BJJ Mental Models

Ep. 397: Risk Management in BJJ, feat. Jake Luigi

1 h 2 min · 29. juni 2026
episode Ep. 397: Risk Management in BJJ, feat. Jake Luigi cover

Description

This week, we're joined again by Jake Luigi! Jake is a jiu-jitsu analyst who made his name studying professional match footage, and he runs OutlierDB, an analytics database for grappling. In this episode, Jake lays out a three-part framework for managing risk: name the worst-case scenario, watch for the key indicators that it's coming, and only attack hard once those indicators are in your favor. Topics include: risk-reward analysis, points of control, grip fighting, terminal positions, and Goodhart's Law. Subscribe to Less Impressed More Involved on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@LIMIBJJ [https://www.youtube.com/@LIMIBJJ] Check out OutlierDB: https://outlierdb.com [https://outlierdb.com/] Mental models discussed in this episode: * Return on Investment https://bjjmentalmodels.com/return-on-investment [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/return-on-investment] * Building Your Triggers https://bjjmentalmodels.com/building-your-triggers [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/building-your-triggers] * Double Trouble https://bjjmentalmodels.com/double-trouble [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/double-trouble] * Cognitive Load https://bjjmentalmodels.com/cognitive-load [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/cognitive-load] * Constraints-Led Approach https://bjjmentalmodels.com/constraints-led-approach [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/constraints-led-approach] * Availability Heuristic https://bjjmentalmodels.com/availability-heuristic [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/availability-heuristic] * Points of Control https://bjjmentalmodels.com/points-of-control [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/points-of-control] * Terminal Positions https://bjjmentalmodels.com/terminal-positions [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/terminal-positions] * Invariants https://bjjmentalmodels.com/invariants [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/invariants] * Grips Dictate Position https://bjjmentalmodels.com/grips-dictate-position [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/grips-dictate-position] * Kuzushi https://bjjmentalmodels.com/kuzushi [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/kuzushi] * Rotational Control https://bjjmentalmodels.com/rotational-control [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/rotational-control] * Goodhart's Law https://bjjmentalmodels.com/goodharts-law [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/goodharts-law] ⬆️ LEVEL UP with BJJ Mental Models Premium! The world's LARGEST library of jiu-jitsu audio lessons, our complete podcast network, online coaching, and much more! Your first week is free: https://bjjmentalmodels.com [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/] Need more BJJ Mental Models? Get the legendary BJJMM newsletter: https://bjjmentalmodels.com/newsletter [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/newsletter] Learn more mental models in our online database: https://bjjmentalmodels.com/database [https://bjjmentalmodels.com/database] Follow us on social: https://instagram.com/bjjmentalmodels [https://instagram.com/bjjmentalmodels] https://threads.com/@bjjmentalmodels [https://threads.com/@bjjmentalmodels] https://bjjmentalmodels.bsky.social [https://bjjmentalmodels.bsky.social/] https://youtube.com/@bjjmentalmodels [https://youtube.com/@bjjmentalmodels] Music by Enterprize: https://enterprize.bandcamp.com [https://enterprize.bandcamp.com/]

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