The Dire Straits of Hormuz
On this episode of the Military Historian Host Lloyd Shellenberger does a deep dive into the Hormuz Conflict and the severe long-term friction over nuclear and proxy activities. What events led up to the military conflicts within the region?
1. The Irgc is believed to have killed 30-50 thousand of its own citizens. While actual numbers may never be verified, the mass genocide of its own people has been verified.
2. Pathway Defunct: Iran's primary potential source for weapons-grade plutonium was the heavy-water research reactor at Arak. Under the original 2015 JCPOA, under this framework, the core of this reactor was rendered inoperable (filled with concrete).
3. Focus on Uranium: All mid-2026 U.S. intelligence and IAEA tracking data focus strictly on Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles. As of early 2026, Iran held an estimated 440 kg (970 lbs) of uranium enriched up to 60% (near-weapons grade)
4. Declassified U.S. intelligence assessments and statements from the IAEA continue to state that while Iran possesses the technical capacity to produce fissile material quickly via uranium, there is no evidence the Supreme Leader has ordered the resumption of a structured, systematic nuclear weaponization program.
5. What was the deal that Trump made with Iran yesterday and do we get the enriched Uranium and was there money exchanged?
6. On Wednesday, June 17, 2026, President Trump officially signed a 14-point temporary framework and Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) at the G7 summit in France. What are the particulars?
7. The details regarding the uranium and the financial terms of this preliminary deal outline a distinct shift from the administration's initial demands:
8. The Retaliation (March 4, 2026): Within 48 hours, Iran officially declared the Strait of Hormuz "closed," immediately targeting civilian merchant shipping. Major global shipping conglomerates suspended all routine operations.
9. The Counter-Blockade (April 13, 2026): While Iran initially tried to continue exporting its own oil while denying passage to others, the U.S. Navy implemented a strict "blockade of the blockaders," systematically stopping and disabling unauthorized tankers.
10. The Tactical Hardware: Asymmetric Warfare vs. Naval Supremacy
11. The battle in the Strait of Hormuz is a classic conflict between high-tech conventional defense and cheap, distributed, asymmetric offense.
12. Loitering Munitions (Drones): Anti-Ship Ballistic & Cruise Missiles Swarming Fast Attack Craft (FAC) Smart Sea Mines Dusting off the A-10 Warthogs for duty. AEGIS Combat System: Deployed on Arleigh Burke-class destroyers. "Naval Overwatch" & Omani Coastal Escorts Phalanx CIWS & RIM-116 Rolling Airframe Missiles
13. Kharg Island is the single most important geographic location to understand regarding the economic leverage of this war. . Kharg Island handles over 90% of Iran's total crude oil exports. It holds massive storage tank farms, loading docks, and deep-water berths capable of loading massive Supertankers (VLCCs).
14. The 5,000 personnel ordered to the Middle East by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
15. Regional Strategic Hubs: Elements are tasked with supporting U.S. Central Command objectives, which includes reinforcing the U.S. Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and securing maritime transit corridors
16. The Broader Macroeconomic Ripple Effects. The closure of the Middle East's primary maritime corridors—with both the Strait of Hormuz blocked and the Suez Canal disrupted by simultaneous drone warfare—has triggered a global economic supply shock.
17. The Veins of Global Commerce If the global economy has a circulatory system, maritime chokepoints are its major arteries.
18. The Other Global Chokepoints: Economic & Military Profiles
19. With upcoming Midterms a few months away, only time will tell if this conflict remains in the forefront of American voters minds come election time. here’s what's at stake: Voters will decide the composition of Congress, including all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate, alongside numerous state and local offices. • Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2026. • Scope: All 435 House seats, 33 Senate seats, and 36 gubernatorial races. • As of June 18, 2026 this is where stand
20. The Enriched Uranium (Nuclear Terms)
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