The Bayesian Conspiracy

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo [https://x.com/lfschiavo?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope [https://larissaschiavo.substack.com/p/primary-hope?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] The AI’s story – Resonance [https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1BGHSUThv0g4YYSawqy3Keba-ZHhZ7rrunDp5BSPgQb8/edit?slide=id.g35c726f1acf_1_0#slide=id.g35c726f1acf_1_0&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] AI Village [https://theaidigest.org/village?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Short Stories – Maneki Neko [https://www.lightspeedmagazine.com/fiction/maneki-neko/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], and Cat Pictures Please [https://clarkesworldmagazine.com/kritzer_01_15/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Kevin Roose was hated [https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/30/technology/ai-chatbot-chatgpt-manipulation.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] by the AIs ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong?

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@DoomDebates?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Doom Debates podcast [https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/doom-debates/id1751366208?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaDWSPMdM4o&ab_channel=DoomDebates&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mb9w7lFIHRM&ab_channel=DoomDebates&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] MATS program [https://www.matsprogram.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory Scholars) How to Live Well with High P(Doom) [https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/240-how-to-live-well-with-high-pdoom-with-ben-pace-brandon-hendrickson-miranda-dixon-luinenburg/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] The ancient TBC episode on AlphaGo [https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/4-alphago-with-patrick-chapin/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Other Best-Of episodes [https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/best-of/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] of The Bayesian Conspiracy “Don’t Eat Honey [https://benthams.substack.com/p/dont-eat-honey?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]” by Bentham’s Bulldog Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here [https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/#preorder?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or at Amazon [https://amzn.to/4mTpb60?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]. 00:00:05 – Doom Debates 01:29:34 – A Human Is Worth 7 Bees 01:37:20 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:49:24 – Thank the Supporter! [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/subscribe?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer

Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here [https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/#preorder?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or at Amazon [https://amzn.to/4mTpb60?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]. LINKS MicroCovid.org [https://www.microcovid.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] The Fooming Shoggoths [https://open.spotify.com/artist/5JZzahzHShwGXWD6aWcSeu?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] A Song For Two Voices [https://archiveofourown.org/series/936480?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Paid Bonus content – Steven & Eneasz talk one-on-one, with significant personal details from Steven’s life (patreon [https://www.patreon.com/posts/132171713?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], substack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/240-bonus-doom-duet?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]) 00:00:05 – Panel Discussion at LessOnline 00:39:10 – Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg chat 00:54:24 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:56:31 – Thank the Supporter! [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/subscribe?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer

David Youssef used Claude and Suno [https://suno.com/home?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/bayes-blast-42-epic-ai-music/comment/128947862?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! Check out the Spotify playlist [https://open.spotify.com/artist/2AWA52XuMJPtX4IJlV0XHJ?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] or the Youtube playlist [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCcTNBWqcHzi7UmwInFV3d2w?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! Check them out and our initial episode [https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/117-the-guild-of-servants/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] with him and Alex.

Steven works at SymbyAI [https://symbyai.com?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here [https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/#preorder?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or at Amazon [https://amzn.to/4mTpb60?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]. LINKS SymbyAI [https://symbyai.com?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle [https://www.kaggle.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] arXiv [https://arxiv.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies [https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:05:40 – SymbyAI [https://symbyai.com?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter! [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/subscribe?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer