The Recession Story We Keep Getting Wrong

Social Security Is in Serious Trouble: Can the Program Be Saved?

Social Security is facing a serious financial crisis. By 2032, the program's trust fund is projected to be depleted, triggering automatic benefit reductions unless Congress acts. But the problem runs deeper than a looming funding shortfall. Social Security was built for a different era—one with more workers supporting fewer retirees and shorter retirement periods. In this episode of The Economist Next Door, Paul Mueller is joined by Dave Hebert, head of AIER's Economic Freedom Team, for a conversation about why Social Security is struggling, why many proposed fixes may only delay the problem, and what a fundamentally different approach to retirement might look like. They discuss the history of Social Security, the reality behind the trust fund, the challenges of raising taxes or adjusting retirement ages, and whether a system built around personal retirement accounts could provide a more sustainable path forward.

The Recession Story We Keep Getting Wrong

Recessions are often explained as the inevitable result of excess: too much borrowing, too much speculation, too much optimism, or some hidden imbalance waiting to be corrected. But what if that story is wrong? In this episode of The Economist Next Door, host Paul Mueller talks with Tyler Goodspeed, chief economist at ExxonMobil and author of Recession: The Real Reasons Economies Shrink and What to Do About It, along with AIER President Samuel Gregg, about what 300 years of economic history reveal about downturns. Goodspeed argues that recessions are not predictable corrections caused by the excesses of previous expansions. Instead, they are often triggered by unexpected shocks — from energy crises and natural disasters to financial disruptions — that interrupt economic activity. He explains why the historical record challenges the familiar boom-bust narrative and why recoveries, rather than expansions, are often the true correction. The conversation also explores why humans are drawn to stories of blame and punishment when economies falter. From the Great Depression to the 2008 financial crisis, policymakers and the public have often searched for villains and embraced narratives of moral failure. But those stories can lead to misguided interventions that prolong economic pain. Paul, Tyler, and Sam discuss what this perspective means for today's economy, including debates over AI, technological change, and fears of another boom-bust cycle. They examine why we are quick to identify the next economic villain — and why focusing on long-run growth, resilience, and human flourishing matters far more than trying to eliminate every downturn.

How Your Neighbors Are Using AI

Artificial intelligence is no longer a distant technology of the future—it is already reshaping how people work, learn, create, and solve problems. In this episode of The Economist Next Door, Paul Mueller explores the practical and philosophical questions surrounding AI with three guests — Jacob Mueller, co-founder of short-term rental management company Renjoy; Nicholas Roseveare, software engineer and developer at Revenue Solutions; and Tanner Thetford, pastor at First Baptist Church of Leadville — who are actively using these tools in their work and daily lives. The conversation goes beyond productivity gains to examine deeper questions about how humans should use AI. Like every powerful tool, the question is not simply whether we use it, but how we use it.

Is AI a Threat to Human Flourishing?

Artificial intelligence is often discussed in terms of productivity, jobs, and economic growth. But the deeper question is a human one: Will AI help us become more fully human? In this episode of The Economist Next Door, Dr. Paul Mueller brings together three guests to examine AI from different angles. They discuss how entrepreneurs, programmers, and educators are using AI today—and wrestle with the harder questions surrounding technology, work, creativity, and human purpose. Will AI free people to pursue more meaningful work, or will it weaken the habits and relationships that make us human? Can artificial intelligence serve as a tool for human flourishing, or will it encourage dependence and disengagement? Listen to this thought-provoking conversation on the economic and moral questions surrounding one of the most transformative technologies of our time.

The Declaration's Most Radical—and Consequential—Idea

As America approaches the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, host Paul Mueller sits down with historian Brad Birzer to explore the ideas that gave birth to the American experiment. Together, they examine what made the Declaration such a revolutionary document, why its principles remain relevant nearly two and a half centuries later, and the radical claim at its heart: that all people are created equal and possess rights that no government can rightfully take away. Mueller and Birzer discuss the intellectual influences behind the Declaration, the courage required to sign it, and the enduring importance of natural rights, self-government, and human dignity. They also reflect on how the Declaration transformed political thought around the world and why its message continues to shape debates about liberty today. Join us for a timely conversation about the most radical—and important—idea in the Declaration of Independence.