Transgender Sports Bans

Who Will Win the NBA FInals

Evan, a Knick fan of 50 years, and Amir, who became a Knick fan last week, discuss the market for the NBA Finals and sports betting generally.

How Much Will Democracy Weaken Under Trump?

The UBK gang considers the Kalshi market for how much democracy will weaken over the remaining course of the Trump presidency, as measured by The Economist's Democracy Index? Plus a bonus exploration of how much democracy, democratic norms have already been eroded!

Transgender Sports Bans

The UBK Gang discusses state legislative limits on sports participation by transgender athletes and the Kalshi market for the upcoming Supreme Court decisions in West Virginia v. BPJ and Little v. Hecox, in which the Court will decide whether transgender sports bans violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

An Early Look at the 2028 Republican Primary

The UBK Gang takes a look at early trading in the market for the 2028 Republican primary, with close looks at the potential candidacies of Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, populist media pundit Tucker Carlson, and yes, President Donald J. Trump.

An Early Look at the 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary -- Part 2

In the second part of this two-part series exploring the market for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary , the UBK gang assesses the chances of the leading contenders, with a particularly close look at the markets for the 2024 nominee Kamala Harris, AOC, and the group's value play, Pete Buttigieg.