Low chance (20%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend

Low chance (20%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend

* Low chance (10%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend  Increasing signal for heavy rainfall late Sunday-Tuesday A tropical wave and associated large plume of moisture has moved over the Bay of Campeche this morning. Satellite images show a burst of deeper convection but there is no indication of any surface low IR Satellite Loop for Gulf of Mexico | Tropical Tidbits [https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=gom&product=ir] . Upper level conditions are only marginally favorable for any development of this system given westerly and southwesterly wind shear in place over the southern and western Gulf. This feature and associated moisture will spread NW toward the northern Mexican coast and south Texas coast over the weekend and then northward along the TX coast early next week. Sunday-Tuesday: As the feature in the southern Gulf moves toward the NE MX and lower TX coast over the weekend and plume of tropical moisture will spread NW into the TX coast. At the same time an usually strong trough of low pressure over the central plains will push a cold front southward into the region. This front looks to stall over the area Monday and Tuesday. The combination of the stalling front and tropical moisture will surge rain chances late Sunday into Tuesday. With the stalled front in the area the potential for cell training within a moisture rich environment will be increased. WPC has already outlooked portions of the area for Sunday and Monday for excessive rainfall. It will be important over the next few days to monitor forecasted rainfall amounts and any potential flooding concerns early next week. [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image001-300x227.png] The post Low chance (20%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/2026/06/12/low-chance-20-of-tropical-development-in-the-southwest-gulf-into-this-weekend/] appeared first on Weather Insights [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com].

Wet Bulb Temperature Forecast for Southeast Texas

Wet Bulb Temperature Forecast for Southeast Texas 🌡️ [https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/tca/1/16/1f321.png]🌡️ [https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/tca/1/16/1f321.png] It’s not just the heat you need to watch—it’s the combination of heat and humidity. Wet bulb temperatures are forecast to climb across Southeast Texas over the next several days, making it feel even more uncomfortable outdoors and increasing the risk of heat-related illnesses. When wet bulb temperatures rise, the body has a harder time cooling itself through sweating. If you’re spending time outside, be sure to stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in the shade or air conditioning, and check on vulnerable family members, neighbors, and pets. How are conditions where you are? Are you already feeling the summer humidity? #SoutheastTexas [https://www.facebook.com/watch/hashtag/southeasttexas/?__cft__[0]=AZYHmkh3PfwWfbVG7Tw5pUcn6UZqKoxlz8kMxC-asFuIOmkT6puw0rkMnoMfvfuqfeBfsMyyAXxFmjmJKhBP0cxEWao6Ny119IRrftmryp9V8pA1D2J99-KtzTF2nh_Ut26nOd1JVoJ91C23uK0jRV6O5Hjj4LZVOMnhKi5sXe0SR87qJZCCqHMNijNNrivlia3mzpofVr7ACBObNuhVKQCT&__tn__=*NK-R] #HeatSafety [https://www.facebook.com/watch/hashtag/heatsafety/?__cft__[0]=AZYHmkh3PfwWfbVG7Tw5pUcn6UZqKoxlz8kMxC-asFuIOmkT6puw0rkMnoMfvfuqfeBfsMyyAXxFmjmJKhBP0cxEWao6Ny119IRrftmryp9V8pA1D2J99-KtzTF2nh_Ut26nOd1JVoJ91C23uK0jRV6O5Hjj4LZVOMnhKi5sXe0SR87qJZCCqHMNijNNrivlia3mzpofVr7ACBObNuhVKQCT&__tn__=*NK-R] #WetBulbTemperature [https://www.facebook.com/watch/hashtag/wetbulbtemperature/?__cft__[0]=AZYHmkh3PfwWfbVG7Tw5pUcn6UZqKoxlz8kMxC-asFuIOmkT6puw0rkMnoMfvfuqfeBfsMyyAXxFmjmJKhBP0cxEWao6Ny119IRrftmryp9V8pA1D2J99-KtzTF2nh_Ut26nOd1JVoJ91C23uK0jRV6O5Hjj4LZVOMnhKi5sXe0SR87qJZCCqHMNijNNrivlia3mzpofVr7ACBObNuhVKQCT&__tn__=*NK-R] #TexasWeather [https://www.facebook.com/watch/hashtag/texasweather/?__cft__[0]=AZYHmkh3PfwWfbVG7Tw5pUcn6UZqKoxlz8kMxC-asFuIOmkT6puw0rkMnoMfvfuqfeBfsMyyAXxFmjmJKhBP0cxEWao6Ny119IRrftmryp9V8pA1D2J99-KtzTF2nh_Ut26nOd1JVoJ91C23uK0jRV6O5Hjj4LZVOMnhKi5sXe0SR87qJZCCqHMNijNNrivlia3mzpofVr7ACBObNuhVKQCT&__tn__=*NK-R] #WeatherInsights [https://www.facebook.com/watch/hashtag/weatherinsights/?__cft__[0]=AZYHmkh3PfwWfbVG7Tw5pUcn6UZqKoxlz8kMxC-asFuIOmkT6puw0rkMnoMfvfuqfeBfsMyyAXxFmjmJKhBP0cxEWao6Ny119IRrftmryp9V8pA1D2J99-KtzTF2nh_Ut26nOd1JVoJ91C23uK0jRV6O5Hjj4LZVOMnhKi5sXe0SR87qJZCCqHMNijNNrivlia3mzpofVr7ACBObNuhVKQCT&__tn__=*NK-R] The post  Wet Bulb Temperature Forecast for Southeast Texas  [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/2026/05/30/wet-bulb-temperature-forecast-for-southeast-texas/] appeared first on Weather Insights [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com].

🌦️ Southeast Texas Weekly Weather Outlook 🌦️

🌦️ Southeast Texas Weekly Weather Outlook 🌦️ An active weather pattern is setting up across Southeast Texas this week with increasing humidity, daily storm chances, and the potential for heavy rainfall at times. ⛈️ Scattered storms begin increasing Monday 🌧️ Tuesday & Wednesday look like the wettest days ⚠️ Heavy rain, localized flooding, and a few stronger storms will be possible 🌡️ Warm and humid conditions continue with highs in the upper 80s Now is a good time to stay weather aware as we head deeper into the week. We’ll continue refining rainfall totals and storm timing over the next several days. #WeatherInsights #TXwx #SoutheastTexas #HoustonWeather The post 🌦️ Southeast Texas Weekly Weather Outlook 🌦️ [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/2026/05/16/%f0%9f%8c%a6%ef%b8%8f-southeast-texas-weekly-weather-outlook-%f0%9f%8c%a6%ef%b8%8f/] appeared first on Weather Insights [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com].

Mother’s Day and Weekly Outlook

For Mother’s Day, Sunday the next cool front will enter into N TX during the day and thunderstorms are likely to form along this boundary. Could see some sort of line or complex of storms form Sunday afternoon along the front and move into the area Sunday evening into Monday morning. Severe: Overall the severe threat is not overly high through the period, but it is also not zero. “Marginal” or level 1 out of 5 risk is in place for northern and northeast areas today and for much of the region on Saturday. Isolated instances of large hail or damaging winds will be the primary threats. Will need to keep an eye on Sunday evening as the next front approaches as it looks like we will have better instability to work with and severe thunderstorms could move into the area from the northwest. [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/image003-300x224.png] The post Mother’s Day and Weekly Outlook [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/2026/05/09/mothers-day-and-weekly-outlook/] appeared first on Weather Insights [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com].

Stormy start to the day across Southeast Texas 🌧️

Heavy rainfall is ongoing this morning, primarily north of US-59, where a Flood Watch remains in effect. Early impacts are already being observed, including areas of street flooding and rising water levels along creeks and bayous—especially across the شمال and northwest portions of the Houston metro. Overnight, thunderstorms produced pockets of large hail from Sugar Land to Pearland. While storm intensity has briefly decreased, the overall pattern remains active, and multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the day. The axis of heaviest rainfall is currently aligned from Columbus through Sealy, Cypress, Kingwood, and Liberty. Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are likely, with isolated areas potentially receiving 4 to 5 inches where storms repeatedly move over the same locations. As rainfall continues and soils become increasingly saturated, runoff will intensify, leading to ongoing rises in creeks, bayous, and rivers. Although storm motions are relatively fast, the potential for training storms raises concern for localized flooding, particularly in more vulnerable watersheds. There is also a limited severe weather risk. A few stronger storms today could produce large hail or gusty winds, especially if the coastal boundary shifts farther inland and enhances instability. A strong cold front is expected to move through later today, bringing an end to the rain from north to south by this evening. In its wake, a much cooler and drier air mass will settle into the region, setting up a more pleasant and stable weather pattern for the weekend. The post Stormy start to the day across Southeast Texas 🌧️ [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com/2026/05/01/stormy-start-to-the-day-across-southeast-texas-%f0%9f%8c%a7%ef%b8%8f/] appeared first on Weather Insights [https://weatherinsightspodcast.com].