Trade War Hits HR: Planning in the Fog

The Class of 2026 Hits the Job Market

John and Jackye sit down with the question every HR pro and parent of a new grad is watching this year. The Class of 2026 is walking into a labor market that does not look like the one their parents were trained for. Hiring is flat, traditional pathways have splintered, and the systems built to filter applicants are aging out faster than the talent they were supposed to find. The conversation moves through what is changing in how new grads connect, why old school networking is quietly coming back, and where AI and ATS tools are failing the very people they were built to help. Key Takeaways: * Class of 2026 enters the job market with a depressed hires rate, not a skills problem. The system has slowed, not the talent. * Traditional pathways still matter. Internships, alumni networks, job fairs, and LinkedIn are necessary but no longer sufficient on their own. * Curated networking groups are emerging, especially in cities like New York, where a host quietly assembles peers without disclosing titles or roles. * In person HR chapters and community events are returning after the pandemic. Students benefit when they can practice networking face to face. * The HR community hires through relationship. Roles often go to people who have been known across the network for years. * Twenty years of ATS led hiring has trained organizations to filter for tenure and titles rather than capability. That breaks down when the workforce moves every two years. * AI cannot replace the human read on company culture, succession planning, or what a role actually needs. * AI works best as a tool to refine a hiring manager's thinking, not to write the job description or make the decision. * Skills based hiring is what every leader says they want, but job descriptions and tooling still reward credentials and years of experience. * Companies that want fresh talent have to be honest about why their requirements look the way they do, and whether those filters serve the work or just the habit. Keywords: class of 2026, new grads, college hiring, ATS, applicant tracking system, skills based hiring, HR community, networking, internal mobility, AI in recruiting

Automating Distrust

Employers are deploying keystroke logging, screen capture, and AI scoring at record pace, and the result is a workforce that no longer trusts the people signing the paycheck. John and Jackye unpack what surveillance technology is actually measuring, why it backfires on managers who lean on it, and how leaders can rebuild trust without giving up on accountability. Key Takeaways: * Keystroke and mouse tracking measures activity, not value, and rewards the wrong behaviors. * AI productivity scores create false confidence in numbers that do not reflect real output. * Surveillance signals to employees that leadership has stopped trusting them, and they respond in kind. * High performers are the first to leave when monitoring escalates. * Managers who rely on dashboards instead of conversations lose the ability to coach. * Surveillance tools are often sold to fix manager skill gaps, not employee performance gaps. * Remote and hybrid work do not require monitoring, they require clarity on outcomes. * Legal exposure grows when surveillance crosses into protected activity or personal data. * Transparency about what is tracked, and why, is the only way to keep monitoring from poisoning culture. * The fix for low engagement is rarely more data, it is better leadership. Keywords: employee surveillance, keystroke monitoring, workplace AI, productivity tracking, manager training, employee trust, remote work monitoring, HR technology, workforce analytics, leadership accountability

LIVE on Tape from WorkHuman 2026

John and Jackye bring you a taped highlights edition straight from WorkHuman 2026. They unpack the conversations, themes, and on-the-ground takes that defined this year's gathering of HR and people leaders, and translate it all into what it actually means for the way work gets done now. Key Takeaways: * What HR leaders are actually worried about in 2026, in their own words * The shift from recognition as a perk to recognition as a performance system * How AI is changing the day to day for people teams, beyond the hype cycle * Why employee experience is being rebuilt around trust, not tools * The growing gap between executive narratives and frontline reality * Practical signals that a workplace culture is healthy, or quietly breaking * Where talent strategy is heading as the labor market tightens again * How the best companies are turning recognition into retention * The questions HR leaders are bringing back to their CEOs * What to watch for in the second half of 2026 Keywords: WorkHuman, employee recognition, employee experience, HR strategy, talent management, workplace culture, leadership, AI in HR, retention, people analytics

The Squeezed Middle Manager

Middle managers are quietly absorbing more pressure than any other layer of the organization. John and Jackye unpack why the role has become unsustainable, what executives are missing when they pile on accountability without authority, and how HR can intervene before the manager class breaks. Key Takeaways: * Middle managers are being asked to deliver executive priorities while absorbing the emotional load of frontline teams, with shrinking support on both sides. * The flattening of org charts during cost cuts has not removed work; it has stacked it on the managers who remain. * Burnout in this layer is hard to spot because middle managers tend to mask it; they are still the ones holding everything together. * Promotions into management are still happening without proper training, leaving new managers to learn coaching, conflict, and performance under fire. * Return to office mandates land hardest on middle managers who are expected to enforce policies they did not write and may not agree with. * AI tools are being pushed down to managers as productivity solutions, but the implementation work itself is becoming another task on their plate. * When middle managers leave, institutional knowledge and team cohesion go with them; the cost shows up months later. * Senior leaders often confuse manager silence for manager alignment, and miss the signals until disengagement spreads to the team. * Clarity about decision rights, not more dashboards, is what most middle managers are actually asking for. * HR has a real role here: protect manager bandwidth, restore real authority over their teams, and stop treating manager development as optional. Keywords: middle managers, manager burnout, leadership development, HR strategy, employee engagement, return to office, manager training, decision rights, organizational design, frontline leadership

Trade War Hits HR: Planning in the Fog

Tariffs, supply chain disruptions, and economic uncertainty have landed squarely in HR's lap. John and Jackye talk through what HR leaders are actually doing when the business environment shifts faster than any workforce plan can accommodate, and how to lead teams through decisions that cannot wait for clarity. Key Takeaways: * Trade policy volatility is not just a finance problem — it forces HR to make compensation, headcount, and hiring decisions under incomplete information. * Scenario planning is the most practical tool HR has right now; waiting for certainty before acting is itself a decision with consequences. * Leaders who communicate uncertainty honestly build more trust than those who project false confidence or go silent. * Hiring freezes in reaction to tariff news often damage long-term talent pipelines more than the immediate cost savings justify. * Compensation strategy gets complicated fast when cost pressures meet a labor market that still expects wage growth. * HR needs a seat at the table when executive teams are modeling financial scenarios, not just when the decisions are handed down. * Employee anxiety rises when external news is bad and internal communication is absent; proactive messaging is not optional. * Global companies face layered complexity — workforce implications of trade disputes differ significantly by region and role type. * Workforce agility, cross-training, and internal mobility become competitive advantages when external conditions are unpredictable. * The best HR leaders right now are separating what they can control from what they cannot, and acting decisively on the former. Keywords: trade war, HR strategy, workforce planning, tariffs, economic uncertainty, headcount decisions, compensation, employee communication, scenario planning, HR leadership