The Debate

The Debate

End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

42 min · 26 de may de 2026
portada del episodio End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

Descripción

Three months into what was originally billed as four-week war, is an end really in sight? Donald Trump's messaging on bargaining with Iran was enough to push Brent crude oil below $100 a barrel for the first time in two weeks. Both Washington and Tehran are managing expectations of a final deal or "memorandum of understanding". Time is not on Trump [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/donald-trump/]'s side, what with a World Cup [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/world-cup-2026/] to host in less than three weeks and inflation [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/inflation/] that's fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. But if inflation's bad in the US, Iran [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/iran/] has economic ruin to contend with. So again, who blinks first? Read morePossible Iran-US deal: What we know about the key issues on both sides [https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260525-possible-iran-us-deal-what-we-know] And how do regional players align? Gulf states are divided between hawks – led by the United Arab Emirates [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/united-arab-emirates/], who've drawn closer to Israel [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/israel/] in this conflict – and doves, led by the Strait of Hormuz [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/strait-of-hormuz/]'s other frontline state Oman [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/oman/]. So which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world's biggest choke point for oil and gas [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/oil/]? Produced by François Picard, Rebecca Gnignati, Jean-Vincent Russo, Guillaume Gougeon, Charles Wente.

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episode End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points artwork

End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

Three months into what was originally billed as four-week war, is an end really in sight? Donald Trump's messaging on bargaining with Iran was enough to push Brent crude oil below $100 a barrel for the first time in two weeks. Both Washington and Tehran are managing expectations of a final deal or "memorandum of understanding". Time is not on Trump [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/donald-trump/]'s side, what with a World Cup [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/world-cup-2026/] to host in less than three weeks and inflation [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/inflation/] that's fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. But if inflation's bad in the US, Iran [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/iran/] has economic ruin to contend with. So again, who blinks first? Read morePossible Iran-US deal: What we know about the key issues on both sides [https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260525-possible-iran-us-deal-what-we-know] And how do regional players align? Gulf states are divided between hawks – led by the United Arab Emirates [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/united-arab-emirates/], who've drawn closer to Israel [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/israel/] in this conflict – and doves, led by the Strait of Hormuz [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/strait-of-hormuz/]'s other frontline state Oman [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/oman/]. So which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world's biggest choke point for oil and gas [https://www.france24.com/en/tag/oil/]? Produced by François Picard, Rebecca Gnignati, Jean-Vincent Russo, Guillaume Gougeon, Charles Wente.

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