TIP825: Meta, Adobe, Booking Holdings w/ Stig Brodersen, Tobias Carlisle & Hari Ramachandra

TIP830: SpaceX (SPCX): Is It Really Worth $2 Trillion Dollars? w/ Kyle Grieve & Shawn O'Malley

In today's episode, Kyle Grieve and Shawn O’Malley analyze SpaceX's blockbuster 2026 IPO, dissecting the company's three segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. They’ll also look at its history, moats, capital allocation, debt, and incentive structure. They’ll stress-test SpaceX's aggressive $28.5 trillion total addressable market claim and walk through the key risks facing the business, from key-man dependence to regulatory exposure.  IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:06:56) How Elon Musk's early rocket failures almost sank SpaceX (00:08:36) How Space, Connectivity, and AI segments actually work (00:10:56) Why reusable rockets are reshaping launch economics (00:12:04) Whether the AI segment is worrisome (00:29:57) What's really driving Connectivity's improving margins (00:31:16) How to think about SpaceX's R&D and capital spending (00:38:45) Why SpaceX's debt picture is more nuanced than it looks (00:44:19) How Musk's pay package ties to Mars and market cap benchmarks (00:48:08) What risks could derail the SpaceX growth story (00:55:57) Why its claimed market opportunity may be overstated (01:01:36) Whether SpaceX's valuation can be justified by the numbers (01:05:16) Intrinsic Value of SpaceX (01:07:05) Whether Kyle and Shawn will add SpaceX to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES * Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]. * Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YqzCACTnf4X3v8lx3HMEG2rMs71RLNI2B3b7V2e3pKQ/edit?usp=sharing]. * Learn more about how to join us in NYC for our ⁠⁠⁠⁠Intrinsic Value Conference⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://intrinsicvalueconference.com/]. * Read Elon Musk by Walter Isaacson ⁠here [https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Walter-Isaacson/dp/139852753X?_encoding=UTF8&dib_tag=se&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.ErJ4P2lX4pbBPppmmzbJ0gWarHxXzBDcJj15xNkArJElV9qiij8-9u9xA_-mki1khoG6ziCssUT4212CQbEkMrgyV_sddDh7CV052etJ9VCbgTgIKpuwpzGgoZ2aDxnS12yCcvSRGHMXCIKTyZdDNqkr8CV6B5JkVHvcjayz_yFnBzswobU4rtHxrkaEmcJ7oeDS76yOZx6mzP6qvQrwsEbZ0NAQG-h-ZaFiyUM40Nk.aiwTNuBXp-uPrzW-ir6B5NnF1Hwov87P9gPdbRtD2VM&qid=1783793910&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll2&tag=tipnetwork-20&linkId=e36b486532de12a5832828b4cbf06a4f&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl]⁠. * Read Elon Musk by Ashlee Vance ⁠here [https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/006230125X?crid=29S8F3XMZRAP7&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.tMNkRDIJhaFa0arSVfnftyOuYhKoO07G1arm8XVy087JyOyMCsyVeWUrG4fBhs4eTRmwGj2g0ZDAWIM11iLuQjdbT2bvyfz5PDSvKEEwZUxvRTeOQPf0faIhOJl7aqERj7NRbiNq22l9jci41j4iFFplhZ6ZJ0OhTQoElumEAeHlbcJ1nU89vA6u_Yo1iX2GXZU7foCb-nXm1lmmtuGLL-7Cgn-gVU60q4Shv4LNvSk.R0Tj8Eo74rdpLLSxcDfUzW-1hL-jF4_1TsByonyeCNw&dib_tag=se&keywords=Elon+Musk+by+Ashlee+Vance&qid=1783793962&sprefix=elon+musk+by+ashlee+vance%2Caps%2C337&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll2&tag=tipnetwork-20&linkId=ada14f97775263f27d820b2a625d814a&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl]. * Check out the SpaceX prospectus ⁠here⁠ [https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026036936/spaceexplorationtechnologi.htm]. * Follow Kyle on ⁠Twitter⁠ [https://twitter.com/IrrationalMrkts] and ⁠LinkedIn⁠ [https://www.linkedin.com/in/kylegrievetip/]. * Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://prodcast.io/collections/we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network] mentioned in the podcast. * Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://premium.theinvestorspodcast.com/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. 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TIP829: Kaspi Stock ($KSPI): The Cheapest E-Commerce Monopoly in the World w/ Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley

Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley take a deep dive into Kaspi.kz (NASDAQ: KSPI), the Kazakhstani super-app that combines payments, e-commerce, and fintech into a single platform that most of the country uses every day. They unpack why its dominance at home has been so hard for competitors to challenge, and how a company this profitable ends up trading at only around seven times earnings. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:01:49) How Kaspi became Kazakhstan's No.1 superapp (00:16:56) What business units Kaspi operates (00:35:38) What role the fintech business plays (00:37:54) How the marketplace differs from Mercado Libre and Shopee (00:45:11) What the competitive environment in Kazakhstan looks like (00:52:30) What the Turkey expansion means for the business (01:23:43) Valuation discussion of Kaspi (01:27:11) Whether Kaspi is valued attractively (01:30:34) Whether Shawn and Daniel add KSPI to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES * Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]. * Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YqzCACTnf4X3v8lx3HMEG2rMs71RLNI2B3b7V2e3pKQ/edit?usp=sharing]. * Learn more about how to join us in NYC for our ⁠Intrinsic Value Conference⁠ [https://intrinsicvalueconference.com]. * Portfolio Review Submit Tool [https://Portfolio%20Review%20Submit%20Tool%20Kaspi%20CEO%20Presentation%20Interview%20with%20the%20CEO,%20Mikhail%20Mikheil%20%20Chris%20Paryse%20Pitch%20on%20Kaspi%20Business%20Breakdowns%20Episode%20on%20Kaspi%20Response%20to%20Culper’s%20Short%20Report]. * Kaspi CEO Presentation [https://youtu.be/0EgUlGXeZow?si=DwoPhsQHqtpHaabR]. * Interview with the CEO, Mikhail Mikheil [https://youtu.be/bBp5ReOJjJk?si=Pc1Oy2e06FDp_OAg]. * Chris Paryse Pitch on Kaspi [https://stockpicking.substack.com/p/left-for-dead-e-commerce]. * Business Breakdowns Episode on Kaspi [https://youtu.be/wDtXE7lowH8?si=53YMvv5h4bvvPky2]. * Response to Culper’s Short Report [https://verygoodvalue.substack.com/p/deconstructing-culpers-short-report]. * Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns:⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/transdigm-tdg-a-conglomerate-of-monopolies-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/] Amazon⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/amazon-amzn-is-it-prime-time-for-investors-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], Sea Limited [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/sea-limited-se-can-sea-limited-10x-again-tivp/], Mercado Libre [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/mercado-libre-more-than-just-the-amazon-of-latin-america-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], Shopify [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/shopify-shop-the-battle-for-the-future-of-e-commerce-w-shawn-omalley-daniel-mahncke/]. * Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://prodcast.io/collections/we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network] mentioned in the podcast. * Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://premium.theinvestorspodcast.com/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. 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TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke

Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke explore Restoration Hardware (ticker: RH). In this episode, you'll learn how RH was able to reinvent itself as a high-end furniture retailer, using opulent galleries, high-end dining, private yachts, and a membership model based on Amazon Prime and Costco. RH is an incredibly bold and unique business, not afraid to use unconventional viral marketing efforts to drive customers into stores, as they aim to set styles for the ultra-rich. Shawn and Daniel dig into the business, risks for shareholders, and estimate RH’s intrinsic value, plus so much more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:03:32) How RH has built an American luxury brand, defining home-design tastes (00:07:18) Why yachts and private jets are actually core to RH’s strategy to sell furniture to the ultra-rich (00:15:14) About the eccentric and fascinating world of Gary Friedman and his tastes that define RH (00:25:43) Why RH pivoted to a membership-based model for discounting in 2016 (00:40:31) What RH is planning on doing in response to its debt maturity wall looming in 2028 (00:49:42) How RH is using sale-leasebacks and monetizing its real estate to improve capital efficiency (00:53:08) How to think about the intrinsic value of RH (00:57:35) Whether Shawn and Daniel add RH to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES * Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]. * Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YqzCACTnf4X3v8lx3HMEG2rMs71RLNI2B3b7V2e3pKQ/edit?usp=sharing]. * Learn more about how to join us in NYC for our Intrinsic Value Conference [https://intrinsicvalueconference.com]. * Check out RH’s investor relations page. [https://ir.rh.com/] * Listen to Business Breakdowns’ podcast [https://open.spotify.com/episode/4SqxgMpf00uuiWD1s5smOG] on RH. * Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: ⁠Transdigm⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/transdigm-tdg-a-conglomerate-of-monopolies-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], ⁠Salesforce⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/salesforce-crm-agentforce-or-ai-native-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], ⁠Berkshire Hathaway⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/berkshire-hathaway-brk-b-from-buffett-to-abel-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], ⁠FICO⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/fair-isaac-corporation-fico-scoring-the-worlds-biggest-credit-scorer-w-shawn-omalley-daniel-mahncke/], ⁠PayPal⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/paypal-pypl-value-trap-or-multibagger-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], ⁠Uber⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/uber-cash-burner-to-compounder-w-shawn-omalley-and-daniel-mahnke/], ⁠Nike⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/nike-nke-just-buy-it-w-daniel-mahncke-and-shawn-omalley/], ⁠Amazon⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/amazon-amzn-is-it-prime-time-for-investors-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], ⁠Airbnb⁠ [https://intrinsicvalue.beehiiv.com/p/abnb], ⁠Alphabet⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value/alphabet-googl/]. * Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://prodcast.io/collections/we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network] mentioned in the podcast. * Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://premium.theinvestorspodcast.com/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. 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TIP827: Auto1 Stock (AG1): Is This the Amazon for Cars? w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O’Malley

Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley take a deep dive into Auto1 Group (ETR: AG1), the Berlin-based used-car platform. They examine whether Auto1's instant-guaranteed-pricing model is a genuine consumer moat or a balance-sheet liability in disguise, what the economics actually look like in 2026 once you separate the merchant flywheel from the retail build-out, and the more uncomfortable side of the bull case. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:03:23) Why the traditional used-car market doesn’t work well (00:10:24) About the size of the used-car market (00:13:11) How Auto1’s business model works (00:16:38) Who Auto1’s founders are (00:26:15) How Auto1 buys and sells cars (00:37:27) How the unit economics work (01:03:12) Valuation discussion of AG1 (01:06:58) Whether Auto1 is valued attractively (01:08:58) Whether Shawn and Daniel add AG1 to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES * Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/]. * Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YqzCACTnf4X3v8lx3HMEG2rMs71RLNI2B3b7V2e3pKQ/edit?usp=sharing]. * Learn more about how to join us in NYC for our ⁠Intrinsic Value Conference⁠ [https://intrinsicvalueconference.com]. * Portfolio Review Submit Tool [https://tivc-portfolio-review.vercel.app/submit]. * Value Investors Club Pitch on Auto1 [https://www.valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/Auto1_Group_SE/1027651503]. * Business Breakdowns Episode on Auto1 [https://colossus.com/episode/auto1-eused-car-marketplace/]. * Auto1 Investor Relations [https://ir.auto1-group.com/]. * Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Copart [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/copart-cprt-the-100-bagger-junk-yard-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/], Ferrari [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/ferrari-race-high-speed-compounder-w-shawn-omalley-daniel-mahncke/], ⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/transdigm-tdg-a-conglomerate-of-monopolies-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/]Uber⁠ [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/uber-cash-burner-to-compounder-w-shawn-omalley-and-daniel-mahnke/], ⁠Grab [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/grab-holdings-grab-why-uber-surrendered-southeast-asia-tivp/], Lyft [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/lyft-inc-lyft-the-key-to-winning-the-av-wars-w-shawn-omalley-daniel-mahncke/], Exor NV [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/exor-nv-exo-too-good-to-be-true-w-shawn-omalley-daniel-mahncke/], Mercedes-Benz [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/mercedes-benz-mbg-can-benz-reinvent-the-car-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-omalley/]. * Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://prodcast.io/collections/we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network] mentioned in the podcast. * Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://premium.theinvestorspodcast.com/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. 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RWH069: The Psychology of Investing w/ Emily Haisley

In today’s episode, William Green speaks with Emily Haisley, who heads the Behavioral Finance team at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, with $14 trillion under management. Here, she explores the critical intersection of investing & psychology, explaining how she helps elite fund managers identify & counteract their behavioral biases, regulate their emotions, optimize their physiological state, avoid systematic mistakes, & take risks that align with their edge. This conversation offers powerful insights on how to win the inner game of investing. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:00:40) How Emily Haisley became head of Behavioral Finance at BlackRock (00:23:52) How her team helps fund managers recognize their behavioral biases (00:28:51) How to counteract a notoriously destructive bias, myopic loss aversion (00:39:56) Why disposition bias leads investors to hold losers & sell winners (00:44:31) Why it’s helpful to experience investment pain, not just learn about it (00:53:46) How investment teams can profit by “beating up” their decision makers (00:56:00) How the best investors benefit by subjugating their own ego (01:00:14) What practical steps Emily recommended to one elite investment team (01:17:48) Why she views “tainted altruism” as “the saddest bias” (01:25:27) What investors can do to manage stress & its impact on their decisions (01:29:35) How BlackRock uses AI to simulate decision making amid extreme volatility (01:35:32) Why she’s learned to embrace uncertainty, false starts, mistakes, & change (01:52:33) How 3 new year’s resolutions nudged Emily toward a happier life Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES * Inquire about William Green’s ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Richer, Wiser, Happier Masterclass⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://williamgreenwrites.com/masterclass/]. * Benjamin Graham’s book The Intelligent Investor [https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-3rd-Ed/dp/0063356724?_encoding=UTF8&dib_tag=se&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.KlxwzEYN6nItyVP_hxVDHL8eAZ0t52Haq8bXV9AGyrc0XMrFshrGrvYW2ZZDAWjk_09Da_B2AlHeu0JgU3RuO885w0WmxeBgOtj_kR5461BSVFcOq4wT5EXrlJYOqRxTDpQn6D3-TRfNKpCRpJtOv5wKPFo1oofZghZ3Pf01w-YNbpqGWB2J9BKqGTvfrfUI8dIJpfP3GfFIvRBk2Kk6scLMoXn-0QuzZgVxo9gU76I.h2yBQ8vDn9WuachG_4_jCsZmp6ferPj5T4DW9eD_JQA&qid=1782420342&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll2&tag=tipnetwork-20&linkId=23afc9422f54636d0985dd01ca217de4&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl]. * J. Krishnamurthi’s book On Right Livelihood [https://www.amazon.com/Right-Livelihood-J-Krishnamurti/dp/0062506099?_encoding=UTF8&dib_tag=se&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.P08m6fBZXMV_lqiMN3B8GM8KMdak_q4xdWL2HNRzz1RYGQ_yFNXlOU6Md0Vdu77IXAUn2joMoa9-6d23Bt7flHEOE87IVXNP687NOKXgY_kabkU9ek0LZ5YCcPQG02dyoSuxYiNB3Q-yI8j0Od9cd7mCS80SJyf2zVJULfkxdHwSPoimdvUagPZ2dml8u7_D4fFME9egy1oBBwMfCtslIK5rDorJF7Vzch_w5F6usXw.Qvm9x4lfBkJYEgNsV6-IgPdbjCxlm06I5yMDNZn5gjs&qid=1782420296&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll2&tag=tipnetwork-20&linkId=1efea7cd051c5e590f18e8a475fe0d59&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl]. * William Green’s podcast interview with Annie Duke [https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/richer-wiser-happier/betting-better-in-markets-life-w-annie-duke/]. * William’s book, ⁠Richer, Wiser, Happier⁠ [https://www.amazon.com/Richer-Wiser-Happier-Greatest-Investors/dp/1501164856?&linkCode=ll2&tag=tipnetwork-20&linkId=2309d2def265d01582d8a3d5acd3bb01&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl]. * Follow William Green on ⁠⁠X⁠⁠ [https://twitter.com/williamgreen72]. * Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://prodcast.io/collections/we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network] mentioned in the podcast. * Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ [https://premium.theinvestorspodcast.com/]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. 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