Depression Isn’t a Fibre Deficiency
First off, I adore Dr haver, this is not an attack. This is me having a bit of an issue with how this “study” was framed and the bad taste it leaves when you look at the fact that she sells… fibre supplements. Not that there is anything wrong with selling supplements, even ones you’ve white labelled to for your own brand.
I spent years in R&D, in fact I’ve helped develop some of the brands in Dr’s offices and on store shelves. I know how it works, white labelling and the push to have your own line. I opted out for a number of reasons, one is that you don’t need to reinvent the already perfect wheel in many cases. Another is that it can be seen as (especially in cases like this) a conflict of interest.
I don’t have to push fibre, I don’t sell it as a supplement.
You could be saying that I promote HRT and that’s the same thing, except I don’t make money off of how much or how little is prescribed. I’m paid for my service either way.
Back to the main reason for this article, the video circulating about fibre and depression, based off of an association based “study”.
This isn’t an interventional study.
It’s observational, specifically a cross sectional analysis of NHANES data. That means it can show associations, not causation.
These are the types of studies that we get slammed for when we try to use them to support a claim. These studies don’t hold weight, they’re a great eye opener to do a REAL trial/study, to look deeper and discover if there is something to it all.
This study in particular took existing NHANES survey data, looked at self reported fibre intake from dietary recalls, and compared it to depression scores using the PHQ 9 at a single point in time.
No intervention, no randomization, no temporality.
Now for the flaws (and sadly there are several).
First, reverse causation
This is the biggest problem I see with this study.
People with depression often eat differently. Lower appetite, less meal planning, more ultra processed food, less total intake. So is low fibre causing depression, or is depression causing low fibre intake? This study doesn’t answer that. The authors acknowledge it (which is great!), then they proceeded anyway (not so great).
Second, dietary recall bias
NHANES uses 24 hour dietary recalls, which are notoriously unreliable.
People misreport, underreport, forget, or guess. Fibre intake is especially vulnerable to this since it depends on food type, preparation, and portion estimation (it’s usually guesswork not true calculations).
One or two recalls don’t properly or accurately represent habitual intake.
Third, fibre is a proxy, not a mechanism.
What I mean is that high fibre intake correlates with a whole bunch of behaviours.
Higher socioeconomic status, better access to food, more home cooking, higher protein quality, more micronutrients, more daylight exposure, more physical activity, less metabolic disease.
Fibre isn’t acting alone ladies, but this analysis sure does treat it as if it is.
Fourth, residual confounding
They do adjust for some variables, but NHANES can’t fully control for things like trauma history, chronic illness burden, sleep quality, hormone status, perimenopause, antidepressant use duration, or inflammatory disease.
These are all tightly linked to both mood and diet.
Fifth, depression measurement limitations
PHQ 9 is a screening tool, not a diagnostic tool. It captures symptoms over the previous two weeks.
That’s a very small snapshot in time, not a clinical diagnosis, and it’s highly sensitive to acute stress, illness, and life events. You’re correlating a short term mood score with a presumed long term dietary pattern.
That’s weak data at best.
Sixth, no dose response clarity
They show an association when intake is divided into four equal groups from lowest to highest, but this doesn’t establish a biologically meaningful threshold. There’s no evidence here that increasing fibre intake in someone with depression improves symptoms. That’s a leap that’s commonly made online and isn’t supported by this data.
Seventh, sex and hormone blindness
This is a big one for me, for obvious reasons (and because Dr Haver is in this space, it should have been for her as well).
NHANES includes women across all ages, but the analysis doesn’t account for perimenopause or menopause status. Estradiol status is a massive contributing factor for mood, gut function, and dietary tolerance.
Ignoring this makes the conclusions especially shaky for midlife women.
I’m not saying this isn’t a real paper, it is. It’s published in a real journal, using real data. But it’s hypothesis generating only. It doesn’t prove that fibre reduces depression, treats depression, or should be prescribed as a mental health intervention.
Observational nutrition data like this is cheap, it’s everywhere in abundance, and it’s ridiculously easy to mine. NHANES is a massive, and publicly available dataset. Anyone who has statistical software can slice it and dice it a hundred different ways until something lights up. Fibre is especially attractive since it correlates to so many as a marker of health. Plus association sounds just scientific enough for the public to eat it up (pun intended).
The correct conclusion shouldn’t be that people with higher fibre intake report fewer depressive symptoms when we can’t determine direction, causality, or mechanism. I know plenty who have gone carnivore or animal based (cutting out all fibre) and completely reversed depression. But I wouldn’t go around stating carnivore is a cure for depression.
Sadly most people don’t understand the difference between association and causation. We read “Associated with lower depression” and we hear “fibre improves mental health”. Saying something “may be an important modifiable factor” doesn’t mean the data proved it is one.
These kinds of studies keep getting weaponized online to sell fibre supplements, and many other fancy things, despite (as my mentor used to always say) being grade D evidence at best.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit hollywarnerhealth.substack.com/subscribe [https://hollywarnerhealth.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_2]