The Naked Pravda

Last month, as another 30 days of war passed in Ukraine, Russian activists, economists, and politicians in the exiled anti-Kremlin opposition spent much of their time arguing about a banking scandal from the last decade. The debate has been as mystifying to outsiders as it is confusing to those without an education in finance.  With help from Ilya Shumanov, the general director of Transparency International-Russia in exile [https://t.me/ti_russia], The Naked Pravda breaks down the squabbling and criminal stakes at the heart of the scandal involving Probusinessbank, the Anti-Corruption Foundation, and activist Maxim Katz. Timestamps for this episode: * (5:27) The complex schemes at play in Probusinessbank * (20:35) Where the Russian authorities and the FSB fit in * (32:21) Political repression and legal battles Как поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно [https://meduza.io/feature/2023/07/12/uchimsya-ne-boyatsya-vmeste-s-vami]

On October 20, Moldovans cast their ballots in both a presidential election and a constitutional referendum — and the results shocked many. In the referendum, which asked whether the country should change its constitution to include the goal of joining the European Union, the “yes” vote won by just over 50 percent. Meanwhile, in the presidential election, pro-E.U. incumbent Maia Sandu came in first but failed to win an outright majority.  The day after the vote, Sandu accused [https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1wnr5qdxe7o] “criminal groups” of attempting to undermine the democratic process by working with foreign forces to try and buy as many as 300,000 votes. Now, she’ll face pro-Russian candidate and former prosecutor general Alexandr Stoianoglo in a high-stakes run-off scheduled for November 3.  What does all of this say about Moldova’s political landscape and future foreign policy orientation? To find out, The Naked Pravda spoke to Moldovan journalist and writer Paula Erizanu and Ecaterina Locoman, a senior lecturer in international studies at the University of Pennsylvania’s Lauder Institute.  Timestamps for this episode: * (3:05) Judiciary Reforms and Controversies * (6:25) The Referendum and Its Implications * (9:47) Election Day Atmosphere and Concerns * (12:28) Post-Election Developments and Fraud Allegations * (17:01) Russia’s Influence and Moldova’s Future * (21:26) Impact of the Ukraine War on Moldova * (23:14) Kremlin’s Strategy and Moldova’s Challenges * (25:03) Public Opinion and the E.U. Referendum * (30:37) Moldova’s Path Forward Prefer reading over listening? Subscribe to Meduza’s weekly newsletter The Beet [https://meduza.io/en/pages/beet] to receive abridged excerpts from this episode. Как поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно [https://meduza.io/feature/2023/07/12/uchimsya-ne-boyatsya-vmeste-s-vami]

Earlier this week, journalists at WIRED and The Washington Post reported that a “Russian-aligned propaganda network notorious for creating deepfake whistleblower videos” appears to be behind a coordinated effort to promote false sexual misconduct allegations against vice presidential candidate Tim Walz. At WIRED, David Gilbert wrote [https://www.wired.com/story/russian-propaganda-unit-storm-1516-false-tim-walz-sexual-abuse-claims/] that researchers have linked a group they’re calling “Storm-1516” to the campaign against Walz. “Storm-1516 has a long history of posting fake whistleblower videos, and often deepfake videos, to push Kremlin talking points to the West,” Gilbert explained. A few days earlier, NBC News also reported [https://www.nbcnews.com/specials/russian-disinformation-2024-election-storm-1516/index.html] on Storm-1516, citing its work as demonstrative of Russian propaganda’s growing utilization of artificial intelligence and more sophisticated bot networks. Two days after the WIRED report, Washington Post journalist and Russia expert Catherine Belton reported [https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/23/dougan-russian-disinformation-harris/] on another bad actor implicated in spreading the allegations against Walz: John Mark Dougan, a former Florida cop with a long and winding record that includes internal affairs investigations, early discharge from the Marines, and a penchant for posting confidential data about thousands of police officers, federal agents, and judges on his blog, which led to 21 state charges of extortion and wiretapping. To escape that indictment, Dougan fled to Moscow, where he soon put his conspiratorial blogging skills to work, effectively enlisting in the Russian intelligence community’s “Internet war” against America. Records show and disinformation researchers argue that Dougan is responsible for content on dozens of fake news sites with deliberately misleading names like DC Weekly, Chicago Chronicle, and Atlanta Observer. Lately, he’s reportedly started using a GRU-facilitated server and AI generator to create phony videos like the deepfake video showing one of Walz’s former students accusing him of sexual abuse. With a little more than a week until the U.S. presidential election, Meduza spoke to Renée DiResta [https://www.reneediresta.com/] — the author of Invisible Rulers: The People Who Turn Lies Into Reality [https://www.amazon.com/Invisible-Rulers-People-Turn-Reality/dp/1541703375?qid=&sr=] and an associate research professor at Georgetown University’s McCourt School of Public Policy — about Russian propaganda, how it’s evolved over the years, and how American social networks are responding (and not responding) ahead of the November 2024 vote. Timestamps for this episode: * (5:00) The Role of Social Networks in Identifying Fake Accounts * (9:35) Government and Platform Collaboration on Inauthentic Behavior * (16:46) A Case Study: Maxim Shugaley and Russian Influence in Libya * (21:45) Twitter’s Public Data Dilemma * (24:25) Bespoke Realities and Content Moderation * (25:57) The Tenet Media Case * (27:28) The Role of Influencers in Propaganda * (35:26) Marketing and Propaganda: A Historical Perspective * (38:27) The Democratization of Propaganda * (39:36) Name Your Poison: Tyranny or Chaos Как поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно [https://meduza.io/feature/2023/07/12/uchimsya-ne-boyatsya-vmeste-s-vami]

In the past few days, both the Zelensky administration in Kyiv and South Korea’s national spy agency have said that they believe North Korea has decided to send more than ten thousand troops to support Russia in its invasion of Ukraine. On October 18, following an emergency security meeting called by South Korea’s president, the country’s National Intelligence Service released an assessment claiming that the North is sending four brigades of 12,000 soldiers, including special forces, to Ukraine, which would be an unprecedented move, if true. Diplomats in Russia and North Korea say these reports are false. Meanwhile, American officials have warned repeatedly of the growing military cooperation between Russia and North Korea, saying that Washington has observed signs of increased material support to Moscow, including both artillery shells and missiles, such as KN-23 short-range ballistic missiles that have been recovered from wreckage in Ukraine. According to British journalists, North Korea supplies Russia with about half of the approximately three million artillery shells that Russian forces use annually in the war against Ukraine. However, Western officials have expressed skepticism about the claims that North Korea is sending large numbers of soldiers, apart from smaller groups of engineers and observers. For example, just the other day, NATO’s general secretary spoke at a press conference right alongside Zelensky and directly contradicted him, saying there is no evidence that North Korean soldiers are involved in the fight. For a crash course in Russian-North Korean relations and a hard look at recent claims from the Ukrainian and South Korean governments of thousands of North Korean soldiers flooding the battlefield in Ukraine, The Naked Pravda welcomed Dr. Fyodor Tertitskiy [https://carnegieendowment.org/people/fyodor-tertitskiy?center=russia-eurasia], a lecturer at Korea University and a leading researcher on North Korean politics. Timestamps for this episode: * (3:15) The historical context of North Korea’s military strategy * (5:41) South Korean diplomacy * (7:45) Potential military aid and consequences * (9:38) North Korean diplomatic tactics * (12:06) China’s role in the Russian-North Korean alliance * (14:46) Russia’s weapon purchases from North Korea * (19:12) The historical context of Soviet/Russian-North Korean relations * (25:04) Symbolic gestures for Vladimir Putin Как поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно [https://meduza.io/feature/2023/07/12/uchimsya-ne-boyatsya-vmeste-s-vami]

The Russian government’s new draft budget for 2025 through 2027 was introduced to the State Duma this week in its first reading. The state’s proposed spending exceeds earlier predictions, with 41.5 trillion rubles (more than $435 billion) allocated for next year alone — and that may not be the final amount. A record share of the budget is classified as “secret” or “top secret” — nearly a third of all proposed expenditures.  To discuss the draft budget, focusing on allocations to the military, The Naked Pravda welcomed back Alexandra Prokopenko [https://carnegieendowment.org/people/alexandra-prokopenko?lang=en], a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin, a former columnist for the business newspaper Vedomosti, and a former senior advisor at Russia’s Central Bank. Timestamps for this episode: * (2:26) Breaking down Russia’s next round of federal spending on the military and national security * (4:08) Economic implications and rising taxes * (7:18) Russia’s National Wealth Fund and budget deficit * (10:14) Patriotism and public-sector funding * (11:54) Domestic (in)security * (15:12) Lobbying and budget allocations * (21:45) Western Sanctions and Russia’s economic resilience Как поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно [https://meduza.io/feature/2023/07/12/uchimsya-ne-boyatsya-vmeste-s-vami]