Lebanon’s moment of truth | Hussain Abdul-Hussain

Turkey’s Radical Sunni Axis | Noa Lazimi

Iran is back to its time wasting tactics as it refuses to hold direct talks with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Instead, technical discussions are taking place indirectly through mediators Qatar and Pakistan. Iran has also ruled out any discussion of its drone and missile programmes, while the Wall Street Journal reports that President Trump had considered a return to military action but, for now, prefers to give diplomacy more time. Meanwhile, the European Union’s aviation safety agency has extended its warning against flights over Iran, Iraq and Lebanon, citing uncertainty over the durability of the ceasefire and the risk of rapid escalation across the region. Israel has announced sanctions against dozens of cryptocurrency wallets linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, saying they were being used to funnel millions of dollars to Hezbollah and other Iranian-backed groups following the heavy losses suffered by the Lebanese terror organisation during the war. At the same time, Israel says it has successfully tested the new Iron Beam laser interceptor alongside an upgraded Iron Dome system, in what officials describe as a major step forward in defending against increasingly sophisticated missile and drone attacks. Today’s guest is Noa Lazimi, Research Fellow at the Misgav Institute and an international relations analyst. She argues that Turkey is building a growing radical Sunni axis stretching from Qatar to Pakistan and Syria, and warns that President Erdogan increasingly sees Israel as the main obstacle to his regional ambitions. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Sign up to receive Israel in 10 daily: https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up [https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up] Sponsorship inquiries: MisgavDailyBrief@gmail.com

Lebanon’s moment of truth | Hussain Abdul-Hussain

President Trump announces talks with Tehran resume in Doha today, while Iran insists no meeting with American officials is planned. President Masoud Pezeshkian says the interim deal has the full backing of Supreme Leader Khamenei, even as criticism grows inside Iran and reports emerge of tensions between political figures and the IRGC. Meanwhile, a new diplomatic row is brewing over the Strait of Hormuz after Iran warned France not to interfere in mine-clearing operations and insisted responsibility for securing the strategic waterway rests exclusively with Tehran. The disruption to shipping through the strait is also raising fears of a difficult winter in Europe, with gas reserves expected to fall to their lowest levels in more than a decade. In Gaza, efforts to secure Hamas’s disarmament appear to have stalled after the group’s leader, Khalil al-Hayya, reportedly adopted a tougher position in negotiations over the future of the Strip and the implementation of President Trump’s peace plan. Today’s guest is Hussain Abdul-Hussain, Research Fellow at the FDD and the author of ‘The Arab case for Israel’. He answers skeptics of Israel’s landmark agreement with Lebanon which he says can result in the disarming of Hezbollah and is Lebanon’s last chance to reclaim sovereignty from Tehran. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Sign up to receive Israel in 10 daily: https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up [https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up] Sponsorship inquiries: MisgavDailyBrief@gmail.com

Iran is furious about Lebanon | Meir Javedanfar

The United States and Iran are set to resume talks in Qatar on Tuesday to shore up the strained ceasefire after a weekend of renewed hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz. Key Hezbollah ally, Lebanon’s parliament speaker Nabih Berry says an emerging agreement with Israel ‘will not pass’ The U.S.-backed deal would pave the way for formal peace between Jerusalem and Beirut and link a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon to Hezbollah’s disarmament. The IDF destroys a major Hezbollah tunnel network in southern Lebanon, killing members of the group’s elite Radwan Force and underscoring Israel’s determination to continue targeting Hezbollah infrastructure despite growing diplomatic pressure. Today’s guest is Dr Meir Javedanfar, Iran lecturer at Reichman University. He says Tehran is furious about developments in Lebanon, where it has failed to secure meaningful protection for its most important proxy, Hezbollah. He argues the Islamic Republic will continue rebuilding its network of regional proxies because they remain one of its most effective tools of deterrence and influence. Today’s guest is Dr Meir Javedanfar, Iran Lecturer at Reichman University. He says Iran is furious about the situation in Lebanon where it has failed to secure protection for its proxy, Hezbollah. He also argue the Islamic Republic will never give up on rebuilding these proxies as they are an effective source of deterrence. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Sign up to receive Israel in 10 daily: https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up [https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up] Sponsorship inquiries: MisgavDailyBrief@gmail.com

The UN’s latest Gaza smear | Andrew Fox

The fragile U.S.-Iran agreement is facing fresh pressure after Iran warned that ships entering the Strait of Hormuz without Tehran’s permission “will be dealt with”, despite the deal supposedly guaranteeing freedom of navigation. Speaking in Bahrain, Secretary of State Marco Rubio reassured Gulf allies that Washington will not accept any agreement that allows Iran to control one of the world’s most important shipping lanes. Meanwhile, questions remain over the future of Israel’s operations in southern Lebanon after an Israeli reserve soldier was killed in an operational accident. Israel has not confirmed reports that it has withdrawn from part of the security zone. Shin Bet security officials warn that Iran is increasingly shifting its focus to the West Bank by rebuilding terror networks through Turkey, cryptocurrency funding and weapons smuggling. Today’s guest is Andrew Fox, Senior fellow at the Henry Jackson Society. He breaks down a UN panel report which accuses Israel of deliberately targeting children in Gaza. He argues the report by three activists is evidence free and is designed to bolster South Africa’s flagging genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Sign up to receive Israel in 10 daily: https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up [https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up] Sponsorship inquiries: MisgavDailyBrief@gmail.com

Arab alliances are shifting | Dalia Ziada

A week after Washington and Tehran signed an interim agreement, confusion continues over its implementation, with Iranian officials and the International Atomic Energy Agency offering conflicting accounts of when UN nuclear inspectors will be allowed back into the country. Meanwhile, concern Israel is being left out of plans for Southern Lebanon with Qatar and Iran all having a say in a future ‘deconfliction mechanism’. The Trump administration is pushing for a vetted Lebanese Army to gradually take control of parts of the country currently held by the IDF. Israel’s ambassador to Washington warns the talks risk becoming a “train wreck” if Iran’s influence is not addressed. Iran’s foreign minister has held talks with a senior Hamas official following the agreement, while Morocco has become the first Arab country to deploy personnel to the U.S.-backed international stabilization force being assembled for Gaza. Today’s guest is Dalia Ziada, Middle East scholar and Senior Fellow at ISGAP, who argues that the agreement between Washington and Tehran is less a breakthrough than a “memorandum of misunderstanding” that risks alarming America’s Gulf allies while leaving the region’s biggest security challenges unresolved. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Sign up to receive Israel in 10 daily: https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up [https://izs.activetrail.biz/Israel-in-10-Sign-Up] Sponsorship inquiries: MisgavDailyBrief@gmail.com