Ice Box Insiders | Houston Astros Podcast

Astros Pitching Looks Ugly. The Stats Say Do Not Panic Yet | Ep. 5

46 min · 9. apr. 2026
episode Astros Pitching Looks Ugly. The Stats Say Do Not Panic Yet | Ep. 5 cover

Description

The Astros are 6-7 with a 6.06 ERA and the takes are getting hot. But before you panic, Michael and Jackson bring the data. From expected ERA to BABIP to poorly hit balls that keep finding grass, the numbers tell a very different story than the box score. Hunter Brown is on the IL, the Mariners series is next, and Yordan Alvarez is carrying this offense on his back. The case for patience is stronger than you think. 00:00 Welcome Back and This Day in Astros History 01:02 Would You Rather 02:54 Hot Takes Including a Bold Jackson Prediction 05:28 Should Astros Fans Panic? We Make the Case 08:00 The Pitching Stats Are Ugly. Here Is What They Actually Mean 11:00 Expected ERA, BABIP, and 35 Poorly Hit Balls That Became Hits 15:00 Defense Is Hurting the Pitching More Than You Think 18:00 The One Thing the Astros Fixed from Last Year 20:00 Yordan Alvarez Is the Best Hitter in Baseball 22:53 Cam Smith Is Everywhere and Needs to Be Extended Now 31:00 Lance McCullers Deep Dive: Is He a Game One Postseason Starter? 36:37 Is This a World Series Team? 39:00 Hunter Brown IL Update and Rotation Depth Options 40:55 Mariners Series Preview and Final Hot Takes This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit michaelschwab.substack.com [https://michaelschwab.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

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12 episodes

episode Yordan Alvarez, Yordan Alvarez, and a Little More Yordan Alvarez artwork

Yordan Alvarez, Yordan Alvarez, and a Little More Yordan Alvarez

Jackson flies solo for Episode 7 with one thing on his mind: Yordan Alvarez. Leading the American League in batting average (.347), hits, RBIs, home runs (11), OPS (1.245), and total bases, Yordan is on pace for a Triple Crown and running away with the AL MVP conversation -- and Jackson makes the case for why anyone suggesting a trade can take that take somewhere else. Beyond Yordan, Jackson recaps a brutal stretch of baseball -- getting swept by the Cardinals, a split in Cleveland, 17 players on the injured list -- before finding some real reasons for optimism: Spencer Arrighetti’s emergence, Peter Lambert’s filthy fastball, and Kai Wei Tang’s 1.65 ERA out of the bullpen. The Yankees series starts this weekend, and the Astros need to start stacking wins now. Michael Schwab will be back next week. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit michaelschwab.substack.com [https://michaelschwab.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

23. apr. 202631 min