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Where Rory and Scottie's Games Actually Stand Heading Into the US Open at Shinnecock For most of this year the storyline has been simple. Scotty versus Rory. Rory versus Scotty. The two best players in the world, trading the top of leaderboards, building toward another major showdown. But the numbers tell a more complicated story. And as both players prepare for Shinnecock — one of the most demanding tests in golf — Trey and Justin Ray break down exactly where each game actually stands right now. The Baseline Start here. Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are one and two on the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. The bar for both of them is so high that the questions about their games right now are minimal by any normal standard. But minimal does not mean nonexistent — and heading into a US Open at a course as brutal as Shinnecock, even small things matter. Rory — The One Crack Rory has finished outside the top 20 on the PGA Tour exactly once all season. That alone tells you how dominant this year has been. But there is one number worth watching. Last season Rory was a top 10 putter in Strokes Gained on the PGA Tour. This season he is merely above average — somewhere in the mid-60s in the strokes gained putting rankings. That gap matters because of history. During Rory's major drought, the putts that used to drop simply stopped dropping — at the US Open at LACC, at Pinehurst, the four, five, six footers he used to make routinely started missing. Right before he won the Masters last year, his putting became a genuine superpower again. This season it has not been that. Not bad. Just not the superpower it was. Scottie — Top 20 in Everything, One Win Here is the number that should reframe how people think about Scottie Scheffler's season. He is currently top 20 on the PGA Tour in every single Strokes Gained category — including putting, the one area that used to be his actual weakness. For three straight seasons he has led the tour in Strokes Gained Approach, and this year he is still 17th — which, when you think about it, means there are only sixteen players on the entire PGA Tour who hit their irons better than Scottie Scheffler right now. That is remarkable on its own. He leads the tour in scoring average, birdie average, and Strokes Gained Total. He has six straight top-15 finishes. By every meaningful statistical measure, Scottie Scheffler is playing some of the best golf on the PGA Tour this season. And he has one win. That gap — between being statistically the best player on tour and having a single victory to show for it — is the central tension of his season. Is he having a worse year than last year? The numbers suggest the opposite might actually be true. The Ted Scott Moment One small storyline worth addressing. Earlier in the season there was a moment that got attention — Scottie appeared visibly frustrated during a discussion about wind conditions, with comments directed in his caddie Ted Scott's general direction. It was not a great look in the moment, but in context it is the kind of thing that happens over a long season between two people who spend more time together than almost anyone in professional sports — and now have every shot captured on PGA Tour Live and broadcast cameras. Not every player-caddie relationship could survive that level of scrutiny. This one will be fine. What It All Means for Shinnecock Shinnecock does not forgive small weaknesses. It is one of the purest tests in golf — firm, fast, long rough, demanding every part of a player's game. For Rory, the putting question becomes magnified on greens that punish anything less than precise speed and read. For Scottie, the question is whether a season of statistical dominance finally converts into the kind of week that produces a trophy — specifically, the one major that would complete his career grand slam, just as Rory completed his a year ago. Both players are building toward this. The numbers say both of them are playing magnificent golf. Shinnecock will be the place where the small gaps — Rory's putting, Scottie's conversion rate — either close completely or become the story of the championship. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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