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Branislav Nikolic spent nine years at CANNEX, wrote a PhD dissertation on retirement and annuity optimization, and was doing machine learning back when it was still called machine learning. Today he runs the insurance practice at The Index Standard — the independent firm rating, forecasting, and benchmarking the 150+ indices feeding America's FIAs, RILAs, and IULs. In this episode, Branislav explains why eight out of every ten FIA dollars still flows into the S&P 500 even after gold ran 60% and silver ran 130% in 2025. He breaks down why excess-return indices became confusing the moment interest rates moved off the floor, why "going to zero is your hero" is a bad way to compare an FIA to a market index, and why the indices that have actually performed best aren't the simplest or the most complex but the ones in the middle. He also makes the case for renewal rate integrity as the next thing the industry has to clean up — and tees up where The Index Standard goes next as carriers reopen the NAIC illustration guidelines.
14 episodios
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