Kellogg's Global Politics

In this episode, Anita speaks with Daniel Markey, who is an expert on South Asia. They cover a host of issues, ranging from the India-Pakistan conflict, Pakistan’s relations with the U.S. and China, India as a potential replacement to China as a manufacturing hub, and India’s vision for a multipolar world. They also talk about the U.S. Institute of Peace on its importance to policy, particularly with regards to decreasing conflict, and what it means to be a non-partisan institution of Congress. Events escalated between India and Pakistan after Anita’s interview with Dr. Markey, and we provide an update on the latest events and continue the discussion on the significance of this conflict. We then cover Trump’s first overseas trip to the Middle East, where he announced big deals with Qatar and Saudi Arabia, announced the end of sanctions on Syria, and got OPEC to pump more oil. We also look into the current status of an Iran nuclear deal. Plus Anita talks about her latest video game obsession, Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 from French developer, Sandfall Interactive.  Topics Discussed in this Episode * 05:00 Interview with Daniel Markey (USIP & Stimson Center) * 47:00 India and Pakistan Conflict in Kashmir * 1:00:00 Trump’s Middle East Trip Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode Interview with Daniel Markey * Website [https://www.danielmarkey.org/] * X: @MarkeyDaniel [https://x.com/markeydaniel?lang=en] * Lessons Learned from Pakistan’s Use of Chinese Provided Weapons (War on the Rocks) [https://warontherocks.com/2025/05/lessons-learned-from-pakistans-use-of-chinese-provided-weapons/] India-Pakistan Conflict in Kashmir * China’s J-10C Fighter: Separating Myth From Reality (TWZ) [https://www.twz.com/air/chinas-j-10c-fighter-separating-myth-from-reality] * A Timeline of Tensions Between India and Pakistan Over Kashmir (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/05/world/asia/india-pakistan-kashmir-history.html] * Just how bad can the India-Pakistan crisis get? (Vox) [https://www.vox.com/world-politics/412332/india-pakistan-crisis-escalation] Trump’s Middle East Trip * Trump resets America’s Middle East policy in surprising ways (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2025/05/12/trump-resets-americas-middle-east-policy-in-surprising-ways] * U.S., Iran Aim for Framework to Guide Talks Toward Nuclear Deal (WSJ) [https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-iran-meet-in-rome-with-nuclear-talks-under-strain-c47548f8] * Trump’s decision to lift sanctions is a triumph for Syria’s president (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2025/05/14/trumps-decision-to-lift-sanctions-is-a-triumph-for-syrias-president] * Why OPEC Plus Is Increasing Oil Supplies Despite Falling Prices (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/03/business/opec-plus-oil-production-trump.html] Send us a text [https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/1656913/open_sms] Follow Us * Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com [http://www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com/] * Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg [https://twitter.com/GlobalKellogg] * Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg [https://twitter.com/arkellogg] * Show YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgJeUZcTUGsNwTh-us65cIA]

In this episode, I spoke with Dr. Robert E. Kelly, who is a professor at the Pusan National University in South Korea. We talked about the recent impeachment of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, changes that we might see to the U.S. - South Korea alliance under Trump, and whether South Korea should develop its own nuclear weapons. But first, Ryan and I talk about April 2nd's liberation day with its unprecedented increase of tariffs on all countries and its impact on both the U.S. and global economy. We also discuss the U.S.’s apparent move to walk away from the Ukraine Peace deal and what that potentially means for the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Topics Discussed in this Episode * 09:00 - The Fallout from Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ * 34:00 - US walking away from Ukraine Peace Deal? * 49:00 - Interview with Prof. Robert E. Kelly (Pusan University) Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode The Fallout from Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ * Xi Jinping’s Trump-sized puzzle (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/international/2025/04/15/xi-jinpings-trump-sized-puzzle] * Why Trump is losing his trade war with China (Vox) [https://www.vox.com/politics/410471/trump-tariffs-china-trade-war-negotiations] * A flight from the dollar could wreck America’s finances (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/04/13/a-flight-from-the-dollar-could-wreck-americas-finances] US walking away from Ukraine Peace Deal? * Ukrainian Peace Plan Hints at Concessions, but Major Obstacles Remain (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/25/world/europe/ukraine-peace-counterproposal.html] * Has Trump found a path to peace in Ukraine? (WaPo) [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/04/24/trump-ukraine-russia-peace-negotiations-progress/] * Why Ukraine would rather fight on than give Crimea to Russia (The Time of London) [https://www.thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/why-ukraine-would-rather-fight-than-give-crimea-to-russia-dgjndmt92] Interview with Prof. Robert E. Kelly (Pusan University) * Website [https://robertedwinkelly.com/] * X: @Robert_E_Kelly [https://x.com/robert_e_kelly?lang=en] * Why South Korea Should Go Nuclear (Foreign Affairs) [https://www.foreignaffairs.com/north-korea/why-south-korea-should-go-nuclear-kelly-kim] Send us a text [https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/1656913/open_sms] Follow Us * Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com [http://www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com/] * Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg [https://twitter.com/GlobalKellogg] * Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg [https://twitter.com/arkellogg] * Show YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgJeUZcTUGsNwTh-us65cIA]

Ukraine has agreed to a U.S. cease-fire deal that resumed American aid and intelligence. How will the Trump administration get Russia on board with this proposal? Moving on to China, which recently held its annual National People’s Congress meeting, we discuss how the country is growing its global leadership by taking advantage of the U.S. withdrawal from the liberal international order. Finally, we look at the backlash to MAGA amongst U.S. allies and its effect on their domestic politics. Topics Discussed in this Episode * 04:30 - Anita’s new article in The Hill * 07:45 - Russia-Ukraine: Is Trump a Betrayer of Ukraine or a Realist? * 30:45 - China: Defender of the Post-War World Order? * 1:00:00 - MAGA’s Toxic Brand Abroad: Domestic Politics of Canada and EU Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode Anita’s article in The Hill: * US aid cuts are expanding Chinese influence (The Hill) [https://thehill.com/opinion/5174152-china-fills-vacuum-foreign-aid/] Russia-Ukraine: Is Trump a Betrayer of Ukraine or a Realist Stud? * Why John Mearsheimer Thinks Donald Trump is Right on Ukraine (The New Yorker) [https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/why-john-mearsheimer-thinks-donald-trump-is-right-on-ukraine] * Ukraine Supports 30-Day Cease-Fire as U.S. Says It Will Resume Military Aid (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/11/world/europe/ukraine-us-saudi-cease-fire-talks.html] * Ukraine Peace Is Not at Hand (WSJ) [https://www.wsj.com/opinion/ukraine-peace-is-not-at-hand-putin-trump-intelligence-agencies-cf3cce70] China: Defender of the Post-War World Order? * Five takeaways from Beijing’s largest annual political meetings (The Atlantic Council) [https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/five-takeaways-from-beijings-largest-annual-political-meetings/] * The United States’ Illiberal Turn Recasts a Potential Deal with China (CSIS) [https://www.csis.org/analysis/united-states-illiberal-turn-recasts-potential-deal-china] MAGA’s Toxic Brand Abroad: Domestic Politics of Canada and EU * Canada is so furious at the US right now (Vox) [https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.vox.com/politics/403927/canada-tariffs-alcohol-steel-trump-51st-state-boycott&ved=2ahUKEwih9KCkqpyMAxU8FFkFHQcRKz0QFnoECBcQAQ&usg=AOvVaw2jlT6gUBEPZ0aDB_uwTJND] * The Global Populist Right Has a MAGA Problem [https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2025/03/trump-populism-britain/682055/&ved=2ahUKEwj3wdewqpyMAxW6EFkFHcE4BpoQFnoECBMQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3cbnJ6f183lkGss896LEXU] (The Atlantic) * Donald Trump has pushed Europe back into “whatever it takes” mode (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/03/13/donald-trump-has-pushed-europe-back-into-whatever-it-takes-mode] * https://www.thetimes.com/world/europe/article/peter-magyar-viktor-orban-hungary-election-tisza-m8gkhc5tv Send us a text [https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/1656913/open_sms] Follow Us * Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com [http://www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com/] * Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg [https://twitter.com/GlobalKellogg] * Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg [https://twitter.com/arkellogg] * Show YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgJeUZcTUGsNwTh-us65cIA]

Trump’s plan to end the Russia - Ukraine war heated up with Wednesday’s call to Putin. With Ukraine and Europe sidelined from negotiations, can this administration bring about a lasting peace that both sides agree to? Also hot are Trump’s trade wars, which include a directive to impose reciprocal tariffs on all countries. How practical is this plan, and what will it achieve? Finally, most U.S. foreign aid is frozen, and the agency that distributes much of that aid, USAID, is being dismantled. How will it affect U.S. national security? Topics Discussed in this Episode * 09: 00 - Russia-Ukraine: Trump’s Perfect Phone Call Part II and the Munich Conference * 24:00 - Looming Trade Wars  * 43:00 - US Soft Power Collapse: End of USAID and Foreign Aide Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode Russia-Ukraine: Trump’s Perfect Phone Call Part II and the Munich Conference * Trump’s call with Putin alarms Europe and shocks Ukraine (WaPo) [https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/13/trump-putin-call-europe-ukraine-reaction/] * The Day the Ukraine War Ended (The Atlantic) [https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/02/ukraine-war-trump-putin-end/681676/?utm_source=apple_news] * Ukraine’s fears are becoming reality, after Trump talks to Putin (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/02/12/donald-trump-starts-immediate-talks-with-vladimir-putin-on-ukraine] Trade Wars Incoming * Trump Says He’ll Rework Global Trading Relations With ‘Reciprocal’ Tariffs (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/13/us/politics/trump-tariffs.html] * ‘The W.T.O. Is Toast.’ What Happens to Global Trade Now. (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/14/business/trump-tariffs-world-trade-organization.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare] * Donald Trump’s Super Bowl tariffs are an act of self-harm (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/02/10/donald-trumps-super-bowl-tariffs-are-an-act-of-self-harm] US Soft Power Collapse: End of USAID and Freezing of all Foreign Aide * Visualizing the international reach of U.S. funding cut by Trump (WaPo) [https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/09/trump-usaid-foreign-funding-cuts-rubio/] * Falsehoods Fuel the Right-Wing Crusade Against U.S.A.I.D. (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/07/business/usaid-conspiracy-theories-disinformation.html] * As USAID retreats, China pounces (Politico) [https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2025/02/10/as-usaid-retreats-china-pounces-00195922] Send us a text [https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/1656913/open_sms] Follow Us * Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com [http://www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com/] * Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg [https://twitter.com/GlobalKellogg] * Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg [https://twitter.com/arkellogg] * Show YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgJeUZcTUGsNwTh-us65cIA]

President-elect Donald Trump recently made his own challenge to the liberal rules-based global order by articulating an expansionist U.S. foreign policy focused on regaining control of the Panama Canal, owning Greenland, and referring to Canada as the 51st state. We discuss the likelihood of such a foreign policy agenda and how seriously we should address Trump’s tendency towards blustering remarks. Then we review and grade the last four years of Biden’s foreign policy. Is the U.S. better or worse off than when he took office? Topics Discussed in this Episode * 05:00 - Trump’s Imperial Grab Bag: Panama Canal and Greenland * 30:00 - Biden’s Foreign Policy Report Card Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode Trump’s Imperial Grab Bag: Panama Canal and Greenland * An American purchase of Greenland could be the deal of the century (The Economist) [https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/01/08/an-american-purchase-of-greenland-could-be-the-deal-of-the-century] * We Went to Greenland to Ask About a Trump Takeover (Politico) [https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/01/10/nuuk-greenland-trump-denmark-00197070] * Why Does Trump Want the Panama Canal? Here’s What to Know. (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/08/world/americas/trump-panama-canal.html] Biden’s Foreign Policy Report Card * The Interview: Antony Blinken Insists He and Biden Made the Right Calls (NY Times) [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/04/magazine/antony-blinken-interview.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare] * Biden’s Legacy on China (The Diplomat) [https://thediplomat.com/2024/11/bidens-legacy-on-china/] * The Strange Triumph of a Broken America (Foreign Affairs) [https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/strange-triumph-broken-america-michael-beckley] Send us a text [https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/1656913/open_sms] Follow Us * Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com [http://www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com/] * Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg [https://twitter.com/GlobalKellogg] * Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg [https://twitter.com/arkellogg] * Show YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgJeUZcTUGsNwTh-us65cIA]