing ground with the American public. Last year, for the first time in over 20 years of surveys, a majority of Americans, 53%, told Gallup that drinking “one or two drinks a day” was bad for one’s health—up from 28% as recently as 2018. But 43% of Americans said they believed moderate daily drinking made no difference on health or was even beneficial. Fewer are drinking at all: 54% of adults say they consume alcohol, the lowest share in nearly 90 years of Gallup polling. But excessive alcohol use is still responsible for the deaths of 178,000 Americans a year [https://www.cdc.gov/alcohol/facts-stats/index.html] according to the latest CDC numbers from 2021, a 29% increase from 2017. Japanese bear market A bear walked into downtown Utsunomiya this week — past the shopping district’s security cameras, onto the grounds of a junior high school — and a Japanese city of half a million closed every public elementary and junior high school, indefinitely. Police and the local hunting association patrolled the streets. Officials couldn’t say whether they were hunting one bear or several. On Wednesday came a resolution of sorts: a veterinarian brought down one black bear with two tranquilizer darts. Japan’s environment ministry counted 238 bear attack victims in 2025, a record, including 13 deaths. The crisis grew bad enough last fall that the government deployed military troops to hard-hit regions and foreign governments issued travel advisories — for Japan, a country whose principal dangers had previously been earthquakes and overwork. Winter brought a lull…. because….? ….that’s when the nonfiction Dad books are published and bears are voracious readers. Also, they hibernate in the winter. They’re up now and don’t bother with light summer pulp reads. Between April and June 2, bears killed three people and attacked 20 more across at least nine prefectures. Last week, a bear injured four people at a steel factory in Fukushima — where, the mayor reported, it was also seen drinking from a tap it may have turned on itself. He called the animal “extremely intelligent,” a compliment no one wanted. What’s driving bears into the cities is, in part, what’s draining the people out. Japan’s population is aging and shrinking, fastest in exactly the rural towns that once formed a buffer between mountain and metropolis. Fewer residents, fewer farmers, and far fewer hunters — a graying profession few young Japanese are entering — mean the bears, now estimated at 57,800, simply walk through where a town used to be. Climate change supplies the motive: poor harvests of the nuts and berries bears live on send them foraging downhill. Japan spent decades worried about its empty villages. The villages are filling back up, but the villages can’t bear it. Is he really going to let that stay in the edit? Yes, he thinks it’s charming. Wednesday June 10 Inflation is up Inflation was up but it’s more complicated than that. First, the numbers: U.S. inflation accelerated for a third-straight month in May, to 4.2 percent — up from a 2.4 percent annual rate before the conflict with Iran started in February, and the fastest pace since April 2023. Energy prices drove the bulk of the increase — gasoline alone is up 40.5 percent from a year ago. Strip out energy and food and the “core” index rose 2.9 percent over the year. Core was 3.3 percent when Trump took office, so those prices are rising slower than when he arrived — though core did tick up from April’s 2.8. Economists look at this reading and conclude that this is as bad as the Iran shock gets. The oil shock has not embedded in the larger economy. That is not a verdict, it’s a guess that war prices stay war prices and don’t become everything prices. Meanwhile, paychecks keep shrinking in real terms: inflation has outpaced wage gains two months running. The president responded: “I love the inflation. No, I love it, the numbers were great.” He meant, presumably, that he loved that the number wasn’t worse. This got a lot of comment, mostly as a political thing. Ooooh, the president said something he wasn’t supposed to say in an election year. Fine. But here at Stack the Week we get fussy about measuring economics through politics. It’s lazy. The job is to figure out what is happening in the economy, who it affects, why it’s happening. If a politician says something, it should be measured against reality. Instead, none of that happens. It’s all vibes. A president says something and that’s compared to polling where people have a different feeling. Okay, but you haven’t told me anything about the actual economy. It’s like covering a baseball game by pointing the camera at the crowd. You learn who’s booing and who’s doing the wave. You never learn the score. So, are prices going to go down once the war stops? Yes, but how much, we don’t know. To suggest that everything was doing just great before the Iran Waris not so. Inflation before the war was worse than inflation when Donald Trump took over. And inflation and its effect on the American household is not fully measured by the Consumer Price Index, which we’ve been talking about. There are other reasons people feel the pinch. Household money worries at 4 year high The Federal Reserve Bank of New York surveys about 1,300 people, each the main earner in a household, and asks two things: how are your finances now, and where are they headed? In May, the answers were the darkest in years. One in eight households is much worse off than a year ago, by its own accounting. That’s the largest share since the summer of 2022, when inflation hit a four-decade high. Add the people who feel somewhat worse, and nearly half of everyone surveyed says their finances have slipped — the gloomiest reading since January 2023. A year out, more expect things to get worse (36 percent) than better (22.9 percent), the widest gap between worry and hope since October 2022. People are worried about the basics. They expect rent to rise 7.4 percent over the next year, groceries 5.8 percent, home prices 3.5 percent — rent and groceries both faster than the 4.2 percent headline. This is why, when the president frames inflation as the choice between three dolls or four, as he has, he makes household pain sound like skipping an indulgence rather than losing a necessity. Nobody rents a doll. When money runs short, people lean on credit — and they expect borrowing to get harder. They’re already bracing to fall behind: the average person now puts the odds of missing a minimum debt payment in the next three months at 12.6 percent. The rise came almost entirely from households earning under $100,000 and people without a college degree — the ones with the least room to absorb a missed paycheck. None of this matches the jobs reports, which have been strong. So why the fear? Because a job feels safe only when you believe you could find another — and that belief is slipping. The odds people give themselves of landing a new job after a layoff fell to 43.7 percent, down from the 12-month trailing average of 46.8 percent and the lowest since late 2025. The fear of losing the current job rose to 15.1 percent. Epstein in the Situation Room There was more Epstein fuss, a word I apply because Epstein is in danger of becoming a fuss donut, a story where there is a lot of noise about it but the core issue gets lost. That’s the hole in the donut analogy. Here is the core of it: citizens simply want the administration to do what it promised to do, and what the law expects. It is not doing that. Instead, officials are performing immense institutional gymnastics to protect the president’s political fortunes and shield his wealthy, connected associates. In this, the administration’s actions—protecting the comfortable at the expense of the victims—become a dark echo of the underlying crime itself, where a man of vast connection and wealth destroyed the lives of young women while a protective web kept him invisible. First, what remains hidden. The public and members in both parties want the missing 2.5 million pages. While the Department of Justice declared its production “complete” in early 2026, investigative reports and members of Congress point out that the full government archive exceeds 6 million pages. The remaining, unproduced trove needs to be cleared and published. Specifically, there is an intense demand to see the unredacted context behind the raw, unverified personal allegations against Trump and other elites that the FBI collected over the decades—information that is currently obscured by heavy redactions. The core accusation here is corrupt obstruction: the abuse of executive power to safeguard Donald Trump’s personal and political reputation. This accusation received fresh fuel this week with a bombshell New York Times report detailing internal West Wing panic. Senior Trump officials were so alarmed by the contents of the files that they held a strategy meeting in the Situation Room—a space legally and historically reserved for national security crises, not partisan damage control. The Times also revealed that the president explicitly ordered the issue “buried,” snapping at anyone who brought it up. By law and custom, the administration’s sole duty is to disclose the truth and seek justice for the victims. Instead, all executive energy is blowing in the opposite direction—squandered on PR gambits to exonerate the president and political operations to punish the rare Republicans who advocate for transparency. The administration did not treat these files as a matter of public interest or statutory compliance, but as a radioactive public relations disaster to be contained and suppressed by the full apparatus of the federal government. Iran escalation The war with Iran escalated sharply on Wednesday, following days of heavy fighting that nearly pulled both nations into full-scale conflict. U.S. Central Command launched a much heavier second wave of reprisals for the Apache downing on Wednesday, hitting Iranian air defenses, radar networks, drone command units, and targets near Tehran. Simultaneously, U.S. forces disabled a tanker to enforce a maritime oil blockade. Iran retaliated, launching ballistic missiles and drones at U.S. bases in Kuwait, Jordan, and Bahrain. While military damage was limited, the strikes shook energy markets and caused a civilian casualty at a Kuwaiti airport. On Wednesday, The New York Times indicated U.S. forces used a precision-guided GBU-39 bomb to directly target and destroy two concrete water-storage reservoirs. This severed the drinking water supply for more than 20,000 civilians across ten villages during a historic drought and local temperatures exceeding 100°F. Under Article 54 of the Geneva Conventions, civilian drinking water installations are granted absolute protection; attacking them is strictly prohibited unless they serve a direct military function. Because the reservoirs were isolated in a remote area with no military infrastructure nearby, international lawyers state the likelihood of a targeting error is virtually nonexistent, leaving the Trump administration facing severe accusations of intentionally deploying state terror against a civilian population. Billionaire Wealth Keeps booming Sometimes the news is too big for one broadcast. Is this a broadcast? Let’s say it is for the purposes of the previous sentence. The news is too big either because we have busy lives or because the weight of things means you’ve already got big rocks in your cognitive and emotional basket and you can’t take a boulder the size of a VW Bus. On the other hand, the big currents stirring our world must be attended to so that we understand where we are and, for those interested in trying to change the state of things, know which wheel to put their shoulder to — or, in this case, which cliché to embrace. (Yes, I know I switched from rocks to currents there, but in a world where our reflecting pools are taller than skyscrapers, our boulders and currents are the same). Why that preamble? We’re always trying to find new ways into stories here at Stack the Week, and this is the way I’ve chosen to talk about the massive wealth inequality tilting our world. On the one hand, American households feel gloomier and more stretched than at any point in years — see the item above. On the other hand, the combined wealth of the world’s billionaires totals $20.1 trillion. Why does this matter? A billionaire has the answer. Dario Amodei, the billionaire chief executive of Anthropic, the maker of the chatbot Claude, wrote this year: “We are already at historically unprecedented levels of wealth concentration,” adding that “the thing to worry about is a level of wealth concentration that will break society.” How would it break society? At some point wealth stops buying things and starts buying rules. Consider DOGE: Elon Musk was handed so much power over the federal government, and used it with so few checks, not because voters chose him but because his fortune put him in the room. And in a system where most congressional seats are safe, the threat that disciplines a legislator isn’t voters in November, it’s the primary — a small, cheap election where a donor’s dollar goes further than a voter’s ballot. Donald Trump, a wealthy fellow, has increased the power of loyalty-based partisanship in his party, making it more money-centered because primaries are more important. This is just one of the many ways he has concentrated power where the dollars are. Fifteen years ago, the world’s billionaires collectively had $4.5 trillion. By 2024, that had more than tripled to $14.2 trillion. Now it’s $20.1 trillion — and the latest leap is largely the artificial intelligence boom, which has funneled trillions into a small clutch of tech companies. Watch it happen in real time with SpaceX’s public offering — set to be the biggest in history. The Day 1 valuation targets $1.77 trillion when shares begin trading on Friday. With 42 percent of the stock, Mr. Musk would be an instant trillionaire. Only 21 of the world’s roughly 195 countries produce a trillion dollars of output in a year. Who collects when markets boom? The top 1 percent of Americans own half of all stock, according to the Federal Reserve. The top 0.1 percent — about 135,000 households — own $13.7 trillion of it. That is nearly double the $7.1 trillion owned by the bottom 90 percent. And tax policy keeps the wheel turning. The 2017 corporate rate cut fattened profits, and companies spent the windfall buying back their own shares — the one use of cash that rewards everyone who decides: it lifts the stock price that is the basis of executive compensation and hands shareholders their gains as paper, untaxed until sold. The richest never sell. They borrow against the shares and let it compound. Where does this leave us? I could unleash a thousand questions, but this item is already getting long. Look for the questions on the substack tomorrow. The pope and the high church. The cathedral effect is the finding that ceiling height shapes the kind of thinking people do. High ceilings prime abstraction — people in tall spaces think more freely, make broader associations, solve problems more creatively. Low ceilings prime confinement and focus — better for detail work, line editing, anything requiring concentration on the concrete. Pope Leo XIV on Wednesday inaugurated the 566-foot Tower of Jesus Christ, which is the world’s largest church. The intricate sculptural compositions and natural motifs are a stone embodiment of the Bible. The Pope’s visit took place on the anniversary of the mastermind behind the basilica’s design, the legendary Catalan architect Antoni Gaudí. 100 years ago Gaudi was hit by a tram in a story which is so allegorical it requires treatment in a separate item, which I will post shortly. “Nature is my teacher,” Gaudí once said. “Everything comes from the great book of nature, always open that we must read.” In November, Lego will be releasing a 12,060-piece version [https://links.morningbrew.com/c/QQ2?mblid=3279e31f41a0&mbcid=46087518.3241992&mid=96057a76f92474b0964a6f9a11793a64&mbuuid=cMN3pzZXHFRnsRSrZuAwPueT] of the basilica for $800, the largest lego set ever made. The “Paradise Lost” influencer Influencers in your instagram feed have a lot of suggestions about exercise regimens and self-improvement habits. How about memorizing seven lines of Milton’s Paradise Lost on the exercise bike, then lifting weights while you go over the 14 previous lines you’d studied. At the end, you’ve got rock hard abs and you’re on your way to achieving what John Basinger (pronounced Bay-singer) did using that regimen. He memorized all of “Paradise Lost” — 10,565 lines, more than 60,000 words, Milton’s complete account of the fall of man. He started in 1993, after retiring from teaching. Basinger, who died recently at age 92, was a man who did interesting things. He walked from New York to San Francisco as a young man. He moved to Kenya on a whim and taught at a rural boys’ school for five years, picking up fluent Swahili. He spent decades writing for and performing with the National Theater of the Deaf — he wasn’t deaf; he just learned sign language and made himself indispensable. The Milton feat became a one-man show and inspired actual memory research, which suggests scientists found him as improbable as everyone else did. Thursday June 11 Iran: The “Great Settlement” Wednesday’s fighting turned out to be the climax. Thursday, President Trump announced a “great settlement” reached through Qatari mediators — a draft framework opening a 60-day window for comprehensive nuclear and maritime negotiations. Global markets surged on the news. Whether a 60-day window produces a deal or just a 60-day countdown is the question the markets aren’t pricing. . Trump’s new DNI Trump Pultes the Ripcord: After lawmakers revolted over the president’s selection of Bill Pulte as interim Director of National Intelligence — a man with no relevant intelligence experience, known mostly for achieving excellence in using government powers to pursue the president’s perceived enemies — Trump nominated Jay Clayton, the U.S. attorney in Manhattan. Clayton’s résumé includes prosecuting Nicolás Maduro (captured by U.S. forces in January). Clayton’s résumé outside the job: frequent golf with the president at Mar-a-Lago, and a CNBC appearance this week echoing Trump’s California fraud claims. The reversal came too late to spare a casualty. Congress left Washington Thursday without extending one of the government’s most powerful surveillance authorities, all but assuring it expires Saturday. Democrats — including those pushing for renewal — refused to act until Trump dropped Pulte or named a suitable permanent pick. The lapsing law lets the government collect, without a warrant, the communications of foreigners abroad from U.S. companies like Google and AT&T. A core tool for tracking foreign threats, lost to a staffing dispute. Ukraine outlasts the Great War On Thursday the war in Ukraine reached 1,569 days — four years and three months — making it longer than World War I, the war French soldiers called “the last of the last.” Putin planned on days. The answer to who is winning has started to move. Some analysts argue the tide is shifting toward Ukraine because of its dominance in drone use. Ukraine’s factories now produce enough of them to launch more than 5,000 strikes a month at targets well behind the front, according to Ukrainian officials. The defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, said strikes beyond 30 miles doubled from April to May. The targets are the roads and railways — some more than 100 miles back — that carry Russian troops, fuel, and ammunition toward the fight. Kyiv calls it a “logistics lockdown”: hit the unarmored trucks and trains, and the front starves. The Times reports it is working, at least until Russia adapts — fuel shortages, snarled troop rotations, less Russian activity at the front line. The drones themselves measure how the war changed Ukraine: in the first year, nearly all of them ran on Chinese components; by last year that share had fallen to about 38 percent, Ukrainian manufacturers filling the gap, per the Council on Foreign Relations. Russia still occupies roughly 20 percent of Ukraine, and it gained almost 5,000 square kilometers last year — an area about the size of Delaware. In February, Ukraine took back 78 square miles in five days — the drones again — and has kept gaining through its fifth spring offensive. Britain’s largest spy agency estimates almost 500,000 Russian soldiers killed since 2022. Ukraine, by its own count, has lost 55,000. The cost in money: a single day of full-scale war ran Ukraine an average of $172 million last year, per the head of its general staff — more than $60 billion a year. Since 2022, the United States has sent about $188 billion in aid and the European Union $197 billion. The Financial Times reported the Kremlin will overshoot its budget by at least $28 billion this year, even with the Iran war pushing oil above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2022 — a windfall that won’t cover the gap. Zelensky’s office published a letter last Thursday asking Putin for a face-to-face meeting in a third country, with a date attached. Putin said there was “no point.” 22 Specialists How many medical specialists does it take to assess a president at a checkup? For Donald Trump: 22, up from 14 last year. The White House won’t say why or name the specialties. After the May exam at Walter Reed, Trump posted: “Everything checked out PERFECTLY.” UFC in DC Staging a cage fight on the South Lawn costs at least $60 million, a figure that became public because two Virginia residents sued to stop it. The suit, filed by the Public Integrity Project, says National Park Service rules prohibit sporting events of any kind on the South Lawn, and that the towering arch built over it required an act of Congress and an environmental review. It got neither. The White House answer is about money, not permission. “UFC is funding and paying for this entire event,” a White House official said in a statement, adding that no taxpayer dollars are involved beyond employees’ normal duties. For scale: a tented White House dinner runs about $1 million, Martin Mongiello, a former White House executive chef who worked under seven administrations, told the BBC. This event costs sixty of those. Why would a company spend $60 million on a fight it expects to lose $30 million on, even with Ram Trucks, Crypto.com, and Monster Energy as sponsors? Mark Shapiro, president of UFC’s parent company TKO, told Wall Street analysts in February: “We will not profit from the White House event independently.” The South Lawn is an ad. He called it a strategic investment in Paramount+ subscribers and “Super Bowl-like earned media across the globe.” The venue was the president’s idea. At UFC 309 in November 2024, Trump leaned over to Dana White ,the UFC’s CEO and suggested a White House fight. White told The Hollywood Reporter he assumed Trump meant a room inside. “He’s like, ‘No, we’re gonna do it outside on the South Lawn.’” Tickets are invite-only. White says Trump holds about 1,200, White has 300, Ari Emanuel, whose company TKO owns the UFC, has 400, and the rest go to members of the military. When it’s over, UFC will pay $700,000 to put the grass back. Knicks do well We all know the real reason you come to Stack the Week is for our scintillating sports coverage. Here’s a recap of game 4 of the NBA finals from Annie Cohen, who doesn’t know the first thing about basketball and didn’t watch the game but has gotten swept up into the Knicks fever taking over New York City and saw the highlights on social media.* “The Knicks were behind by a lot of points at halftime. They did better in the second half, but with 5 seconds on the clock they were still a point or two behind (I can’t remember exactly) but then a Knicks player shot a basket from far that looked like it was going to miss, but then another Knicks player tipped it in and they won with like a second on the clock, which was thrilling. Also Taylor Swift was courtside wearing a shirt that said “Stevie Knicks.” World Cup kickoff The biggest World Cup in history opened Thursday: 48 teams (up from 32), three host nations for the first time, final in New Jersey July 19. If the U.S. and Iran each finish second in their groups, they’ll meet in Dallas on July 3 — the day before the country’s 250th birthday. This is the first World Cup in which a host nation is at war with a participant. A Category 1 final ticket ran $10,990. That’s the best non-hospitality seat FIFA sells to the general public for the final. These seats are generally along the sidelines at midfield, roughly between the penalty areas, in the lower and mid bowls. For regular matches, locals could win lotteries for $60 seats, about two percent of inventory per match. Macquarie projects more than $50 billion in global wagers — likely the biggest betting event in history, up from $35 billion in Qatar in 2022. The extra $15 billion: 16 more teams, and a U.S. where 65% of the population can now legally bet on sports, up from 40% four years ago. Scotland’s Craig Gordon, 43, is the oldest player on the pitch and second-oldest in World Cup history. Mexico’s Gilberto Mora, 17, is too young to get a tattoo without a parent’s permission. And Spain’s Lamine Yamal, 18 — who debuted for Barcelona at 15 — arrives at his first World Cup already considered one of the best players alive. As The Atlantic writes: “Every time America hosts international soccer, the world’s best players unite to complain about the fields” — Argentine keeper Emi Martínez called Atlanta’s 2024 Copa América surface “a trampoline” and “a disaster.” FIFA bans synthetic turf, but big American stadiums are built for the NFL, so groundskeepers grow sod on plastic tarps over two inches of sand, which forces roots sideways instead of down. This time the grass has been studded with plastic fibers every five millimeters by a machine resembling a Zamboni, under giant hot-pink Dutch grow lights. Belfast riots Anti-immigrant riots roiled Belfast Thursday after a knife attack Monday night left a man in his 40s with slash wounds to his face, back, and eyes — bystanders, one wielding a hurling stick, were credited with saving his life. Word spread on social media that the attacker was foreign-born; the suspect, a Sudanese national, was charged Tuesday with attempted murder. By Tuesday night, men in balaclavas were torching cars and homes in immigrant-heavy neighborhoods, shouting “foreigners out.” Two hundred backup officers from elsewhere in the U.K. arrived Thursday. The Belfast riots are the latest upheaval in a prolonged crisis over race and immigration in Britain. Last June, Northern Ireland endured two weeks of anti-immigration rioting triggered by an alleged sexual assault in the town of Ballymena, which drove much of the town’s Roma population– once called gypsies– to flee. More recently, violent protests erupted in May after a Sikh man was convicted of murdering an 18 year old student in December 2025. The $100,000 Sticker Sixteen colleges — Duke, Georgetown, NYU, and the University of Chicago among them — now post total annual costs above $100,000 for 2026-27, per Princeton Review data. Brown, Northwestern, and Pepperdine sit above $99,000. The buffer: at the six-figure schools, average need-based grants for first-years run $42,000 to $79,000. 68 Quadrillion Miles of Fungi Pick up a handful of dirt and you’re holding a piece of the planet’s most extensive infrastructure — and you can’t see any of it. Beneath the surface runs a circulatory system of arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi: networks that attach to plant roots and thread filaments through the soil, ferrying water and nutrients up to the plants and pulling carbon down out of the atmosphere. A paper published Thursday in Science put a number on the network’s total length: 68 quadrillion miles, enough to reach the sun and back 730 million times. The filaments hold roughly 300 megatons of carbon — four to six times the carbon stored in every human being alive. A single teaspoon of soil can contain 32 feet of it. You can’t see the threads because they’re microscopic. The filaments — called hyphae — run 2 to 20 micrometers wide; a human hair is about 70. These fungi grow no mushrooms, produce nothing aboveground, and spend their whole lives out of sight, some of it literally inside the cells of plant roots. So how do you measure 68 quadrillion miles of something invisible? Researchers count and measure hyphae in tiny soil samples under a microscope — say, ten meters of thread in a gram of dirt. Then they pooled 16,000 such samples from hundreds of studies worldwide, building a library of fungal density across forests, grasslands, and deserts. They fed that to a machine-learning model along with the local conditions at each site — temperature, rainfall, soil pH, vegetation — and let it learn the pattern: this climate, plus this soil plus this plant life, yields roughly this much fungus. Then the model filled in everywhere nobody had dug. The problem is what happens when we dig anyway. Wild grasslands hold an estimated 40 percent of this fungal biomass, most of it legally unprotected, and they’re being plowed into farmland at a fast clip. Tear up the grassland and you tear up the grid — and the carbon it was holding down. Friday June 12 Iran The peace deal exists mainly in the telling. President Trump said Friday it was “in pretty final shape.” Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman told the state broadcaster “nothing has been finalized.” As of midday, neither government had said publicly what the deal contains. But Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said a U.S.-Iran deal “has never been closer.” There was even talk of a signing ceremony as soon as Sunday (Trump’s 80th birthday) in Geneva ahead of next week’s G7 summit. Israel ended the week as it began, striking southern Lebanon, where the fight with Hezbollah shows few signs of letting up. SpaceX IPO For every share SpaceX sold Friday, four buyers wanted it. The company set aside a fifth of the shares for ordinary people buying through brokerage accounts — an unusually big slice — and they put in $100 billion in orders, per Bloomberg. Big money managers like BlackRock and the investment funds of foreign governments took the rest. The fight is over what the company is actually worth. At $135 a share, buyers are paying nearly $100 for every $1 SpaceX takes in each year — far more than is typical for rocket, satellite, or AI companies — and the company lost $4.3 billion in the first th

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Stack the Week

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for June 1 through June 5. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. A chirping of hacks. A crazy partner in a war of moderate ceasefiring. A powers vote with no power. A slush fund still slushing. An enforcement bill that outlasts the revolt. A jobs number nobody saw coming. A Manhattan of bees underground, a ghost up on the mountain, and the screwworm is back thanks to the world’s first trillionaire. Let’s take it day by day. Monday June 1 Monday was about leverage and who actually has it — a president learning that more bombs don’t buy more obedience, neither does allyship with Israel, a slush fund his own party wouldn’t swallow, ten thousand government lawyers who decided the work wasn’t worth their names, and five and a half million bees who’ve held the same patch of cemetery since before any of them were born. Bored The president of the United States occupied many parts of the register Monday on the war he started in Iran. He told CNBC’s Eamon Javers he’d lost interest. “If they’re over, honestly, I don’t care,” he said, referring to peace talks. “I could care less. If they’re over, they’re over. If they’re not, you know — I think they took too much time. Frankly, I thought they started to get very boring.” (Isn’t that the metric you want for peace talks? Boring? War is exciting. Peace talks you want to be boring.) The president criticized Republican “hacks” for “chirping” about his handling of the war. Wait till he learns what happens to him at the hands of his own party later in the week! And on Truth Social he claimed credit for stopping something: that he’d personally kept the Israelis from striking the southern suburbs of Beirut. The public posture was boredom. The private posture, according to two U.S. officials and a third source briefed on the call, was rage. This is all Axios reporting. Summarizing the president’s remarks to Benjamin Netanyahu, one official said Trump told the Israeli leader: And you’ll want to cover the ears of young ones: “You’re f*****g crazy. You’d be in prison if it weren’t for me. I’m saving your ass. Everybody hates you now. Everybody hates Israel because of this.” A second Axios source said Trump at one point yelled, “What the f**k are you doing?” This does not sound like the transcript of a victory party. Remember, the public posture from the president is that the United States has “met and exceeded all military objectives” and achieved “total and complete victory” in the war in Iran. Netanyahu’s office disputes the personal remarks. The deal the president said was close last Friday wasn’t close. After a Situation Room meeting, he sent the preliminary framework — a 60-day extension of the April 7 ceasefire — back for changes. He wants tougher language and more promises from Tehran before any of its frozen funds are released. As a candidate, Trump hammered Barack Obama for unfreezing Iranian money under the 2015 nuclear deal. Now that he can launch the bombers and has, he is discovering what Obama discovered: bombs only get you so far. The Strait, slightly ajar Before the war, more than 100 commercial ships a day passed through the Strait of Hormuz. They carried everything from the fertilizer that helps feed corn crops to the helium that goes in MRI machines. These are container ships about 1,000 feet long — half the size of the reflecting pool in Washington, this week’s most popular unit of measurement. Over the last three weeks, the U.S. has guided about 70 through total. An average of three a day. To make the passage, most ships are turning off their Automatic Identification Systems and running dark. A Greek supertanker carrying two million barrels of crude crossed that way last week. So did a Chinese-owned vessel loaded with fertilizer. This pokey pace won’t refire the global economy. But it might mean that whatever is being learned moving these ships through can be scaled up later. The painstaking work reminds us how ridiculous it was for some — including the president — to suggest that countries who rely on the strait should just hop in and escort their own ships. They didn’t start the war, so it was a tough ask in the first place. And given how hard this has been even for the U.S. military, it puts the lie to the armchair pundits who said other countries could just snap their fingers and watch the traffic come roaring back. Cord cutters in the Strait. A few weeks back we wrote about Iran’s idea of charging a toll for the internet cables under the Strait of Hormuz. On Monday, DealBook reported that Silicon Valley has concerns about this. In early May an Iranian military spokesman said the country might demand license fees from Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Meta to use the cables they operate under the strait — and hinted the cables could be cut. So the tech giants are running what one adviser called “intensive back-channel engagement” to protect their subsea networks. Usually we don’t go in for that kind of jargon here at Stack the Week. What the hell does “intensive back-channel engagement” mean anyway? But we’ve been unable to learn anything more. It sounds kinda weak. Iran’s own news agency puts the traffic at about $10 trillion a day. The cables carry roughly 99 percent of the world’s internet, according to the International Telecommunication Union. And there aren’t many people who can fix a cut. Four companies lay undersea cable. Maybe twenty repair ships exist, most of them weeks from the Middle East. In 2024, a single cut in the Red Sea took down a quarter of the region’s internet for weeks. It took months. But let’s not make this sound like a fella could dive in the water with a kitchen knife in his teeth. Combat divers, the most effective way to cut the fiber optic cables in the Strait, would have to use specialized equipment, because modern fiber-optic cables are protected by dense engineering armor comprising galvanized steel wires and insulating materials. The slush fund goeth This next story about the president’s slush fund is going to change by the end of the week. But here at Stack the Week, we have a theory: that walking through the news day by day adds context a Friday summary can’t. A story delivered all at once on Friday flattens things. It front-loads the latest and the loudest, and that can bruise your understanding. We might be wrong. So weigh in, if you have a view. Monday, the Trump administration said it would pause the $1.8 billion fund built to compensate the president’s allies. It was complying with a court order — and bowing to a revolt among Republicans. The fund would have paid people who said the federal government wrongly targeted them. In practice, that meant January 6th defendants and Trump associates. Majority Leader John Thune said Monday he hoped the White House would shut it down on its own. His words: “The best way to handle it is if the administration decides to shut it down themselves.” A pause is not a death. So this will likely go a few more rounds. But even if the fund disappears, don’t reach for the eraser to update your commemorative Stack the Week Destruction of Norms tracker. The norms are broken even if the fund never pays out a cent. Because in defending the fund the Vice President, the Speaker of the House, and the acting attorney general would not rule out that the money might go to convicted defendants — people who assaulted police officers. Ten thousand lawyers One in five lawyers who worked for the federal government at the end of 2024 had left by March 2026. That’s an exodus of more than 10,000 attorneys, according to a New York Times analysis of federal employment data. Some retired. Some were cut. Some quit over the administration’s policies. The effect is the same: the federal government is no longer the place an ambitious public-interest lawyer wants on a résumé. Many are taking their experience to Democratic state attorneys general and the nonprofits suing the administration. George Washington University’s law school is a fifteen-minute walk from the White House. It’s now steering public-service students toward state legislatures and city councils instead. Scott Bourque, who just finished his first year at Georgetown Law, turned down a Justice Department internship. “A lot of people I’ve spoken to just in the last few months have said that they would look down on a person if they had a federal job on their résumé that they started during this administration,” he said. “Some people have explicitly said they would see a person willing to go to work at this D.O.J. as somebody they couldn’t trust.” Graham Platner’s accounting The Republican party transformed itself for Donald Trump, changing its once-ironclad views on personal morality, trade, and democracy abroad. Democrats, whose party did a smaller-bore version of morality-tailoring to defend Bill Clinton, now face the question again: what conduct is so inconsistent with party values that its worth risking the party gaining power? Graham Platner is a Marine veteran with no political experience who has surged ahead in Maine’s June 9 Senate primary, drawing big crowds and endorsements from Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and Arizona Senator Ruben Gallego. He has also weathered, in order: a Reddit history denigrating women; a tattoo recognized as a Nazi symbol, which he has since covered; and now the texts. The New York Times and Wall Street Journal report that shortly after Platner launched his campaign last year, his wife, Amy Gertner, flagged to staff that he had exchanged sexual messages with other women. Gertner said Saturday she was “deeply hurt,” and accused a former campaign confidante of betraying her by making the messages public. The race is a toss-up, and control of the Senate may run through it — which is the whole problem. Platner led Susan Collins by nine points in a University of New Hampshire poll last week. So the question Democrats are asking is whether anything is disqualifying anymore — or whether Trump, who survived scandals that ended other careers, has reset the floor. “I find that tattoo and his commentary about it to be personally disqualifying,” Representative Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts said on CNN. Senator Cory Booker, asked about the texts: “Yeah, I have concerns. That guy has questions to answer, and that’s what campaigns are for.” The biggest concern at the start of the week was whether there were more shoes to drop about Platner’s past. Trapped before you start and before 40 Two new studies, released Monday, reveal a harsh reality about the modern career: the first five years matter more than ever, but a structural trap in the office is making them much harder to navigate. The first study, from the New York Fed, looks at the starting line. It found that young college graduates are struggling to get hired because of a fundamental breakdown in how offices work now. Young grads actually want to be in the office to learn, but they are being forced into remote work by default because the people who are supposed to train them aren’t there. Senior managers and experienced staff now have the leverage to work from home, leaving the physical office empty. When companies try to solve this by letting the new hires work from home too, they hit a wall: it is incredibly difficult to train and mentor an inexperienced worker entirely over a screen. Because both sides are rarely in the same room, companies have simply grown wary of hiring the inexperienced at all. In fact, the Fed estimates this empty-office mismatch—not generative AI—explains 64 percent of the recent rise in unemployment among young graduates. The second study, from the Burning Glass Institute and NYU, shows why this matters long-term. Tracking 1.3 million careers since 2000, researchers found that roughly a quarter of American professionals hit a career wall before age 40, going five or more years without a raise or promotion. While the study attributes these stalls to rigid career fields–some jobs just don’t have good advancement ladders– and low-value “paper” certifications– you go to school to train and then it doesn’t pay off in the real world– the most critical factor is early momentum. A mid-career plateau isn’t a sudden event; it is decided in the first few years on the job. The Core Takeaway: The two findings form a troubling loop. Because senior mentors are working from home, young grads are either left sitting in an empty office or isolated behind a screen. This deprives them of the intense, in-person mentorship required to build early momentum—making them far more likely to hit a career ceiling before they turn 40. The pancreas, cracked An experimental pill nearly doubled survival time for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer — one of the deadliest cancers there is. The drug, daraxonrasib, blocks a mutated protein that drives tumor growth in more than 90 percent of pancreatic cancer cases, a target that eluded treatment for decades. In a trial of 500 patients whose metastatic cancer had stopped responding to other treatment, the daily pill roughly doubled survival time with fewer severe side effects. + The five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is about 13 percent. It’s on track to become the second-leading cause of cancer death in the U.S. by 2040. A trillion-dollar offering There are many ways to measure the race for AI dominance: the size of the model, the chips you can get your hands on, and the money you can raise to pay for both. On Monday, Anthropic — whose chatbot, Claude, thinks this lede is doing real work — told regulators in an unsigned, two-paragraph blog post that it’s seeking an initial public offering. It’s being referred to as a “trillion-dollar offering,” which is not official, but instead the loose, breathy journalistic shorthand for the possible valuation, not the literal money changing hands. A valuation is the number of shares times the stock price of each share. Anthropic is racing primarily with Open AI and SpaceX. Most of the money goes to “compute” — the raw computing power the models run on, which Anthropic rents from Microsoft, Amazon, and Google. In practice that means warehouse-scale buildings packed with specialized chips called GPUs, the processors Nvidia built for graphics and now sells for AI. Thousands of them are wired together to work as a single machine — Nvidia’s CEO calls a data center one “unit of compute.” A single rack of these chips draws more than ten times the power of an ordinary server rack, enough heat that air can’t cool it and chilled water has to be piped directly to the chip. The chips themselves run two to four times hotter than the processors in a normal computer. The constraint isn’t ideas. It’s silicon and electricity — there aren’t enough chips, and where there are chips there often isn’t enough power to run them. The dead hang How long do you think you could hang from a pull-up bar? An 81-year-old arthritic widow set the Guinness World Record for the longest dead hang by a woman over 80, holding on for three minutes and three seconds. She took up dead-hanging to cope with grief after losing her husband of 60 years. Most healthy adults manage thirty to sixty seconds. Grip strength, it turns out, is one of the better predictors of how long a person lives — possibly because a strong grip is a sign of overall strength, possibly because a weak one is a symptom of cells aging faster than they should. Five million bees A cemetery in Ithaca, New York, holds one of the largest and oldest known colonies of ground-nesting bees ever documented — an estimated 5.5 million of them packed into an acre and a half. That’s more than three times the human population of Manhattan, living under a single graveyard. And their lives are much like those of us who live in Manhattan, they’re always confused by the constant breakdowns and shifting schedule of the C train. No, they are like city dwellers in that they are autonomous, not members of a hive. They’ve just chosen to live in the place because it suits their lifestyle. They are born, go out into the world and collect food for their offspring and do that until they die. The children essentially choose to live near where they were born. They’re just like us! Nearly six in 10 young adults live within 10 miles of where they grew up, and eight in 10 live within 100 miles. They’re a solitary mining bee, Andrena regularis, the kind that nests underground rather than in hives — which describes about 75 percent of all bee species, a fact that surprises most people who only think about honeybees who somehow get into the office even though I’ve got the windows closed. The bees have been at East Lawn Cemetery since at least the early 1900s. The cemetery dates to 1878. The bees, in other words, have outlasted nearly everyone buried above them. The discovery came because a Cornell lab worker named Rachel Fordyce used to cut through the cemetery on her way to work. One spring morning in 2022, she noticed the ground was moving. She caught a few in a jar and brought them to her supervisor. They don’t sting. Bespoke flour It used to be that when a wealthy urban striver carried a bag of white powder around, they were looking to party. Now they’re looking to bake. Premium millers are riding a convergence of health trends — fiber-maxxers, GLP-1 users, and the Make America Healthy Again crowd all hunting for food that’s less processed and more nutritionally dense. A five-pound sack of Cairnspring Mills’ Sequoia T85 all-purpose flour runs $18, against about $5 for the supermarket brand. The Oregon company’s CEO, Kevin Morse, wants to “do for flour what Blue Bottle did for coffee” — build a premium-but-reachable middle tier in a business that’s all giants at the top and tiny independents at the bottom. Still, for fluffy biscuits nothing really can replace the cocaine Mom used to use. Tuesday June 2 Tuesday asked what a job is even for: a spy chief who knows real estate, a press office sealed shut to keep information in, a list of admirals scrubbed of women and Black men in a Navy full of both, and a retirement that didn’t fit. Massive Kyiv Attack Russia launched one of its deadliest attacks in months early Tuesday — about 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Kyiv and the central city of Dnipro. At least 22 people were killed and more than 100 wounded. Russia warned a week ago that it would hit the capital, and then made the city wait. For days it launched planes in patterns that mimicked a large attack, setting off alarms and wearing people down. Families slept in subway stations and parking garages for nights on end — tents and yoga mats on the station floors, dogs barking, children unable to sleep. More than 41,000 people, including nearly 4,500 children, sheltered in the Kyiv metro overnight, a record in recent years. A BBC reporter two floors underground felt the explosions through the building: missiles, then drones, then more missiles. People came up to find their neighborhoods rearranged — windows gone, cars turned to twisted, black popovers of metal. Russia called it retaliation for a Ukrainian drone strike on a dormitory in Russian-held Luhansk that it said killed 21 students; the toll couldn’t be verified. Ukraine has had the better of the war lately, hitting Russian oil facilities and reaching Moscow itself with long-range drones while the front line stays frozen. No Experience necessary President Trump named Bill Pulte, the 38-year-old head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, acting Director of National Intelligence — a job that coordinates 18 intelligence agencies and oversees the President’s Daily Brief. Pulte has no known background in intelligence, defense, or national security. He is a real-estate scion and Trump loyalist who, even in his housing job, found ways to pursue the president’s enemies: he referred Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook and New York Attorney General Letitia James for prosecution over mortgage-document errors so ordinary that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had made them too. He replaces Tulsi Gabbard, who resigned last month after her husband’s cancer diagnosis. Trump announced it on Truth Social and praised Pulte’s grasp of “the safety and soundness of the Markets.” The skepticism on Capitol Hill crossed party lines. “We don’t need a weaponized D.N.I.,” said Majority Leader John Thune. “We need professionals there.” He added that if Trump wants Pulte in the job permanently, “he’s got a lengthy road ahead of him” — a reminder that this is an acting appointment, which avoids a confirmation vote and runs, by law, about 210 days. The job was created in the wake of the attacks of 9/11 to coordinate the government’s vast information-gathering capabilities because, to use a phrase popular after those attacks, the dots had not been connected between the various silos gathering intelligence. The job has very little real estate dealings. The audit shield lives Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche told House appropriators Tuesday that the administration is permanently scrapping the $1.8 billion fund meant to pay people who claimed the federal government wrongly targeted them — mostly January 6 defendants and Trump associates. A federal judge had blocked it, a bipartisan revolt had stalled the GOP’s own immigration bill over it, and a second judge threatened to investigate whether the president’s lawyers had abused the courts. But the acting attorney general would not agree to put it in writing, as he did with the formation of the fund. What does survive is a provision authored by Blanche shielding Trump, his family, and his businesses from IRS audits. Senator Thom Tillis flagged it, noting that the family’s net worth has nearly doubled in eighteen months since Trump took office. AI’s 30-day window President Trump signed an executive order Tuesday asking technology companies to voluntarily give the government a look at new AI models before releasing them — up to 30 days — a turn for an administration that had mostly taken a hands-off approach to AI meddling. “Excessive regulation of the A.I. sector could kill a transformative industry just as it’s taking off,” JD Vance had said last month. “The A.I. future is not going to be won by hand-wringing about safety. It will be won by building.” That’s changed now. The order also asks the Treasury secretary to build an AI “cybersecurity clearinghouse” to review vulnerabilities the models find. Last month Anthropic announced a model called Mythos, so good at finding security flaws in software that the company warned it could trigger a cybersecurity “reckoning” and declined to release it publicly. The NSA has used Mythos to probe the U.S. government’s own software. The White House, people in the industry and the administration said, wants to avoid the blame if an AI-enabled attack ever lands. The 30 days started as 90 — the president scrapped the stricter version hours before a signing ceremony with executives already invited. The final language closely resembles the voluntary deals the Biden administration struck with OpenAI and Anthropic in 2024, the ones this administration had trashed. Crossed off Hegseth’s list Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth blocked the promotions of nine Navy officers that a board of senior admirals had already selected — three of them women, two of them Black men. The result is a slate of 22 nominees for one-star admiral that looks little like the Navy it will help lead. No women made the new list, though women are about 21 percent of the active-duty Navy. Only two nonwhite officers made it, though racial minorities are about 38 percent. Pentagon rules say a defense secretary is supposed to pull officers from a promotion list only for moral, mental, physical, or professional failings — not for who they are. Five current and former defense officials, speaking anonymously, described the intervention as driven by Hegseth’s anti-diversity politics. In his life before this job, Hegseth was on record opposing women in combat. Nearly 60 percent of the senior officers he has fired are female or Black, according to Senator Jack Reed, the top Democrat on the Armed Services Committee. Glamour, the shopping list For nearly 90 years, Glamour mixed fashion and beauty with award-winning journalism — it won a National Magazine Award in 2023 for coverage pushing for federal paid family leave. That era is over. Condé Nast is refocusing the publication on shopping posts — “Granny Sandals Are the Secret to a Stylish Summer Look,” “The Best Spray Sunscreens for Easy Reapplication” — built to earn commissions when readers click through to Amazon and Nordstrom. The company cut much of the already-thin U.S. editorial staff in April and parted with editor-in-chief Samantha Barry without a plan to replace her. The bet is that display ads and affiliate links can carry the site without the cost of making the fussy journalism. Fortunately women looking for an editorial voice to match their intelligence can find it in newsletters and podcasts. Serena, on grass Six months ago Serena Williams posted, “Omg yall I’m NOT coming back.” OMG y’all, she’s coming back. Thursday she accepted a doubles wild card for next week’s HSBC Championships at Queen’s Club in London — the grass tune-up for Wimbledon, where she’s won seven singles titles. It’s her first competitive match in nearly four years, since she “evolved away” from the sport after the 2022 US Open. Whether Wimbledon itself is next, she didn’t say. She is 44. Her partner, the Canadian Victoria Mboko, is 19 and already ranked ninth in the world — a quarter-century between them on the same side of the net. Williams won 23 Grand Slam singles titles, one shy of Margaret Court’s all-time record of 24, a number she’s been parked next to since 2017. But every match she plays at 44 nudges a different record: the oldest woman to win a Grand Slam. The youngest players she’d have to get through weren’t born when she won her first. Wednesday June 3 Coping to crazy, ballroom dancing, a tariff backdoor, showing bureaucrats the door, and the bathtub analogy that might explain next year. Crazy, on the record The president confirmed what Axios reported Monday — that he’d called Benjamin Netanyahu crazy on the phone — and said out loud that Israel is complicating his peace talks with Iran. The private fury became public acknowledgment in the space of two days. It came with a result. Israel and Lebanon agreed Wednesday to renew their fragile ceasefire and to set up a number of “pilot” security zones inside Lebanon, areas from which Hezbollah fighters would be banned. In an oval office availability with reporters the president displayed a chart he had asked for. It’s title: “Our Pool is Bigger than Skyscrapers.” It showed the reflecting pool, which the president has ordered renovated, compared to the size of the Empire State Building, World Trade Center, Sears Tower. “In that part of the world, ceasefire is when you’re shooting in a more moderate manner,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Wednesday. He said the current situation was under control and peace talks with Iran were advancing. CA Gov. California’s top-two primary sent a Republican and a Democrat to a November runoff for governor: Steve Hilton, the British-born former Fox News host Trump endorsed, and Xavier Becerra, the former HHS secretary and state attorney general. Becerra held second place ahead of Tom Steyer — the billionaire climate activist who spent more than $200 million running to the left of the field. Becerra’s path opened only when Representative Eric Swalwell’s campaign collapsed in April amid sexual-assault allegations, and when Democratic voters — who’d spent months splitting among candidates they found uninspiring — finally consolidated. That splitting was the danger: polls had shown two Republicans might sweep the primary in one of the bluest states in the country, because Republicans had lined up behind Hilton while Democrats hadn’t lined up behind anyone. The fear was real enough that it launched a spring campaign to repeal the top-two system California has used for fifteen years. Senate drops ballroom Senate Republicans pulled up to a billion dollars in Secret Service funding for President Trump’s ballroom out of their immigration enforcement bill Wednesday. Two things killed it. First, the rules. The Senate parliamentarian, Elizabeth MacDonough, ruled the ballroom money didn’t belong in a bill Republicans were trying to pass on a simple majority — it had nothing to do with immigration, which was the bill’s whole point. Keep it in, and Democrats could have filibustered the entire package. Second, the politics. Several Republican senators said out loud they didn’t want to fund a ballroom in a bill about border enforcement. And the mood soured further after Trump endorsed Ken Paxton over sitting Senator John Cornyn in the Texas primary runoff. Funding the president’s ballroom while he’s picking off your own colleagues is a hard sell. Trump called Majority Leader John Thune and urged him to fire her, claiming she was put there by Obama. Senate parliamentarians are chosen by the Senate, not the White House, which he knows, so this was a lie. Speaking of which. Trump said he’d cover the cost himself. When it was announced in July at $200 million, he said it would be private — “some donors or whatever.” By late March, with the price doubled to $400 million, he was still insistent: “This is taxpayer-free. We have no taxpayer putting up 10 cents.” Then, after the April attempted shooting at the White House Correspondents’ dinner, some Republicans cited security and proposed public money. Taxpayer-free became a billion-dollar federal line item — and now, not even that. Schedule F is for firing. For most of the 19th century, federal jobs were handouts, given to the president’s friends and supporters, which bred corruption and incompetence. Then in 1881, a man who’d been denied a government post shot and killed President James Garfield. You can watch a very good account of this on Netflix. Death by Lightning. After that, Congress began building the protections — a series of laws meant to shield government workers from being fired for politics, so the work would carry from one administration to the next regardless of who won. Wednesday, President Trump signed an executive order stripping civil service protections from roughly 8,000 senior career federal workers. Division heads, IT chiefs, the people who write regulations, the analysts who tell agencies what the evidence says like toxicologists and epidemiologists. The people who track what’s making us sick. They are now at-will employees. They can be fired without a reason. To keep your job in one of these positions now, the practical test shifts from doing the job well to staying aligned with the president’s agenda. The administration says that’s the point — and frames it as accountability, not politics. Every other organization, for-profit or nonprofit, is run by a CEO who sets priorities and hires people accountable to them. Members of both parties have complained about this constraint for years. Everett Kelley, head of the American Federation of Government Employees, says the practical effect is fear: workers who once reported waste, fraud, and abuse because they were protected from retaliation will now think twice before speaking up. When the order was first proposed, more than 40,000 people filed public comments. About 94 percent opposed it. The press office becomes a cone of silence The Pentagon on Wednesday locked up the press room even tighter. It designated its public-affairs office a Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility — a SCIF, a secured classified space — and barred reporters from it. The stated reason: speechwriters handling classified material now share the room. The practical effect is that the Iranian nuclear program is in better working order than the accountability in the American form of government. By converting a public-facing office into a literal vault, reporters are physically locked out. Even journalists with permanent building badges can no longer walk in to ask a question. And that press corps was already thinned out. After the administration forced reporters to sign a loyalty pledge against gathering “unauthorized” information, legacy media walked out. They were replaced by handpicked partisan cheerleaders. Now, even the pom-pom shakers are locked out. Musk sets a record not on his list SpaceX set the terms of what would be the largest public offering in history: a target valuation of about $1.75 trillion. The valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest company in America, above Tesla, and the offering more than triple the size of the largest U.S. IPO before it. It also puts a number on Musk’s path to becoming the first trillionaire. Ahead of SpaceX’s planned initial public offering this month, a New York Times analysis of Elon Musk’s public claims over the last 15 years reveals a massive gap between his rhetoric and reality. Of more than 600 goals Musk laid out across his businesses, he delivered on time just 19 percent of the time. The rest? He was late or failed to deliver 35 percent of the time, and left another 33 percent too vague or abandoned without a public update. Nowhere is this “Musk Time” math clearer than in his grandest obsession: colonizing Mars. Founded in 2002 to make humanity “multiplanetary,” SpaceX has seen its Martian timeline constantly shift: * 2011: Musk claimed SpaceX would reach Mars in 10 years, or “worst case, 15 to 20 years.” * April 2024: He told employees he expected one million people to live on Mars in 20 years, quietly directing staff to sketch out blueprints for a Martian city. * February 2026: Musk moved the goalposts yet again, admitting a Martian city would take “20+ years.” Instead, he announced a pivot: SpaceX would focus on colonizing the moon first. Shoot for Mars; if you miss, you might land on the moon. Tariff wall workaround If you had to guess, would you say that president Trump is deeply concerned about forced labor overseas? He is now. The administration proposed new tariffs on 60 countries, citing forced labor. After an investigation under Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act, the U.S. Trade Representative found that none of the 60 countries adequately enforces a ban on goods made with forced labor, and proposed duties of at least 10 percent — with China, India, Japan, and about 40 others facing 12.5 percent. It’s the biggest effort to rebuild the tariff regime since the Supreme Court struck down most of the “Liberation Day” levies in February. The court ruled the administration had overreached its emergency powers, and Section 301 grants explicit statutory authority instead — far harder to overturn. A European Union official called the forced-labor finding “utterly absurd.” The EU has some of the strictest labor and supply-chain laws in the world, and being swept in with the other 59 reads to Brussels as a pretext — a way to push tariffs back above the 15 percent rate Europe had already negotiated in exchange for lowering its own duties. They might find the timing suspicious too. The new duties are timed to take effect as the temporary 10 percent global baseline tariff expires in late July. It’s basically the old plan by another route. Super El Niño possibly developing Imagine the Pacific Ocean as a giant bathtub with the wind blowing across the top of it. Most of the time, that wind blows steadily from the Americas toward Asia, and it pushes the warm surface water along with it — so warm water piles up on the Asia side, and cold water from way down deep rises up to fill in along the South America side. In an El Niño, the wind gets tired and stops pushing. So all that warm water that was piled up on the far side comes sloshing back toward the Americas, like water in a tub when you stop pushing the scalding water from the tap away from you and it rolls back at you. Now there’s a huge stretch of ocean that’s way warmer than it should be. That’s what we can expect if forecasters are right and a strong — possibly “super” — El Niño is on the way. The UN’s weather agency puts the odds at 80 percent before September, 90 percent before November, with most models calling it at least moderate and some saying it could be the strongest this century. All that ocean heat in the Americas doesn’t stay in the water; it bleeds into the air, which is why an intense El Niño nearly guarantees a record-hot year. And it doesn’t stop at temperature — it rearranges the weather for the whole planet at once. Warm ocean throws more moisture into the sky and bends the jet stream, the high-altitude river of wind that steers storms. Where the storms get steered toward, it floods — the U.S. Gulf Coast and Southeast usually catch the wet end. Where the storms get steered away from, the ground dries out and burns; that’s the story across much of the Pacific and into the drought-prone tropics. Harvests fail in the dried-out places. And the same heat that’s warming the air is cooking the shallow water where coral lives, until the coral starves and bleaches white — which collapses the reefs that a quarter of all sea life depends on for food and shelter. The “El Niño of the Century” in 1997–98 — the one forecasters are using as the model for this one — did damage measured in the trillions. And it doesn’t end when the water cools: a 2023 study in Science found El Niño can drag down a country’s economic growth for years afterward. El Niño isn’t caused by global warming — it’s a natural cycle that’s been swinging for thousands of years. But it now swings on top of a hotter baseline created by global warming. Each El Niño briefly releases a load of stored ocean heat into the air, and when that spike lands on an already-warmer planet, it tends to set the global temperature record — which is why forecasters are watching 2027. Americans soften support of LGBTQ+ issues American support for LGBTQ+ rights has stalled and begun to slip after two decades of climbing, according to a new Gallup survey. Support for same-sex marriage has dropped six points from its recent peak to 65 percent, while moral acceptance of gay and lesbian relationships has hit a decade-long low at 62 percent. And the share who consider changing one’s gender morally acceptable has fallen eight points in five years, to 38 percent. Between 1996 and 2022, support for same-sex marriage rose 44 points, from 27 to 71 percent. Gallup ties the decline to the conservative pushback against diversity programs built to foster acceptance. National park fees for July 4 celebration The administration is taking money meant for the national parks and spending it on the Fourth of July in Washington. At least $90 million in park entry fees — money paid at the gates of places like Yellowstone and Yosemite — is being routed to the capital. That’s according to internal Park Service documents obtained by the Washington Post. Some of it pays for fireworks — a $1.6 million display, more than five times the usual. Most of the money — $76 million — goes to fixing fountains, including the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool. Meanwhile, the parks that money came from are sitting on a $24 billion repair backlog. Retro tech comeback Unlike bucket hats and baggy jeans, clunky tech is a 90s relic coming back that serves a purpose other than to embarrass the user. The companies building artificial intelligence need somewhere to put it. AI doesn’t run on a phone or a laptop — it runs in data centers, warehouse-sized buildings packed with computers, and those buildings have to be built and filled. That means somebody has to make the unglamorous guts: the servers that do the work, the chips that store the memory, the cables and gear that wire it all together. For years almost nobody invested in making more of that stuff, because demand was flat. Now demand is exploding, and there isn’t enough to go around. So the companies that make the guts are suddenly worth a fortune — and a lot of them are names you’d have called washed-up. Dell, Nokia, Lenovo, Cisco, Intel — the giants of the 1990s tech boom, the ones that faded when the dot-com bubble burst and a flashier generation took over. They’re back, because the AI boom needs exactly the boring, physical, deeply unsexy things they’ve always made. The numbers are staggering. Seven of these old-guard companies are up an average of 158 percent this year — meaning if you’d held their stock since January, your money would have more than doubled. Together they’ve gained $1.7 trillion in value. Dell rose 33 percent in a single day, the biggest one-day jump in its history. Nokia is up 124 percent on the year. Lenovo had its best month in more than 25 years. Churchill and his brushes A London museum, the Wallace Collection, has mounted the first major British retrospective of Winston Churchill’s paintings in more than 65 years — and makes the case that he was no weekend hobbyist but a painter worth taking seriously, and a leader whose vulnerabilities show on the canvas. He started in 1915, in his early forties, at the lowest point of his career: blamed for the catastrophic failure of the Gallipoli campaign and demoted. He took a command post on the Western Front and brought his easel; one early canvas showed a bombed-out battalion in a Belgian village. He later called painting a kind of therapy. “Painting is complete as a distraction,” he wrote in 1921. “I know of nothing which, without exhausting the body, more entirely absorbs the mind. Whatever the worries of the hour or the threats of the future, once the picture has begun to flow along, there is no room for them.” He produced more than 500 canvases before he set the brush down in 1962, in his late eighties. How many world leaders were painters on the side?: Artnet has a list of 10 famous politicians who painted. George W. Bush, Ulysses S Grant, Jimmy Carter, Dwight D. Eisenhower. Hitler, also, famously. Thursday, June 4 The war powers vote has no power, neither do GOP slush fund scolds, oil’s nearly at bottom, but the AG is on the rise, more Platner shoes fall as does John Bolton. House votes to limit Trump’s war powers The Republican-led House did something this Republican-led House doesn’t do: praise the police who protected them on January 6th? No, nothing so grave as that. What the chamber did on Thursday was pass a war powers resolution directing an end to U.S. military engagement in Iran. Four Republicans crossed the aisle. The resolution does not stop the war. It heads to a Senate where its path is unclear, and the president can ignore it. What it does is put on the record that a chamber his party controls no longer trusts him to manage the fight. The president treated it as betrayal: “Who would do such an unpatriotic thing, right in the middle of my final negotiations to end the War with the Islamic Republic of Iran.” The four Republicans split two ways: two are libertarians who oppose foreign wars on principle, one of them a longtime Trump antagonist already beaten in his primary by a Trump-backed challenger. The other two are mainstream Republicans from competitive districts where a war polling this badly is a liability — one of them a freshman and former Army helicopter pilot who’d voted with Trump on nearly everything, including the first two Iran votes, before switching in May. We were struck here by someone from the other body: Republican leader John Thune said his members were “asking the right questions and trying to figure out the strategy going forward.” It read as anodyne when I first came across it in the Washington Post. But it was not. The president’s own allies in the Senate are saying, on the record, that they don’t know what the strategy in Iran is. The ceasefire that didn’t last the day The Trump administration announced an Israel–Lebanon ceasefire on Thursday, brokered in Washington and pitched as a possible first step toward winding down the three-month war on Iran. It did not survive the announcement. Within hours Israel was hitting southern Lebanon with rounds of strikes, the leader of Hezbollah — who had not been at the table — rejected the deal outright, and his fighters fired rockets at Israeli forces inside Lebanon. The collapse was written into the setup. You cannot end a war by signing a paper with everyone except the people doing the shooting. Hezbollah wasn’t a party to the talks, so the talks bound Israel and Lebanon’s government to a quiet that Hezbollah had no reason to keep. The fund with no name. The Senate spent Thursday morning stuck on a single fight inside a $70 billion immigration enforcement bill. The fight was over the $1.8 billion Justice Department settlement pot we told you on Monday was dead. How it failed is the part worth understanding. Republican leaders had the votes to save the fund. But a straight party-line vote would force their most vulnerable members — senators up for reelection in states where a slush fund for people who beat up police officers is a loser — to go on record protecting it. So leadership arranged the math. They leaned on a senator from a safe seat to vote no, locking in the outcome before the endangered senators ever voted. That freed the vulnerable ones to vote yes, against the fund, knowing their votes couldn’t actually kill it and spark the ire of President Trump. A vote is supposed to be the moment a politician is accountable: you’re for the thing or against it, and the voters find out. This one was built so the accountability and the outcome came apart. The senators who’d pay a price at home got to look like they fought the fund. The fund survived anyway. The president didn’t act like a man whose fund was in danger. Asked about it by CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he said he’d check with the lawyers, then praised it. He did not praise Collins. He told her to smile and complained that she didn’t smile — performing, in a rambling press availability, the exact leering behavior our mothers had to endure and that the rest of us thought had been shamed out of public life. Tank bottom Four executives told POLITICO that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has drained the world’s petroleum inventories toward levels that will send energy prices surging within weeks. Global stocks now hold about 7.5 billion barrels, down roughly 500 million since the war began. That sounds like a cushion, but most of it already has buyers, and a chunk of the rest can’t actually be used — it’s the oil that has to stay in the pipelines and the bottoms of the tanks just to keep crude moving. Strip that out and the usable supply is thin. In some regions it’s nearing the point where there’s no spare barrel left to absorb a shock — which is exactly when prices spike. “I’ve never seen inventory numbers fall so much so quickly,” said Jim Burkhard, who runs crude oil research at S&P Global. “It is stunning.” Hold that in your mind. If you’re on a jog and you missed it, hit the ten second rewind. Now… In late April the president said gas would “drop like a rock” the moment the war ended — “there’s so much of it, it’s all over the place, sitting all over the oceans of the world.” On May 5 he said it would “come crashing down.” Back in March, asked on Meet the Press whether gas would be under $3 a gallon by summer, the energy secretary allowed it was “a goal of the administration and very possible.” A phoenix from under the bus Last week, former Attorney General Pam Bondi threw her own deputy under the bus. The colossal mishandling of the Epstein files — the release that named victims and redacted the names of the men accused of abusing them — was, she said, Todd Blanche’s fault. This week the deputy rose from under the Greyhound. At a Rose Garden dinner Thursday, the president announced he’ll nominate Blanche — the acting attorney general, and before that his own personal defense lawyer — to run the Justice Department for good. Blanche is the man who set up the settlement fund. He’s also carried out a string of the president’s moves against the people he holds grudges against. Blanche must be confirmed by the Judiciary Committee and then the whole Senate.. Democrat John Fetterman has already declared himself a no. Republican Thom Tillis tied his own vote to the settlement fund — the one Blanche built — warning that until the Senate deals with it, Blanche is “not going to have a very good time in Judiciary Committee.” The president predicted the process would move “very quickly,” which has become an indication in this White House that in fact the opposite will take place. The president has a habit of declaring a thing done before it’s done, to make it harder to undo — the way he kept announcing, during the war, that Iran had agreed to a deal, or wanted one, before Iran had said any such thing. Say the outcome out loud, often enough, and resistance starts to look like obstruction. “Very quickly” isn’t a prediction. It’s pressure. The blunt instrument The Niskanen Center, a nonpartisan think tank, delivered a report Thursday on the National Guard in Washington. First: the deployment “was not a waste. It produced a significant reduction in property crime, and it did so quickly, which matters when residents and businesses are demanding visible action.” But: it was “an expensive tool deployed in the wrong places for the wrong types of crime, at a daily cost per person 60 percent higher than an MPD officer,” with a hidden drag on the civilian economy — soldiers pulled from regular jobs to stand on corners. Then the alternative: a well-designed deployment of city police at the same cost, “targeted to D.C.’s documented hotspots and oriented toward the violent crime problem that the Guard did not touch, would be expected to produce social benefits an order of magnitude larger.” That gap — between what the Guard delivered and what smart conventional policing could deliver — is the case for treating where you put officers and what you point them at as the real levers of public safety, rather than the blunt instrument of military-style presence or sheer headcount. What that means in practice: ten cops sent to the three blocks where the shootings actually happen will do more than a thousand soldiers spread across the city to be seen. The Guard cut “opportunistic” crime — property theft, car break-ins — by 24 percent. On violent crime, robberies and assaults, it had no measurable effect, and robberies were already falling before Trump returned to office. John Bolton John Bolton, the national security adviser Trump hired and then turned on, agreed Thursday to plead guilty to a single count of illegal retention of classified information — down from eighteen counts. He will pay a $2.25 million fine and could face up to five years in prison. The charges grew out of diary entries Bolton kept during his time in the first Trump White House and stored at home, and from more than a thousand pages about his daily activities that prosecutors say he shared through a personal email account with two people not authorized to see them — his wife and his daughter, according to CNN’s reporting. Another Platner shoe The NYT on Thursday published a piece titled “Several Women Who Dated Graham Platner Recall ‘Unsettling’ Behavior. [https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/04/us/politics/graham-platner-maine-senate-former-girlfriends.html]” It included the accounts of six women who had been romantically involved with Platner and alleges a range of upsetting and inappropriate behavior, including one account of physical violence. Platner appeared on MSNow Thursday evening and denied that particular account while admitting that in the Times piece, “there’s a lot about my struggling, not being a good boyfriend, certainly self-medicating with alcohol. And I have been very upfront since the beginning of this campaign that that was a pretty dark period of my life after I came back from my combat service.” Platner has vowed to remain in the race. The screwworm crosses A flesh-eating parasite that the United States spent decades keeping out has turned up in a Texas calf. The USDA confirmed Wednesday — a day after saying there were no U.S. cases — that a three-week-old calf in Zavala County had New World screwworm, larvae found in the animal’s umbilical area. It is the first detection in U.S. livestock since the 1960s. The screwworm is exactly as bad as its name. Females lay eggs in any open wound on a warm-blooded animal — a scrape, a fresh brand, a healing ear tag. The larvae hatch and burrow into living flesh with sharp mouth hooks, feeding and widening the wound until, untreated, the host dies. The U.S. eradicated it once, in the 1960s, with an elegant trick: release millions of sterilized male flies, let them mate with wild females, and watch the population breed itself into infertile eggs. The trick still works, but last year, the Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency cut funding for a USAID-backed program that monitored and contained the screwworm in Central America. The cut came days before the U.S. lifted a temporary pause on cattle imports from Mexico — so livestock crossed the border with the surveillance gone. The pest then moved north past barriers that had held for decades. Texas’s cattle industry is worth $15 billion, and beef prices are already at records with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low. The eradication tools are being scrambled now. As a result of a thoroughly predictable outcome from throwing the baby out with the bathwater, DOGE’s unofficial slogan. Coal comes back The administration is directing roughly $700 million toward reviving coal power, funding the construction of two new generating units. To put the number in context: the last new coal plant in the United States came online in 2013. The industry’s decline was not chiefly a matter of regulation — it was that natural gas and renewables got cheaper. Reversing that with federal money is less an energy policy than a wager that the government can pay to make an old fuel competitive again. It’s also the dirtiest bet on the board. Burn coal to make a unit of electricity and you put out about twice the carbon dioxide that natural gas does. During The Oval Office press availability to announce this move, the president appeared to nod off while his director of the Environmental Protection Agency was making the case for this policy. Jan. 6. second offensenders A Lawfare study found that out of the more than 1,500 people granted clemency for the January 6 attack, at least 97 have since been arrested, charged, or convicted of separate crimes — roughly one in sixteen. Some of those later offenses were made possible by the pardons themselves, which restored gun rights and erased the supervision that might have caught the next crime earlier. In Denmark a cabinet majority Denmark has a cabinet where women outnumber men for the first time. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen — herself the first woman to win a third term — named eleven women and ten men, putting female representation at 52 percent. For comparison, the closest the United States has come was Joe Biden’s cabinet, where women held 12 of 25 seats. That’s 48 percent Drama thatchers Should traditional long straw or the more modern water reed be used in making thatched roofs? Are you stick of talking about this? Influencers clogging your feed going on about it? Well, this is a very heavy and hot question among English master-thatchers, of whom there are roughly 800. Britain has about 60,000 thatched homes left, two-tenths of one percent of its housing. The purists hold that the only true thatch is long straw — wheat stalks, threshed of their grain, the roof historians believe England started with. The modernists prefer water reed, which lasts longer. The catch is where the reed comes from. Before 1800, straw covered ninety percent of England’s thatched roofs. That ratio has now flipped to reed — except the reed isn’t pulled from the local river anymore. Much of it ships in from Eastern Europe and China. A thatchers’ conference in Oxford in the late 1990s nearly came to blows, the academic chairing it threatening to adjourn if the feuding artisans wouldn’t settle down. One thatcher, who’s witnessed at least four brawls, offered an explanation: the work is solitary, done alone at the top of a ladder, and it draws a certain kind of person. “I’ll use the word ‘cantankerous,’” he said. “We know our own minds and we stick to things.” Friday, June 5 The jobs number beat the forecast, immigration funding beat the blockade, the ceasefire kept shooting, Hollywood proves it can succeed without its superhero addiction, but one shows up on the mountain. May jobs report Job growth surged in May, and economists did not see it coming. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 172,000— down a hair from April’s upwardly revised 179,000, and more than double the 80,000 Wall Street expected. Unemployment held at 4.3 percent. Leisure and hospitality led every sector with 70,000 jobs, five times its average monthly gain over the past year. Local government added 55,000. Health care, the steady engine of the past two years, added 35,000, about its usual pace. Social assistance added 12,000. The leisure-and-hospitality spike is the part nobody fully expected, and the New York Times floats an explanation: the World Cup. Cities across the country are staffing up for the tourists coming to watch it. That means the jobs aren’t durable. Air transportation shed about 9,000 jobs, the wreckage of Spirit Airlines folding and leaving 17,000 full- and part-time workers without a job. Immigration enforcement passes Senate The Senate pushed through a $70 billion bill early Friday to fund President Trump’s immigration crackdown through the rest of his term, then sent it to the House, which was expected to pass it fast. The vote was 52 to 47. All the talk earlier in the week that Senate Republicans didn’t like this or that thing from the President didn’t amount to very much. Some voted with the Democrats to do things like shut down the President’s slush fund, but in the end all those amendments failed. $1 billion May at the box office The domestic box office cleared $1 billion in May for only the ninth time in movie history — and for the first time, it did it without a Marvel movie carrying the month. The other eight billion-dollar Mays all leaned on a superhero. May 2026 got there on a different roster: Michael at $210 million, The Devil Wears Prada 2 at $209 million, The Mandalorian and Grogu at $137 million, Obsession at $104.7 million, and Backrooms at $81 million. A biopic, a sequel two decades in the making, Baby Yoda, and two horror movies. Sherpa found alive A Sherpa guide given up for dead on Mount Everest was found alive Thursday after six days alone on the mountain with no food and no bottled oxygen. Hillary Dawa Sherpa, 52, was last seen May 29 resting above Camp 3, at around 7,500 meters — the altitude where the air is too thin to expect a person to last long. He got separated from his client and team, who had already descended with the last group of the season. The ladders across the Khumbu Icefall, fixed by Sherpas to get climbers through the most dangerous stretch of the route, had already been taken down. His family had begun his funeral rites. Then a cleaning crew spotted him crawling through the icefall — frostbitten, exhausted, alive. His daughter, Mendo Lhamu, told the Associated Press the family asked for photos before they could believe it was him. How he survived comes down to who he is. “Sherpas are built tough growing up in the mountains,” said Ang Tshering Sherpa, a leading figure in the community. “If there was someone else in his place they might not have survived.” From his hospital bed Friday, the man himself was plainer about it. He told BBC News Nepali he ran out of oxygen and got left behind, ate ice every day and the chocolate in his pockets, and didn’t think he would make it. The rescue closed the busiest season Everest has ever seen — more than 1,000 climbers summiting the south side, a record 274 of them on a single day, May 20. Five people died this season. He was not one of them. Health misinformation fuels Ebola outbreak In the Democratic Republic of Congo, at least 63 people have died of Ebola out of 397 confirmed cases. A big challenge has been that many of the people in the outbreak’s path don’t believe the outbreak is real. Residents of Ituri province have launched at least three attacks on health centers, demanding the bodies of the dead. During the attacks, some people believed to have Ebola walked out, and health workers lost track of where they went. The mistrust is not new. This is Congo’s 17th Ebola outbreak since the virus was first identified there in 1976, and resistance to public-health protocols has come with nearly every one. Residents of one province were so doubtful that when a local religious leader died of Ebola, his parishioners– distrustful of the government and the hospitals– wanted to open the coffin and look. Ebola is contagious even in death. As WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus put it Friday, launching a response plan with the Africa CDC: misinformation is almost as dangerous as the virus, and it travels just as fast. 60 Minutes The news at 60 Minutes was not a drama we thought would benefit from a daily blow by blow so we’re going to wrap it all together for you Friday. By Friday the survivors had planted a flag at 60 Minutes, the most decorated news program in television history. Correspondents Leslie Stahl, Bill Whitaker and John Wertheim announced they were staying. The show would have died if they’d left, they said. That’s because after this week, they were the last correspondents standing. Three days earlier, on Tuesday, CBS fired Scott Pelley the day after he confronted the show’s new executive producer, Nick Bilton, in front of the entire staff on Bilton’s first day. Pelley accused CBS News editor-in-chief Bari Weiss of “murdering” the show by ousting executive producer Tanya Simon, Simon’s deputy, a few producers and correspondents Sharyn Alfonsi and Cecilia Vega the week before. Last season the show grew its audience nine percent. He grilled Bilton, a technology journalist and best-selling author Weiss had installed, on running a legacy newsmagazine he’d never worked in and Bilton and Weiss’s qualifications given that they had never run organizations approaching the size and complexity of the ones they were now renovating. Bilton responded: “I have been a journalist for 25 years, Scott.” The staff applauded Pelley. Bilton fired him “for cause” the next evening, calling the confrontation a “performative display of hostility.” Then Pelley went public. He said management had told him to “inject falsehoods and bias into a politically sensitive story” and to include unverified claims — instructions which echo claims made by ousted correspondents Vega and Alfonsi, but which Pelly said he’d refused. He said politicians were now being invited to pick which correspondents would interview them. Weiss denies the charges. When she told staff she’d tried to “find a way back” with Pelley, he called that false: no one, he said, had offered a way back at all. Pelley tied it to the owners. Paramount Skydance’s David Ellison installed Weiss, encouraged her to shake up CBS News, and signed off on the firing. The legend of 60 Minutes, Pelley said, was being discarded “to curry a moment of favor with the Trump administration.” Paramount, whose purchase of CBS was approved after the network settled a lawsuit brought by the president, is currently awaiting crucial Justice Department antitrust clearance and an FCC foreign-ownership waiver for its proposed $111 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. Pelley spent 37 years at CBS. He reported from wars, covered the White House, anchored the evening news, and filed for 60 Minutes from places where the work could get you killed. His departure statement thanked the people who “encouraged and enriched my work, very often at the risk of their own lives.” When he anchored the Evening News, Pelley kept photographs on the set of the CBS correspondents and crew killed in the line of duty, so he would not forget them. You can read many more details elsewhere. It’s been covered a lot, as has Pelley’s extraordinary CBS career, perhaps the most decorated in broadcast television. It’s said it is better to live by what they’ll say in your eulogy than by what it says on your resume. Pelley doesn’t have to choose. When his time at CBS came to an end, it was greeted with a flood of testimonials to the character and dedication he showed nurturing talent, providing a model of excellence, and stewarding the values that gave meaning to the daily labors of tens of thousands of people at CBS over the years, including your correspondent. That

5. juni 20261 h 6 min
episode Stack the Week cover

Stack the Week

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for May 25th through the 29th. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. A war plays out in press releases, a Pope puts down a marker, January 6 records are unmarked, but the acting AG has tire marks thanks to his predecessor. Everything is bigger in Texas but the electorate, but CEO pay is bigger than the lone star state, one sign of a strong economy where more people go hungry, stay out of the car and break the piggy bank. Gen Z is tan and unemployed. The markets think Anthropic has a plan Tony Blair doesn’t think his party does. Sonny Rollins was the last man on the stoop and the beer that made Milwaukee famous, poured out for good. But time has not caught up with the Floppy disks holding the planes apart. We’ll spell it out like bromocriptine but with typos so you’ll believe us. Let’s take it day by day. Monday May 25 Monday’s stories all seemed to circle the idea of memory. The memory stored in institutions, the memory carried by experts, the memory that disappears when the last person in a photograph dies, and the hidden memory written into our own lives– by the worship of the sun or profit– by choices whose consequences may not arrive for decades. The future, as it turns out, spends a lot of time in conversation with the past. Iran: One Foot on the Gas and Break Graham Wallas, the British political thinker, wrote a book exactly a century ago called The Art of Thought. We here at Stack the Week go in for that kind of thing because, as I will detail in a longer note later, part of this experiment is not just to come up with a way to deliver the news but how to think about how we think about delivering the news. More on that later, but Wallas writes that mankind had increased its power over nature without increasing its control over that power through thought. Chemists and engineers could devise methods of destruction beyond anything previous generations imagined. Statesmen, meanwhile, still struggled to cooperate much as tribal leaders had in the stone age. This was on my mind Monday when President Trump described negotiations with Iran as proceeding in an “orderly and constructive manner.” The same day the U.S. military announced strikes on Iranian missile sites and boats laying mines. The weapons have changed. They are advanced in ways that would have seemed like sorcery in 1926, but the political problem has not. Modern militaries can strike targets hundreds of miles away with extraordinary precision. Their countries still depend, however, on negotiations conducted by fallible human beings carrying rival interests, fears and ambitions. K-shaped Gas Prices Impact Since the Iran war began driving up energy prices, the burden has fallen unevenly. For households earning roughly $40,000 a year or less, commuting fuel costs now consume about 4 percent of income, according to a Washington Post analysis, up from 3 percent last year. For households earning $100,000 or more, the figure remains below 1 percent. The difference is not simply income; it is flexibility. Lower-income workers are more likely to live farther from work after being priced out of expensive urban areas, more likely to have fixed schedules, and less likely to have alternatives to driving. Research from the New York Federal Reserve found that after the Strait of Hormuz closure pushed energy prices higher, households earning under $40,000 cut gasoline consumption by about 7 percent, while higher-income households changed little. But cutting gasoline consumption is not like cutting back on luxury purchases. It often means skipping a doctor’s appointment, delaying errands, seeing family less often, or missing church. The cost shows up not just in a household budget, but in the routines and relationships that hold a life together. Pope and AI Maybe it was the Pope who had us thinking this week about the pace of technology and the pokey pace of the human race. On Monday, Leo XIV released Magnifica Humanitas — “Magnificent Humanity” — his first encyclical, a roughly 42,300-word letter on how Christianity should guide the development of artificial intelligence. Its warning rested on two biblical images: the Tower of Babel, as a symbol of technological hubris, and Nehemiah’s rebuilding of Jerusalem, as a model of collective human restoration. Leo signed the document on May 15, the 135th anniversary of Rerum Novarum, the 1891 encyclical by Leo XIII that became the foundation of modern Catholic social teaching on labor and industrial capitalism. That document met the upheaval of factories, child labor and urban squalor by calling on governments to “save unfortunate working people from the cruelty of men of greed.” Leo XIV is claiming the same moral jurisdiction over a transformation whose final shape no one can yet describe. (And he also reminded us that greed and its clash with the human condition is a permanent part of that condition, just as power and ego is a part of our politics today in a way that it was when America was founded. Both are an argument that old books and ideas can teach us new lessons.) The more unusual signal came from Christopher Olah, a co-founder of Anthropic, one of the major artificial intelligence companies. Speaking at the Vatican presentation, Olah said, “We need moral voices that the incentives cannot bend.” That is an extraordinary concession from inside the industry: someone building the technology acknowledging that the market’s incentives alone will not produce moral outcomes. Leo called for government regulation of A.I. companies; protection and retraining for threatened workers; education that teaches students to think critically about the technology; stronger defenses for children against violent, sexualized and fake material online; and human responsibility over every decision involving weapons. That last point connects to the warning at the start of our stack this week. “The growing ease with which autonomous weapons systems can be deployed makes war more ‘feasible’ and less subject to human control,” Leo wrote. The message was not anti-technology. Leo described A.I. as a “profoundly human reality” that could relieve dangerous work, improve medical diagnosis and expand personalized education. But only if it serves human agency rather than replacing it. At the core of the encyclical is the claim that work is not merely income but identity — “a requirement of the human condition, a normal path toward maturity, development and personal fulfillment.” The predictable question is whether Silicon Valley will listen. But encyclicals rarely work by converting the powerful on first reading. Rerum Novarum did not persuade factory owners to raise wages. It gave Catholic trade unionists, politicians and intellectuals a moral vocabulary for the labor fights that followed. The question is not whether anyone reads all 42,300 words. It is whether the document gives people already uneasy about A.I. a sturdier language to encourage everybody to slow down and think what they’re doing. Teen Summer Job Market During my high school summers, I worked at the concession stand of a semi-pro basketball league, kept the books for that league, and spent two summers in a computer store selling and repairing computers. The jobs taught me how to deal with adults, show up on time, handle criticism, and generally keep from wandering off into the street. Those jobs are becoming less common. The Wall Street Journal reports that teen summer hiring is on track for its worst season since 1948, when Americans were still celebrating victory in World War II. Inflation and fuel costs are squeezing the small businesses that traditionally hire young workers. Resorts, hotels, amusement parks and other leisure employers are cutting seasonal hiring. Many teenagers are choosing something else entirely: college preparation, sports, extracurricular activities or online ventures. More than half of American teenagers worked in the 1970s and 1980s. Today, only about 35% do. One exception stands out. Lifeguards remain in short supply. Job postings are up 78% from a year ago, according to Indeed. The work requires certification, however, and employers say low pay and difficult conditions make recruiting difficult. What disappears when you don’t have to steal your Dad’s tie and sweat at the bus stop to make it on time to your summer job? For generations, entry-level work taught punctuality, responsibility, customer service, workplace conflict management and the simple experience of earning a paycheck. A first job often introduced teenagers to people outside their families, schools and friend groups. At a moment when concerns about adolescent loneliness and isolation already run high—with a Washington University study finding that nearly 1 in 2 young adults aged 18 to 24 now report chronic loneliness—one of the ways of mixing in a community is withering.. Jan. 6 Memory Hole If the Capitol of the world’s most successful democracy is stormed by a mob and there isn’t a web page about it, did it even happen? The Department of Justice has removed webpages detailing charges, convictions and case information related to the January 6 attack on the Capitol. When the Washington Post reported that the department was quietly deleting information about the cases, the DOJ’s Rapid Response account replied that there was “nothing ‘quiet’ about it.” The department said it was “proud to reverse” what it called the Biden administration’s “weaponization” of justice. It described its own prosecution records as “partisan propaganda” and pledged to help make whole those it says were persecuted for political reasons. The records documented one of the largest criminal investigations in American history. More than 1,500 people were charged. Roughly 1,000 pleaded guilty or were convicted. The cases arose from the January 6 attack by Trump supporters that halted Congress as lawmakers met to certify the results of the 2020 presidential election which Donald Trump lost. President Trump has now pardoned or commuted the sentences of most January 6 defendants. He continues to say he won the 2020 election. That claim survived neither evidence nor scrutiny. More than sixty courts rejected challenges to the election results. Eighty-six judges rejected them, including many appointed by Trump. His attorney general rejected claims of widespread fraud. His campaign’s own data operation found no path to proving the election had been stolen. His director of election security called the election the most secure in American history. So, if you were looking for an analogy to explain the president’s position, this would not just be like a president saying the moon is made of cheese, but it would be like a president insisting that he’d had a grilled moon cheese sandwich that afternoon for lunch. The fight is larger than a set of archived webpages. Democracies depend on public records because memory fades and political incentives change. Historians, students and citizens rarely agree about what an event means. They can at least begin with the same evidence. The question raised by the deletions is not whether January 6 happened. The videos, court records and news coverage remain. The question is who gets to decide which parts of the historical record the government preserves, and which parts it treats as propaganda. Gen Z Tanning An entire generation is trusting influencers over institutions on a subject where the damage won’t show up for twenty years. Only 25 percent of Gen Z respondents in a new American Academy of Dermatology survey expressed concern about developing skin cancer, compared with 39 percent of the general population. One in five said having a tan matters more than preventing skin cancer. A quarter previously told researchers that looking good now was worth looking worse later. And by worse we mean like a satchel you might find stuffed under a table at a flea market. Part of the problem may be where people are getting their information. Thirty-six percent of Gen Z respondents rely primarily on TikTok and Instagram influencers for skincare advice, nearly double the rate of the general population. One-third scored a D or F on a basic sun-safety assessment. Sixty-five percent believe a “base tan” protects against sunburns or lowers cancer risk, though a tan is actually evidence of DNA damage. (So this is like saying a few shots does not contribute to drunkenness). More than half wear sunscreen only when it’s hot and sunny, even though most ultraviolet radiation passes through cloud cover. Influencers often portray commercial sunscreens as toxic and falsely claim they cause cancer. The dermatology academy says 16 million American adults have reduced or stopped using sunscreen because of unverified online claims. The dispute takes place in the same register as the ones we had during the era of Covid-19. Dermatologists are trying to persuade people with expertise. Influencers are persuading them with social proof. The dermatologist says, “Trust me because I know.” The influencer says, “Trust me because you know me.” The trouble is that skin cancer operates on a long delay. A bad financial tip may empty your wallet by next month. A bad skin-care tip can sit quietly for decades. Melanoma is already the third most common cancer diagnosed in Americans between 25 and 39. Indoor tanning before age 30 increases melanoma risk by 75 percent. Five or more sunburns doubles the risk. Many of today’s tanning decisions will not be judged by next summer’s beach photos. They will be judged years from now in dermatologists’ offices, when someone notices a changing mole, schedules a biopsy and discovers that the skin — while it was looking great on your TikTok account — was also keeping score the whole time. Sonny Rollins Sonny Rollins spent six decades proving that the purpose of mastering the rules was not to follow them forever. The tenor saxophonist died Monday at his home in Woodstock, New York. He was 95. Rollins came up in the bebop era alongside John Coltrane and Charlie Parker, learning jazz’s underlying architecture: chord changes, harmonic structures and the disciplined vocabulary of improvisation. Most great musicians spend their lives refining those skills. Rollins used them as a starting point. He became one of the pioneers of free jazz, following fragments of melody wherever they led. A performance might begin with a familiar song and end somewhere entirely different. All jazz musicians improvise. Many improvise within established patterns, the way a speaker works within a language. Rollins improvised the way someone invents a language while speaking it. The paradox was that this freedom required extraordinary discipline. Rollins once spent nearly two years in self-imposed exile from performing, practicing alone on the Williamsburg Bridge because he felt he had more to learn. “You can’t think and play at the same time — believe me, I’ve tried it,” he once said. “I’m not supposed to be playing, the music is supposed to be playing me. I’m just supposed to be standing there with the horn, moving my fingers.” It sounds mystical until you realize how many human pursuits work the same way. The experienced driver is not consciously calculating every movement of the wheel. The skilled interviewer is not reciting a checklist of questions. The writer is not diagramming every sentence. Mastery begins with rules. Sometimes it ends by making them disappear. Rollins was also the last surviving person in A Great Day in Harlem, the famous 1958 photograph that gathered 57 jazz musicians on a Harlem stoop. Schlitz Farewell Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous, is disappearing just as the fastest-growing part of the beer business no longer contains beer. Pabst Brewing announced it will discontinue the 175-year-old brand. Wisconsin Brewing Co. brewed one final batch Saturday in Verona. Dozens of locals showed up to watch. Milwaukee-area liquor stores quickly sold out of what remained. At the turn of the twentieth century, Schlitz was the best-selling beer in the world. It got there through catastrophe. After the Great Chicago Fire of 1871 destroyed much of the city’s brewing infrastructure, Joseph Schlitz loaded steamships with beer, crossed Lake Michigan and established distribution points throughout the devastated city. The effort won customers, broke local monopolies and helped transform Milwaukee into one of America’s brewing capitals. The company’s famous slogan — “The Beer That Made Milwaukee Famous” — was less a claim about taste than a claim about economics. Schlitz spent decades buying Chicago real estate and constructing ornate corner saloons that sold its beer exclusively. The company wasn’t simply producing a drink. It was helping build the places where people gathered after work, traded gossip, argued politics and met their neighbors. That world appears to be fading. The overall beer market shrank last year. Non-alcoholic beer grew 8 percent. The category now generates roughly $25 billion globally and analysts expect it to double by the mid-2030s. One way to read those numbers is as a health story. Americans want fewer calories, less alcohol and fewer hangovers. Another way to read them is as a story about changing habits. The beer that made Milwaukee famous grew alongside crowded saloons and neighborhood gathering places. The industry’s future may belong to people who still want the taste but increasingly organize their lives around work, fitness, wellness and activities that begin not at the end of the day but the next morning. Tuesday May 27 Tuesday’s stories were full of things that revealed their true value only when they disappeared. The internet after an eighty-eight-day blackout. Competitive elections after power migrates to primaries. Transparency after governments tighten control of information. Even typos, which turn out to matter once machines stop making them. Iran On Tuesday the United States struck Iran for the second day in a row, hitting missile sites and minelaying boats, and again called the attacks acts of self-defense carried out with restraint. Tehran called them a flagrant violation of the ceasefire, proof of “bad faith and unreliability,” and warned that Washington would answer for all consequences. The talks President Trump had called orderly and constructive on Monday were, by Tuesday, being conducted by press release and ordnance. When the House debated a War Powers vote earlier this year, the Speaker argued there was no kinetic activity underway, so no vote was needed. The resolution does not say that. It speaks of situations where hostilities are imminent — exactly the condition a second day of strikes appears to describe, long after the 60 day triggering threshold for the War Powers Act has passed. Nevertheless, the “ceasefire” remains in effect. But if attacks can still take place during a ceasefire, that seems a pretty weak word to use. What is meant by it, apparently, is not that the firing has ceased but that it has not yet become full-scale carnage. The gap between words and reality showed up elsewhere in Iran this week. For eighty-eight days an Iranian shopkeeper could not take a payment, a student could not reach a server, a family could not call out, and a business could not reliably do business. The government imposed what became the longest internet blackout ever ordered by a country. Tens of millions of people were cut off from the outside world because their leaders feared what citizens might learn, organize or communicate more than they feared the cost of silence. Eventually the costs won. Students needed to take exams. Businesses needed to function. Even some officials reportedly wanted the networks restored before the economic damage became politically damaging too. After eighty-eight days, internet service began returning, though only partially. One Iranian man told the BBC that the restoration felt “exactly like a prisoner being released after three months of imprisonment and seeing the sky for the first time.” When websites finally loaded again and messages began flowing through WhatsApp and Telegram, he said he was nearly brought to tears. Politics: Texas Only 7.4 percent of Texas’s registered voters participated in the Republican Senate runoff. That small slice of the electorate is what made Ken Paxton the Republican nominee for Senate. Increasingly, that is how American politics works: in many places, the voters who decide elections are not the broad public in November but a narrow, highly motivated minority in low-turnout primaries. Paxton, indicted on securities fraud charges and impeached by his own party’s legislature, defeated Senator John Cornyn. Cornyn voted with Donald Trump 99.2 percent of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight’s historical tracking. A party that rejects a 99-percent loyalist over the other one percent is sending a signal. Cornyn’s greatest offenses were not policy disagreements. He certified Joe Biden’s 2020 victory rather than challenge the result based on unproven allegations. After the Uvalde school shooting, he helped negotiate the first federal gun-safety legislation in three decades with Democrats. In both cases, he chose the institution over the movement. When a general election becomes noncompetitive, power migrates to the primary. When power migrates to the primary, it migrates to the most motivated voters. Politicians adapt accordingly. They become trained in resisting compromise and engaging in showy acts of loyalty, which usually means attacking the other party, further eroding the chances for the compromise necessary to pass actual legislation. It was the most expensive Senate primary in American history, with more than $120 million spent on advertising and campaigning. Cornyn spent the closing weeks of the race trying to prove he could be every bit as loyal as his challenger. It did not work. The party establishment understood the risk. For more than a year, the National Republican Senatorial Committee ran advertisements calling Paxton “Crooked Ken” and warning he could hand the seat to Democrats. Within hours of his victory, those attacks disappeared. Republicans currently hold the Senate 53-47. Texas was supposed to be a safe Republican seat. The day Paxton won, the Cook Political Report shifted the race from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican” — not because Texas changed, but because Republicans selected a nominee many analysts consider weaker in a general election. Democrats hope to capitalize on that opening with State Representative James Talarico. South Carolina and Alabama Gerrymanders blocked The mid-cycle redistricting frenzy of 2026 — a partisan land grab sparked by the president and accelerated by recent court rulings — just ran into something stronger than party loyalty: self-preservation. Wait, didn’t we just spend the last item talking about how Republicans are increasingly required to be loyal to Donald Trump? Yes. But politics is a competition among incentives, and this week some Republicans decided that keeping their seats mattered more than pleasing the president — deciding the Democratic anger about removing all districts that represented Black voters would be greater than the retributive anger of Donald Trump for not following his wishes. In South Carolina, Governor Henry McMaster called a special legislative session under pressure from Trump and the White House to redraw the state’s congressional map and eliminate the lone Democratic district held by Representative James Clyburn. Early momentum suggested Republicans might succeed. Then the math kicked in. The problem was that Democrats removed from Clyburn’s district would have to go somewhere. That somewhere was neighboring Republican districts. A plan designed to create a cleaner 7-0 Republican delegation could instead weaken surrounding GOP seats and turn a stable 6-1 map into a more vulnerable 5-2 map in a bad election year where Black voters were newly infuriated by being railroaded by the political process. There was also a practical complication: overseas absentee ballots had already been printed. Alabama produced a different kind of resistance. A three-judge federal panel blocked an attempt to revive a disputed congressional map, writing that it could not require voters to cast ballots under a plan “tainted by intentional race-based discrimination.” The judges concluded that state lawmakers had deliberately defied earlier court orders requiring a second district in which Black voters could elect their preferred candidate. The court also invoked the Purcell principle, the doctrine holding that election rules should not be changed too close to an election because doing so risks voter confusion and undermines confidence in the process. Together the decisions slowed what had become a nationwide redistricting arms race. Eight states have already adopted new congressional maps. Three others remain in active litigation. President Trump hopes the redraws will create a Republican bulwark against a potential Democratic wave fueled by his low approval ratings. President to Walter Reed President Donald Trump visited Walter Reed National Military Medical Center on Tuesday for a routine medical and dental checkup, according to a White House official. While the President routinely asserts that he remains in “excellent health”—most recently declaring on Truth Social after his last physical that “Everything checked out PERFECTLY”—the checkup arrived amid persistent public rumors regarding visible symptoms, including swollen ankles and consistent bruising on his hands. It marked the president’s third visit to Walter Reed in just thirteen months, a frequency that breaks from the standard modern presidential precedent of a single, comprehensive annual physical at the facility. For a typical individual turning eighty next month, medical guidelines recommend at least one to two primary care checkups a year to monitor age-related risks, though frequent visits are common when managing chronic issues like the chronic venous insufficiency the White House previously confirmed. Ultimately, the visit draws heightened national attention as Trump prepares to enter his ninth decade, on his way to becoming the oldest person ever to occupy the presidency. NDAs for Federal Workers Have you ever tried to get a straight answer out of a massive corporate bureaucracy? Everyone is terrified of public relations problems, nobody wants to speak on the record, and every answer seems to pass through three lawyers before it reaches you. Now imagine applying that model to the federal government. The Office of Personnel Management has proposed requiring current and future federal employees to sign broad non-disclosure agreements intended to reduce leaks to the press. The draft policy takes an expansive view of what counts as confidential, covering internal operations, personnel matters, procurement decisions, and a wide range of non-public deliberations. Supporters argue the government has a legitimate interest in protecting sensitive information and ensuring employees work through proper channels. Critics respond that many important stories about waste, incompetence, misconduct, and corruption reach the public only because someone inside government was willing to speak. The president of the American Federation of Government Employees argues that public servants do not surrender their First Amendment rights in exchange for a government paycheck. The broader concern is that the proposal could discourage employees from sharing even unclassified information that might embarrass an agency or administration. The debate reaches beyond one personnel policy. Modern governments generate enormous amounts of information, much of it hidden from public view. Citizens depend on inspectors general, whistleblowers, watchdog groups, congressional oversight and journalists to understand what is happening inside institutions they cannot directly observe. Every administration dislikes leaks but those who serve in administrations seeking to maintain democratic norms understand that a press that investigates what is being done on the people’s behalf is a necessary part of a democracy. American Airlines Goes Starlink Do you purchase Wi-Fi when you’re flying? I’m sorry, it’s not working. Try it again. Oh, there it is working. Nope, it’s not working again. They’ve reset the system. You can load it on your phone, but not on your computer. Oh great, it’s working. Unfortunately, it’s working at the baud rate of a 1985 computer. The airlines are in a race to improve your experience. That’s why when you fly Delta, they will tell you that Delta is on a Wi-Fi journey to improve its service, which sounds like something that requires a team of therapists. The amenity wars among airlines have moved from seatback screens and legroom to something more basic: whether passengers remain connected to the rest of the world. Airlines are desperate to capture high-margin business travelers and premium leisure travelers who refuse to be offline for even one quivering desperate clutching moment. Business travelers want to work. Leisure travelers want to stream. Parents want to text their children. Increasingly, people regard six hours without internet access the way earlier generations regarded six hours without electricity. That is why American Airlines’ announcement Tuesday that it will install SpaceX’s Starlink service on roughly 500 narrow-body Airbus aircraft matters. High-speed, gate-to-gate connectivity is rapidly moving from luxury perk to baseline expectation. The technology behind that shift is a constellation of low-Earth-orbit satellites that can deliver dramatically faster speeds and lower latency than the older geostationary systems that have long frustrated airline passengers. By signing major carriers one after another—first United, now American—Starlink is positioning itself as the connective tissue not only for remote farms, ships at sea and rural communities, but increasingly for the ordinary routines of modern life. Tyops Humans of the earth untie. I mean unite. I may have just proved I am human. Both because of a typo and a dad joke. A report Tuesday by The Atlantic highlights the growing role typos play in establishing humanity in an age increasingly flooded with polished, AI-generated content. Tyops are not sloppy. They’re authentic. Though try making that joke in Google Docs. The software keeps correcting “tyops” to “typos.” The machines are ever vigilant, and so too must we be. Some job applicants are now intentionally planting spelling mistakes in cover letters to prove a machine did not write them. Corporate executives and celebrities receive praise for sending messages that appear unedited. Researchers studying dating apps have found that minor mistakes can make a profile seem more genuine because they suggest an actual human being sat down and typed the words. The strange consequence is that some of the qualities we once tried hardest to eliminate are becoming valuable again. For decades technology promised a future free of mistakes. Now mistakes themselves are becoming evidence that a person was involved. We’re all figuring out personal watermarks. You can imagine this spreading beyond typos. Instead of showing up at the door with six-pack abs and a professionally optimized dating profile, future Romeos may prepare for their date by wrinkling their shirt. Perhaps mash a handful of crushed potato chips under the arms to create that authentic “I’ve been on the couch for three days contemplating existence” look. Wednesday May 27 A war looks different when you calculate how long it takes to replace the missiles. An economy looks different when you ask who received the gains. Fun looks different when you ask whether people are really talking about meaning. Even a guitar becomes a different object after seventy years of imitation. Iran On Wednesday the Iran conflict looked less like a military campaign than a public argument about leverage. President Trump told his cabinet that Iran had misjudged him. “They thought they were going to outwait me. You know, ‘we’ll outwait him. He’s got the midterms.’ I don’t care about the midterms.” The statement was aimed at Iran, but it also carried an implicit claim about public support. Trump appeared to cite the previous night’s political results as evidence of strength. Yet the election he was referring to was a Republican primary in Texas decided by fewer than ten percent of registered voters. National polling paints a different picture. Multiple surveys now show majorities of Americans disapprove of the conflict and would prefer the United States disengage rather than remain involved in a prolonged war. Still, the point of the statement was not really polling. It was signaling. Trump wanted Iran to believe he is willing to stay in the fight. Iran spent the day sending signals of its own. State television published what it described as the outlines of a preliminary agreement with the United States. The reported framework discussed shipping lanes, sanctions and military withdrawals. Missing from the proposal was any meaningful discussion of Iran’s nuclear program—the issue that led to the conflict in the first place. The White House dismissed the report as a fabrication. Whether the proposal was real is almost beside the point. Like Trump’s comments, it was an attempt to shape perceptions about who has leverage and who needs a deal. That dynamic appeared again later Wednesday when Trump threatened military action against Oman if it participated in a joint arrangement to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. For those of you keeping score, Oman is a US ally. According to CNN’s tally, Oman becomes the 15th country Trump has either threatened to attack, left open the possibility of attacking, or actually attacked during his two terms. Those countries are home to roughly one out of every eleven people on Earth. Missile Gap In the 1960 presidential campaign, John F. Kennedy warned of a “missile gap” between the Soviet Union and the United States. The war with Iran has revealed a different kind of missile gap: the gap between how quickly America can fire missiles and how quickly it can replace them. A new analysis from the Center for Strategic and International Studies estimates it will take roughly three years for the United States to replenish the munitions stockpiles depleted so far in the war. The problem is not money. Congress has already appropriated replacement funds. The problem is time. Modern missiles require specialized factories, trained workers, complex supply chains and long production schedules. A Tomahawk cruise missile can be launched in seconds. Replacing it can take years. The United States has expended more than 1,000 Tomahawks during the conflict. Over the past decade, the Navy purchased an average of just 86 per year. Raytheon recently produced fewer than 200 annually. The Navy now wants 785 Tomahawks in its 2027 budget request, but according to Defense Department projections those missiles will not begin arriving until 2030. CSIS estimates the inventory expended during the war will not be fully restored until late that year. That creates what military planners call a window of vulnerability. America still possesses overwhelming military power, but some of its most sophisticated weapons now exist primarily as purchase orders and production schedules rather than inventory sitting in warehouses, launch tubes and magazines. CEO Pay Imagine starting your career today and working continuously until the year 2226. For workers at half the companies in the S&P 500, you still would not have earned what their CEO made this year. In a single year. According to an Associated Press analysis, the typical CEO compensation package rose nearly 6 percent in 2025 to $17.7 million. The median employee earned $89,744, a 4.7 percent increase that technically outpaced inflation but did little to relieve the financial pressure many households continue to face. The result is a widening gap. At the median company surveyed, it now takes a typical worker 200 years to earn what the chief executive earns in one year. Twelve months ago the figure was 192 years. Supporters of high executive compensation argue that running a large corporation requires rare skills and that boards must compete for talent. Critics respond that modern compensation packages increasingly reward executives for rising stock prices while leaving most workers dependent on wages that grow far more slowly. (And you’ll remember from one of our earlier Stack the Week stories that though productivity is up, the share of productivity going towards worker wages is as low as it has ever been.) The debate is ultimately about who benefits from economic growth. Corporate profits, stock prices and executive compensation have all risen sharply over the last generation. Workers have not benefited at anything close to the same pace. Food Insecurity Food insecurity is a sterile phrase for a very human experience. It means parents skipping meals so their children can eat. It means relying on food banks. It means standing in a grocery store calculating whether the last item rolling down the conveyor belt will last until the next paycheck. According to the USDA, 13.7 percent of American households now experience food insecurity, up from 10.2 percent in 2021. Among families with children, the figure rises to 18.4 percent—nearly one in five households and the highest level seen since the years surrounding the Great Recession. What makes these numbers notable is that the country is not in a recession. So if you’re gardening while listening to this and all of those percentages just blew past you, here’s the simple version: gas prices, rent, utilities and groceries have hit lower-income families particularly hard, and many of those families are hungry. Little of that shows up in the pretty graphs on the business shows or in the pronouncements from podiums about the strength of the economy. Unemployment remains relatively low. Economic growth continues. The disconnect helps explain one of the central puzzles of contemporary American life: why so many people feel economically strained even when headline indicators appear undismal. The problem is that necessities consume most of the budget for lower-income households. When rent, groceries, utilities and insurance rise, there are few places left to cut. A wealthier family may postpone a vacation or eat out less often. A poorer family is already spending most of its income on the basics. At the same time, pandemic-era assistance programs expired, savings accumulated during the pandemic dwindled, and many households turned to credit cards to bridge the gap. Once those options disappear, even a small setback—a missed shift, a car repair, an unexpected medical bill—can become a crisis. The psychological toll is beginning to show up in surveys. According to the New York Fed, families that regularly run out of food have become dramatically more pessimistic about their financial futures. The share expecting to be better off a year from now has fallen sharply since 2020. Are You Having Fun? Those data might explain this next item. “I arise in the morning torn between a desire to improve the world and a desire to enjoy the world. This makes it hard to plan the day.” That observation by E.B. White came to mind after reading a new survey on fun. When asked whether they were having enough fun, 48 percent of Americans said no. Twelve percent said they could not remember the last time they had an entire free day to enjoy themselves. Half said they wished they could do something fun and social every day—or at least several times a week. On average, those who felt deprived said an additional 17 hours of free time each week would make a meaningful difference. What counts as fun? Mostly familiar activities. Americans reported spending leisure time watching television (77 percent), seeing family and friends (69 percent), dining out (59 percent), enjoying outdoor activities (50 percent), pursuing hobbies (49 percent), and playing games (48 percent). But before we go any further, it is worth asking what fun actually means. I find Stack the Week fun. It is also a tremendous amount of work. A great play is fun. So is a long conversation with a friend. Watching television may be enjoyable, but it feels like a different category. Fun seems to imply something more than pleasure. It suggests engagement. Novelty. Play. The feeling that, for a little while, you are more alive than usual. Time passes slowly. Whatever fun is, Americans appear to think they need more of it. More than seven in ten respondents said it reduces stress. Others said it improves motivation and helps them feel closer to family and friends. Perhaps what people are really saying is not that they lack fun. Perhaps they lack the freedom to pursue the things that make life feel larger than the obligations that fill most days. The survey asked about fun. The answers may have been describing meaning. Guitar Drama If you close your eyes and imagine an electric guitar, there’s a very good chance you’re picturing a Fender Stratocaster. That’s remarkable because Fender no longer owns the shape. Leo Fender, who was not a musician himself, designed the Stratocaster in 1954 by asking working guitarists what they wanted and then building it. The result proved so influential, and so widely copied, that a U.S. trademark board ruled in 2009 that the design had become generic. Too many companies had been making Strat-style guitars for too long. The silhouette had entered the culture. Now Fender wants it back. According to the Wall Street Journal, Fender recently sent cease-and-desist letters to guitar makers demanding they stop producing Strat-shaped instruments, recall unsold inventory and destroy remaining stock. The company is relying on a German court ruling that declared the Stratocaster a copyrightable work of art under German and European law. The maneuver is clever. Fender lost the trademark fight in the United States. So it found a different legal path in a different country and is now attempting to use that ruling against companies selling guitars elsewhere. The dispute turns on a surprisingly difficult question: when does an idea stop belonging to its creator? We usually think of success as ownership. But some creations become so successful they escape ownership entirely. Nobody asks permission to build a rocking chair. Nobody pays royalties to write a sonnet. The Stratocaster may have crossed the same threshold. It became less a product than a category. That question feels especially contemporary. Artists, authors and musicians are all wrestling with it in the age of artificial intelligence. How much originality deserves protection? How much imitation is permissible? And when does something become so woven into the culture that it belongs to everyone? Fender’s argument is that the Stratocaster remains a work of art. Its critics argue it has become something rarer: a work of art so influential that it turned into a common language. Counting Sheep in China Here’s a fun item. In China many office workers are daydreaming about counting sheep. Late last month a job post for a position looking after 3,000 sheep in Mongolia went viral on Chinese social media and attracted white-collar applicants. More than 700 people applied, including office workers from Shanghai and Chongqing, factory workers, and university graduates. The posting generated 59 million views within hours and became one of the country’s most discussed topics online. The frenzy comes at a difficult moment for Chinese workers. Underemployment is rising, wages have struggled to keep pace with economic growth, and many employees complain about the country’s notorious “996” work culture—9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week. Analysts expect conditions to become more challenging as factories face higher costs from the war in Iran, artificial intelligence reshapes parts of the labor market, and a record 12.7 million university graduates begin looking for work this summer. The appeal wasn’t entirely romantic. The job paid 8,000 yuan a month—about $1,100—well above the average salary at many private companies, and included housing and groceries. The farm owner ultimately hired two couples, all born in the 1980s and all with prior farming experience. He kept another 40 couples on a waiting list but ruled out singles and young city dwellers. His reason was simple. “In our place, you might not see people for a whole year,” he said. “Whether someone can endure such loneliness, I don’t know.” Thursday May 28 It was a day of negotiations: over peace, over money, over political identity and over perception. Nations negotiated to end a war. Families negotiated with dwindling savings. Political parties negotiated between ideology and electability. And millions of people around the world negotiated whether the story America tells about itself is still worth buying a ticket to experience. Iran: Negotiating in Public David French captured the strange moment in the Iran war this way: “At the moment, the United States is negotiating with a regime that President Trump claimed we had already changed, to open a strait that was supposed to be open last month, and to end a nuclear program that we said we had obliterated.” That paradox sits at the center of a potentially significant diplomatic breakthrough. According to Axios on Thursday, U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached a 60-day memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire and create a framework for talks over Iran’s nuclear program. The deal still requires President Trump’s approval, and Iran has not yet formally accepted it. Under the proposed agreement, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz would become unrestricted, Iran would remove mines from the waterway within 30 days, and the United States would gradually lift its naval blockade and issue sanctions waivers allowing Iran to resume oil exports. Iran, in turn, would commit not to pursue a nuclear weapon and begin negotiations over the disposal of its highly enriched uranium and the future of its enrichment program. The United States would also agree to discuss sanctions relief, the release of frozen Iranian funds, and mechanisms for delivering humanitarian aid and commercial goods. The proposed framework highlights the gap between military objectives and political outcomes. Some of the issues under negotiation—Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief and regional security arrangements—predated the war. Others exist only because of the war. The Strait of Hormuz was open before the fighting began. The naval blockade did not exist. The mines were not in the water. Part of what is now being hailed as a breakthrough consists of restoring conditions that existed before the conflict began. And, of course, even as diplomats worked on the framework, the war continued. Overnight Wednesday, Iran fired a ballistic missile at a U.S. base in Kuwait, which was intercepted, while U.S. forces shot down four Iranian drones and struck a drone-control facility inside Iran. The exchange served as a reminder that the parties are still negotiating over objectives that President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have repeatedly declared were already achieved. American’s Savings Rate Decline Americans are dipping deeper into their savings. The Commerce Department reported that the personal saving rate fell to 2.6 percent in April, down from 4.3 percent at the beginning of the year and the lowest level since June 2022. Part of the explanation is straightforward: prices continue to rise and consumers have not yet meaningfully pulled back on spending. Roughly half of April’s spending increase went toward necessities such as gasoline, utilities, housing and food. But Americans also spent more on recreation and restaurants, suggesting many households are still trying to maintain familiar routines even as their financial cushions shrink. The more revealing economic news came from a revision to first-quarter growth. The Commerce Department lowered its estimate of economic growth from 2.0 percent to 1.6 percent after finding that consumer spending and investment were weaker than initially reported. That matters because the first quarter largely predates the economic effects of the Iran war. The administration argues that rising energy prices and economic anxiety stem from the conflict and from the determination to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. But the revised data suggest some of the weakness was already present. Consumers were spending less than previously believed. Economic growth was slower than previously believed and a great deal less than the 5% boasts that the administration once promised. Americans were already drawing down savings before the war added new pressures. The story here is not simply that prices are higher. It is that many households were already losing their financial cushion before the latest shock arrived. Savings are what absorb the unexpected car repair, the medical bill or the missed week of work. When that cushion shrinks, the next problem hurts more than the last one. Tony Blair Has Advice When we last looked at British politics two weeks ago, Prime Minister Keir Starmer was barely holding his job. Labour MPs were calling for him to step down. Cabinet ministers were resigning, some to position themselves to replace him. Now a former prime minister has put his oar in. Tony Blair published a 5,700-word broadside against his own party, arguing that what ails Labour is not the leader but the absence of a plan. He called the destination the “radical centre” — policy first, politics last. His prescriptions all run the same direction: toward business and away from the party’s left wing. Cut welfare, which he says the country can no longer afford. Drop the planned wind-down of North Sea oil and gas, a green measure he blames for raising energy costs and driving away jobs. Stop being squeamish about artificial intelligence and treat it as the central project of governing. Mend relations with Donald Trump, not out of affection but because Britain’s economy is too weak to pick fights with Washington. Cheaper energy over cleaner. Business over the base. Blair wrote that Labour has “an almost infinite capacity for self-delusion,” and that it won in 2024 not by acclaim but by being the acceptable default to a Conservative government the country could no longer stomach. That’s a bit thick, critics would say. Blair was the cheerleader of George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq, the decision many on the left regard as Blair’s own great act of self-delusion. Forcing Starmer out before anyone knows what would replace him, Blair wrote, is not serious. Labour did not take it warmly. Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, who may challenge Starmer, named the flaw directly: Blair is diagnosing the wrong disease. The essay never mentions inequality, and a party that cannot see voters being priced out of ordinary lives—where roughly one in five Britons lives in poverty after housing costs are taken into account—does not understand the moment. That argument will sound familiar to American ears. It is the same fight increasingly bubbling up among Democrats: whether parties win by moving toward the center to capture growth and opportunity, or by focusing on the economic pressures that make many voters feel growth has passed them by. Also similar: the fight over whether ideological purity costs you the power to do anything at all. E. Jean Carroll The Justice Department has opened a criminal perjury investigation into E. Jean Carroll, the writer who successfully sued Donald Trump for sexual abuse and defamation. Prosecutors are reportedly examining whether Carroll lied during a 2022 deposition when she said she had not received outside funding for her lawsuit. It was later disclosed that billionaire Reid Hoffman helped cover some legal fees and expenses. A jury found Trump liable in 2023 for sexually abusing Carroll and awarded her $5 million. A second jury awarded her $83.3 million in 2024 after concluding Trump had defamed her by repeatedly attacking her claims. Trump has long denied the allegations, calling them a “made-up scam.” Carroll joins a growing list of former officials, investigators, prosecutors and critics who have faced criminal investigations, lawsuits or other legal scrutiny during Trump’s second term. It also demonstrates the President’s ironclad law that you go after those who have come after you, even though in this case it risks reminding voters in an election year of the considerable number of sexual assault claims leveled against him. Supporters argue these cases reflect a willingness to pursue wrongdoing regardless of politics. Critics see something else: the use of governmental power against people who have challenged the president personally or politically. CEO Confidence The people paid to be optimistic are getting less optimistic. The people who decide whether to build the factory, hire the workers, buy the equipment or expand the business are getting more nervous. A new survey from The Conference Board and The Business Council found CEO confidence fell 12 points in the second quarter to 47, pushing it back into negative territory after a burst of optimism earlier this year. Nearly half of chief executives now say economic conditions are worse than they were six months ago, up from just 8 percent in the previous quarter. The reversal is striking because it comes after the initial enthusiasm that greeted President Trump’s return to office. Earlier this year many business leaders expected faster growth, lighter regulation and stronger investment. Now they are looking at the same economy and reaching a different conclusion. As Conference Board chief economist Dana Peterson summarized it, CEOs believe conditions are materially worse than they were six months ago and expect further deterioration over the next six months. Often the White House responds to warnings about the economy by questioning the judgment of the people making them. That argument is harder to make here. These are not commentators or forecasters. They are the people making many of the decisions that determine whether the economy grows. The good news is that their caution has not yet translated into retreat. Most companies have not reduced planned capital spending, and a growing share expects to increase investment over the coming year. What has changed is their list of worries. Cybersecurity now ranks among the top concerns for nearly two-thirds of CEOs. Geopolitical instability, artificial intelligence, supply-chain disruptions and energy risks have all moved higher as well. Confidence measures tell us how people feel. Investment plans tell us what they are doing. At the moment, America’s business leaders are acting more confidently than they are talking. The question is how long that gap lasts. Ukraine’s Patriot Problem The war in Iran is now affecting another battlefield entirely. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says he is urgently pressing the United States for more Patriot missile interceptors, warning that supplies are running short as American stockpiles are depleted. “I believe the U.S. must act quicker,” he said during a visit to Sweden. A reminder that military power is not infinite. Every missile fired in one conflict is unavailable for another. At the same time, Ukraine is looking elsewhere. Zelenskyy announced plans to purchase Swedish Gripen fighter jets. The purchase will be financed through the European Union’s new €90 billion loan package for Ukraine. Jill Biden Ahead of the release of her memoir View from the East Wing, Jill Biden is offering a striking new account of Joe Biden’s disastrous 2024 debate performance. “I was frightened, because I had never ever seen Joe like that before or since. Never,” she told CBS News. “I don’t know what happened. As I watched it, I thought, ‘Oh, my God, he’s having a stroke.’ And it scared me to death.” As a reminder, if you think someone is having a stroke, time matters. Medical experts emphasize the acronym FAST: facial drooping, arm weakness, speech difficulty, time to call emergency services. Every minute without treatment increases the risk of permanent brain damage. The political significance of the quote is not the medical speculation but the contradiction it revives. The morning after the debate, Jill Biden publicly praised her husband, telling a rally crowd, “Joe, you did such a great job.” She was also widely reported to be among the strongest voices urging him to remain in the race. Which brings us back to one of the central questions of the 2024 campaign. If those closest to the president found his debate performance alarming enough to wonder whether he was suffering a medical emergency, why were they simultaneously assuring the public that nothing was wrong and encouraging him to continue his reelection bid? Jill Biden’s explanation attempts to portray the debate as a singular event. The difficulty is that many voters, journalists, donors and Democratic officials spent months debating whether it was singular. The debate became such a political earthquake precisely because it appeared to confirm concerns that had already been circulating for years which is an indictment of all those who covered up the obvious. France Finally Repeals a Slave Code France’s National Assembly voted unanimously this week to repeal the Code Noir, the 1685 law that governed slavery in France’s colonial empire. The measure passed 254-0, formally removing from French law a decree that treated enslaved people as property and authorized their sale, punishment, and exploitation. France abolished slavery in 1848, but the legal framework underpinning slavery was never formally repealed. For nearly 180 years after emancipation, the law remained. The vote is largely symbolic. Nobody was enforcing a seventeenth-century slave code. But symbols matter. France operated the world’s third-largest slave trade, transporting roughly 1.4 million Africans to colonies whose sugar wealth helped build cities such as Nantes and Bordeaux. The repeal serves as a reminder that ending an institution and fully reckoning with its legacy are often separated by generations. French Open Heat Wave When workers water the clay courts at the French Open between sets—a routine necessary to keep the crushed brick from drying out and blowing away—they have taken to directing their hoses at spectators begging to be cooled off, too. Temperatures during the opening days of the tournament have reached 33°C (91°F), unusually hot for late May in Paris. Players drape bags of ice around their necks during changeovers. Fans crowd around sprinklers. The heat is changing the game. Clay courts traditionally favor patient defenders. The surface slows the ball and rewards long rallies. Extreme heat alters those conditions. Warmer, thinner air creates less drag. Pressurized tennis balls become livelier. Serves arrive faster. Topspin jumps higher. Power hitters gain an advantage. It’s not just France. Britain is experiencing unusual heat as well. Firefighters battled a grass fire on Arthur’s Seat, the hill overlooking Edinburgh. Several drownings were reported in Britain and France as people sought relief from the temperatures. Tourism in America Declines A country exports many things: products, movies, ideas, culture. It also exports itself. Last year, fewer people bought American. International tourism to the United States fell by 5.5 percent in 2025, a loss of roughly four million foreign visitors and more than $8 billion in spending. Outside of the pandemic, it was the sharpest annual decline in foreign tourism to America in roughly two decades. Global tourism moved in the opposite direction. International travel grew worldwide. America was one of the few major destinations moving backward. The reasons appear to be both practical and political. Travel groups cite rising costs, a proposed $250 visa integrity fee, higher airfares driven in part by fuel prices, and a sharp drop in visitors from Canada. The dismantling of Brand USA, the country’s primary international tourism marketing organization, has not helped. But there may be something harder to measure at work as well. Tourism is one of the few industries where perception is the product. Visitors do not come to America because they need America. They come because they want America. They are buying a feeling, an experience, a story about the country they are about to visit. When fewer people choose that story, the consequences show up first in hotel occupancy rates, restaurant receipts and theme-park admissions. Friday May 29 A peace deal that wasn’t a deal. A fund that couldn’t pay anyone. An attorney general turned bus driver. A company worth Switzerland and a country worth less. An agent caught telling stories. And Louisiana, squeezed down to one. Floppy disks holding the planes apart is less frightening than eight kids flat on their backs a hundred feet up. Iran Friday, the Iran war negotiations were happening out in public again. President Trump laid out what he described as the terms for ending the Iran war. Iran must permanently abandon any nuclear weapons ambitions. The Strait of Hormuz must immediately reopen to unrestricted shipping. Remaining naval mines must be removed. The U.S. naval blockade would end. Buried enriched uranium would be excavated and destroyed in cooperation with Iran and international inspectors. “Other items, of far less importance, have been agreed to,” Trump wrote, before announcing he was headed to the Situation Room to make a “final determination.” Within hours, Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency called Trump’s account a “mixture of truth and lies.” Iranian officials disputed his claim that Tehran had agreed to free passage through the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. They also rejected his assertion that the United States and Iran would jointly excavate and destroy buried enriched uranium, saying no such provision appears in the draft framework currently under discussion. According to diplomatic leaks, the actual agreement on the table is more modest: a 60-day extension of the ceasefire, a phased reopening of shipping traffic, a gradual reduction of the U.S. naval blockade, and temporary sanctions relief while negotiators attempt to tackle the much harder questions surrounding Iran’s nuclear program. For the last several weeks, nearly every Friday has arrived bearing what appears to be a major breakthrough, only for the apparent breakthrough to dissolve by Monday morning. At this point, if your preferred foreign-policy doctrine is “wake me when something actually happens,” the recent news cycle has done little to challenge that view. “Anti-Weaponization” Blocked President Trump’s $1.8 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” ran into a problem Friday. A federal judge in Virginia temporarily blocked the administration from creating, funding or operating the program while legal challenges proceed. The fund was designed to compensate Trump allies and others who believe they were unfairly targeted by government investigations, prosecutions or administrative actions. The lawsuit that triggered the injunction was filed by a coalition including former federal prosecutor Andrew Floyd, who investigated the January 6 Capitol attack, and California professor Jonathan Caravello, who was arrested during an immigration protest; they argue the administration’s arbitrary definition of “weaponization” unconstitutionally excludes victims of political retaliation who do not align with the current White House. Their challenge is not simply that they want access to the fund. They argue the government cannot create a compensation program for victims of political targeting while limiting eligibility in a way that favors one political viewpoint over another. That argument gets at the central legal difficulty. If the government is compensating people harmed by politically motivated actions, what standards will it use to determine who qualifies? And can those standards be applied without regard to politics? Bondi Bus Driver Pam Bondi spent Friday defending the Trump administration’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files while refusing to answer questions about President Trump’s role in the process. Appearing before the House Oversight Committee, the former attorney general acknowledged that the Justice Department made redaction errors when releasing the files but insisted the department had been committed to “accountability and transparency” throughout the process. She said oversight of the release had been delegated to then-Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, who now serves as acting attorney general. This, in Washington, is called under-bussing. I.e. throwing someone

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episode Stack the Week cover

Stack the Week

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for May 18th through the 22nd. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. The president settled a lawsuit with himself, and his party started to notice. The cycle of threats and pauses in Iran continued as did the decline in the mood in the US. AI showed up everywhere — in commencement boos, papal encyclicals, and mass layoffs at companies reporting record profits. And deep in the ocean, scientists kept finding creatures that have been quietly outlasting every catastrophe on Earth for 400 million years. But let’s see if they can handle Colbert leaving. Let’s take it day by day. Monday May 18 Strike out in Iran, Trump settles with himself, Musk is unsettled, rioters smell a payout, Iran mulls taxing the internet. Iran It has been hard to keep up with the strikes threatened and called off in the Iran war, so you could be forgiven the confusion. Monday night President Trump posted that he’d called off the strike against Iran scheduled for Tuesday. He credited Saudi and Qatari leaders — both facing economic pain from the Strait closure and exposed to Iranian reprisal if bombing starts again — with brokering last-minute talks. Despite the delay the president said “The clock is ticking.” The pattern is now familiar enough to chart. Announce escalation. Accept intervention. Claim the intervention proves leverage. Repeat. The question each cycle is whether the pause reflects a genuine diplomatic opening or just a longer fuse on the same bomb. In Tehran, the Iranian President did something Iranian leaders almost never do: he admitted the damage. Speaking at a public event, he acknowledged deep infrastructure destruction from U.S. and Israeli strikes, crippling fuel shortages — gasoline production has dropped to 100 million liters against 150 million liters of daily demand — and severe economic strain. He pushed back explicitly against hardliners who want to walk away from negotiations. “It is not logical to say we will not negotiate,” he said — a sentence that only needs saying when a significant faction believes the opposite. That faction answered immediately. Former IRGC commander Mohammad Ali Jafari said publicly that talks should stop unless the U.S. makes major concessions first. The internal fight Pezeshkian was describing — whether to negotiate from weakness or refuse from pride — is the same split that blew up the Iranian delegation in Islamabad weeks ago, when Pakistani hosts spent more time separating Iranians from each other than from the Americans. Meanwhile, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council launched a new body it calls the “Persian Gulf Strait Authority,” declaring that any vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz without explicit permission will be treated as illegal. The move formalizes what has been happening in practice for weeks — Iran claiming sovereignty over the chokepoint. More quietly, and potentially more consequentially, Iranian lawmakers and state media floated plans to impose licensing fees on the undersea fiber-optic cables that cross the strait. Roughly a quarter of the internet traffic connecting Europe to Asia runs through those waters. Regulating the cables wouldn’t require a single missile — just a licensing regime and the implied threat that noncompliance could mean a cut line. On the water itself, the blockade grinds on. CENTCOM reported it has now redirected 85 commercial vessels and disabled four since enforcement began. Donald Trump won the presidency in part by saying that George W. Bush had made a mistake invading Iraq. Now voters think that of him. On the 73rd day of the war, a New York Times poll found nearly two-thirds of voters said going to war had been the wrong decision, including almost three-quarters of independents. Over the weekend, an Economist/YouGov poll showed only 28 percent of Americans support the war, down from the previous week. Trump’s approval rating in the NYT poll sat at 37 percent. Historically, when a president is below 50 percent, his party loses an average of 33 House seats. Trump drops IRS lawsuit One of Donald Trump’s first acts in his second term was to pardon the men and women who had been convicted by juries in connection with their effort to overturn the will of 81 million Americans by attacking the Capitol on January 6th. Since then, he has expanded his efforts to reward those involved, blending their grievances with his own legal battles. There are a lot of benefits to being in the January 6th club. The latest boon comes via a highly unusual legal settlement. Trump had filed a $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS over the 2019 leak of his tax returns by contractor Charles Littlejohn, who was sentenced to five years in prison in 2024. Because Trump filed the lawsuit and controls the IRS, this was a settlement in the sense that shaking your own hand is an agreement. Career lawyers in the IRS’s chief counsel office prepared a 25-page memo recommending the DOJ move to dismiss the suit, identifying several flaws — including that Trump may have filed too late, since his personal lawyer Alina Habba attended the Littlejohn guilty plea in October 2023, more than two years before he sued. The DOJ never used the memo. Trump had reason to move fast. Federal Judge Kathleen Williams had already questioned whether the two sides were “sufficiently adverse” and scheduled a May 27 hearing on whether to toss the case entirely. In lieu of damages, the Justice Department announced the creation of a $1.776 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” — the figure a nod to the founding year — intended to compensate Trump allies, including January 6th defendants, who claim they were mistreated by the Biden-era DOJ. The money comes from the Judgment Fund, a permanent, uncapped appropriation the DOJ can tap to settle cases without congressional approval. Trump appoints the five-member commission that distributes the money and can fire any of them. The DOJ cited as precedent Obama’s Keepseagle settlement for Native American farmers, but that case dragged on for over a decade, went through a judge, and compensated documented claimants — not a dispute that started and ended in under four months without the government ever mounting a defense. Brian Morrissey, the Treasury Department’s own Trump-appointed general counsel, resigned the day the fund was announced. Peter Keisler, who served as acting attorney general under George W. Bush: “This is not an authentic settlement of the IRS case.” The original 2020 New York Times reporting on the leaked returns revealed that Trump paid just $750 in federal income tax the year he entered the White House, frequently wiping out his tax liability through chronic, colossal business losses. Writing in the National Review, Dan McLaughlin called the arrangement what it looks like: “a collusive operation to create a slush fund to pay off friends and political allies. And in doing so, it expends nearly $2 billion in taxpayer money that Congress never appropriated.” The fund fits a pattern. Trump has used the power of his office to extract $60 million total from Meta, Alphabet, and X; $16 million each from Paramount and ABC. He previously demanded $230 million from the DOJ itself for past investigations into his conduct. As The Atlantic noted, no modern president has monetized grievance at this scale. Musk loses in Open AI suit Elon Musk, a man who fired thousands of federal workers with zero concern for timing, lost his biggest lawsuit on Monday because he didn’t file on time. The jury deliberated for less than two hours. Due diligence and deadlines turn out to matter—whether you’re cleaning out someone else’s desk or trying to protect what was on yours. The federal jury and a judge ruled Musk waited too long to bring his claims against the AI startup and its top executives, Sam Altman and Greg Brockman. Because the jury found the case wasn’t filed on time, it didn’t weigh in on Musk’s three claims, including breach of charitable trust, unjust enrichment, and, against Microsoft, aiding and abetting. However, he still succeeded in wasting his competition’s time and during his cross-examination of Altman, Musk’s lawyer cited comments from eight witnesses, including Musk, who said Altman misled or lied to others. “This verdict removes the single largest legal threat to a public ⁠offering,” said James Rubinowitz, a trial lawyer and AI specialist quoted by Bloomberg. “Even in victory, OpenAI walks away with the worst documentary evidence about its governance now permanently in the public record. Every institutional investor reading this trial transcript is doing their own credibility analysis on Altman before they buy in.” According to Axios [https://www.axios.com/2026/05/19/musk-altman-openai-trial]: Public trust in AI is nosediving [https://www.axios.com/2026/05/17/ai-backlash-polling-sentiment]. Public approval of AI now trails [https://fortune.com/2026/03/09/ai-opinion-poll-democrats-iran-war-president-donald-trump/] that of both the war in Iran and Immigration and Customs Enforcement. 145,000 children separated Every parent who has lost sight of a child in a grocery store for 30 seconds knows the visceral panic. A new report suggests the American government is inflicting that exact trauma on a scale never before seen. Is that too dramatic a way to start this item? Does it load the scales against the kinds of tough eventualities that come from carrying out policies that people voted for? Or is it the kind of lede needed to shake us out of the mindless numb of numbers and news so that we are a little more attentive to what’s happening in our name—whether we cheer for it or find it abhorrent? You may remember the first Trump administration’s ‘zero tolerance’ policy in 2018, when about 5,500 children were separated from their parents immediately after crossing the southern border. This was an outrage because children were taken from their parents as a deliberate deterrent, and the government had no plan to give them back. A new analysis by the Brookings Institution suggests that more than 145,000 children—who are themselves U.S. citizens by virtue of being born on U.S. soil—have likely experienced a parent booked into detention since the second term started. Even more starkly, more than 22,000 of those American children have experienced the detention of all their co-resident parents, effectively leaving them with no guardian at home. As a political matter, the president has seen his standing on the issue of immigration decline because survey recipients tell pollsters that his methods go too far. Recent polling shows a 54% majority of registered voters now say the administration’s localized enforcement methods have overreached, contributing to an 11-point drop in the president’s immigration approval rating over the last six months. This was once his strongest political issue. LIRR workers and housekeepers get raises. The LIRR strike ended Monday after three days. Five unions representing 3,500 workers walked off Saturday. Monday was the first weekday hit, affecting the railroad’s 270,000 daily riders. The deal landed at roughly a 4.5 percent raise for 2026. Workers hadn’t had a raise since 2022. The more striking labor story happened quietly alongside it. NYC hotel housekeepers secured average pay of $100,000 a year under a new contract between the Hotel and Gaming Trades Council and owners of nearly 250 hotels. The eight-year deal raises wages more than 50 percent. The settlement averts a threatened strike that could have collided with this summer’s World Cup and America 250 tourism surge. How can hotels afford to pay that? New York City has the highest average room rates of any big city in the United States, at about $335 a night. In the past year, New York hotels have also had the nation’s highest occupancy rate, at about 84 percent. Union membership in the U.S. has been in steady decline for four decades: 20.1 percent of workers belonged to a union in 1983. By 2024, that number was 9.9 percent. Samsung Workers threaten strike In South Korea, the courts just put the brakes on a massive corporate showdown. The Suwon District Court partially accepted an injunction request from Samsung, legally restricting an 18-day worker walkout that was set to begin on Thursday. The court ruled that even during a strike, essential staffing levels must be maintained to prevent facility damage and protect product quality. The workers are demanding that Samsung scrap its current cap on bonuses and instead allocate a flat 15 percent of the company’s operating profit directly to employee payouts. A prolonged strike could significantly bruise the national economy. Samsung accounts for nearly a quarter of South Korea’s exports and twelve and a half percent of its GDP — a concentration the U.S. hasn’t seen since Standard Oil. And it comes at the worst possible moment, just as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a brutal energy shock. South Korea imports nearly all of its energy. Graduates boo AI My recollection of both giving and receiving commencement addresses is that the college audience is not engaged. I expect my son to carry on this tradition this weekend in the audience. However, some speakers this year have broken the spell. Mentioning AI can wake the sleeping beast. At the University of Arizona Sunday, graduates booed Google CEO Eric Schmidt as he urged them to adapt to the technology. Gloria Caulfield, a real estate executive, called A.I. the “next industrial revolution” and was met with [https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/14/style/ucf-commencement-ai-booed-gloria-caulfield.html] a loud chorus of boos. Stunned, she asked, “What happened?” According to new research [https://www.ziprecruiter-research.org/annual-grad-report] from the employment site ZipRecruiter, some 47 percent of recent graduates say that A.I. has already affected hiring in their field, and nearly 51 percent of soon-to-be grads believe that A.I. will reduce the number of entry-level jobs. Fearing automation, significant numbers of students are rethinking their fields of study, according to a Lumina Foundation-Gallup 2026 State of Higher Education Study. [https://news.gallup.com/poll/704087/college-students-weigh-impact-majors-careers.aspx] They are moving away from entry-level tech or statistical analysis and focusing on critical thinking, communication, and human-centric fields. Pope talks about AI It’s hard to imagine that anyone will boo the Pope when he delivers a speech on the challenges posed by AI next week. I mean unless they want to be relegated to the eternal fires for all time. Just kidding. He’s into forgiveness. It’s the other guy who can’t let go of the grievances. Though the Trump administration won’t be a fan of Pope Leo XIV’s choice of guests. The Vatican announced Monday that the Pope will present his first major teaching document on the ethical challenges of AI alongside Christopher Olah, a co-founder of Anthropic, the AI company that’s suing the Trump administration [https://apnews.com/article/anthropic-security-risk-trump-artificial-intelligence-8478be7d5e275dee43d9814ebb2a69d3] for what it says is illegal retaliation for the company’s choice to put restrictions on the U.S. military’s use of its technology. The encyclical, titled Magnifica Humanitas (”Magnificent Humanity”), will center on “the protection of the human person in the age of artificial intelligence” The Vatican said that Leo had signed the new encyclical on May 15, 135 years to the day since the pope’s namesake, Pope Leo XIII, signed the landmark encyclical Rerum Novarum (”Of New Things”) on the rights of workers and social upheaval amid the industrial revolution. Starbucks Korea snafu Starbucks Korea fired its CEO Monday after a marketing campaign landed on Democratisation Movement Day — the anniversary of the 1980 Gwangju Uprising, in which a military dictatorship used tanks to crush pro-democracy protesters in a massacre. The promotion was called “Tank Day,” advertising a line of tumblers with the tagline “put it on the table with a sound of ‘Tak!’” The backlash was immediate. Social media filled with videos of customers smashing Starbucks mugs with hammers and screenshots of deleted apps. President Lee Jae Myung called the campaign inhumane, saying it “mocked the bloody struggle of citizens.” The conglomerate that licenses the chain in South Korea, sacked CEO Sohn Jeong-hyun within hours for “inappropriate marketing.” Tuesday May 19 Trump purges his party, deportations purge the workforce, Iranians turn marriage into a shield and Minnesota bans betting on what happens next. Politics “The person who agrees with you 80 percent of the time is a friend and an ally — not a 20 percent traitor.” Ronald Reagan said that. Donald Trump has completely refashioned the party Reagan built and turned that rule on its head. A single week in mid-May laid bare the dominance the president exerts over his own party. In Kentucky, Representative Thomas Massie — a libertarian-leaning maverick who clashed with the administration over the Epstein files and the war with Iran — was soundly defeated by Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein. The race drew nearly $33 million in ad spending, the most expensive House primary since the tracking firm AdImpact started keeping records in 2018. It also drew a highly irregular visit from the Secretary of Defense to campaign against the incumbent. Trump’s allies launched a dedicated super PAC last summer for the sole purpose of removing Massie. Pro-Israel groups, unhappy with his opposition to the Iran war, spent heavily alongside them — $19 million against Massie or for Gallrein in total. “This is @realdonaldtrump’s Republican Party,” Florida State Representative Randy Fine wrote on X. “The rest of us get the privilege of living in it.” Massie’s defeat came on the heels of two other intra-party purges: Senator Bill Cassidy’s loss in Louisiana’s Republican primary and the ouster of several Indiana state Republicans who resisted leadership’s redistricting lines. Three flexes of executive muscle. If only the Strait of Hormuz could be cleared as easily by GOP primary voters. The old rules of political gravity no longer apply. In any previous era, a president with historically close personal ties to Epstein — and whose Commerce Secretary is still explaining why he visited Epstein’s private island in 2012 — would downplay a fight with a member of his own party that risks reanimating the saga. Not this one. Under the old rules, you might also expect a president with bargain-basement approval ratings, an unpopular war, stubborn inflation, and heavily criticized import taxes to watch down-ballot Republicans quietly back away from him. That is exactly what the party did to George W. Bush in 2006 as Iraq dragged down their midterm prospects. Not this time. To be a Republican is to hug the president no matter how radioactive he is. In fact, the more he glows, the tighter the party presses its face to the rays and sheds the hazmat suit. Even legendary party behemoths didn’t command this level of submission. Roosevelt’s 1937 court-packing scheme triggered massive midterm losses, and his 1938 attempt to purge party moderates who bucked the New Deal was a spectacular failure. The difference today is the absolute nationalization of politics and the power of hyper-partisanship. Loyalty to Donald Trump has eclipsed policy, character, and institutional precedent. But can this power elevate a candidate, or does it only punish? The test is playing out in Texas, where the president endorsed Attorney General Ken Paxton over veteran Senator John Cornyn in a Republican primary runoff. Paxton carries extraordinary baggage: a messy public divorce, a previous impeachment by members of his own Texas GOP House, and an ongoing federal investigation into allegations of corruption and bribery. Texas may simply be too red for Democratic challenger James Talarico to capture the seat in November. But the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee remains quietly terrified, operating under the assumption that Paxton’s vulnerabilities make him a far riskier gamble than an institutionalist like Cornyn. Study: deportations costing American jobs At the State of the Union address in February, President Trump said, “More Americans are working today than at any time in the history of our country.” Without knowing anything else, would you say that’s true or false? Well, it’s always true. Because the population grows, more Americans are almost always working today than at any time in the history of our country. Economists consider this a hollow statistic because it doesn’t tell you anything about the health of the economy. Percentages do that. So if you were evaluating the statement, you’d know just by listening to the president that he was trying to make something sound more impressive than it is. I tell you here today that I am older than I have ever been before! I raise this because a new study by the National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonpartisan research organization, finds that recent surges in deportations have led to job losses for both immigrant and American-born workers, while wages have stayed flat. The president’s key domestic policy initiative has hurt the non-immigrant workforce. Researchers compared communities that experienced deportation surges between January and October 2025 with those that did not, focusing on four industries that rely heavily on undocumented immigrant workers: agriculture, construction, manufacturing, and wholesale. In those industries, employment dropped 5 percent for male undocumented workers and 1.3 percent for male American-born workers without a college degree. Construction was hit hardest—and directly contradicts the White House’s earlier claim that deportations had benefited the industry. Employment dropped 3 percent for male American-born workers without a college degree and 7.5 percent for undocumented workers. For each arrest, six American-born workers lost a job and four undocumented workers lost one. Even before the deportation surge, construction faced labor shortages amid an aging workforce with no robust pipeline of newly trained workers. The exodus of foreign workers during the 2008 foreclosure crisis, when almost 2 million construction workers lost their jobs, has had a lasting impact. The country has failed to build enough homes since then, in part because of a persistently anemic labor force. Iran In Tehran, couples arrived in the square in military jeeps with mounted machine guns and were married on a stage in a ceremony presided over by a cleric, AFP images showed. The stage was festooned with balloons and a giant image of supreme leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. He has yet to appear in public since the killing of his father and predecessor on the first day of the war elevated him to the position. “Certainly, the country is at war, but young people also have the right to marry,” one young woman in a white Islamic bridal dress said beside her groom in footage published by the semi-official Mehr news agency. The ceremonies involved hundreds of couples across several major squares in Tehran. All had signed up for the regime’s “self-sacrifice” scheme pledging to put their lives on the line by, for example, forming human chains outside power stations. Iranian authorities say millions have enrolled, including the speaker of parliament and the president. State TV broadcast the weddings to boost wartime morale as Trump repeatedly threatens new military action amid a shaky ceasefire. Asked Tuesday how long Iran had to return to the table, Trump said: “Two or three days. Maybe Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Maybe early next week. A limited period of time.” Iran sent a new peace proposal via Pakistani mediators Sunday night. The White House dismissed it. Minnesota bans prediction markets Minnesota became the first state to ban prediction markets. Governor Tim Walz signed a law making it a crime to host or advertise a prediction market—defined as any system letting consumers wager on future outcomes including sports, elections, entertainment, and world affairs. Sites like Kalshi and Polymarket must leave the state or face felony charges when the law takes effect in August. The Trump administration sued immediately. The CFTC filed to block the law, arguing prediction markets fall under exclusive federal regulation, and also framing the fight around farmers who have long used weather and crop futures to hedge risk. Minnesota is already moving to address that objection—an updated bill allowing weather trading is expected to pass Saturday. Bills targeting prediction markets have been introduced in seven other states, with Hawaii and North Carolina pursuing outright bans. Donald Trump Jr. sits on Polymarket’s advisory board and acts as a strategic adviser to Kalshi. His venture capital firm, 1789 Capital, has made a strategic investment in Polymarket. Under Biden, the DOJ and CFTC investigated whether Polymarket was illegally accepting U.S. bets; both investigations were closed last summer with no action. The CFTC has since withdrawn a Biden-era effort to prevent Kalshi from accepting bets on sports and elections. Meanwhile the insider trading problem prediction market critics warned about keeps materializing. A $30,000 bet on the capture of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January led to a U.S. soldier being charged with using classified information to profit more than $400,000. Reports have since surfaced of political candidates, campaign staffers, and others with access to material nonpublic information placing bets on markets tied to their own work. The Bounty of the Ocean Census Did you know there’s a census for the ocean? Yes, every ten years an army of scientists goes door to door which is weird because the fish are in the ocean. No, silly. The Ocean Census, according to CNN, is a global effort to map marine life involving more than 1,000 researchers across 85 countries. And last year “1,121 “previously unknown” species were discovered in the world’s oceans, according to a Tuesday announcement. It marks a 54% increase in annual identifications. And we’re going to end each day with one more freaky finding. The first is: Twenty-six hundred feet beneath the Pacific, southeast of Tokyo, glass sponges build translucent skeletons out of crystalline silica—the chemical component of glass. Scientists call them glass castles. A team aboard the manned submersible Shinkai 6500 just discovered they have tenants. Two entirely new species of bristle worm live inside the sponge’s walls. The arrangement is elegant: the worms crawl deep into the mesh chambers, shielded from predators by a perimeter of sharp glass needles that would shred anything trying to reach them. In return, the worms clear debris and silt from the sponge’s delicate channels so the host can breathe and feed. The real twist is that the glass castle is a duplex. These two worm species are unrelated. Genetic analysis shows their symbiotic lifestyles evolved completely independently—two different creatures, facing the brutal physics of the deep ocean, arrived at the same conclusion: find a glass castle and make yourself useful to the landlord. TSA experimenting with moving outside the airport Starting June 1, Boston Logan is piloting a suburban airport terminal. Delta and JetBlue passengers can drive to a parking lot in Framingham, 25 miles from the airport, check their bags, clear a standard TSA screening, and board a shuttle that delivers them directly to their departure gate — bypassing terminal traffic, security lines, and the airport entirely. Logan parking runs $37 a day; Framingham costs $7. The shuttle is $9 each way. The pilot is small — two airlines, morning hours, one suburb. But airports across the country are running out of physical space to handle growing passenger volume. Wednesday May 20 The Senate majority starts to stir. The president’s poll numbers are as low as the taxes he pays. Ebola spreads, Castro gets the Maduro treatment and Nvidia reaches Everest-like heights — a mountain so crowded on Wednesday it was easier to summit than to fail a class at Harvard. Iran For the eighth time since the war began, Democrats forced a vote to require the president to either end the conflict or get congressional authorization to continue it. This time, they won. The Senate voted 50–47 Tuesday to take up the resolution, which now moves to debate and a final vote in the coming weeks. The margin came from two places. Three Republican senators — Tuberville, Tillis, and Cornyn — were absent. And Bill Cassidy, the Louisiana Republican who lost his primary over the weekend after Trump targeted him for defeat, switched his vote and sided with Democrats. A man with nothing left to lose voted like it. The vote landed in an atmosphere of eroding public consent. The Times poll that showed two-thirds of voters calling the war a mistake also found 63 percent — including 27 percent of Republicans — saying the president should not be able to use military force without congressional approval. Whether the resolution survives a final vote, let alone a presidential veto, remains unlikely. Override requires two-thirds of both chambers. On Wednesday, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards widened the threat, warning that retaliation for any new American attack would extend beyond the Middle East — not just striking countries in the region that host U.S. bases, but targets farther afield. The rejected Iranian proposal, now circulating through Pakistani mediators, shows why the diplomatic track keeps stalling. Tehran’s terms repeat demands Trump has already refused: Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz, compensation for war damage, lifted sanctions, unfrozen assets, and U.S. troop withdrawal from the region. It added language committing Iran not to pursue a nuclear weapon but offered nothing on suspending enrichment or surrendering its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a contentious call Tuesday evening, with Netanyahu railing against any pact to end the war and Trump defending the diplomatic process. Trump told reporters Wednesday that Netanyahu would “do whatever I want him to do.” Three external forces — the Senate, the IRGC, and the Israeli prime minister — pushed back against the president’s handling of the war in a single 48-hour stretch. Trump hits a polling floor Trump’s economic numbers hit a new floor. One-third of registered voters — 33 percent — approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, against 64 percent who disapprove, according to a Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday. That’s the lowest economic approval he’s recorded across either term. The drop since mid-April is driven almost entirely by his own party: Republican approval fell from 88 percent to 73 percent in five weeks. Among independents, 70 percent disapprove. Among Democrats, 97 percent. The war with Iran and the oil price spike it triggered have done what tariffs and inflation alone couldn’t — crack the floor under the one number Trump has always relied on most— his party’s support. IRS grants Trump immunity The settlement announced Monday turned out to reach further than the fund. The Department of Justice agreed to permanently bar the IRS from pursuing tax claims against Donald Trump, his eldest sons, and the Trump Organization. The one-page document, signed by acting attorney general Todd Blanche, declared the government “FOREVER BARRED and PRECLUDED” from prosecuting or pursuing pending claims. Federal law requires mandatory annual audits of presidential tax returns and prohibits the president from directing the IRS to start or stop specific audits — though the statute carves out an exception for the attorney general, who in this case is the president’s former personal lawyer. The New York Times reported in 2024 that a loss in an ongoing IRS audit could cost Trump more than $100 million. Two Capitol Police officers who were injured defending the building on January 6th sued to block the anti-weaponization fund, arguing it would reward the people who attacked them. More than 140 officers were injured that day. About 1,500 people were eventually charged. Vice President Vance, Speaker Johnson, and acting Attorney General Blanche did not rule out that those convicted of assaulting officers could receive money from the fund. Even Senate Majority Leader John Thune acknowledged “there are, and will be, continue to be, a lot of questions” about the agreement. Raúl Castro Federal prosecutors on Wednesday charged former Cuban president Raúl Castro with ordering the 1996 shootdown of two civilian planes operated by Brothers to the Rescue, a Miami-based exile group. Four people were killed, including three Americans. Castro, now 94, was Cuba’s defense minister at the time. Asked how a 94-year-old former head of state might be brought to a U.S. courtroom, acting Attorney General Blanche said “this isn’t a show indictment” and that there are “all kinds of different ways” to bring in defendants located in other countries. The last time the administration went after Latin American leader — Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, on narco-terrorism charges first filed in 2020 — it followed with a Delta Force raid on January 3 that extracted Maduro from Caracas to stand trial in New York. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel said Monday that Cuba “has the absolute and legitimate right to defend itself against a military assault” and warned such an operation would “cause a bloodbath with incalculable consequences.” Since January, the administration has imposed an effective energy blockade on the island, warning of tariffs on any country that sells oil to Cuba. The blockade has triggered fuel shortages, rolling blackouts, and three island-wide grid collapses since March. UN experts have described the policy as “energy starvation.” Trump has repeatedly suggested Cuba is next after Venezuela and Iran. Ebola Less Hantavirus news this week. More Ebola. A fast-moving outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo has surged to more than 500 suspected cases and at least 130 deaths. The World Health Organization has declared it a public health emergency of international concern. The CDC confirmed that an American healthcare worker exposed to the virus — along with six high-risk contacts — is being medically evacuated to a specialized isolation unit. The current outbreak is being driven by the Bundibugyo strain. While the world spent years developing a highly effective vaccine for the more common Zaire strain, there is no approved vaccine and no approved therapeutic for Bundibugyo. Health officials are fighting a deadly virus with an empty medical toolkit. The outbreak is unfolding in eastern Congo’s crisis zone, where conflict, mass displacement, and community mistrust make contact tracing nearly impossible. Ebola does not spread like Covid — it is not airborne, and it requires direct contact with infected bodily fluids, meaning the risk of a domestic outbreak remains low. But the CDC has triggered an emergency 30-day Title 42 order, suspending entry into the United States for any foreign nationals who have been in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, or South Sudan within the last 21 days. American citizens face mandatory enhanced health screenings at ports of entry. Barney Frank dies Barney Frank, the Massachusetts Democrat who represented Boston’s suburbs for 32 years, died in hospice in Ogunquit, Maine, at 86. Frank came out as gay in 1987 — the first member of Congress to do so voluntarily — and in 2012 became the first sitting lawmaker to marry a same-sex partner. He co-authored the Dodd-Frank Act, the most significant financial reform since the New Deal. In an April interview from hospice, he offered a warning to his party as it heads into what could be a bruising primary: “You should not take the most unpopular parts of your agenda and make them litmus tests. And that’s what my friends on the left have been doing.” A Politico story recounts the moment Frank told Speaker Tip O’Neill he was gay. O’Neill looked stricken — not at the sexuality, Frank wrote, but at what disclosure would cost him. “I’m sorry to hear it,” O’Neill said. “I thought you might become the first Jewish speaker.” O’Neill then set about warning his press secretary, Chris Matthews: “Chris, we might have an issue to deal with. I think Barney Frank is going to come out of the room.” Matthews, Frank noted, quickly made the necessary metaphoric adjustment. Two men this week said what their parties wouldn’t let them say while they still had something to lose. Bill Cassidy, defeated in his primary after Trump targeted him, crossed the aisle Tuesday and voted to force the president to get congressional authorization for the war. Barney Frank, dying in hospice in Maine, warned Democrats to stop making their least popular positions into loyalty tests. Nvidia Earnings Nvidia posted $81.6 billion in quarterly revenue, beating expectations by nearly $3 billion. CEO Jensen Huang said demand had “gone parabolic” which I thought was just something you did on a weekend in college but a parabola starts shallow and then shoots nearly straight up. Huang isn’t saying demand is growing — he’s saying it’s accelerating at an increasing rate. The more demand there is, the faster it grows. The company says that Nvidia chips now power every major frontier AI model. The stock still dipped in after-hours trading. The company’s data center compute revenue came in slightly below analyst estimates. And then there’s China. The Trump administration approved sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips to China last year, but Beijing hasn’t signed off. For now, Nvidia remains the world’s most valuable public company at roughly $5.5 trillion, up nearly 20% this year. Meta Layoffs. Meta began pushing termination notices to nearly 8,000 employees Wednesday — about 10% of its workforce — while shifting 7,000 others to AI projects and closing 6,000 open roles. The company is reporting record profits and has pledged up to $145 billion in AI spending this year. It is not shrinking. It is redirecting. Morale was already crumbling. In April, Meta rolled out an internal surveillance program tracking employees’ every action on their computers, saying it would use the data to train AI models. Workers petitioned to end the tracking. Some told Wired they were hoping to be laid off — 16 weeks’ severance looked better than staying. An employee of more than a decade told the San Francisco Standard: “I tend to cry in the shower.” Since 2022, major tech companies have collectively cut more than 150,000 workers. This year alone: Oracle an estimated 30,000, Amazon more than 15,000, Meta 8,000. What many tech workers once understood as a guarantee of affluence has quietly dissolved — replaced, in some cases, by the very technology they built. Harvard caps number of A’s In 2010, A’s accounted for a third of all Harvard grades. By 2025, that had doubled to over 60 percent. So Harvard’s faculty voted to cap A’s at 20 percent of letter grades in any course, effective 2027. Faculty passed it 70 percent to 30. Students opposed it 94 to 6. Steven Pinker, the Harvard psychologist who has long pushed the issue, said grade inflation “forced a race to the bottom in which any professors who held the line with challenging material and standards would see their enrollments plummet. It turned universities into national laughingstocks.” EV sales rise worldwide even as they fall in U.S. Global electric car sales grew 20% in 2025 to exceed 20 million — one in four new cars sold worldwide. The International Energy Agency projects that will climb to 23 million in 2026, nearly 30% of all sales, even as the two biggest markets soften. China is slowing. U.S. consumer spending on EVs plummeted after federal tax credits lapsed in late 2025 and remained flat in the first quarter of 2026, down 23% year over year. The growth is coming from places the industry didn’t expect. The IEA projects EV sales in Asia-Pacific countries outside China will surge over 50% this year, and Latin American sales will jump 45% — puncturing the long-held assumption that electric cars would be too expensive for developing economies. In Thailand, EV prices have matched combustion vehicles for two years, driven largely by affordable Chinese imports. Then there’s the war. Since the U.S.-Iran conflict began pushing fuel prices up across Europe, German marketplace Carwow reports that EV inquiries have risen from 40% to 75% of its traffic. 274 People Summited Everest in a Day A record 274 climbers reached the top of Mount Everest on Wednesday from the south side — nearly 50 more than the previous single-day record of 223, set in 2019. China issued no permits for the north face this year, funneling all traffic through Nepal. The window is narrow: harsh winter winds ease in mid-to-late May, giving alpinists a brief shot at the top. The record came days after guide Kami Rita Sherpa summited for the 32nd time, breaking his own record, and Lhakpa Sherpa reached the peak for the 11th time, extending hers. Nepal issued 494 permits this year at $15,000 each. Overcrowding is now a defining feature of the mountain other than its height and difficulty. Ocean Discovery for Wednesday An inch-long ribbon worm with orange, cream, and brown stripes is another one of more than 1,100 new marine species catalogued in the Ocean Census. The stripes are not decorative. They are a warning — aposematism, in the jargon — that translates roughly to: eat me and die. Ribbon worms pack pyridine alkaloids into their skin mucus and their proboscis, a retractable tube they use to paralyze prey. The most studied of these toxins, anabaseine, targets nicotinic acetylcholine receptors in the nervous system. When researchers examined how anabaseine behaves in mammals, they found it binds powerfully to a specific receptor — alpha-7 nicotinic — that malfunctions in both Alzheimer’s and schizophrenia. Stimulating it improves memory, attention, and the brain’s ability to filter background noise. Raw worm toxin is far too dangerous for medicine, but a University of Florida scientist named William Kem used its chemical architecture as a blueprint to build a safer synthetic version called GTS-21, which has advanced through human clinical trials for both diseases. The logic is almost absurd in its elegance: a soft, slow creature that spent hundreds of millions of years evolving chemical weapons to avoid being eaten may have quietly produced the molecular scaffold for the next generation of cognitive medicine. The catch is that we are destroying coral reefs faster than we can catalogue what lives in them. Every species lost is an unread library burned. Thursday May 21 The autopsy is DOA. Democrats play to the cliche. The AI state governor tries to save his workers. US troops were treated like gifts. A congressman vanishes and beavers enlist in the London Corps of Engineers. Stephen Colbert ended his run at the Late Show. Our thoughts can be found at johndickerson.com. 2024 Autopsy Everyone loves a revival. Will Rogers said I’m not a member of an organized party, I’m a Democrat. The Democratic National Committee’s modern adaptation is a 192-page document autopsying what happened in the 2024 election. It united the party – against itself. DNC Chair Ken Martin published the document only after CNN obtained it first, then immediately disavowed it. “I am not proud of this product,” he wrote. “I don’t endorse what’s in this report, or what’s left out of it.” The author, consultant Paul Rivera, is no longer working for the DNC. The DNC never received a finished version or a list of interviewees. The document is riddled with errors and missing sections, and the DNC stamped annotations on nearly every page questioning its own report’s methods. An autopsy meant to examine a dead body itself was dead. What it does say is not new but is now on the record: Harris’s campaign failed to make an affirmative case for her candidacy, never established a strategy to damage Trump’s public standing, and was “boxed” by a single attack ad highlighting her support for taxpayer-funded gender-affirming surgery for inmates. The campaign assumed voters’ views of Trump were “baked in” — a conclusion the report calls “a major failure of analysis and reality, given how his favorability has cratered” since his return to office. What the report doesn’t mention is more telling: no discussion of Biden’s decision to seek reelection, no mention of Israel or Gaza, no accounting of the party’s collapse with Latino men. The DNC Chair may not have that job long. NYT Democratic Voter Poll A separate New York Times/Siena poll released the same day showed the frustration runs deeper than the DNC’s fumbled paperwork. More than half of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said they were dissatisfied with their own party — despite being well positioned to take the House and compete for the Senate in November. The unhappiness spanned every demographic slice of the coalition and was sharpest among the voters least attached to the party, the ones most likely to swing elections. Among Democratic-leaning independents, 65 percent were dissatisfied. Asked what the party needs to do to win the next presidential election, 52 percent of Democratic supporters said move to the center. Only 25 percent said move left. The centrist impulse held on nearly every issue tested — crime, immigration, economics, transgender policy — with a single exception: health care, where 45 percent wanted a leftward shift. Fifty-eight percent said the party wasn’t fighting back hard enough against Trump. Nearly three-quarters now oppose military aid to Israel, up from 45 percent three years ago. The numbers describe a party whose voters want it to be tougher and more moderate at the same time — a combination that is easy to poll and extraordinarily difficult to execute. Newsom’s AI Order California Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order — the first of its kind by a U.S. governor — directing state agencies to study how to subsidize companies that keep workers rather than replace them with artificial intelligence. The order expands job training programs aimed at white-collar roles expected to be eliminated: customer service, software development, marketing, sales. It also orders an examination of universal basic capital, which would give all residents stakes in assets like corporate stocks, bonds, or wealth funds. The question of what to do with workers displaced by AI is now a live policy debate across multiple governments. England, Japan, and South Korea have contemplated universal basic income. Sam Altman and Elon Musk have both said some form of it may be necessary. Musk has argued that AI-driven productivity gains will generate enough government revenue to compensate people who lose their jobs. That theory has not been tested. 5,000 Troops to Poland The United States is sending 5,000 additional troops to Poland, President Trump announced late Thursday on Truth Social — weeks after announcing it was pulling roughly the same number out of Europe. The administration had confirmed withdrawing about 4,000 service members from Poland and at least 5,000 from Germany, the latter a punishment after Chancellor Merz publicly criticized the administration’s handling of the Iran war. Trump then told reporters he’d be “cutting a lot further than 5,000.” Now, the number goes back up — but in a different country, for a different reason. “Based on the successful Election of the now President of Poland, Karol Nawrocki, who I was proud to Endorse, and our relationship with him, I am pleased to announce that the United States will be sending an additional 5,000 Troops to Poland,” Trump wrote. The structure is now visible: alliance commitments fluctuate based on the president’s personal relationship with individual leaders. Merz criticizes; Germany loses troops. Nawrocki wins an election Trump endorsed; Poland gains them. Trump’s Late-Nights A Washington Post analysis of Trump’s public communications found a president whose rhetoric is growing coarser, more self-referential, and more erratic. A third of his original Truth Social posts this year have gone up between 8 p.m. and 6 a.m. — up from a quarter last year and roughly one in six during a comparable stretch of his first term. Nearly half of his 2026 posts contain first-person pronouns like “I” or “myself,” often a dozen or more times in a single post; in 2018, that figure was 30%. In his second-term speeches, the median number of digressions from topic has hit 37 or more — up from 10 in the equivalent period of his first term. Where Is Tom Kean? Republican congressman Tom Kean of New Jersey, 57, has not voted in the Capitol since March 5 — nearly three months. He hasn’t been seen publicly in his district, hasn’t appeared in a video statement, and just canceled a local chamber of commerce event. His office calls it a “personal medical issue,” promises a full recovery, and offers nothing else. Two neighbors told NBC they haven’t seen him in months. He has missed more than 80 votes, including measures on ICE funding and the president’s Iran war powers, the latter narrowly defeated. Kean is unopposed in his GOP primary in less than two weeks, which means he’ll be locked into one of the most competitive House races in the country in November. The Beavers of West London Britain is famous for drizzle, but climate change is making rainfall heavier and less predictable. Places that didn’t used to flood are now waterlogged. So conservationists near the Greenford Tube station in West London resettled five beavers in a 20-acre park that used to be a golf course. Within weeks, the beavers dammed the creek, created a pond, and diverted flow into smaller tributaries — turning the site into a wetland that absorbs heavy rainfall and releases it slowly. The local Tube station stopped flooding. Eight new bird species showed up, along with two types of bats, freshwater shrimp, and rare brown hairstreak butterflies, which lay their eggs on blackthorn branches the beavers had nibbled. The city scrapped expensive plans to dig a reservoir and levee. Ocean Discovery for Thursday Another finding from that Ocean Census: Nearly two miles down in the South Sandwich Trench, in freezing water and permanent darkness, scientists found a sponge that eats animals. The creature — a kind of death ball sponge— looks like a cluster of translucent lollipops anchored to the seafloor: pale stalks branching outward, each tipped with a glassy white sphere. The spheres are covered in microscopic hooks, structurally identical to Velcro. When a deep-sea crustacean drifts past on the current and brushes a sphere, the hooks snag its hairs and joints instantly. The sponge has no nervous system, no muscles, no tentacles. Instead, its cells migrate — crawling toward the trapped animal like a living film, enveloping it completely, then secreting enzymes that dissolve the soft tissue from the outside in. The whole process is silent and brainless, an organism that solved the problem of scarce nutrition at crushing depth by abandoning filter-feeding and becoming a passive predator. Friday May 22 Republicans revolt. The government proves its own vindictiveness in court. Gas hits $4 in all fifty states. The nation’s mood hits a floor it hasn’t seen since Eisenhower. And a creature older than flowers closes out the week. Senate GOP awakens “So the nation’s top law enforcement official is asking for a slush fund to pay people who assault cops? Utterly stupid, morally wrong — take your pick.” That’s not a Democratic talking point. That’s Republican Mitch McConnell. Senate Republicans postponed a vote on tens of billions in additional ICE and border funding after a new $1.8 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” derailed the bill. The fund would compensate people the administration says were unfairly prosecuted. Senators wanted to know who would qualify and what guardrails existed to keep January 6 defendants from collecting. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche met the caucus for lunch and, according to two GOP aides, did not adequately answer either question. The ballroom didn’t survive the week either. Senators were already preparing to strip $1 billion for the “East Wing Modernization Project” — the administration’s euphemism for Trump’s proposed underground ballroom and renovations — after multiple Republicans made clear they wouldn’t support it. Then the Senate parliamentarian ruled Saturday that it didn’t comply with budget rules, which would have required Democratic votes to pass. Trump called for firing the parliamentarian. It didn’t matter. Even without the ruling, Republicans said they didn’t have the votes. Trump compounded the friction with his own party by endorsing primary challengers against Bill Cassidy of Louisiana and John Cornyn of Texas. Cornyn came within a few votes of the majority leader’s chair and has been raising money for colleagues across the conference. “You can’t underestimate the psychological impact of endorsing against Cornyn like that,” said Michael Ricci, a former top communications aide to Speakers Ryan and Boehner. “He has been doing events for all these members. I just feel like that was an accelerant on an already simmering flame.” Then, in the week’s other rebellion, House Republicans canceled a vote on a resolution to halt the Iran war after it became clear they didn’t have enough votes to defeat it. Majority Leader Thune sent the Senate home without passing the bill. The Washington Post called it the week Trump and Senate Republicans found themselves more at odds than at any other point in his second term. Killmar Abrego Garcia In the totalitarian nightmare, the state picks out a human and brings the weight of authority on their head to meet the whims of the ruler. The person is whipped around like a ragdoll. If you were an official in a democracy — one founded as proof that humans could resist the totalitarian impulse — you’d hope you could muster at least a word in your defense against the charge that you had used the power of the state vindictively. That did not happen in the case of Kilmar Abrego Garcia. The Trump administration was charged with vindictive prosecution and in the pathetic thinness of their defense helped prove to the judge that the charge was true. Here’s how lame the defense was: the government’s sole argument was that the decision to indict Abrego Garcia was made independently by a line prosecutor, free of political interference. To prove it, they needed to put that prosecutor on the stand and have them say so under oath. They didn’t. Instead, they called other witnesses who testified secondhand about what the decision-maker had been thinking — without the decision-maker ever appearing to confirm it. Meanwhile, defense attorneys produced internal Justice Department emails in which senior officials at Main Justice referred to Abrego Garcia’s prosecution as a “top priority” — before the line prosecutors had even taken over the case. The government set out to prove the indictment wasn’t political and instead produced a paper trail showing it was. That the government was even in a position to fail so badly was a sign. In criminal law, a defendant claiming vindictive prosecution– in this case Abrego Garcia– faces an incredibly high legal bar. They must show that the government brought criminal charges primarily to punish or retaliate against them for exercising a lawful, constitutional right (such as appealing a ruling or filing a lawsuit). Abrego Garcia’s deportation to El Salvador [https://apnews.com/article/el-salvador-trump-prison-immigrants-4ab3fc3c0474efb308084604b61f8a37] last year became an embarrassment for Trump officials when they were ordered to return him [https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-maryland-deportation-trump-9f46dd62890befdc321ed1ab56107470] to the U.S. Abrego Garcia was charged with human smuggling and conspiracy to commit human smuggling, with prosecutors claiming that he accepted money to transport within the United States people who were in the country illegally. The charges stem from a 2022 traffic stop in Tennessee for speeding. Body camera footage [https://apnews.com/article/kilmar-abrego-garcia-traffic-stop-tennessee-91bc2890768163671c71eb55420b59ee] from a Tennessee Highway Patrol officer shows a calm exchange with Abrego Garcia. There were nine passengers in the car, and the officers discussed among themselves their suspicions of smuggling. However, Abrego Garcia was eventually allowed to continue driving with only a warning. In the Friday ruling, the judge wrote that the timing of the charges was central to the presumption of vindictiveness. Homeland Security had been aware of the traffic stop for two years and had closed the case against Abrego Garcia when it deported him. Once the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that he should be brought back to the U.S., [https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-maryland-deportation-trump-9f46dd62890befdc321ed1ab56107470] they reopened the case. Gas update We keep updating you on gas prices, and by now it might feel like tracking a yo-yo. But this isn’t a bounce — it’s a spike. All 50 states now average above $4 a gallon, according to AAA, with several topping $5, including California at about $6.15, Washington and Hawaii around $5.70, and other high‑price states such as Alaska, Nevada, Oregon, and Illinois also above $5. Nationally, the average price of regular gasoline is about $4.55 a gallon, up roughly 45 percent from around $3.14 a year ago and more than 40 percent higher than late‑winter levels before the latest Middle East disruptions. Two forces are driving it. The war with Iran has choked the Strait of Hormuz, a shipping lane that handles roughly 20 percent of the world’s oil supply. But seasonal demand is compounding the squeeze — gas prices normally rise in spring and summer anyway, as driving picks up and refineries switch to the more expensive summer blend. The last time all 50 states averaged above $4 a gallon was 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine. Tulsi Gabbard leaves DNI for personal reasons Tulsi Gabbard announced she was stepping down as Director of National Intelligence, effective June 30, to care for her husband, Abraham, who has been diagnosed with an extremely rare form of bone cancer. Gabbard’s deputy will serve as the acting director. The intelligence community now enters another transition at the top while managing an active war, an escalating hantavirus situation, and the ongoing reorganization of national security agencies. The acting director inherits all of it. (Another) record low consumer sentiment Americans haven’t felt this bad about the economy since 1952 when the University of Michigan started asking. The index of consumer sentiment fell to 44.8 in May — below last month’s 49.8, and below the previous historical floor set in June 2022 during the post-pandemic inflation spike. Fifty-seven percent spontaneously told researchers that high prices were eroding their personal finances — up from 50 percent last month. Long-run inflation expectations are rising too, which means Americans aren’t treating this as a temporary squeeze. The survey dates back through Korea, Vietnam, the 1970s oil embargo, the stagflation years, 9/11, the Great Recession, and the pandemic. Americans are now more pessimistic than during any of them. The cost-of-living crisis that preceded the war had already soured the national mood. The war poured jet fuel on it. Things are that bad, the metaphors are getting all mixed up. Over a billion people living with mental health disorders Nearly 1.2 billion people worldwide had a mental disorder in 2023 — a 95.5 percent increase since 1990, according to a study published Thursday in The Lancet covering 204 countries and territories. Anxiety and depression drove the largest increases and remain the most common diagnoses, with anxiety up 158 percent and depression up 131 percent since 1990. The least common disorders studied — anorexia, bulimia, and schizophrenia — still affected roughly 4 million, 14 million, and 26 million people respectively. Most disorders were more common in females, with exceptions: autism, conduct disorders, ADHD, personality disorders, and intellectual disability were more prevalent in males. Part of the increase reflects better detection and reduced stigma — more people seeking help, more clinicians trained to identify conditions, broader diagnostic criteria. The study’s lead author said he “was honestly shocked at the magnitude” — and conceded the numbers can’t be fully explained. The factors researchers can actually measure — things like substance use, childhood trauma, workplace stress — held roughly steady since 1990 and account for less than a fifth of the damage. Which means the bulk of the increase comes from forces the study can identify but not precisely weigh: genetics, poverty, inequality, war, climate disruption, and whatever the pandemic permanently changed. Rates of anxiety and depression were already climbing before COVID-19. During and since the crisis, depression increased and hasn’t returned to pre-pandemic levels. Anxiety peaked and stayed elevated through 2023. $2 Billion in Quantum Computing Grants The federal government is awarding $2 billion to nine quantum computing firms, the largest public investment yet in a technology that remains, for most practical purposes, a promissory note. Quantum algorithms manipulate information in ways classical machines can’t access, producing dramatic speedups for certain problems — molecular simulation, cryptography, optimization — especially when paired with classical supercomputers. The advantages are narrow but deep. A classical computer can’t accurately model how a drug molecule folds and binds to a protein — too many variables interacting simultaneously, which is why new drugs still take ten to fifteen years and billions of dollars to develop. Quantum machines could model that molecular behavior directly. The same logic applies to encryption, logistics networks with millions of moving parts, and financial risk modeling across vast numbers of scenarios — problems where the number of possible states explodes beyond what any classical machine can brute-force. The hardware is as exotic as the math. The systems are so fragile that a stray vibration or flicker of heat destroys the quantum state. Most processors run inside dilution refrigerators cooled to around 10 millikelvin — a hundredth of a degree above absolute zero, a hundred times colder than outer space. The machines look less like computers than like gold-plated chandeliers hanging inside industrial cylinders, cooled by a mixture of rare helium isotopes, one of them sourced mostly as a byproduct of nuclear decay. None of this works reliably yet at commercial scale, which is why the government is spending the money. The bet is that whoever builds the foundry builds the future. Ghost Shark Four hundred million years ago — before dinosaurs, before trees — a group of cartilaginous fish split from the line that would become sharks and rays and went deep. They haven’t changed much since. The chimaera, better known as the ghost shark, still cruises the pitch-black ocean floor on enormous wing-like pectoral fins, flying more than swimming, pale and scaleless and silent. Hit one with a submarine’s headlights and it glows like an apparition. Its eyes — huge, dark, backed by a reflective layer like a cat’s — have spent 400 million years learning to see in absolute darkness. The name chimaera comes from the Greek monster stitched together from different animals, and the creature earns it. It has a rat’s tail, a rabbit’s face, and a retractable sensory snout that looks like a plow. Run your eye down its body and you’ll see what appear to be suture lines — as though something assembled it. Those grooves are lateral lines packed with receptors that detect electrical fields and shifts in water pressure, letting the ghost shark hunt blind. Instead of the conveyor-belt rows of teeth that make regular sharks famous, it carries three pairs of permanent grinding plates that look like rodent buckteeth, built for crushing crabs and sea urchins on the seafloor. The mating is as strange as the anatomy. Males carry a retractable club on the top of the head — a tenaculum — fitted with small hooks, used to latch onto a female’s pectoral fin. Females lay their eggs in leathery cases that look borrowed from a prop department, dropping them onto the mud, where the embryos take up to a year to hatch. Ghost sharks are not, technically, sharks at all. They belong to a separate subclass, Holocephali, that parted ways with everything else in the ocean when the planet’s landmasses were still fused together. They are among the oldest unchanged body plans on Earth — older than flowers,

23. maj 20261 h 12 min
episode Stack the Week cover

Stack the Week

Welcome everyone to the Stack the Week experiment for May 11th through the 15th. It is available here in text and audio and available in your podcast player. Thank you to Annie Cohen and Laura Doan for help preparing this delicious offering. A summit with two leaders claiming two outcomes. A war with no outcome, a UK administration with ministers coming out, Cuba is just plain out. The battle of prices vs. wages, tech bro vs. tech bro and ICE against the judiciary. Hey, Neanderthals are smarter than we thought but smart cars are dumber. All things you can talk about with your neighbor. Let’s take it day by day. Monday May 11 Which will collapse faster? The ceasefire in Iran or the UK Prime Minister? Or will it be citizens melting on the streets of India? Gas prices are making the president sweaty so he’s offering the equivalent of a paddle fan. Young Americans are glum about jobs. Maybe they should go outside and play. We all should. Iran Day 73 of the war. Twenty-nine days since the president said Iran was desperate to make a deal. Twenty-five days since he told CBS News that Iran had “agreed to everything.” On Monday, the president called Iran’s actual response “garbage” and said he hadn’t finished reading it. He did, however, finish describing the ceasefire. “I would say the ceasefire is on massive life support,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office, adding that it was “unbelievably weak.” Iran’s formal response to the administration’s one-page peace proposal is not materially different than Iran’s position before the bombs started falling. Indeed, Iran is asking for reparations for the bombs, so Iran is asking for more that it would have before the war. The rest of the list: a regional ceasefire — including no Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, requiring all commercial vessels to coordinate with the Iranian Navy. Lifting of all U.S. sanctions, removal of the naval blockade, and an end to the ban on Iranian oil sales. On the nuclear question — the most often stated reason in the carousel of justifications the US has put forward for the war — Iran reportedly proposed a moratorium on enrichment far shorter than the 20 years the U.S. demanded, offered to export only a portion of its highly enriched uranium while diluting the rest, and refused to dismantle its nuclear facilities. Iranian leaders also demanded a formal guarantee of non-aggression. In other words, you can’t hit us if we don’t comply. There’s also a third player in this discussion of an Iranian end state. In an interview with Major Garret on 60 minutes, the Israeli Prime Minister said the war would not be over until all enriched uranium was removed from Iran, its enrichment sites dismantled, its proxy networks dissolved, and its ballistic missile production curtailed. Tall order. Gas Tax On Monday the president said he plans to suspend the federal gas tax “for a period of time.” “I think it’s a great idea,” he said. Several Democratic lawmakers have already introduced legislation to either pause or lower the tax. But suspending the excise taxes — 18.4 cents off a $4.52 gallon on gas and 24.4 cents on diesel — requires an act of Congress and would cost the federal government roughly half a billion dollars a week. The lost revenue would land on a federal debt that crossed 100 percent of GDP mark this spring for the first time outside of an emergency like a pandemic or war. Hantavirus cruise The cruise brochures don’t usually highlight the biocontainment units. On Monday, two of the 17 Americans airlifted from the MV Hondius cruise ship— that’s the one bristling with clouds of virus whipped up from rodent droppings— arrived sealed inside portable isolation pods — negative-pressure units where the air inside is kept lower than the air outside, so nothing contaminated can leak out through a seam or tear. Everything passes through HEPA filters that trap 99.97 percent of particles. The Andes variant of hantavirus is far less communicable than Covid-19, but three passengers on the cruise ship Hondius have died from the hantavirus, which WHO has linked to rodent exposure during the voyage. It starts with flu-like symptoms and then floods the lungs with fluid until the patient drowns from the inside. The Americans were transported to the National Quarantine Unit in Nebraska — one of the few facilities in the country built for exactly this. Since patients exposed may not develop symptoms for over a month, their quarantine period could last up to 42 days, according to the Times. This presents psychological challenges. The NQU is windowless and high-containment, which creates its own problem: patients in strict isolation lose track of time, and losing track of time makes people lose their minds. The facility counters this with a circadian lighting system that shifts the color temperature throughout the day — warm ambers at night, vivid greens and blues during daylight hours. The green light suppresses melatonin more effectively than other wavelengths, resetting the body’s clock when the body has no other cues. It’s a small, strange detail: a building designed to keep the deadliest diseases from getting out, engineered down to the color of the light to keep the people inside from falling apart. This is Nuts This all sounds very complicated, but nothing as complicated as the operation to deliver medical supplies to one of the passengers quarantined on the remote volcanic island of Tristan da Cunha, a British territory in the south Atlantic. If you’ve ever looked at a globe and wondered about those little flecks in the middle of the vast ocean, this is one of those flecks. Tristan da Cunha is Britain’s most remote inhabited overseas territory. It is accessible only by boat, has no airstrip, and has a population of 221 inhabitants. Oxygen supplies on the island were at a critical level, so there was no time for delay getting care to the patient who had disembarked from the plague ship and was quarantined in the hospital on the island. A two‑bed facility with a two‑person medical team. So British soldiers dropped out of the sky to help. First, they flew almost 7,000 km to the closest airbase and then 3,000 more km to waddle to the end of the back bay of their lumbering plane and parachute down on to Tristan carrying oxygen canisters and 3 tons of medical equipment. (or I guess they pronounce it tonnes; at least that is how it’s spelled here.) Oh and the plane had to refuel in mid-air because the island is just so damn remote. And the average wind speed is 25 MPH so you can imagine what a joy that was to drop down into. The mission was a success. But the soldiers had to wait for a boat since you can’t parachute up and out. Keir Starmer That is a story of extraordinary achievement from the good people of Great Britain. Less smooth-running Monday, was the operation of the British government. Things were extraordinary there, but not for the same good reasons. On Monday it appeared that the British Prime Minister was about to Keir over. Keir Starmer gave a speech to an audience of Labour party lawmakers and activists [https://www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/world/as-he-faces-calls-to-step-down-starmer-pledges-to-bring-britain-closer-to-eu] in an attempt to save his political life. Now, before we go too much further on this, I’d like to take a tiny little detour (which, when you add them together, will add up to an hour and forty five minute podcast.) All week long, you probably have been hearing about the predicament of Keir Starmer. But what’s been totally absent, and the reason I find Stack the Week meaningful, if you’ll pardon this personal interlude, is that it forces intentional thinking about what’s really going on here. What’s happening in Britain is a version of what’s happening in the United States. Both are liberal democracies. Liberal democracies find it difficult to adapt quickly to changing circumstances. The situations faced by the governments in the UK and the United States include managing immigration, inequality, the high cost of the routes to prosperity, misinformation, the distracting appeal of the attention economy. All that we experience in the United States, they also face in the UK. And just as in the United States, populist leaders are making big promises to the voters who are fed up with the collapse of the institutions that have promised them so much and that seem full of elites out of touch with their lives. So, I don’t think it’s too much to say that all of these stories about Keir Starmer falling down the stairs of his prime ministership are an echo of what we experience here in the United States. It would have been so useful if, during the week, in all of the reporting about what’s happening to Starmer, that kind of context could have been given to people, so they could see it in their own lives instead of as some distant circus with hard to pronounce players like Plaid Cymru. The proximate cause of Starmer’s predicament was a disastrous showing by Starmer’s labour party in council elections. They lost over 1,500 councilors. Councils are the local government, but whereas in the United States, a city council falls under State power, in the UK they are creatures of Parliament. So in the UK, local councils and the national Parliament are like two floors of the same house, whereas in the US, they are more like separate buildings on the same street. So the “fortunes” of a British council are almost entirely tethered to the national party’s brand. Hence, a bad result there runs all the way up to the head of the political body. So when 40 MPs called for Starmer to resign after Thursday’s losses, it’s because those MPs know that the “council fortunes” are a direct preview of their own. If the voters are firing the local Labour councillors today, they are planning to fire the Labour MPs tomorrow. Why the losses? The “big losses” stemmed from voter dissatisfaction on the left and right. On the right, Reform UK, the nationalist party led by Nigel Farage capitalized on a weak economy, stagnant GDP growth (hovering near 0.1%) and high interest rates and immigration concerns, to flip traditional labour areas in the heartland. Farage is promising a very Donald Trump-like mass deportation scheme, an end to liberal cultural interventions— what might be called wokeness in the United States— and he’s promising to cut the foreign aid budget in half. On the left, the Green Party and Plaid Cymru (Plied Kum-ree) (in Wales) – That was me speaking Welsh there– surged as progressive voters rebelled against Starmer’s centrist pivot dropping high-spending socialist pledges in favor of “fiscal discipline.” Add into the mix a declared ‘national emergency’ over rising antisemitism and a fierce backlash against Starmer’s appointment of Peter Mandelson as ambassador to Washington— despite Mandelson’s considerable ties to Jeffrey Epstein — which cost him support from both flanks at once. In his speech Monday, Starmer vowed that he would prove his detractors wrong, promised economic reforms to deepen ties with the EU, help younger workers, and nationalize British Steel to save roughly 4,000 jobs. India is hot On April 27, every one of the planet’s 50 hottest cities was in one country: India. Average peak temperatures across all 50 hit 112.5 degrees Fahrenheit. The air quality monitoring platform AQI, which compiled the data, said there is “no modern precedent.” But the most dangerous number wasn’t the daytime peak — it was the nighttime low. Cities like Banda recorded minimums near 94 degrees. When the night never drops below 90, the body never resets. Core temperatures stay elevated, organs accumulate stress, and the demand for cooling becomes round-the-clock — which is exactly what the grid can’t handle. India gets about 4 percent of its power from gas-fired plants, and 60 percent of its liquefied natural gas imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which is closed. With gas-fired generation now economically unviable, coal picks up the slack: coal-fired power rose to 164.9 average gigawatts in April, up 3.5 percent from the month before. To survive heat driven by global warming today, India burns more of the fuel that guarantees worse heat tomorrow. Experts warn temperatures may cross the survivability limit for healthy humans by 2050. In the meantime, the adaptation is preindustrial: across Delhi and Kerala, community-run water kiosks called thanneer pandals distribute water and oral rehydration salts to laborers and rickshaw drivers who have no choice but to work through it. In the last week of April, two schoolteachers died of heatstroke — not construction workers, not rickshaw drivers, but teachers. Roughly 380 million Indians, about three-fourths of the workforce, labor in heat exposure. The youngs are pessimistic If you have a young person in your life who has just graduated from college, give them a hug. In most countries, young people think the job market is better than their parents do. In the United States, it’s the opposite — by the widest margin Gallup has measured anywhere. Only 43 percent of Americans aged 15 to 34 said it was a good time to find a job locally — 21 points below Americans 55 and older. Since 2023, optimism among younger Americans has dropped 27 points — a plunge comparable to the 2007–2009 financial crisis. The mechanics explain the mood. From 2023 to 2025, the sectors that usually absorb college graduates — information services, finance, professional services — shed an average of 9,000 jobs a month. Before the pandemic, those same industries added 44,000 jobs a month. Layoffs are low, companies are holding onto existing staff, and without churn there are no entry-level openings. Graduates apply to hundreds of listings that stay posted but never result in a hire. Computer engineering, once the safe bet, now carries a 7.8 percent unemployment rate among recent grads as AI automates the junior work that used to be the on-ramp to longer-term employment. So they compromise. About 69 percent of the Class of 2026 say they’ll settle for less than their ideal role. In 2012, recovering from the Great Recession, roughly 45 percent of graduates reported a similar concession — but they treated it as a temporary setback. Seventy-five percent of this cohort would take a job they plan to quit within a year just for immediate income. Fifty-two percent of recent graduates are already working jobs that don’t require a degree — the highest mismatch since the 1990s. The result: degree holders now make up 25 percent of the total unemployed population — double the share in 2008. Oxford Economics estimates a million more young adults are living with their parents than pre-pandemic trends predicted, spending roughly $1,200 less a year than peers who move out. Cutting paid family leave And jobs ain’t what they used to be. This week, Zoom cut parental leave to 18 weeks from 22 for most birth mothers and to 10 from 16 for other parents. Deloitte halved paid family leave for certain employees — eight weeks instead of 16. Both companies explained the cuts in the same dialect of corporate euphemism: Zoom cited the “long-term health and sustainability of our business”; Deloitte said it was tailoring benefits to “better align with the marketplace.” The marketplace they’re aligning with is getting worse. The share of U.S. employers offering paid family leave dropped two percentage points in 2025, to 31 percent. The United States remains the only wealthy country with no federal paid family leave. What it offers instead is 12 weeks unpaid — and many workers don’t even qualify for that. Long live recess Do you need a break? Is it spring where you are? Let’s hold Stack the Week outside today shall we? Better yet, let’s break for recess. The American Academy of Pediatrics would approve. It just released its first guidance on recess in 13 years. Here it is [https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article/doi/10.1542/peds.2026-077025/207527/The-Crucial-Role-of-Recess-in-School-Policy?autologincheck=redirected]: “Recess is a necessary break in the day for optimizing a child’s social, emotional, physical, and cognitive development. In essence, recess should be considered a child’s personal time, and it should not be withheld for academic or punitive reasons.” The guidance is necessary because recess has been in retreat for two decades. After No Child Left Behind introduced high-stakes testing in 2002, roughly 44 percent of school districts cut time from recess, PE, art, and music to make room for more reading and math. The logic was intuitive and wrong: if scores are low, add more instructional minutes. When you have recess matters too. Teachers and researchers have noted improved behavior and attention once students resume classroom work when recess occurs before lunch. One reason is that it shifts the lunch mindset from a “rush to play” to a “relax to eat” mindset. When they play first they arrive hungry and eat more calories and vegetables. Walking into class from lunch is calmer than walking in from the playground. But my favorite reason is something called “cognitive spacing.” The brain consolidates learning during breaks — but only if those breaks actually feel like breaks. Memory and focus improve when instructional blocks are punctuated by genuine shifts in environment and activity. Unstructured time lets the prefrontal cortex rest. When a child spends lunch scrambling for a spot in a soccer game or rushing to finish a sandwich, that rest never happens. And here’s one more fun fact for the dinner table: in one study, schools that replaced one long recess with four 15-minute breaks spread across the day saw cortisol levels — the body’s stress hormone — drop by 70 percent compared to traditional schools. Chronically elevated cortisol in children is linked to executive function deficits, sleep disruption, and the kind of emotional volatility that gets a kid sent to the principal’s office. Tuesday May 12 Inflation ate your raise, and sent people running from healthcare. Iran is eating the budget. Canadians are bailing and so are Starmer’s allies. And why can’t the benevolent be given the keys to the doom machine? Iran Tuesday, Pentagon officials briefed the Senate on the growing cost of the Iran War: $29 billion, up about $4 billion from just two weeks ago. That figure does not include repairing American military facilities damaged in Iranian attacks — another $4 billion estimated. The Secretary of Defense testified Tuesday to defend the administration’s proposal to raise Pentagon spending by more than 40%, to around $1.5 trillion in 2027. Mr. Trump was asked whether Americans’ financial situation was motivating him to make a deal with Iran. “Not even a little bit,” he said. “The only thing that matters when I’m talking about Iran — they can’t have a nuclear weapon. I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all.” The man asking Congress for $1.5 trillion of Americans’ money says he doesn’t think about their financial situation. This got a lot of attention as a symbol of the President’s callousness. But a President fighting a war should only care about the war. Where the concern should come in is before a president launches a war, as he considers whether war is really justified and weighs the consequences. Turning the question of war into a domestic economic issue is natural because it’s an election year and gas prices are how voters feel the war in their lives. But in terms of presidential decision making, it cheapens the overwhelming cost of a war to shrink it down to an election year nuisance. The Strait of Hormuz gets the attention, but Iran has increased the pain in the world economy in another way. By hitting America’s allies in the Persian Gulf it has choked off oil and gas. Saudi oil exports have fallen by a third, UAE exports by half, and Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait have dropped to nearly zero. These countries cooperated with the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports — and Iran hit them for it, striking oil infrastructure, disrupting shipping routes, and turning the strait into a no-go zone for commercial tankers. The Gulf states are now losing billions in revenue to support a war whose purpose — eliminating Iran’s nuclear program — hasn’t advanced since the first bombs fell. Or hasn’t advanced much. At some point a partner taking losses with no considerable return stops being a partner. The UAE’s largest gas plant, heavily damaged by Iranian strikes, won’t return to 80 percent capacity until the end of 2026 — meaning the infrastructure damage outlasts any ceasefire. Here’s a little blockade update, just to remind us what’s going on while nothing’s going on at the negotiating table. CENTCOM redirected 65 Iranian commercial vessels and disabled four others on Tuesday. As for the negotiating table, maybe they could use it for paper football. Senator Lindsey Graham and other lawmakers questioned Pakistan’s role as mediator after reports that Iran repositioned military aircraft — including an RC-130 reconnaissance plane — at Pakistan’s Nur Khan Air Force Base to shield them from U.S. and Israeli strikes. If Iran can park military aircraft on a nominal U.S. partner’s airfield, the coalition holding this war together is fraying from more than one direction — Gulf states bleeding revenue for a war that hasn’t advanced, and now a mediator doubling as a shelter. In Tehran, the IRGC’s internal security unit conducted exercises in preparation for potential domestic unrest. This is a good sign for the United States that the war is causing enough internal tension that the thugs are limbering up with the batons, such domestic pressure could make Iranian leaders a little more interested in a deal. CPI The most recent CNN poll found that 76% of Americans call cost-of-living issues their biggest economic problem. They got a new reason for concern Tuesday. Paychecks aren’t keeping pace with prices. The last time inflation outran average hourly earnings was April 2023. It’s doing it again now. The consumer price index rose 3.8% in April from a year earlier, up from 3.3% in March — the highest reading in nearly three years. Annual wage growth slowed to 3.6%. In real terms, the average worker’s purchasing power shrank. This is the first time since the Iran conflict began that the inflation tax has fully consumed the average worker’s annual raise. The headline number was driven by a 28.4% annual surge in gasoline, which traces directly to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a 44% jump in Brent crude since the fighting started. But the energy shock is no longer staying in the energy column. It’s bleeding into everything that moves by truck or runs on power. Grocery prices jumped 0.7% in April alone — economists point to diesel and energy costs embedded in food production and transport. Shelter, the largest single line in most household budgets, rose 0.6% for the month. Airfares climbed 20.7%, a straight pass-through of jet fuel. Pick up a tomato and you’re holding the whole mess at once. Tomato prices jumped nearly 40% from a year ago. Unseasonably wet weather in Mexico and freezes in Florida shrank the crop. Tariffs on Mexican tomatoes — roughly 17%, after the administration ended a free-import agreement last year — raised the floor. And war-driven fuel costs raised the price of getting whatever survived to your store. Open a can of beans instead and you hit a different wall: canned fruits and vegetables cost 5.7% more than a year ago, largely because a tin can accounts for about a third of the wholesale price, and over 80% of the tin plate used in American cans was imported last year. Trump’s steel tariffs pushed those costs straight through to the shelf. You might wonder why the Federal Reserve doesn’t step in. When wages slow, the Fed typically cuts interest rates to give the economy a boost. But it can only do that if inflation is cooling — and a particular slice of inflation isn’t. Strip out housing and energy, and look at what’s left: insurance premiums, haircuts, tuition, daycare. These are services set by contracts and labor costs, not by the price of a barrel of oil. Once they go up, they tend to stay up — even after the thing that pushed them up comes back down. That category of prices accelerated to a 5.5% annualized pace in April. So the Fed is stuck. Cutting rates would make borrowing cheaper and give the economy a boost — but it would also risk pushing those already-stubborn prices higher. The medicine for slow wages would make the inflation disease worse. The story a few weeks ago was that the war made gas expensive. The story now is that expensive gas is making everything else expensive, and the raises aren’t keeping up. Ink shortage In other crazy economic effects of the war news: Imagine the brightest packaging you’ve ever seen — a Japanese potato chip bag that could land planes in fog. Not anymore. An ink shortage caused by the Middle East conflict is forcing Japan’s biggest potato-chip maker, Calbee, to switch to black and white. Resins derived from naphtha, a derivative of crude oil, are typically used as a basic ingredient for commercial packaging inks. Affordable Care Act Marketplace dropouts Gas prices dominate the anxiety now, but before the war it was healthcare. Last year, 86 percent of Americans said access to quality health care was a part of the American dream, according to a poll by Investopia. According to reporting from NOTUS, more than one in five Americans who enrolled in health insurance through HealthCare.gov this year were dropped for failing to pay their first month’s premium. Last year the dropout rate was 12%. The difference is the end of the pandemic-era subsidies that Congress — specifically, congressional Republicans — declined to extend in December. Without them, a silver-tier plan that cost a 30-year-old $50 a month might now cost $300. The people disappearing from the rolls are disproportionately between 25 and 40 — old enough to need coverage, young enough to gamble they won’t. If the pool shrinks and the people left in it are sicker, the premiums climb further, which drives out the next healthiest layer, which drives premiums up again. You may remember the term used to describe this from the Obamacare years: a death spiral. Student loan defaulters I’m just going to call it: Tuesday was the economic bummer marathon. Here’s another one: For four years, pandemic-era protections drove student loan defaults to zero — not because borrowers got healthier, but because the government stopped reporting missed payments. Now 3.6 million borrowers have defaulted in six months. The default rate has returned to roughly where it was in late 2019, though the pace of new defaults slowed slightly last quarter, suggesting the worst of the initial shock may have passed. The average defaulter is 38.9 years old, two and a half years older than before, with a disproportionate spike among borrowers over 50 — student debt that was supposed to be a young person’s problem is following people into the years when they should be building wealth, not losing it. Credit scores for these borrowers dropped 91 points on average — enough to lock them out of mortgages and auto loans at the point in life when they’d normally be qualifying for both. And the numbers will get worse: Seven million borrowers haven’t made a payment in months — their repayment plan, the Biden-era SAVE program, was struck down by the Eighth Circuit as exceeding the Department of Education’s authority. Once the clock runs out on the transition window as a result of legal proceedings, they might default too. The Canadians aren’t coming A University of Toronto study using cell phone data found that Canadian visits to U.S. metro areas dropped 42% year over year — nearly double the decline that border crossing statistics capture. The snowbird destinations took the obvious hit: Florida, Las Vegas, Disney World. But the more telling losses are in cities where Canadians come to do business, not build sandcastles. San Francisco, Houston, and Grand Rapids — which has deep ties to Ontario’s auto industry — are all seeing sharp declines. The causes: the Canadian dollar fell below 70 cents U.S. in late 2024 — down from 76 cents that summer — which means a Canadian family that booked a Florida trip in June watched their money lose 10 percent of its value before they ever got on the plane; the political relationship soured; and the 25 percent auto and truck tariffs that landed in mid-2025 mean there are fewer parts contracts to negotiate in Grand Rapids, fewer tech partnerships to pitch in San Francisco, fewer supply chains that require a Canadian engineer to walk an American factory floor. I declined to insert a little riff on the relationship between the weak Canadian dollar and the weak American dollar, but you can tell me in the comments if you would have liked that kind of a detour. Starmer On Monday, UK Prime Minister Starmer gave a speech to save his job. On Tuesday, four ministers walked out while he was still talking about governing. The urgency isn’t just that Starmer is unpopular — it’s that Labour MPs fear if they don’t find someone better, Nigel Farage and the hard-right Reform UK could actually take power. The most senior departure was Jess Phillips, the safeguarding minister, who once said of Labour leaders: “I won’t knife you in the back. I’ll knife you in the front.” She kept her word. What is a safeguarding minister? Covers domestic abuse, child sexual exploitation, modern slavery, stalking, rape policy. Basically the government’s point person on protecting vulnerable people from violence. In her resignation letter, she called Starmer “a good man fundamentally, who cares about the right things” — then added that caring wasn’t enough. The math on Tuesday: roughly 90 Labour MPs calling for Starmer to go, just over 100 who signed a letter urging him to stay. Starmer told his cabinet he would “get on with governing” and pointed out that no one had triggered the formal process to remove him. That process requires a challenger to secure the backing of 81 MPs — 20% of the parliamentary party. If the 90 dissenters can agree on a single name, the threshold is already met. But they can’t. Starmer’s position resembles Boris Johnson’s in his final days: insisting the government functions while the ministers who make it function head for the exits. Deputy PM David Lammy urged colleagues to “take a breath.” That might help them relax or give them more air in the lungs for a louder scream. Trump Administration Churn It’s churny on this side of the pond too. Over the weekend, the president criticized the two Supreme Court justices he put on the bench for not being loyal to him. I wrote about that on Substack. But loyalty — who has it, who lost it, who never had it — was the organizing principle of the entire week’s personnel chaos. Start with Cameron Hamilton, whom the president just nominated to lead FEMA. Hamilton is a former Navy SEAL and combat medic with no professional background in emergency management. Last year, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem subjected him to a polygraph test to find out who leaked details of a meeting about dismantling the agency. Then he told a House subcommittee that eliminating FEMA was not in the country’s best interest. The president had said it was. He was fired the next day. Noem was herself fired in March 2026. Now that she’s gone, Hamilton is back — renominated for the same job he was fired from for doing honestly. FEMA, meanwhile, has operated for more than 15 months without a Senate-confirmed leader. The agency has had a rough stretch even by its own standards. Earlier this year, the administration fired FEMA’s on-call disaster response staff in what employees called a “New Year’s Eve Massacre,” leaving regional offices nearly empty. A federal judge had to order the administration to stop withholding disaster aid from states that voted against the president. Then there’s Kari Lake, the failed gubernatorial and Senate candidate who was installed as interim head of the U.S. Agency for Global Media, where she attempted to shutter Voice of America. In March, a federal judge ruled she had been serving illegally — never Senate-confirmed — and voided all of her official actions, including mass layoffs. The reward for having her tenure declared null by a court: Trump nominated her this week as Ambassador to Jamaica. And the doctor is out at the FDA, vanished in a cloud of strawberry-scented vape smoke. Dr. Marty Makary resigned Monday as FDA commissioner, reportedly after refusing to authorize fruit-flavored e-cigarettes that Trump and industry lobbyists wanted approved. Trump also complained: complained that Makary hadn’t done enough to carry out his “Right to Try” legislation aimed at getting experimental therapies to terminally ill patients, according to WSJ reporting. Trump repeatedly brought up a cancer drug he said Makary wouldn’t approve, the people said. The pattern: install loyalists, skip Senate confirmation, fire anyone who contradicts the president’s position even once, replace them with someone who watched what happened to the last person, and if the original firing becomes inconvenient, rehire the same person. Charges in Key Bridge collapse Federal prosecutors charged the Singapore-based operator of the Dali container ship and a senior employee in the 2024 collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge, which killed six construction workers. Men doing the necessary mundane work of public life, filling potholes. The indictment says the ship lost power twice in four minutes as it left port — and the second blackout was preventable. A fuel pump that could have restarted the generators in time wasn’t used because a different pump, one not designed to restart after a blackout, was running instead. The company then covered it up. Musk v. Altman Sam Altman defended himself in court Tuesday against Elon Musk’s claim that Altman betrayed OpenAI’s founding mission as a nonprofit that would make AI safe for the world. It might be easy to see this as a battle between tech behemoths, but the distinction at the heart of this case matters because a nonprofit answers to a mission — in OpenAI’s case, the mission was to develop AI carefully, with safety as the priority, not shareholder returns. A for-profit answers to investors. When the technology you’re building might be the most powerful and dangerous thing humans have ever created— other than the atom bomb— who you answer to determines how fast you move and how many guardrails you leave in place. OpenAI was founded as a nonprofit specifically because the people who started it — including Musk — believed AI was too dangerous to build on a profit motive. The question in this trial is whether Altman dismantled that safeguard, and if so, whether he did it with everyone’s knowledge or behind their backs. If it was behind everybody’s backs, yikes! He’s the guy who’s got the keys to the death ray. The trial offers something else: a map of how powerful people respond to pressure — who gave in, who maneuvered, who looked away. The same kinds of pressures — money, ego, speed, competitive fear — will shape every major AI decision from here forward. How these men handled the small version of the question is a preview of how the big version gets answered. Altman’s defense: Musk knew the company was heading toward a for-profit model and wanted in — he just wanted to run it. Musk is asking the court to block OpenAI’s conversion to for-profit and remove Altman from the board. If he wins, it’s a gift to OpenAI’s competitors — including Musk’s own AI company, xAI. If he loses, Altman consolidates control of a company now valued at $730 billion and clears the path toward what could be one of the largest IPOs in history. Altman and his internal operating source code get to determine the future. Musk brought a stress ball to the witness stand and squeezed it while he testified. Last week his lawyers read the diary of OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman aloud in court — entries written in 2017, before a meeting with Musk. “Can’t see us turning this into a for-profit without a very nasty fight,” Brockman wrote. “His story will correctly be that we weren’t honest with him in the end about still wanting to do the for-profit just without him.” Then, after the meeting went better than expected: “If we accomplish it, then we’ll really have shown him that we can outperform him even at something he’s great at. If we fail, well, we’ll deal with it then.” The diary of a man who knew he was being dishonest with his partner and decided to win the argument before the partner figured it out. Myanmar Ruby That is a lovely pigeon blood globule you have on your finger, madame. There is a kind of sweet spot where the most rarefied jewels of the most rarefied people intersect with civil war, child labor, and smuggling networks — and that sweet spot is currently sitting in a mine in Myanmar looking like a jumbo hamburger someone didn’t quite finish mashing into a patty. Miners near the town of Mogok, in upper Mandalay, unearthed an 11,000-carat ruby — 4.8 pounds, roughly the size of a fist. It’s the second-largest ever found in Myanmar, but likely more valuable than the first because of its superior color: a purplish-red with yellowish undertones, high transparency, and a reflective surface that gemologists describe as exceptional. When it’s buffed up and set by a master jeweler it will no doubt look exquisite as it swans across a ballroom on an oligarch’s favorite. For now, it looks like something you’d return at a butcher counter. It’s what the trade calls a “pigeon blood” ruby — a vivid red with a subtle blue undertone and a fluorescent glow. Fewer than 1 percent of all rubies qualify. The name comes from the Burmese word “ko-twe,” which translates directly to “pigeon blood.” One legend traces it to the first two drops of blood from a killed pigeon. Another says it matches the color at the center of a pigeon’s eye. Either way, the marketing department was not involved. Myanmar produces 90 percent of the world’s rubies, primarily from Mogok and Mong Hsu — regions that have seen intense fighting in the country’s civil war. Gemstones, both legitimately traded and smuggled, are a major revenue source for the military junta. So somewhere between the mine and the auction house, between the hamburger patty and the velvet case, this stone will quietly fund the war it was pulled out of. Wednesday May 13 Iran won’t stay obliterated. More inflation signs greet the new Fed chair, ICE can’t stop losing in court. The Senate shoots blanks in the US but not in the Philippines. That line wouldn’t get you an A at Harvard but since it wasn’t written by AI at least it might get a smile at Princeton. Iran The New York Times reported Wednesday that classified U.S. intelligence assessments find Iran has regained operational access to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait. Ninety percent of its underground missile facilities are partially or fully operational. Seventy percent of mobile launchers intact. Seventy percent of prewar missile stockpile intact. The reason: when the U.S. struck Iranian missile facilities, it sealed tunnel entrances rather than destroying entire sites — to conserve bunker-buster munitions for a potential conflict with North Korea or China. The U.S. has expended 1,100 long-range stealth cruise missiles — roughly the remaining stockpile — and 1,300 Patriot interceptors, more than two years of production. The Pentagon is rationing, and Iran knows it. A threat you can’t afford to carry out isn’t a threat. The Senate voted 49-50 to reject a resolution to end the war. Three Republican senators — Rand Paul, Susan Collins, and Lisa Murkowski — voted with Democrats. Democrat John Fetterman voted with Republicans. The antiwar position is now one Republican defection away from a majority. Israel conducted a wave of drone strikes on the coastal highway south of Beirut, killing twelve people, including a woman and her two children. This under a ceasefire that Israel and Lebanon agreed to in November 2024. IRGC Brigadier General Mohammad Akrami Nia declared that Iran will no longer allow U.S. weapons or warships bound for regional bases — including the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain — to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Whether Iran has the naval capacity to enforce that is unclear, or maybe this is saber-rattling for the home crowd. We’ll have to see. ABC reports the Army is cutting training across the force to cover a $4 to $6 billion budget shortfall driven by the Iran war, the border mission, and the $1.1 billion National Guard deployment in Washington. The hardest hit: III Armored Corps, which commands 70,000 soldiers and nearly half the Army’s combat power. Internal documents warn its aviation units will deploy next year at “a lower state of readiness” and that rebuilding combat proficiency will take a full year. The president has called the war an “excursion.” The math calls it a $33 billion budget hit, a depleted missile stockpile meant for China, and an army cannibalizing its own readiness just to keep the excursion going. 10,000 losses How many times would you have to lose at something before you might rethink what you were doing? 30%, 40%, 50%? Federal judges have now ruled against ICE detention practices more than 10,000 times, according to a Politico analysis. That’s a 90% loss rate for the administration. How did they achieve such excellence in losing? Federal law says people “seeking admission” to the country must be detained. Every previous administration read that to mean people caught at the border. Last July, acting ICE Director Todd Lyons signed a memo saying it also applies to millions of immigrants who have lived here for years — meaning they get locked up with no hearing, no bail, no chance to see a judge. Courts keep saying that’s not what the law means. More than 425 judges have reached the same conclusion, including a majority of Trump appointees. The case files include a nursing mother with active refugee status, a five-year-old detained on his way home from school, parents of U.S. servicemembers. ICE has defied orders by transferring detainees to new states, forcing them to refile with new lawyers — generating more litigation, more losses. The administration doesn’t care about 10,000 losses because it only needs one win — at the Supreme Court. Courts in Texas and Minnesota have backed the administration. Courts in New York, Atlanta, and Cincinnati have not. When appeals courts split like that, the Supreme Court steps in to settle it. The court almost certainly will. PPI Tuesday you heard about the Consumer Price Index, inflation. Why are you telling me about another thing on Wednesday? Can’t we get a rest? I’m sorry, the answer is no. Today we must talk about the Producer Price Index. The PPI measures what businesses pay each other — for steel, for chemicals, for shipping containers full of clothes. It matters because businesses don’t eat those costs. They pass them on. When it costs Target more to stock the shelves, it eventually costs you more to fill your cart. The CPI measures the price of your cart. The PPI tells you what’s coming for your cart next. The story with the Producer Price Index, or PPI as it is known, was that at the beginning of the year, economists wondered whether companies had stockpiled their inventories before the tariffs hit in order to keep prices low, but that at some point in the year 2026, the inventories would run out and companies would be paying import taxes, which they would then pass along to consumers. It’s happening. In February, core wholesale prices — stripping out food and energy — jumped 0.8% in a single month, nearly triple the forecast, pushing the annual rate to 3.6%. That meant the cheap inventory was running out. By April, the number had climbed to 5.2%. The stockpiles are gone. Businesses are now paying the full tariff price — and that price is heading to you. And then a war landed on top of it. Seventy-five percent of April’s rise in goods prices came from energy — a direct consequence of the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. Gasoline jumped 15.6%. But the more dangerous number is diesel, up 12.6%, because diesel moves everything else other than your car — every truck, every freight train, every container ship. Diesel is the invisible cost inside the price of groceries, of clothes, of everything that traveled to reach you. Kevin Warsh confirmed to Fed What a fun time to be chairman of the Federal Reserve. The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh on Wednesday, 54-45 — the slimmest margin for a Fed chair in history, with only one Democrat, John Fetterman, crossing party lines. Bipartisan support for Fed picks used to be the rule; Alan Greenspan won unanimous confirmation in 2000. Trump, asked on CNBC if he’d be disappointed if Warsh didn’t immediately cut rates, said, “I would.” Warsh vowed during his confirmation hearing that monetary policy would remain “strictly independent.” CME FedWatch gives a 1 percent chance rates come down this year. The market is betting on Warsh, not the president. Philippines The United States Senate can’t stop a war, but at least nobody’s shooting in the chamber. Chaos erupted Wednesday night in the Philippine Senate when gunfire rang out as authorities tried to arrest a senator who is wanted by the International Criminal Court for a charge of crime against humanity. Senator Ronald dela Rosa served as national police chief under President Rodrigo Duterte, leading anti-drug crackdowns that killed somewhere between 12,000 and 30,000. The ICC warrant accuses him of murdering “no less than 32 persons” between 2016 and 2018. Dela Rosa had barricaded himself in the chamber under the protection of allied senators and called on followers to gather and block his arrest. Princeton Honor Code Change For more than a century, Princeton prided itself on an honor code so revered that proctoring during exams was banned. A student’s pledge not to cheat was enough. Faculty voted to require proctors in all in-person exams starting this summer — reversing a policy set in 1893 — largely because of AI. The technology has made cheating both easier to commit and harder to detect. Students are afraid to report violations because they’ll get called out on social media, and anonymous reports are hard to investigate. Students will still sign the pledge. Now someone will be watching while they do. A for everyone - Harvard debates limiting A’s Harvard’s faculty began voting on whether to cap the number of A’s professors can give. The reason: in 2010, A’s accounted for a third of all grades. By 2025, that had doubled to over 60 percent. The proposal would limit solid A’s to 20 percent of a class. One Harvard faculty member, Joshua Greene, writing in the Atlantic, put it this way: grade inflation “perversely deters students from taking classes that could threaten” a perfect GPA. “It’s as if students start college with a shiny new car and hope to go four years without a scratch. Who would dare go off-road?” Murdaugh Killing I hate this story because it’s gothic and it encourages the worst kind of gawking in cable TV land, but this legal angle is interesting so here goes: South Carolina’s Supreme Court unanimously overturned Alex Murdaugh’s double murder convictions. The court found that the clerk overseeing jurors had told them not to be “fooled” by Murdaugh and to watch his body language — what the justices called “shocking jury interference.” The clerk later resigned and pleaded guilty to misusing public funds and promoting her book about the trial. Murdaugh stays in prison for stealing millions from clients. He’ll be retried for killing his wife and son. Thursday May 14 Pageantry in China, nothing to see here in Iran, Starmer’s cabinet gets thinner, Cuba is in the dark ages, which is where we’ll go to go long on Neanderthal teeth. Trump in China President Trump arrived in Beijing Thursday for his first China visit since 2017. The pageantry was identical — 21-gun salute, marching soldiers so precise they looked like they’d come out of a box, flag-waving schoolchildren. The circumstances have changed in the nine years. China is more powerful, the U.S. is at war with Iran, and Trump needs Xi’s help reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trump says he doesn’t. Xi knows better. On Wednesday — the day Trump landed — a Chinese supertanker carrying two million barrels of Iraqi crude sailed through the strait, the third known Chinese passage since the war began. Iran’s state media confirmed an agreement to let Chinese ships pass. Iran is now running its own transit authority and collecting fees in Chinese yuan. So while the American economy chokes on four-dollar gas, Chinese tankers sail through. Leverage, demonstrated on the eve of the summit. Minutes into their meeting in the Great Hall of the People, Xi named his price: Taiwan. He called it “the most important issue” and warned that mishandling it would mean the two countries “will collide or even clash.” Then he invoked the Thucydides Trap — the theory that when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, war is the default outcome. Xi is telling Trump that China is the rising power, the U.S. is the incumbent, and avoiding conflict requires the incumbent to make room. Starting with Taiwan. Trump did not respond. According to a White House official, he moved to the next topic without acknowledging the comment. The White House readout mentioned trade, fentanyl, and Iran. It did not mention Taiwan. The administration has already postponed a $13 billion weapons package to avoid angering Xi. If Trump discusses the planned sales with Xi at all, he’d be violating one of the Six Assurances — Reagan-era commitments sent to Taiwan’s president in 1982, one of which says the U.S. will not consult with Beijing before selling arms to Taipei. Trump has said he’ll have the conversation. That pillar of U.S.-Taiwan policy, forty-four years old, may not survive the week. Washington framed the day as a trade reset. Trump brought an airport courtesy bus full of heavy hitters from American industry: Apple’s Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, Goldman’s David Solomon, BlackRock’s Larry Fink, Blackstone’s Steve Schwarzman, and Boeing’s Kelly Ortberg on the red carpet. It was a sign of respect and a sign that the U.S. is ready to do business in China. The American wish list, per Montana Senator Steve Daines: “Boeing, beef, and beans.” U.S. soybean farmers and beef producers have been locked out of the Chinese market for a year. In an early signal, China renewed import licenses for hundreds of U.S. beef plants. Before China can buy American beef, each U.S. meatpacking plant has to be individually certified by Chinese regulators. China had let hundreds of those certifications lapse during the trade freeze. Renewing them doesn’t mean beef is flowing — it means the door is unlocked. China can open it whenever it wants, or leave it shut. And then there was Rubio. The Secretary of State was sanctioned by China in 2020 — banned from entering the country — for condemning Beijing’s internment of Uyghur Muslims and supporting sanctions over Hong Kong. Thursday he stood in the front row in the Great Hall of the People. How? Beijing changed the spelling of his name. Chinese state media swapped one character in the transliteration — “Rubio” became “Lu” — and declared that the ban applied to Senator Rubio, not Secretary Rubio. The sanctions remain technically in force. The man is technically someone else. Strategic ambiguity doesn’t just apply to the U.S. position on Taiwan. It works for names too. SCOTUS allows abortion by mail to continue The Supreme Court just issued a prescription for the entire country, but didn’t bother to sign the note. The Supreme Court ruled in an emergency order that abortion medication can continue to be prescribed by telehealth and shipped by mail, blocking restrictions imposed by the Fifth Circuit while litigation continues. The majority offered no reasoning — standard for emergency orders. Thomas and Alito dissented. Alito called the order “remarkable” and “unreasoned.” This is part of the shadow docket, which justices on both sides have complained about. When the Court decides the fate of medical access for millions in a single-page order, it leaves the law “in limbo” without a clear map for lower courts to follow. The case now goes back to the Fifth Circuit to be decided on the merits, which could take months, and will almost certainly end up back at the Supreme Court after that. Nearly two-thirds of U.S. abortions now use pills. A quarter involve telehealth. The FDA approved telehealth prescriptions of mifepristone in 2021 after reviewing data showing the drug was safe without an in-person visit. More than 100 studies back that finding. DOJ lawyers defended the FDA in lower courts but never said whether the administration actually supports mailing the pills. After losing at the Fifth Circuit, the administration made the unusual choice to file nothing at the Supreme Court — no brief, no position, no opinion. Silence as strategy: if the court protects access, the White House doesn’t have to. By filing nothing, the White House avoided a “lose-lose” political situation. If they supported the pill, they would anger the religious base; if they opposed it, they would alienate the moderate voters who have approved 14 of 17 abortion-rights ballot measures since 2022. Iran The Pentagon fired the people responsible for counting the dead, then told Congress they have a near-perfect record of not killing anyone. Admiral Brad Cooper, head of U.S. Central Command, told senators Thursday that the U.S. military has avoided civilian casualties in Iran and that there was “no way” to corroborate reports of damage to civilian sites. There is no way — because Defense Secretary Hegseth terminated dozens of Pentagon positions responsible for tracking civilian deaths, dismantling the Civilian Harm Mitigation Response office his predecessor created for exactly that purpose. The New York Times has verified destruction at 22 schools and 17 health care facilities. The Human Rights Activists News Agency estimates at least 1,700 Iranian civilians killed. The non-profit, U.S.-based agency relies on a network of activists inside Iran to confirm all reported fatalities. Cooper acknowledged one incident — a school in Minab where Iranian officials say 175 people died, which he conceded may have been caused by a U.S. bomb. That was the only civilian casualty event he knew of. 22 verified schools, 17 health facilities, an estimated 1,700 dead — and the head of Central Command is aware of one incident. Big gap. Cuba goes dark The refrigerators in Cuba aren’t working, so food is spoiling. Hospitals are cancelling surgeries. The air is thick with the smoke of wood and coal as households burn what they can find. Blackouts have left Cubans sleeping on rooftops to escape the heat. Others wake at odd hours when the power briefly returns to make coffee, charge phones. Havana is now dark 20 to 22 hours a day. Power comes back for as little as 90 minutes. The trigger is American. Cuba’s electrical grid has been failing for years — the infrastructure predates the current crisis. The U.S. actions accelerated a collapse that was already underway. On January 3, the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off 25 years of Venezuelan oil donations. On January 29, Trump signed an executive order blockading oil shipments to Cuba. Mexico paused its own shipments under U.S. pressure. Cuba produces 40,000 barrels a day but needs 100,000. Venezuela and Mexico had been making up the shortfall. By mid-May, Cuba’s energy minister announced the country had completely run out of fuel oil and diesel. The squeeze is producing contact. CIA Director John Ratcliffe visited Havana Thursday and met with Raúl Castro’s grandson, the interior minister, and the head of Cuban intelligence. According to reports, he told them to take a lesson from what happened to Maduro. Cuba was the first to announce the meeting — a government that has resisted Washington since 1959 publicly acknowledging it hosted the CIA director. It also released a political prisoner Thursday. Secretary of State Rubio has been running secret talks with Cuban leaders. A senior administration official’s assessment: “They have no fuel. They have no money. They have no one coming to rescue them.” The administration wants regime change but not a refugee crisis — officials say the goal is to ensure a “non-repressive security structure remains intact” to avoid unrest and mass migration to the U.S. A third of Cuban households now report that at least one family member went to bed hungry in the last 30 days — up from a quarter last year. On Wednesday evening, residents across Havana banged pots and pans and set fire to trash cans in the dark in protest. Starmer UK Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned Thursday morning after a Wednesday meeting with Starmer that lasted sixteen minutes. In his letter, he said he’d lost confidence in the Prime Minister’s leadership and called the rise of the nationalist Reform UK an “existential threat to the future integrity” of the country. He wrote: “Where we need vision, we have a vacuum. Where we need direction, we have drift.” Streeting stopped short of formally triggering a leadership contest, but nobody read it as anything other than a starting gun. He’s the most prominent figure on Labour’s right. On the left, Angela Rayner — who resigned as deputy PM last year over a tax dispute — announced Thursday that tax authorities had cleared her of wrongdoing, removing the obstacle to her own candidacy. And in Manchester, Andy Burnham, the mayor who leads polls of who Labour voters actually want, was spotted boarding a train to London. Burnham’s problem: he isn’t a member of Parliament. Someone in a safe seat would have to step aside to let him run. The party has three plausible successors who appeal to three different factions, and no mechanism for choosing among them that doesn’t tear the coalition apart further. Starmer has not resigned. The formal challenge has not been triggered. But the government is now losing ministers so fast it’s going to start showing up in the unemployment figures. Retail sales Retail sales grew 0.5% in April, down from March’s 1.6%. Strip out gas stations and the number drops to 0.3% — which, adjusted for inflation, is a decline. The Iran war’s inflation tax is showing up in what Americans are no longer buying. Department stores: down 3.2%. Furniture: down 2%. Clothing: down 1.5%. Cars: down half a percent. Restaurant and bar spending rose 0.6% — Americans will still pay for a night out, but they’re stopping themselves from buying a new couch. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, tracked since 1952, hit 48.2 in early May — the lowest reading in its 74-year history. Lower than the 2008 financial crisis. Lower than the 1980 stagflation trough. About a third of respondents mentioned gas prices unprompted. And April’s numbers were artificially propped up: Trump’s tax cut legislation produced refunds $22 billion larger than last year, and most of that money landed between February and April. Tax refund season is now over. Gas prices are not. The Hundred-Slide Pitch During the Trump administration, one of the storylines has been about how the president has targeted law firms with lawyers who worked in any way associated with the many cases brought against him. There is another side of this story: law firms whose lawyers helped the president. One such firm is Sullivan & Cromwell. The firm’s co-chairman, Robert Giuffra, is one of Donald Trump’s personal attorneys — the same lawyer helping Trump overturn his felony conviction for falsifying business records. Earlier this year, Indian billionaire Gautam Adani quietly hired Giuffra to make a problem go away. The problem: fraud and bribery charges the Biden Justice Department brought in late 2024 over an alleged scheme tied to solar power contracts that affected U.S. investors. Giuffra’s team met with senior officials at Main Justice and clicked through a 100-slide presentation arguing the case was jurisdictionally weak and evidence-thin. The last slide was worth paying attention to. It promised that Adani would invest $10 billion in U.S. energy and infrastructure and create 15,000 jobs if the government walked away. DOJ officials told Giuffra the investment offer would “play no role” in their decision. The Trump Justice Department is now moving to drop the charges. Adani is reportedly in talks to settle the related SEC civil case for $15 to $20 million — a rounding error against both the scale of the alleged scheme and a net worth north of $60 billion. The pattern is legible enough to function as a manual: hire the president’s personal lawyer, offer a patriotic investment denominated in jobs, and let political gravity do the rest. Won’t you be my neighbor? Anne locked herself out on the porch Friday morning and had an incredibly busy day at the end of an incredibly busy week. She was at home alone without her usual hero to provide ready assistance. How did she solve the problem? She called a neighbor. Thank you to our hero Brian Allen. While her husband is less sociable, despite his chatty seatmate podcast persona, Anne is in a shrinking minority of people who are in touch with their neighbors. Only 40 percent of Americans talk to their neighbors regularly — down from 59 percent in 2012. Among young adults, the collapse is stunning: one in four, down from one in two. The American Enterprise Institute’s new neighbor survey finds the usual culprits — screens, remote work, the slow replacement of sidewalk life with app-mediated everything — but the sharper finding is about class. College-educated Americans are more likely to socialize with their neighbors, text them, trust them, and work with them to fix a problem on the block. They’re more comfortable asking a neighbor to watch their kid in an emergency. Among mothers without a degree, fewer than one in three would ask. It’s not that less-educated Americans are less friendly. They’re less likely to live near a coffee shop, a park, or a community center — the places where you bump into people often enough that they stop being strangers. Americans with six or more of these gathering spots nearby talk to their neighbors at nearly twice the rate of those with none. The other dividing line is the church door. Forty-nine percent of weekly churchgoers talk to their neighbors regularly. Among Americans who never attend services, it’s 31 percent. Among young adults, the gap doubles: weekly attendees are twice as likely to know the people next door. Religious Americans are also more likely to believe that being a good neighbor means offering help without being asked. Most Americans — two-thirds — believe the opposite: that being a good neighbor means not getting too involved. The default setting in American neighborhood life is now a polite mutual avoidance, and we’ve convinced ourselves it’s a virtue. College pay off A study tracking a million students through Texas public colleges finds that a bachelor’s degree still pays off — but the payoff is slower and more uneven than the brochure suggests. On average, graduates earned a cumulative $86,806 more than peers who skipped college, measured 15 years after enrollment. But it took nine years just to break even — factoring in tuition and the wages they didn’t earn while sitting in lecture halls. Architecture and engineering majors cleared $200,000 above their noncollege peers over that period. Liberal arts majors cleared about $35,000. An NBC News poll last fall found only one-third of Americans think a four-year degree is worth the cost, down from 53 percent in 2013. 59,000 Years Before Novocaine When the dentist asks, “Have you been flossing?” do you struggle with your conscience? Do you think Neanderthals did? They might have. Archaeologists think they’ve found the earliest known instance of dental cavity intervention in human evolutionary history. In a cave in southwestern Siberia where Neanderthals lived almost 59,000 years ago, researchers found a molar — according to a report published in the scientific journal PLOS One — with a deep hole bored through the biting surface all the way down to the pulp chamber — the inner cavity that holds nerves and blood vessels. … It’s a term that has always freaked me out. Pulp. I mean of all the weird names in science and medicine that bear no relationship to the thing it’s describing, suddenly the dentists rush into the room with the most gruesomely accurate description of something? No wonder people are nervous at the dentist. A study published last September in the Journal of the American Dental Association: nearly 73 percent of U.S. adults report being afraid of going to the dentist, with about 46 percent des

15. maj 20261 h 25 min