Macro Mondays
As the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran falters, bringing oil flows back under pressure, Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the geopolitical fallout, from jet fuel shortages to shifting supply dynamics. ๐ฅ Get ๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ฆ to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUeย Timestamps: 00:00 - Welcome to Macro Mondays with Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosendvold 01:06 - Is the War Back On? Jet Fuel Shortages and Whatโs Holding Markets Up 01:55 - Psychedelics Stocks Surge After Trump Executive Order 03:05 - This Week on Real Vision: Geopolitics AMA, Charting Macro, and Jim Bianco 04:24 - Iran Reverses Course and Closes the Strait of Hormuz Again 05:33 - Ship Attacks, Tanker Seizures, and Why the Weekend Escalation Matters 06:06 - Trump, Iran Talks, and the Latest Strait of Hormuz Flow Data 07:14 - Why the US and Western Economies Need Less Oil Than Before 09:20 - Jet Fuel Shortages in Europe: How Serious Is the Risk? 11:24 - Europeโs Flight Crunch and Why Airfares Are Exploding 13:19 - Southern Europeโs Tourism Hit and the Macro Impact of Fewer Flights 14:49 - What Europeโs 2022 Energy Shock Tells Us About Todayโs Crisis 16:33 - Why This Energy Disruption Still Looks Manageable 17:36 - Can the Stock Market Rally Continue From Here? 18:04 - Why This Is Still a Hated Rally With Investors Underweight Risk 19:50 - Dollar Liquidity, Fed Reserve Management, and Whatโs Fueling Markets 22:19 - SLR Reform, Bank Leverage, and the Quiet Driver of the Rally 24:28 - ISM, Regional Fed Surveys, and Why US Growth Still Looks Strong 25:06 - Fed, ECB, and BOE: Are Rate Hikes Now Off the Table? 27:23 - Final Outlook: Talks on Wednesday and a Still-Bullish Macro View ๐ฅ Get ๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ฆ to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUeย Connect with Real Visionโข Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
136 episodes
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