Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the Eddies of ABF

A Conversation: Optimizing the Efficient Frontier (Suzy Gibbons, Tony Yoseloff)

In this episode, Suzy Gibbons, Partner and Head of Research, sits down with Tony Yoseloff,  Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer, to discuss how dislocations in private equity and direct lending – driven by higher interest rates, excessive leverage and delayed defaults – are creating what we view as a large and growing opportunity set. They explore how opportunistic credit can enhance portfolio construction while extending the “efficient frontier.”    The conversation dives deeper into the analysis beneath the recent white paper that Suzy and Tony co-authored, Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Structure Reset. [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/optimizing-the-efficient-frontier-opportunistic-credit-amid-a-capital-structure-reset]  Read the white paper here: Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Structure Reset [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/optimizing-the-efficient-frontier-opportunistic-credit-amid-a-capital-structure-reset] DK Website: Home — Davidson Kempner [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/] DK LinkedIn: LinkedIn — Davidson Kempner [https://www.linkedin.com/company/davidson-kempner-capital-management]

Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Structure Reset

We believe we are in the early innings of a capital structure reset. Higher-for-longer rates, refinancing pressure, and aging private equity portfolios are reshaping capital needs, creating what we view as a compelling backdrop for opportunistic credit.   In our latest white paper, Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Structure Reset, we explore why this backdrop may prove attractive for opportunistic credit investors across capital solutions, restructurings and special situations. The white paper also discusses how opportunistic credit strategies can offer what we believe to be attractive risk-adjusted returns for institutional portfolios with moderate-to-high public equity exposure.  Read the white paper here: Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Structure Reset [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/optimizing-the-efficient-frontier-opportunistic-credit-amid-a-capital-structure-reset] DKCM Website: Home — Davidson Kempner [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/] DKCM LinkedIn: LinkedIn — Davidson Kempner [https://www.linkedin.com/company/davidson-kempner-capital-management]

A Conversation: Rapids of Private Credit (Suzy Gibbons, Pat Dennis)

In this episode, Suzy Gibbons, Partner and Head of Research and Patrick Dennis, Co-Deputy Managing Partner, examine the increasingly commoditized nature of corporate direct lending—which we believe is characterized by tighter spreads and weaker recoveries—and contrast it with select areas of private asset-based finance.  They highlight potential opportunities in U.S. second-lien residential mortgages, European SME asset-based lending, and U.S. mid-ticket equipment finance, where we believe strong collateral and structural protections may support more attractive risk-adjusted returns. The conversation builds from the recent white paper that Suzy and Patrick co-authored, Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the ‘Eddies’ of ABF. Read the white paper here: Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the Eddies of ABF [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/rapids-of-private-credit-opportunities-in-the-eddies-of-abf] DKCM Website: Home – Davidson Kempner [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/rapids-of-private-credit-opportunities-in-the-eddies-of-abf] DKCM LinkedIn: LinkedIn – Davidson Kempner [https://www.linkedin.com/company/68245/admin/dashboard/]

Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the Eddies of ABF

Triggered by the rapid expansion of direct corporate lending over the past decade, competition across the leveraged credit landscape has intensified — contributing to weaker credit documentation, compressed spreads, and declining recovery rates. In our latest white paper, Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the Eddies of ABF, we explore how certain pockets of private asset-based finance — including U.S. second-lien residential mortgage lending, European SME asset-based lending, and U.S. mid-ticket equipment finance — can offer compelling risk-adjusted spreads supported by strong collateral and structural protections. Read the white paper here: Rapids of Private Credit: Opportunities in the Eddies of ABF [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/rapids-of-private-credit-opportunities-in-the-eddies-of-abf] DKCM Website: Home — Davidson Kempner [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/] DKCM LinkedIn: LinkedIn — Davidson Kempner [https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjkv8yemaGNAxXVMlkFHUdZIooQFnoECAwQAQ&url=https://www.linkedin.com/company/davidson-kempner-capital-management&usg=AOvVaw2kUSvvGKDKdeEr1y2KS0uo&opi=89978449]

Real Estate Reset: Capitalizing on Record Dispersion

The sharp repricing of commercial real estate (CRE) across sectors and regions – triggered by steep interest rate hikes that began in 2022 – marks a structural reset leading to more differentiated outcomes for real estate investors. In our latest white paper, we explore how this environment creates an ideal setting, in our view, for alpha generation for investors with nimble capital and structuring expertise, a global strategy with local sourcing capabilities, and a special situations orientation. Read the white paper here: Real Estate Reset: Capitalizing on Record Dispersion [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/insights/real-estate-reset-capitalizing-on-record-dispersion] DKCM Website: Home — Davidson Kempner [https://www.davidsonkempner.com/] DKCM LinkedIn: LinkedIn — Davidson Kempner [https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjkv8yemaGNAxXVMlkFHUdZIooQFnoECAwQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.linkedin.com%2Fcompany%2Fdavidson-kempner-capital-management&usg=AOvVaw2kUSvvGKDKdeEr1y2KS0uo&opi=89978449]