the johnny renaissance files

The light bill no one saw coming...

4 min · 1 mrt 2026
aflevering The light bill no one saw coming... artwork

Beschrijving

A Sunday morning riff sparked by a Barron’s piece: AI is not just a “tech story.” It is a civilization-scale infrastructure buildout already underway. Data centers under construction are projected to consume electricity on the scale of an entire country, and the long-term winners may be the quiet regional utilities signing decade-plus contracts with the largest tech companies. Meanwhile, consumers are already feeling the pinch as electricity bills climb, and politics is heating up. For funeral home owners, the message is simple: the AI infrastructure is being built right now, leverage is real, and small, practical AI use can give a small team the output of a much larger one. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

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aflevering The 4 Boxes of Selling and how they apply to your funeral home's pre-need program... artwork

The 4 Boxes of Selling and how they apply to your funeral home's pre-need program...

The Four Boxes of Selling I am sitting across from a funeral home owner on an idle Tuesday afternoon. He has invited me in for what he thinks is a short conversation. Business is fine, he says, mostly. He has a marketing partner. That partner placed an agent with him a few years ago and he shows up a few times a week to write business. The agent produces. Numbers move, technically, in the right direction. But the owner has that feeling he cannot quite name, the one that shows up before the rational one does. His agent is here, physically, and somewhere else the rest of the time. I try to tell him what I think is happening. I can see him not listening, not because he disagrees but because he has heard this before, from the last person, and the person before that. He has been burned by guys like me too many times. He’s likely being burned now. I am just the next guy holding a torch, walking toward a wound he has already decided is not worth reopening. We finish the conversation. Nothing is decided. Two months later I hear that nothing has changed. The agent is still a few days a week. The owner is still unhappy in that specific, low grade way that never quite reaches the threshold of action. He is not stupid and he is not stuck out of laziness. He has simply run the math the way all of us run it without meaning to. The pain of staying the same is still less than the pain of change. So he stays. This is not a story about one owner. It is the story of most pre-need programs in this country, sputtering well below what they could be, propped up by a rotation of agents who never really belonged to the funeral home in the first place. Here is the part almost nobody says out loud. When a marketing firm places an agent in your building, that agent was trained by a carrier, incentivized by a carrier, and will be loyal to that carrier’s commission structure long before they are loyal to you or your community. You are renting a body. For a while the rental looks like a solution. The numbers move. Then they stop moving, or they move less, and you are left wondering, again, why a program with this much potential keeps sputtering, why this agent never seemed attached to your families the way you are, why replacing one underperformer with the next just produces the same result on a delay. The instinct at that point is almost always the same. Find another agent. Call another firm. Go back to the bandage cabinet, because the wound is right there and it looks urgent and a bandage is fast. But a bandage over an open wound does not heal anything. It just hides the infection from view while it keeps oozing underneath. You have to actually clean the wound out and build a sterile zone before anything put on top of it will hold. There are four places this wound tends to live. Most funeral homes have only ever looked at one of them, and usually not even that one closely. The first is who you are actually talking to. Most businesses never examine this box because it feels presumed. Families come to you at their time of need, your reputation is intact, so the thinking stops there. But not all prospects are created equal, and the gap is not subtle. A healthy fifty five year old who says maybe someday is a different problem than a seventy two year old widow who already knows she does not want her kids dealing with any of this. The second one is ready. She is, in fact, where most of your walk in business already comes from, and if your marketing has never separated her from the fifty five year old, you have been spending the same effort on two completely different people and calling it one strategy. The second box is the attitude of the salesperson, and this is the one people underestimate the most because it looks soft next to numbers and scripts. Sales is a transfer of belief. If the person sitting across the table does not believe, in the product, in the necessity, in the value of what they are offering, the family will feel that absence before a single objection gets raised. An agent who is convinced the product is too expensive, or who needs to cram every family into a multi pay plan to hit a commission number, is not failing at technique. They are transferring their own doubt, and no script fixes that, because the problem was never the script. The third box is the selling environment, and this is the one owners hand off without realizing they are handing off control. The environment is not just where the meeting happens, though that matters too, whether it is a living room, an arrangement office, a phone call, or increasingly a Zoom meeting that more families are choosing than most funeral homes have prepared for. The environment is also the sequence. Whether the appointment was set with intention or stumbled into. Whether the family arrived educated, having already received material that prepared them for the conversation, or arrived cold and had to be talked into caring in real time. If you let the prospect, or the agent, dictate the conditions of that environment instead of controlling it yourself, you lose the thing that was never visible on a spreadsheet but decided the outcome anyway. The fourth box is the skill of the salesperson, and it is the box that gets all the attention because it is the only one most owners think to look at. If I could just find a great agent, the thinking goes, everything would be fine. But great agents are rare, expensive in ways beyond salary, and often unwilling to work inside anyone’s system but their own. The more talented they are, the more true this becomes, and the more your entire program depends on one person’s mood, health, and willingness to stay. That is not a program. That is a bet, dressed up as a strategy. The reason so many pre-need programs sputter despite real potential is that owners keep treating box four as if it were the only box, and keep renting the solution instead of owning it. A marketing firm that places you a good agent has, at best, patched one corner of a four sided problem. The other three corners keep leaking, and eventually the fourth one does too, because a talented agent operating inside an unaddressed environment, in front of the wrong prospects, without the belief to carry them through, will burn out or wander off no matter how gifted they are. Fix all four boxes and something different happens. Not just better numbers, though those come. You create what I think of as a vacuum, a pull that starts drawing families, referrals, and momentum toward you instead of you chasing all of it uphill. Who you talk to, how your salespeople think and carry themselves, the environment you control instead of surrender, and the skills you build into a system instead of praying for in a person. That is the whole program, not one quarter of it. I think about that owner from the idle Tuesday afternoon sometimes. He was not wrong to be skeptical of me. He had earned that skepticism honestly, one burned relationship at a time. But skepticism of the next agent is not the same thing as skepticism of the next system, and until an owner sees the difference, he will keep doing the math that says staying the same hurts less than changing. It does, right up until the moment it doesn’t, and by then the wound has usually been open a lot longer than anyone wanted to admit. -johnny renaissance This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

7 jul 202619 min
aflevering Nike went all in on the World Cup. Good. Not Great and maybe not enough... artwork

Nike went all in on the World Cup. Good. Not Great and maybe not enough...

Nike just went all in on the World Cup. Six minutes of film. More than thirty celebrities. Ronaldo, Mbappé, Haaland, Kim Kardashian, LeBron, Channing Tatum, all sharing the same fake movie set. Trade press mostly loved it. Craft, ambition, easter eggs everywhere. I watched the full film, not just the 30 to 60 second cuts running on TV. Those short clips are where most people are actually meeting this campaign, and out of context they land confusing. The full version gives you more to work with. But I played this game at an All American level and have loved it my whole life, and even with the full context, the film runs long and falls flat. Good, not great. That gap between the craft everyone is praising and how it actually feels to watch is the real story here. Look past the reviews and the bigger picture is simple. This is not a brand flexing creative muscle. This is a company that cannot afford to miss, betting enormous money and creative capital to manufacture the cultural relevance it used to generate on its own. The Jordan brand just dropped 16% in a year. Nike’s stock is down from $170 in 2021 to $46 now. When a company that size builds a six minute film with thirty stars and calls it a universe, that is not confidence talking. That is a company trying to buy back something it lost. To me, that is exactly why it eventually reads as hollow and confusing, cut down for TV or not. Not because the film is poorly made. Because the risk shows through. When you go all in like that, the audience can feel it, the same way you can feel it across a poker table when someone pushes every chip in. Confidence does not need thirty celebrities to prove itself. Only urgency does. I see the same pattern in deathcare. If you are a funeral home still relying on old channels, you are facing a smaller version of Nike’s problem. Even the stuff that is working right now, like seminars, is showing real signs of decay around the edges. The market never holds still, and you cannot get comfortable. If your preneed program has been stuck in the same mode for a decade, or even the last few years, that is worth a hard look. The longer you wait to evolve, the bigger the bet you eventually have to make to catch back up, and big bets read as desperation, not strength. I watched a version of this play out early in my career. I worked for a technology company in this space that had real marketing instincts, before private equity took it over. I am not ready to name the company yet, but what replaced those instincts was a team more interested in looking clever than being useful, and a lot more interested in the balance sheet than the actual problems customers had. Same pattern as Nike, just smaller stakes. Substance gets traded for style, and eventually the audience feels it even when they cannot name it. Marketing does not fail because a brand stops trying. It fails when a brand starts performing instead of building. This is good news for funeral homes, because the good ones are already built on authenticity, connection, relationships, and trust. Those things do not go out of style, and they do not require a Hollywood budget to prove themselves. The work is making sure your market keeps receiving that message, which means steadily innovating your channels and your strategy long before you are ever forced into an all in bet just to stay in the game. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

1 jul 202612 s
aflevering Want to grow your pre-need business? Double your list. artwork

Want to grow your pre-need business? Double your list.

I just left a 250-call funeral home in Chicagoland. Fourth generation, family-run, strong community brand. She’s doing a couple hundred thousand dollars in pre-need annually and selling every contract herself. Three people running the whole operation. And her current insurance carrier? Completely ignoring her. Too small to matter to them. Here’s what I told her… Forget the magic systems. Forget the experts trying to sell you on their one weird trick. Keep everything you’re doing exactly the same. Just double your list. That’s where it starts. Most pre-need programs aren’t struggling because the market dried up. They’re struggling because there’s no list worth talking about, no CRM keeping track of it, no touch points, no broadcast email going out, no content, no system. The infrastructure is missing. And without the infrastructure, doubling your revenue is just a wish. You don’t build the infrastructure all at once either. I spent the first half of my career as a health coach and clinical exercise physiologist. I never took someone from the couch to the best shape of their life in a single session. You take one step at a time. One year at a time when you have to. For a pre-need program, step one is simple. Make doubling your list the initiative for the rest of this year. Just that. Build the list. Then send one broadcast email about something provocative related to funeral planning. See what happens. You’ll be surprised. Everything else follows from there. If you’re a smaller independent firm getting ignored by the big carriers, I built what I’m building specifically for you. Full podcast episode is at theashflash.com. Johnny Renaissance #PreNeed #FuneralHome #FuneralIndustry #DeathCare #CommandPreneedOps This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

26 jun 20265 min
aflevering When Was the Last Time You Spent an Hour Working ON Your Business? artwork

When Was the Last Time You Spent an Hour Working ON Your Business?

Not in it. On it. There’s a difference, and most funeral home owners haven’t stopped long enough to feel it. I had some PTO last week. I spent the afternoon thinking strategically about what’s in front of me. No calls, no interruptions, no reactive noise. Just space to think. And what happened in that afternoon was worth more than most full weeks of grinding. I’m not bragging, either. That’s a warning. Because most of the owners I’m sitting across from right now while I’m in the field, walking through cold doors, driving windy roads and eating the fast-food, haven’t had that afternoon. Some haven’t had that hour. Some, if they’re honest with themselves, aren’t sure they’ve ever truly had it. I get it. The funeral profession is uniquely unforgiving in this regard. You don’t choose when the phone rings. A death call arrives and everything stops, no matter what. I have genuine respect for that reality. But I’m not going to pander to it the way everybody else does. Because that constant reactive state? That’s exactly why so many independent funeral homes are losing ground right now. Not because you’re lazy. You’re not. You’re exhausted. But exhausted and strategic are two very different things. The Problem Isn’t Time Most people think they have a time problem. They don’t. They have a planning problem, which is really a space problem. You can’t add hours to the day. That’s obvious. But you absolutely can create more space inside the hours you already have. Delegating. Blocking. Protecting. Building an environment that guards your most important work instead of constantly pulling you away from it. My current practice: laptop opens first, before the phone. That’s it. That one rule means my best creative hours go to the work that matters most, before the noise of the day has a chance to crowd it out. Simple. Almost embarrassingly simple. But the discipline to actually do it is where most people fall apart. The framework I’ve been talking about and what I like call the Time Integrity Code starts with two questions. Point A: Where are you right now? Point B: Where do you want to go? The gap between knowing those two things and actually building a path between them is where most funeral home owners are stuck. And here’s the uncomfortable truth: most of them are too busy to stop long enough to realize it. Here’s Where Pre-Need Fits I want to connect this to the most important strategic conversation in independent funeral home ownership right now. Because every owner I’ve described…the one running on fumes, the one who hasn’t had a real strategic hour in months? That owner doesn’t have a pre-need problem. They have a time problem. Which is a planning problem. Which is a space problem. And because they never solve the space problem, pre-need stays exactly where it is: a side hustle. Commission income that shows up occasionally when a counselor writes a few contracts. Something that generates some revenue, maybe, but it’s not a priority, not a system, certainly not infrastructure. For a long time, that was fine. The at-need volume was enough. The community trusted you. That window is closing. The consolidators aren’t figuring this out. They figured it out a long time ago. They’re in your market right now executing on it. And the independent funeral homes that treat pre-need as incidental commission work are handing those consolidators a competitive advantage every single day. When you build a real pre-need program that is systematic, consistent, and running whether you’re in the building or not, you are building something with real balance sheet value. Contractually secured future revenue. Relationships deepened before families need you at their worst moments. That is working on your business. That is exactly the kind of strategic activity that gets crowded out when you’re buried in reactive day-to-day. A Word on Who I Work With I want to be direct, because I only want to work with owners who actually get this. Not because I’m being exclusive for the sake of it. But because the work I do requires a partner who understands what we’re building together. If pre-need is about commission checks and you’re satisfied with that framing, I’m probably not the right guy for you. And that’s okay. But if you’re sitting there thinking, “I know there’s more here. I can feel it. My pre-need program has more potential than performance. The families I serve deserve better access to planning and I’m not giving it to them the way I should be.” If that’s you, we should talk. The owners I love working with see pre-need for what it is: a long-term investment in the business they’ve spent their lifetime building. They want a program that runs with consistency and produces real results. They’re willing to partner with someone who has built that infrastructure and can bring it to their market. That’s what CommandPreneedOps does. That’s what I do. The Five-Year Clock The owners who carve out the space to think strategically and act on it now are the ones who will look back in five years and be grateful they did. Five years is about how much time I think you have. Maybe less. The market isn’t going to wait. AI is not going to wait. The change that’s coming is not going to wait. And most of you are too good at what you do to let the reactive day-to-day steal that window from you. Stop. Look at your Point A. Get honest about your Point B. And start making decisions about where your time and energy actually go. Go build something. — Johnny Renaissance Subscribe to the Ash Flash at theashflash.com. Real talk, field observations, market intelligence you’re not going to find anywhere else. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

10 jun 202613 min
aflevering The Old Story About AI Is Already Dead artwork

The Old Story About AI Is Already Dead

I had a conversation recently with one of the leading website providers in death care. He told me they’re doing four months worth of platform development in two weeks. Directly because of AI. Let that sink in. Four months. Two weeks. That’s a signal. And if you’re a funeral home owner and you’re not picking up on it yet, this post is for you. Your website was never just a website. When I first got to Frasier Consultants, I called it what it actually was — online real estate. Not a brochure. Not a digital business card. Real estate. Something you own, something you build equity in, something that works for you when you’re not in the room. That framing was true then. It’s more true now. Because everything that platform touches — your marketing, your lead generation, your preneed program, your ability to connect with families before a death call ever comes in — all of it runs through that digital foundation. And the ground beneath it is shifting fast. The fear narrative is a distraction. The media has one gear when it comes to AI: fear. AI is taking jobs. AI is replacing people. AI is the end of everything. Some of that will prove true in some corners. I won’t pretend otherwise. But the fuller story…the one the reports are actually telling, is that AI is going to create more opportunity than it destroys. More jobs. More leverage. More ways to build something that actually scales and produced more growth. In your business. Inside your career. And in the economy itself. I mean that’s already happening. The funeral homes paying attention right now are going to have an enormous advantage over the ones who waited for permission to act. The danger isn’t the technology. It’s the wrong partner. Here’s where I want to slow down, because this is important. There are a lot of people selling AI solutions right now. Some of them know what they’re doing. Many of them don’t. The space is full of noise, and making the wrong call here doesn’t just cost you money, it costs you time, it costs you momentum, and it can genuinely set your operation backwards. You need someone who understands the death care profession. Who understands preneed. Who understands what it actually takes to drive growth inside a funeral home and build the kind of systems that produce consistent results. Not a generalist with a deck. A partner with context and a track record. What I’m seeing in the field. Some of the accounts I’ve taken on over the last year and a half, two years — their growth has been real. The work has been real. And a big part of that growth has come from building the right technology foundation underneath everything else. Lead generation systems. Marketing infrastructure. Appointment setting. Preneed program development. All of it connected. All of it working together. That’s what’s available to you right now. That’s what’s possible. But you have to start somewhere. The move. If you’re sitting on this and thinking about it, knowing you need to do something, just not sure what the next step looks like, that’s exactly the conversation I want to have with you. Send me a DM over on LinkedIn [https://linkedin.com/in/john-ashworth]. And I’ll keep dropping content here on the ash flash as it develops. More podcasts are coming on this subject soon. This one was just the opening shot. Don’t wait on this. -Johnny Renaissancetheashflash.com #PreNeed #FuneralHome #DeathCare #FuneralIndustry #CommandPreneedOps This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit theashflash.substack.com/subscribe [https://theashflash.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

5 mei 20265 min