The Insight is Capital™ Podcast

The Portfolio Nobody Told You to Build | Tony Dong

1 h 3 min · 5 mei 2026
aflevering The Portfolio Nobody Told You to Build | Tony Dong artwork

Beschrijving

What if the investing rules that protected you for 40 years just stopped working — and the world already moved on without telling you? Host Pierre Daillie sits down with Tony Dong — founder of ETFPortfolioBlueprint.com, lead ETF analyst at ETF Central, and Columbia-trained risk manager — for a no-holds-barred breakdown of defense ETFs, tail risk hedging, the structural collapse of the 60/40 portfolio, and what a genuinely resilient Canadian portfolio looks like in a world defined by geopolitical fracture, regime change, and compounding uncertainty. Recorded April 2026 amid new all-time equity highs and an active Middle East conflict, this episode is essential listening for any advisor or investor still building for a world that no longer exists. CHAPTERS 00:00 — Introduction: Who Is Tony Dong? 02:11 — Q1 2026: Markets, Macro & the K-Shaped Economy 06:24 — Defense ETFs: True Exposure vs. Industrial Sector Imposters 09:30 — Canadian Defense ETF Options: XAD vs. SHLD 11:38 — Are We at the Start of a Defense Super Cycle — or the Middle? 13:48 — NATO Rearmament, Europe's €800B Commitment & Valuation Risk 17:13 — The Hidden Risk of Being Long Defense 19:04 — Strait of Hormuz, Ras Laffan & Underappreciated Choke Points 22:01 — Why Tony Isn't Buying the Emerging Markets Rally 23:22 — Tail Risk: CAOS vs. TAIL — Two Products, Two Payoff Profiles 28:58 — How Much to Allocate to Tail Risk? 31:57 — What Risk Actually Is: Permanent Capital Loss vs. Volatility 34:12 — The 60/40 Portfolio: 90% Equity Risk by Any Honest Measure 36:28 — TLT Myths Debunked: Why Long Bonds Are a Structural Trap 39:10 — Fixed Income Alternatives: First-Lien Loans & LCRNs 41:53 — How Conflict Transmits Risk Into a Canadian ETF Portfolio 46:05 — Liquidity Cascades: When the ETF Wrapper Breaks 53:16 — Volatility Laundering & the Private Credit Illusion 56:36 — Building a Resilient Canadian Portfolio for the Next 10 Years 01:00:41 — Biggest Surprises of the Next 12 Months: China, Taiwan & Eastern Europe #DefenseETF #TailRisk #ETFInvesting #CanadianInvestor #GeopoliticalRisk #CAOSETf #TAILETf #6040Portfolio #NATORearmament #InsightIsCapital #TonyDong #PierreDaillie #ETFAnalysis #PortfolioConstruction #WealthManagement #MacroInvesting #FixedIncome #BondAlternatives #ETFLiquidity #PrivateCredit #CanadianDollar #DefenseTech #MarketRegimeChange #AdvisorAnalyst #ETFCentral #PortfolioResilience #InvestingIn2026 #TailRiskHedging #GeopoliticalInvesting #SmartMoney

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aflevering From Wall Street Executive to Financial Thriller Novelist | Kristine Delano artwork

From Wall Street Executive to Financial Thriller Novelist | Kristine Delano

She forgot to hang up the phone — and what she overheard about herself in that boardroom became the seed of a Wall Street thriller twenty years in the making. In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie sits down with Kristine Delano — Independent Board Trustee, fiction author, former Managing Director at Eaton Vance, and host of the We Talk Careers podcast (brought to you by Women in ETFs). After two decades inside Wall Street firms, where she helped win the first SEC approval on an active non-transparent ETF, Kristine walked away from the corner office and did the one thing nobody saw coming: she wrote a novel. Her debut financial thriller, The Lies We Trade, opens on the best day of a woman's career — ringing the closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange — right up until the person she trusts most begins taking it all apart. Kristine reveals how a neuroscience and engineering background became her career superpower, why "it's all active" when it comes to investing, and the visceral true story of the conference call she never hung up on — where she heard colleagues she trusted throw her under the bus. She unpacks the power imbalances hiding in every boardroom, the micro-expressions that tell you more than any agenda, imposter syndrome at the very top (including a moving story about the late Kathleen Moriarty, the "Queen of ETFs"), and the warning her novel carries for advisors and wealth professionals: process and trust aren't always enough. Plus, a first look at her second novel — two estranged sisters, a journalist and a Wall Street CEO, on a collision course of truth versus power. CHAPTERS 00:00 – Cold open: The executive who walked away 02:00 – Welcome, Kristine Delano 02:38 – From neuroscience and engineering to Wall Street 05:03 – Why thinking differently became her career edge 06:49 – Behavioral risk: the investor is the biggest risk 09:10 – Bicoastal career, family, and what advisors taught her 11:01 – Life after Wall Street: skiing, scuba, and board work 14:04 – The family emergency that changed everything 16:52 – The call she never hung up on: overhearing the truth 25:24 – Meredith: a protagonist who introduced herself 29:12 – Writing fraud and betrayal: invention vs. lived experience 32:04 – Kathleen Moriarty and imposter syndrome at the top 34:28 – We Talk Careers and amplifying voices in ETFs 37:22 – Power imbalances and micro-expressions in the boardroom 42:26 – The warning for advisors: when process and trust aren't enough 46:30 – Alter egos, courage, and the head of sales named Dave 49:34 – The second novel: two estranged sisters, truth vs. power 55:08 – Sisterhood, family strain, and writing what's real 01:01:08 – Where to find The Lies We Trade and We Talk Careers Find Kristine Delano The novel: The Lies We Trade [https://amzn.to/4y7Sp6D] Kristine Delano on Linkedin [https://www.linkedin.com/in/kristinedelano/] Kristine Delano's Website: KristineDelano.com [https://kristinedelano.com/] #KristineDelano #TheLiesWeTrade #FinancialThriller #WallStreet #WomenInFinance #WomenInETFs #ETFs #InsightIsCapital #BehavioralFinance #ImposterSyndrome #CareerAdvice #WealthManagement #FinancialAdvisors #BookTube #ThrillerBooks #CareerPivot #Leadership #PowerDynamics #FinanceBooks #Investing

Gisteren1 h 4 min
aflevering The Folly of Trusting Your Own Mind With Money | Dr. Preet Banerjee artwork

The Folly of Trusting Your Own Mind With Money | Dr. Preet Banerjee

Why does doing more research make investors more confident in the wrong decision, why do warning labels often invite the very risk they're meant to prevent, and why might a friendlier robo-advisor actually produce worse investing behavior? In this episode of Insight is Capital™, Pierre Daillie sits down with Dr. Preet Banerjee — personal finance expert, founder of Money School, and Globe and Mail behavioural finance columnist, to unpack the psychological wiring beneath everyday investing decisions. From the "cue recall simulation loop" that distorts how investors remember their own portfolio returns, to research showing that useless new information makes people more confident (not more correct), to the counterintuitive finding that warning labels can make risky products more desirable, this conversation maps the gap between what investors think they're doing with their money and what's actually steering the wheel. Preet also explains why robo-advisors with more "human" interfaces see worse adherence to their own advice, how disclosure and judgement anxiety shape client behaviour, and why clients using ChatGPT before a meeting may end up valuing their advisor's guidance more, not less. CHAPTERS 00:00 Open: The Hidden Psychology of Money 01:26 Meet Dr. Preet Banerjee 01:58 Life in London and the Advisor App Store 07:23 From Neuroscience to Behavioral Finance: Preet's Path 12:48 The Confidence Trap: Why More Research Backfires 18:40 Red Teaming Your Own Investment Decisions 20:26 Why You Misremember Your Portfolio's Past Performance 23:05 DIY Investing vs. Evidence-Based Strategies 26:42 Loss Aversion and the Scars of Your First Market Crash 28:42 Journaling as a Behavioral Antidote 32:11 The Parental Advisory Effect: Why Warnings Backfire 37:59 Could an Investment Literacy Test Protect DIY Investors? 40:15 The Regulatory Tightrope Between Risk and Access 42:16 Sports Betting, Retirement Savings, and Cautionary Data 44:28 The Robo-Advisor Paradox: Warmer Interfaces, Worse Behavior 45:59 Disclosure Anxiety, Judgment Anxiety, and Advisor Trust 49:31 Why Personal Finance Is 90% Psychology 51:30 The Dark Side of Investing Democratization 53:49 The Dalbar Study and the Behavior Gap 54:11 ChatGPT, Advisors, and the Future of Financial Advice 58:25 Closing Thoughts #BehavioralFinance #InvestorPsychology #PersonalFinance #InvestingTips #WealthManagement #FinancialAdvisor #PreetBanerjee #InsightIsCapital #DIYInvesting #RoboAdvisor #FinTech #InvestingMindset #MoneyPsychology #FinancialLiteracy #StockMarket #BehaviorGap

30 jun 202658 min
aflevering Animal Spirits vs. The Seasonal Rotation Calendar | Brooke Thackray artwork

Animal Spirits vs. The Seasonal Rotation Calendar | Brooke Thackray

The seasonal clock is ticking — and if history is any guide, the market's most dangerous months are still ahead. In this episode of Insight Is Capital, host Pierre Daillie sits down with Brooke Thackray, Research Analyst at Global X and author of the long-running Thackray Newsletter, for a wide-ranging conversation about what the seasonal calendar is telling us right now — and why the market's gravity-defying melt-up may be masking a set of risks that most investors aren't pricing in. From the FOMO-fuelled rally that erased April's war-driven selloff, to the eerie parallels between today's AI trade and the late-1990s internet bubble, Brooke and Pierre explore the architecture of the current market: who's driving it, what's being ignored, and where the seasonal patterns are pointing for the second half of 2026. The conversation covers the narrowing breadth behind the S&P 500's new highs, the invisible commodity bottlenecks quietly threatening semiconductor production, and the emerging rotation opportunities in gold, Canadian banks, and resource sectors that few investors are discussing. Whether you're managing a portfolio, planning for retirement, or simply trying to make sense of a market that seems to shrug off every risk, this episode offers a grounded, historically-informed perspective on what comes next — and when. Episode Chapters 0:00 — Introduction: Markets don't move in straight lines, but they do move in patterns 1:45 — SpaceX IPO day, the AI narrative, and the anatomy of a melt-up 4:30 — How seasonal patterns set up April's explosive rally — and what was missed 6:00 — The invisible supply shock: helium, tungsten hexafluoride, and semiconductor risk 8:00 — Sell in May didn't work — why FOMO overrides seasonality in the short term 10:00 — Ten stocks driving the index: what market narrowness really signals 13:00 — Tracking money flows: how to tell if investors are rotating or leaving entirely 15:00 — The fragility of a narrow market and what historically breaks melt-ups 21:00 — Cisco, Nortel, and One Cent Cisco: the late-90s earnings playbook and its modern echo 24:00 — Utilities, nuclear, data center buildout, and the Gartner hype cycle applied to AI 32:00 — The dead zone: August–September as the two weakest months on the seasonal calendar 33:00 — Semiconductors, South Korea, NVIDIA earnings, and what could flip the trade 38:00 — Supply chain lessons from COVID: why shortages don't heal with a flick of a switch 41:00 — Uranium, silver, copper: the commodity super-cycle quietly building beneath the AI wave 45:00 — Gold, Canadian banks, and healthcare: where seasonal inflection points are setting up now 50:00 — Why gold doesn't trade on geopolitical risk — and what it actually trades on 53:00 — The Fed's stealth QE, Kevin Warsh's debut, stagflation risk, and the M2 expansion 57:00 — Canadian banks: why foreign investors are buying what domestic investors are ignoring 1:01:00 — HAC ETF: how the Global X Seasonal Rotation Fund puts these principles to work #SeasonalInvesting #StockMarket2026 #BrookeThackray #GlobalXETFs #HACETF #MarketSeasonality #InvestingStrategy #GoldOutlook #Semiconductors #AIStocks #NVIDIA #SpaceXIPO #CommoditySuperCycle #UraniumStocks #SilverDemand #CopperShortage #CanadianBanks #RetirementInvesting #SequenceOfReturnRisk #MarketBreadth #FOMORally #SellInMay #FedPolicy #Stagflation #InsightIsCapital #AdvisorAnalyst #ETFInvesting #WealthManagement #InvestmentPodcast #FinancePodcast

23 jun 20261 h 4 min
aflevering David Varadi: The Early Years of Retirement Are The Most Dangerous artwork

David Varadi: The Early Years of Retirement Are The Most Dangerous

Every retiree gets exactly one shot at one sequence of returns — and the first five years can quietly cost you more than half your lifetime portfolio. In this episode of Insight is Capital, host Pierre Daillie sits down with David Varadi, MBA, CFA, instructor of Personal Finance and Investments at the Schulich School of Business at York University, to unpack one of the most underestimated risks in retirement planning: sequence of returns risk. Drawing on a career that spans RBC, Macquarie, Flexible Plan Investments, QuantX, and now academia, Varadi introduces the concept of the "sequence tax" — the measurable gap between what the market returns and what a retiree actually realizes after withdrawals. He explains why poor returns in the first five to ten years of retirement can permanently impair a portfolio in ways that bull markets later cannot repair, and walks through practical levers advisors can use to defend against it, including bond ladders, dynamic withdrawal cuts, trend-following overlays, and diversification beyond the traditional 60/40 mix. The conversation moves into the four economic regimes, why long-duration treasuries, energy, utilities, and managed futures each play a distinct hedging role, and how capital efficiency — using leveraged or portable-alpha structures to free up liquidity — can help underfunded clients diversify into annuities, tontines, and real assets without taking on a purely speculative, all-equity gamble. Varadi closes with a call for advisors to calculate every client's required rate of return and shortfall risk, rather than relying on risk tolerance alone, to determine whether a retirement plan is actually safe versus merely comfortable. Timestamped Chapters 00:00 — Introduction: the sequence tax and why order matters more than average return 02:00 — David Varadi's career arc: RBC, Macquarie, Flexible Plan, QuantX, and teaching at Schulich 06:00 — Why decumulation is the industry's biggest blind spot and top advisor anxiety 08:00 — What sequence of returns risk actually is and how the "sequence tax" is calculated 10:00 — Selling shares in a down market: cannibalizing the portfolio and the math of recovery 13:00 — The first five and ten years: 53% and 80% of lifetime sequence damage explained 14:00 — Levers for protection: liquidity buffers, cutting withdrawals, trend following, bond ladders 16:00 — The trade-offs of holding bonds early in retirement 24:00 — Replacing traditional fixed income with convexity: managed futures and the four market regimes 26:00 — Best hedges for long-duration bonds: energy, utilities, and commodities 28:00 — Real assets and inflation protection: pipelines, infrastructure, and rate-linked cash flows 30:00 — Managed futures as a "utility player" across market regimes 32:00 — Capital efficiency for underfunded clients: solving multiple risks with the same dollar 35:00 — X-raying the 60/40 portfolio: why it behaves like 90% equity risk 38:00 — The danger of mistaking the need for diversification as a need for more risk 48:00 — Building the floor: bonds, annuities, and tontines for funded versus underfunded clients 54:00 — Practical capital-efficiency examples: leveraged ETFs, covered calls, and portable alpha 1:01:00 — Calculating the retirement required rate of return and the conservative-client mismatch 1:02:00 — Shortfall risk versus standard deviation: optimizing for retirement survival 1:04:00 — Closing thoughts and a look ahead to capital efficiency in depth #SequenceOfReturnsRisk #RetirementPlanning #DecumulationStrategy #RetirementIncome #FinancialAdvisor #PersonalFinance #PortfolioConstruction #CapitalEfficiency #ManagedFutures #RetirementSavings #WealthManagement #InvestingForRetirement #FinancialPlanning #InsightIsCapital #SchulichSchoolOfBusiness #RetirementRiskManagement #AssetAllocation #FixedIncomeStrategy #AnnuitiesVsTontines #FinanceEducation

18 jun 20261 h 5 min
aflevering The ETF Terrordome: Why 1 in 3 New Funds Will Never Survive artwork

The ETF Terrordome: Why 1 in 3 New Funds Will Never Survive

If you think launching an ETF sounds like a great business, Eric Balchunas is here to explain why it might be the most brutal competitive arena in finance — and which products are actually winning in 2026. Pierre Daillie sits down with Eric Balchunas — Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, co-host of the Trillions podcast, and author of The Bogle Effect — for an unflinching tour of the ETF Terrordome. Eric maps the structural forces that make ETF success so elusive: Vanguard and BlackRock together capturing 60% of all flows, over 2,000 funds trapped below the $50M zombie line, and a liquidation rate that could hit one-in-three. He unpacks his three C's of ETF survival (Cheap, Creative, or Cabernet), breaks down why legacy active managers finally found their footing by lowering fees, and explains the DRAM phenomenon — a memory chip ETF that reached $15 billion in 60 days by solving a real access problem. The conversation moves into Eric's 26 for '26 ETFs to Watch list, covering uranium mining, auto callable ETFs, laddered buffer strategies, and the growing derivative income space. Balchunas also shares his thesis on why the "Vanguard bid" and government backstops have fundamentally changed how markets absorb sell-offs — and why Bogle may be the most underrated behavioral economist in investing history. ⏱ CHAPTERS 00:00 — Introduction: Welcome to the Terrordome 03:30 — What the Terrordome actually means: fees, distribution, and the Vanguard effect 06:30 — BlackRock vs. Vanguard: the fee war that reshaped an industry 08:00 — The three C's of ETF success: Cheap, Creative, or Cabernet 10:00 — The $100M threshold: zombies, middle class, and breakout hits 13:00 — Active managers finally get it right (Capital Group, JP Morgan, DFA, Avantis) 15:00 — DRAM: the $15B ETF that came out of nowhere 17:00 — BlackRock & Vanguard as the new IBM for advisors 21:00 — Why advisors choose index over active: the blame problem 25:00 — 26 for '26: Eric's ETF Watch List highlights (URNM, CAIE, buffer ETFs) 28:00 — Auto callables, covered calls, and the derivative income boom 31:00 — Mag Seven concentration: Bessembinder, antitrust, and the hoovering of small caps 36:00 — Managed futures, portable alpha, and return stacking 39:00 — The Vanguard bid: why sell-offs don't cascade anymore 41:00 — The Bogle Effect: Jack Bogle as the father of good investor behavior 43:00 — Where to find Eric: Trillions podcast, ETF IQ on Bloomberg TV, X & LinkedIn #ETF #ETFs2026 #EricBalchunas #BloombergIntelligence #ETFInvesting #PassiveInvesting #ActiveETF #Vanguard #BlackRock #IndexFunds #ETFIndustry #Terrordome #TheBogleEffect #CoveredCallETF #BufferETF #AutoCallable #ManagedFutures #PortableAlpha #UraniumETF #DRAM #Trillions #InsightIsCapital #WealthManagement #AdvisorInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #FinancePodcast

16 jun 202644 min