Dave Linthicum Is Not AI
Over the past year, the AI industry has begun to retreat from some of the more aggressive claims it made during the peak of the generative AI boom. In 2023 and 2024, many executives, investors, and commentators suggested that AI would rapidly transform white-collar work, deliver near-human autonomous agents, and generate huge economic returns almost immediately. By 2026, the tone has become noticeably more cautious. The conversation has shifted from hype about what AI might do to scrutiny of what current systems can reliably do in practice. A few realities are driving this reset. Many organizations have struggled to turn AI pilots into durable business value. Costs remain high, especially for infrastructure, model access, and implementation. Hallucinations, security risks, weak governance, and integration problems have also made companies more hesitant about deploying AI in sensitive workflows. At the same time, some of the boldest promises around agentic AI and near-term AGI now look premature. This does not mean AI has stalled or failed. Rather, the industry is entering a more sober phase in which expectations are being recalibrated. The emerging consensus is that AI will still matter enormously, but progress will likely be slower, messier, and more incremental than the most bullish predictions suggested.
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