Marc Chandler – US Jobs Report, Q2 GDP Estimates, FED Policy, North American MCA Trade Agreement, Interest Rates, Currencies, and Supply Shocks

Marc Chandler – US Jobs Report, Q2 GDP Estimates, FED Policy, North American MCA Trade Agreement, Interest Rates, Currencies, and Supply Shocks

In this edition of The KE Report, I sat down with Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack another full week of macroeconomic data.  We focused on the US jobs report, GDP estimates for Q2, the mid-week European central bank meeting where Kevin Warsh spoke, the shift to an annual review of the Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) trade agreement, further geopolitics effects of tariffs and the Strait of Hormuz supply shock, and how all of that factors into interest rates, currencies, and international markets.   Key Discussion Points:   * Jobs Report Metrics Come In Weaker Than Expected: The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the US added just 57,000 jobs in June, a slowdown from previous months and below the 113,000 economists expected. The unemployment rate, however, ticked down to 4.2%, below the expected 4.3%. * Marc gets under-the-hood and looks at the nuances of the regular revisions to the jobs data, the nature of the data collection and inherent challenges with getting it all in a timely basis, and how the low participation rate effected the unemployment rate. * The Atlanta-based GDP Now Forecasts ~1.2% GDP Growth in Q2:  While this number is also subject to revision when the official number comes out, and is contrast to Bloomberg’s 2.2% GDP growth estimate, it highlights a reduction in growth in Q2 versus Q1. * When contrasting the 1.2% GDP growth estimate versus the May inflation reading at 4.2% area, some economists point to negative growth in “real” inflation-adjusted terms and point to this being stagflation.   Marc weighs in on the conversation and is less convinced of the economy being in that kind of dire stagflationary pressure, and lays out the case for steady growth and how different segments of the economy are in different situations. * Inflation Expectations and Fed Policy: A few weeks after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s debut meeting, and after getting more comments from him this last week at the European Central Bank Forum, the market is pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year; with 1.5 hikes prices in. This is affecting the short-end of the bond yield curve, while the longer-dated treasury yields are flattening. Mark weighs in on the key takeaways in these trends as well as where "real" inflation-adjusted interest rates are coming in. * International Market Movers:  Widening the scope beyond US markets, we discuss interest rates, currencies, and stock markets abroad from Europe to Asia, and the trends and moves by specific countries that have Marc’s attention. * Mexico/Canada/America (“MCA”) Trade Agreement Goes To Annual Review: Marc highlights that now that July 1st deadline has come and gone, the MCA is still intact, but now goes to an annual renewal and review for the next decade.  This brings up the larger discussion around North American trade and economies of scale between the 3 countries, and the benefits of the MCA versus bilateral trade agreements. * Strait of Hormuz Supply Shock Effects Multiply: While the MOU for the ceasefire between the US and Iran is on unsure footing, there has been a significant drop in crude oil prices over the last couple of weeks, easing some future inflation expectations.  However, the resulting supply shock in fertilizers and pesticides, had an impact on farming in a year where the warmer weather effects from El Niño are anticipated to result in lower food yields.  This is one of the big themes Marc will be watching for the balance of this year and setting up for 2027.   Click here to visit Marc’s site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/ [https://www.marctomarket.com/]     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ [https://kereport.substack.com/] Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ [https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/]     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Joel Elconin – Keep An Eye On The Violent Rotation Trade Under The Surface Of US Equity Markets

In this Daily Editorial on The KE Report, I chat with Joel Elconin, Co-Founder of the Pre-Market Prep Show and Founder of the Stock Trader Network, to discuss the “violent rotation trade” underneath the surface of the US equity markets.  His big takeaway lately has been that “leaders have turned into laggards, and the laggards have now turned into leaders.”   We picked it up where we left off last week where Micron Technology (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) had blasted up after a nice earnings beat, but then dropped precipitously this week. * Micron got “Broadcom’ed” by the market… Joel points out that initially Broadcom (AVGO) had rallied on its earnings, before then getting taken out to the woodshed and beaten down over the last month.   There have been pockets of strength lately, due to a rotation trade out of MAG-7 leadership and out into select financial stocks, consumer staples, mixed retail, utilities, biotech (XBI), healthcare (XLV), but Joel advised caution in chasing these sectors much higher.   Another laggard trade, that has morphed into a leader trade has the been the small cap stocks as evidenced by the move in the Russell 2000 (IWM) for the last year, and picking up pace over the last few months.     We discussed that some stocks, like Intel Corp (INTC), with a current forward PE ratio over 150, are making upside moves that normally take years in just a matter of days and weeks; and thus, their valuations are now priced to perfection far out into the future.  * His concern is the eventual assertion of gravity in the markets, where valuations actually start to matter again.   Oil prices have collapsed since the MOU was signed between the US and Iran, which is a bright spot for consumers and businesses alike, and it should help with the inflation readings moving forward.  However, Joel points out that if the WTI prices drop even lower and the trends shift over into a deflationary cycle, then that could roil the markets.   When probed about the potential rotation from growth into value in that kind of a scenario, Joel highlighted that this is what we are already starting to see under the surface of these markets, and that happens later in the cycle when traders get into a more defensive posture.   Joel flagged that his biggest concern at present is that the markets are content to focus on the benefits of the rotation trade, but if money quits pulling out of one asset class and plowing right back into another and instead just goes to the sidelines, then things could also morph into a “sell everything” market in the 2nd half of the year.  For this reason, his posture and general outlook is moving from neutral to bearish looking ahead to the balance of 2026.   Click here to visit Joel’s PreMarket Prep website – https://www.premarketprep.com/ [https://www.premarketprep.com/]   Click here to visit the Stock Trader Network – https://www.stocktradernetwork.com/ [https://www.stocktradernetwork.com/]   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ [https://kereport.substack.com/] Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ [https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/]     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Brien Lundin – Emerging From The PM Market Malaise In Q2, and Looking Ahead To Better Seasonality and Sector News In Q3

In this Daily Editorial from The KE Report, I sit down with Brien Lundin, Editor of the Gold Newsletter and host of the upcoming New Orleans Investment Conference, to get his outlook on where we are at in the precious metals market, and why he believes the bottoming process is already underway here in the mid-point of the year.  We are transitioning from what was a very difficult correction in Q2, to a metals and mining prices that seem to have hit selling exhaustion and are bouncing up to kick off Q3.   While the short-term charts for gold have been under pressure, Brien highlights several under-the-radar shifts that suggest a market transition is underway in the PM complex. * Gold dipped briefly below $4,000 a few times, but didn’t stay there and quickly rebounded back up above that round psychological number each time. The last few days of June and first couple days of July have put some breathing room in between current prices and $4,000. * The Fed policy expectations went a bit too extreme in the hawkish camp, and Brien points out that eventually Kevin Warsh and the Fed will transition back to a more accommodative policy, using their task forces to define new readings on economic datapoint. * The stronger US dollar is not going to be the headwind some may expect, and is less relevant to the gold or silver price over the medium to longer-term than other macro trends. * We are entering an attractive window of seasonality, where often the lows in the PM sector occur between late July and early August and then rally for months into the Fall. While we could see a bit more continued price weakness, he sees that as a great spot to go shopping for companies on people’s watch lists.   The precious metals stocks are going to have a wave of positive news coming in Q3 from robust earnings in the producers, to cashed up exploration programs, resource estimate updates, and economic studies in the juniors. * Brien highlights the following companies as ones that have positive news catalysts on tap that he is keenly interested in following for H2: Prospector Metals Corp. (TSXV: PPP) (OTCQB: PMCOF), K2 Gold Corp (TSXV: KTOV) (OTCQX: KTGDF), Banyan Gold Corp. (TSXV:BYN)(OTCQB:BYAGF), Delta Resources Ltd (TSXV: DLTA) (OTC Pink: DTARF), and Auro Metals Inc. (TSXV: AURO) (OTCPK: AURFF).   Click here to learn more about the Gold Newsletter. [https://goldnewsletter.com/] – https://goldnewsletter.com/ [https://goldnewsletter.com/]   Click here to learn more about the New Orleans Investment Conference on October 28-31. [https://neworleansconference.com/]    For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ [https://kereport.substack.com/] Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ [https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/]     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Newcore Gold - PFS Rundown & High-Grade Drill Results

In this KE Report Company Update, I sit down with Luke Alexander, President and CEO of Newcore Gold (TSXV: NCAU / OTCQX: NCAUF), to break down the company’s crucial recent milestones at their flagship gold project in Ghana. Luke provides an overview of the key numbers in the newly released Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS). The conversation also highlights recent high-grade drill results expanding on the current resource base at the Enchi Gold Project.  Key Discussion Points: * The Strategic Shift to a CIL Flowsheet: Why transitioning from a heap leach model to Carbon-in-Leach (CIL) maximizes gold recoveries and aligns with West African mining standards. * Project Economics: A high-level overview of the key numbers in the PFS, including after-tax NPV, IRR, and payback period. * Significant Gold Price Leverage: How the project's valuation scales when modeled against higher gold prices. * High-Grade Drilling Results: Insights into the latest drill holes from the Nyam deposit that demonstrate strong potential to expand the mine life.   If you have any follow up questions for Luke please email me at Fleck@kereport.com [Fleck@kereport.com].   Click here to visit the Newcore Gold website. [https://newcoregold.com/]- https://newcoregold.com/ [https://newcoregold.com/]   ---------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  * The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ [https://kereport.substack.com/] Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ [https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/]   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Robert Sinn –Technical and Fundamental Setup In Gold, Silver, and Precious Metals Stocks Heading Into Q3

Robert Sinn, (aka Goldfinger on CEO.ca and CeoTechnican on X) and publisher of Goldfinger Capital on YouTube and Substack, joins me for another wide-ranging discussion on his technical outlook, fundamental factors that matter, and portfolio management strategies in this current setup in gold, silver, and precious metals stocks heading into Q3.   We start off reviewing the bearish technical action on the charts from the Q1 peaks in January and February to the support breaking to lower prices in Q2 through the end of June.     * Q2 had a very ugly bullish engulfing quarterly candle, which he just wrote about on Substack, but he also cautioned people that it doesn’t mean things are just going to go straight down from here. * Robert points out that selling compounded and Q2 closed up at max pessimism in the sector, and he noted that this is the type of environment where selling can become exhausted and where directional turns can happen. * Additionally, we noted the extreme low readings in sector sentiment, extreme low bullish breadth readings, and the weak seasonality factor, where the summer doldrums seemed to come early this year. * He highlights that turning over the calendar month & quarter can bring in different positioning from institutions, and that in seasonality terms, coming out of the US Independence Day long weekend can often set up a more constructive stretch in the PM complex for the next few months.   Next we addressed the fat margins that producers still had in Q2 and heading into Q3, despite the corrective moves in the metals and higher energy costs for the quarter, and  potentially compressing margins some from where they were in Q1.   We also outlined the constructive situation with regards to so many gold and silver explorers and developers being more cashed up than they have been in years, doing some of their largest work programs in years.  We are going to have flood of positive sector news over the next few months that could be the catalysts to bring more buying and interest into the junior PM equities.   Wrapping up we discussed a few portfolio management strategies, where pullbacks in quality companies can be good accumulation points.  Robert reiterated that investors should take inventory of what they own and why they own those stocks; shedding situations that are continually not working out, and focusing on their highest conviction stories that they have the best understanding of as their heaviest weightings.    Follow Robert’s analysis on Substack [https://robertsinn.substack.com/] . https://ceo.ca/@goldfinger [https://ceo.ca/@goldfinger] . Click here to follow Robert on X/Twitter [https://twitter.com/ceotechnician] . https://www.youtube.com/@GoldfingerCapital/videos [https://www.youtube.com/@GoldfingerCapital/videos]     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ [https://kereport.substack.com/] Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ [https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/]     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.