Borrowing Capacity After the 2026 Budget: Michael Killiner on Negative Gearing, CGT and Debt Recycling

Borrowing Capacity After the 2026 Budget: Michael Killiner on Negative Gearing, CGT and Debt Recycling

Lending has tightened sharply since the 2026 Budget, and the investors who understand the new rules will be positioned to buy while others sit out. Michael Killiner, Director of Tusk Finance, joins Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty to break down what the negative gearing and capital gains tax changes actually mean for borrowing capacity, serviceability and cash flow. This is the most significant lending shakeup Australian property investors have faced since the interest-only caps of 2017, and most of it is happening quietly inside bank policy rather than in the headlines. Michael covers how lenders are now assessing rental income, why first home buyer lodgments have fallen since the Budget and how the guarantee scheme backfired, the real cash flow position on a $700,000 investment property, and the everyday commitments quietly destroying loan applications. He also explains why negative gearing is not gone so much as delayed, how debt recycling still works in 2026, and how to structure offset accounts and lending across major and non-bank lenders for the current environment. Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=contact_us&utm_campaign=episode+85📊 Join the PropStac Waitlist: https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=propstac&utm_campaign=episode+85 In this episode: * Post-Budget lending landscape and what changed for investors * First home buyer lodgments and the guarantee scheme * RBA interest rate outlook for 2026 * Serviceability and borrowing capacity after the Budget * Non-bank lenders, assessment rates and rental income rules * Trust structures, company lending and the lending fraud crackdown * The real cash flow position on a $700,000 property * Whether to pay down the mortgage in this environment * Car leases and the borrowing capacity damage they cause * Debt recycling in 2026 and how to structure it * Why negative gearing is delayed rather than gone Timestamps: 00:00 Budget fallout: CGT and negative gearing changes explained 04:19 20% drop in first home buyer lodgements 06:48 Interest rate predictions for 2026 08:47 Serviceability post-budget 09:30 Borrowing capacity slashed 11:03 Non-bank lenders, assessment rates, and rental income rules 19:28 Should you pay off your mortgage in this environment? 26:17 Car leases: the worst thing for your borrowing capacity 28:08 Debt recycling in 2026 30:48 Bank policy shakeup coming 33:07 The one piece of advice every investor needs right now Michael Kiliner: Podcast:  @ThatBackyardPropertyPodcast  [https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCyyVHxg9YISri83LAkTPRjw] Business: https://tuskfinance.com.au/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mortgageswmichael/?hl=en About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. 📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ 📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au 📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions #AustralianProperty #PropertyInvesting #NegativeGearing #FirstHomeBuyer #RBA #InterestRates #MortgageBroker #DebtRecycling #AustralianRealEstate #BorrowingCapacity #CGT #FollioPropertyPodcast

We Analysed 50 Properties So You Don't Have To | The Results Will Shock You

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=.&utm_id=Episode+84📊 Join the PropStac Waitlist: https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=propstac&utm_id=Episode+84Established houses grew 14.3% in Brisbane while off-the-plan apartments in Melbourne went BACKWARDS at -1.3%. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, we run a "Compare The Pair" analysis across 50 randomly selected properties in Brisbane, Perth, and Melbourne, stacking established houses, boutique units, house and land packages, and high-rise apartments against each other over the last 7–10 years. The data is brutal. If you own the wrong asset type in the wrong city, you are not just underperforming, you are going backwards while inflation eats your equity. We break down exactly which property types delivered the highest capital growth returns, why boutique units in Perth exploded at 23.3% compounding, and how Melbourne Docklands apartments have set investors back decades with losses ranging from $13,000 to $125,000. This is not theory, these are real asset performances tracked by a buyers agency managing hundreds of client portfolios. Whether you are building a property portfolio, a first home buyer trying to get in, or an experienced investor reviewing your strategy, the gap between the best and worst asset types in the Australian property market has never been wider. What we've covered in this:✅ Established Houses vs House and Land - Melbourne houses compounded at 7% while house and land packages limped at 1.6%. Brisbane saw the tightest spread (14.3% vs 12.9%) driven by post-Covid replacement cost inflation, but that anomaly is not expected to continue.✅ The Boutique Unit Outperformance - Perth units delivered 23.3% capital growth vs 12% for houses. Brisbane units hit 15.3%. These are smaller complexes (15 or less, 2–3 levels, with parking) in blue-chip land-locked suburbs; scarcity drives the outperformance.✅ The Melbourne Apartment Disaster - Off-the-plan high-rise apartments returned -1.3% compounding. With inflation at 3%, investors in Docklands and Southbank lost real wealth. Specific losses ranged up to $125,000 on resale.Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction & Why This Data Matters 04:42 Established Houses06:12 House & Land Packages08:38 High-Rise Apartments11:33 Boutique Units12:53 Docklands Losses Up to $125,000 13:51 Why Scarcity Dictates Capital Growth 15:08 Is Melbourne Turning a Corner or Still Trapped? 17:41 Blue-Chip Land-Locked Suburbs vs CBD Towers 18:26 $30K to $500K Profit Examples About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#Propertyinvestment #australianproperty #realestateinvesting #melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty #capitalgrowth #Houseandland #Propertyportfolio #Offtheplan #investmentproperty #australianrealestate #Boutiqueunits #Propertymarket #wealthbuilding

Perth & Brisbane's Housing Shortage Just Got Worse | Here's Where to Invest Next

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+83📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+83The Australian property market is splitting in two, while Sydney slides, Melbourne show signs of growth, Perth and Brisbane are holding firm. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, we break down the latest weekly data, auction clearance rates, and the real supply-demand numbers driving this two-speed Australian housing market in 2026.Is the Australian housing market heading for a crash or a correction? This week's data reveals a stark divide, Melbourne is sitting on a 54,000 dwelling surplus while Perth faces a 32,800 shortfall. Sydney's auction clearance rates have plummeted to 53% from 75% a year ago, and first home buyers have withdrawn by nearly 30% despite government incentives. We unpack our Chief Economist's supply-demand analysis, the RBA's outlook on private credit defaults, and what Follio's proprietary sentiment index is telling us about where property prices Australia-wide are headed next. For anyone tracking the Perth property market, Brisbane property market, or looking at property investment Australia strategies, these weekly numbers are essential viewing.✅ Melbourne dwelling surplus hits 54,000, what it means for prices ✅ Perth's 32,800 dwelling shortfall and why it's showing sheer resilience ✅ Sydney auction clearance rates drop to 53%, the 55% danger zone explained ✅ First home buyers withdraw 30%, why government incentives are failing ✅ Investor lending collapses from 41% to 22% of market activity ✅ Perth R-code changes unlock subdivision potential on 10,000+ properties ✅ Follio sentiment index, why Melbourne confidence is highest despite price fallsTimestamps: 0:00 Introduction: Sydney & Melbourne Property Price Forecast July 20261:30 Two-Speed Economy Update: Why Australian Markets Are Moving At Different Speeds3:30 Weekly Market Pulse: Green Shoots In Home Open Activity Across Australia5:10 Why First Home Buyers & Owner Occupiers Are Leaving The Market7:30 The Supply Story Nobody Is Talking About: Australian Housing Market Data8:30 Dwelling Surplus Explained: Melbourne 54,000 vs Brisbane & Perth Undersupply14:00 Melbourne Property Market Deep Dive: Why Supply Can't Be Fixed Quickly16:00 Adelaide & Sydney: Hitting The Affordability Ceiling21:00 Investor Sentiment Index: Why Experienced Investors Are Getting More Confident26:00 Perth Property Market Update: Median Over $1M, R-Code Changes & What's Next29:00 Brisbane & Adelaide Outlook: Stabilisation or Further Decline?About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyPricesAustralia #PerthPropertyMarket #BrisbanePropertyMarket #AustralianHousingMarket #MelbourneProperty #SydneyProperty #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #FirstHomeBuyer #RealEstateAustralia #HousingMarket2026 #AustralianRealEstate

Should You Buy Now Or Wait? | Ultimate Property Investment Strategy in Australia, 2026

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+82📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+82The Australian property market is splitting in two, and most investors are too scared to move. While Sydney and Melbourne show macro decline, smart money is buying at 60% under replacement cost in the micro markets that are quietly running. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall walk through four real client case studies, a Sydney unit owner, a Melbourne rentvestor, a leveraged investor, and a near retiree, with four completely different answers to the same question: is now the time to buy?What makes this episode critical is the post-budget lens. Negative gearing changes, the SMSF debate, and Australia's unique interest rate cycle have made property investment more complex than it has been in years. Lachlan breaks down why the one-size-fits-all advice flooding the market right now is dangerous, which three asset types are getting a suspicious amount of noise (and which one he is actually buying), and why interest rates carry more weight for your portfolio than any policy change coming out of Canberra. If you are sitting on equity, considering rentvesting, or wondering whether to consolidate or expand, this episode gives you the exact framework to make the call before the window closes.In this podcast, we covered:✅ Why current buying conditions are the best in 4-5 years for the right investor ✅ Case Study 1: Sydney unit owner with equity; upgrade, diversify, or hold? ✅ Case Study 2: Melbourne renter; rentvesting vs entering the owner-occupier market ✅ Case Study 3: Investor with two negatively geared properties, consolidate or buy a third? ✅ Case Study 4: Near retiree with a paid-off investment property; de-risking for cash flow ✅ Why commercial property, house and land packages, and off-the-plan are getting pushed hard ✅ The RBA rate cycle and why Australia is on a different path to the rest of the worldTimestamps: 00:00 Buying Conditions Are the Best in Years 02:17 The Post-Budget Property Landscape 04:22 Three Asset Types Getting Noise (and One Worth Buying) 06:45 Why Smart Money Is Buying Now 12:07 RBA Rate Cycle and Australia's Unique Position 16:18 Negative Gearing: Should It Stop You? 18:27 Case Study 1: Sydney Unit Owner 20:16 Case Study 2: Melbourne Rentvestor 22:49 Case Study 3: Leveraged Investor With Two Properties 25:02 Case Study 4: Near Retiree Portfolio StrategyKey ThemesAustralian property market 2026 | Buying property under replacement cost Australia | Sydney property market investment strategy | Melbourne rentvesting property case study | Commercial property Australia investment | Negative gearing changes Australia 2026 | Property portfolio consolidation strategy About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

How a 25-Year-Old Built a $10M Property Portfolio on a Casual Wage | Emma Roberts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+81 📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+81 At 25, Emma Roberts owns a $10 million property portfolio in Australia, three cafes, and a mortgage broking business, all starting from a casual wage as a broke university student. If you think the Australian property market has locked out your generation, this episode will challenge everything you believe about getting started.At just 20 years old, with no financial safety net and a casual income that banks repeatedly dismissed, she made her first property purchase and has not stopped since. Now sitting at nine properties and a tenth settling, her portfolio approach to property investment in Australia is built on a cash flow focus, dual occupancy conversions, rooming house models, and relentless equity reuse, strategies that most first home buyers and investors are never told about.In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Emma walks through every major decision in her property portfolio journey in Australia. She also reveals the lending battle that nearly derailed her portfolio and how discovering alt-doc financing through a specialist mortgage broker became the turning point in her entire real estate investing journey.Whether you are a first-home buyer trying to get a foothold in the Australian property market, an investor looking to scale a cash-flow-positive portfolio, or simply someone trying to understand how to invest in property in Australia on a realistic income, Emma's story is one of the most instructive case studies you will find anywhere in Australian property investment.*This episode was filmed prior to the Federal Budget announcement.*TIMESTAMPS:00:00 Introduction03:42 First Property at 20: Broke, Casual Wage, Banks Said No04:46 Second Property: Dual Tenancy and Levelling Up in Adelaide Hills06:39 Emma's Investment Strategy: Why She Buys Like an Owner-Occupier10:18 Rentvesting Explained: Did Emma Use It?14:27 The Lending Problem: Why Banks Rejected Her Airbnb Income14:59 The Mortgage Broker Advantage: Why Specialist Brokers Change Everything20:00 Self-Managing, Cash Buffers, and Keeping the Portfolio Running22:36 The Core Strategy: Renovate, Build Equity, Repeat23:28 The Rooming House Model: Maximum Yield, Affordable Living26:15 How This Strategy Hedges Against CGT and Negative Gearing Reform28:11 Advice for Gen Z and Millennials Who Feel Locked OutFollow Emma Roberts: Business: https://borrowwell.com.au/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heyemmaroberts/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RegionalPropertyInvestment #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #NegativeGearingAustralia #QueenslandPropertyMarket #FollioPropertyPodcast #brisbaneproperty #goldcoastproperty #propertyinvestment #propertyinvestor #propertymarketupdate Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions