Zephyr's Adjusted for Risk
Ryan Nauman hosts Zephyr’s Adjusted for Risk Podcast with guest Edison Byzyka, Chief Investment Officer of Credent Wealth Management, a $4.5B fee-only RIA headquartered in northeast Indiana. They discuss today’s macro uncertainty (Iran conflict, oil, inflation) while emphasizing skepticism and reliance on data such as economic surprise indices, forward inflation expectations, labor resilience, and high-yield spreads that don’t signal major distress. Byzyka explains how Credent defines risk primarily as drawdowns rather than benchmark-relative volatility, aiming for positive risk-adjusted returns over three-year cycles including tax and accounting alpha. He highlights key current risks: difficulty monetizing AI-related capex and lofty forward earnings expectations in mega-cap AI names, which may pressure market-cap-weighted indices and favor equal weight. They cover valuation implications for five-year returns, question fixed income’s stabilizing role, and describe using structured notes and selective constituent selection to mitigate downside while maintaining upside participation, concluding that active management and partial illiquidity may become more important in portfolio construction. Zephyr can help financial advisors create modern diversified portfolios. Learn more here [https://informaconnect.com/zephyr/asset-allocation/?utm_medium=Content&utm_source=Content_Podcast&utm_campaign=YT_Adjusted_for_Risk_&utm_content=YT_Adjusted_for_Risk ]. Learn more about Credent Wealth Management here [https://credentwealth.com/ ]. 00:00 Welcome to the Podcast 01:13 Meet Edison Byzyka 01:32 Credent Wealth Overview 03:51 Big Ten Sports Banter 06:03 Macro Uncertainty Check 10:40 Markets vs the Headlines 11:46 Defining Investment Risk 16:05 Biggest Risks Right Now 19:08 AI Capex and ROI Questions 20:20 AI Risks And Rotation 21:14 Advisor Focus And Flows 23:21 Mitigating With Selection 25:12 Structured Notes Surge 29:21 Valuations And Equal Weight 32:21 Rethinking Fixed Income 35:36 Bond Alternatives With Notes 37:37 Portfolio Construction Outlook 39:24 Closing And Resources Connect with Ryan Nauman: LinkedIn [about:blank] X [https://twitter.com/LkTahoeBadger]
25 episodios
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