23 nights until '24: Is Arizona cooked?

23 nights until '24: Is Arizona cooked?

With just over three weeks from Election Day 2024, Too Close To Call will be entering the sprint with a busier posting schedule, offering razor-sharp analysis and prescient reporting on the key questions and data that will determine the HarrisVTrump contest. And as always, probing the conventional wisdom. Tonight’s video post — which raises the question of whether Arizona and it’s 11 electoral votes are falling out of reach for Kamala Harris — is free to all subscribers. But future hits will be paywalled for the paid family. Too Close To Call is reader-supported. Consider an upgrade. “But if the New York Times, the best pollster in the business, has Kamala Harris down by five points... My question is, will you see Democrats draw back in Arizona at all? In 2020, Joe Biden won that state by three tenths of a point …He only won it by 10,457 votes…Arizona is, I think, the toughest battleground state for Kamala Harris to hold. And we we will be watching if Kamala Harris decides to cut loose there or if there's any other movement. More #TCTC > This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit davidcatanese.substack.com/subscribe [https://davidcatanese.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]

The Rant: It's bad out there

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit davidcatanese.substack.com [https://davidcatanese.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_7] The opening month of the year was awful for the journalism industry. The 2024 presidential campaign [https://davidcatanese.substack.com/p/15-observations-on-the-24-republican] — media’s quadrennial premiere event — also kicked off with a whimper. Dave talks about how the twin slumps are intrinsically linked and what declining public interest in both means for the political mediasphere going forward. Also, has anyone else felt sc…

The Rant: If Trump isn't the nominee, how can the GOP win?

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit davidcatanese.substack.com [https://davidcatanese.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_7] I began formulating this #Rant with the premise that Nikki Haley would very likely beat Joe Biden in a 2024 general election match-up. But then I thought through all four quarters of what 2024 will look like if Haley — or any Republican — was able to upend Trump in the primary. Fair and square. And that scenario smells like a boatload of chaos — and an …

The Rant: Jousting with flacks

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit davidcatanese.substack.com [https://davidcatanese.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_7] Just because an interview is conducted, there’s no obligation to ever run it. Just because off-the-record groundrules are requested, there’s no requirement to agree to them. In this latest #Rant, Dave talks about recent tussles with political flacks from Capitol Hill to the campaign trail — and offers predictions on Tuesday’s gubernatorial elections. It’…

Listen: DeSantis disses Haley, Pence in outlining path to overtaking Trump

Ron DeSantis dismissed Republican rivals Nikki Haley and Mike Pence on Monday as candidates who won’t be able to win the persuadable pool of GOP presidential primary voters necessary to defeat Donald Trump, according to audio obtained by McClatchyDC and published, in part, above on #TooCloseToCall. Speaking to about 30 members of the Virgin Islands GOP committee virtually, DeSantis said his campaign estimates that 20% of the 2024 Republican electorate will definitely vote for the former president, with 35% having ruled Trump out completely. That leaves about 45% of Republican voters who are still considering their options. “They’re not going to vote for people like Pence and Haley. I respect them, they’re just not,” DeSantis told the Virgin Islands group, referring to voters in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire. “They will vote for me, because I have a record of being a very strong leader.” Continue reading the full piece on The Miami-Herald [https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article280628040.html]. More #TCTC > This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit davidcatanese.substack.com/subscribe [https://davidcatanese.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]