Getting it Right - Rick Wagner

The Terrain of Conflict: Iran and the Maritime Choke Points

42 min · 31. mar. 2026
episode The Terrain of Conflict: Iran and the Maritime Choke Points cover

Description

This episode examines the strategic realities of conflict with Iran, emphasizing the limits of air power against a large, mountainous country with dispersed and well-hidden military assets. It explores the vulnerability of the Strait of Hormuz, where even small mobile forces can threaten global trade, and considers the fragile calculations of Gulf allies caught between fear of Iran and fear of regional economic collapse. At its core, the discussion raises a larger question: what, exactly, would success look like, and is there any clear exit strategy

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episode The Long War Mindset: From Crusades to Modern Conflict artwork

The Long War Mindset: From Crusades to Modern Conflict

This episode examines the deeper structure behind modern Middle Eastern conflict, moving beyond headlines to focus on the forces that actually drive behavior. It explores how theological frameworks—particularly within Iran’s Twelver Shi’a tradition—inform long-term strategy, risk tolerance, and concepts of victory. Drawing on the history of the Crusades, the discussion highlights enduring patterns of warfare, including asymmetry, ideological motivation, and the gap between Western and Middle Eastern strategic thinking. It also challenges the “lone wolf” narrative, arguing that many modern attacks reflect a broader logic rather than isolated acts. The result is a grounded look at continuity—how ancient belief systems still shape present-day conflict, and why modern institutions so often misread what they’re facing.

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