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Oscars Outsider Archive

Podcast by Oscars Outsider

English

Culture & leisure

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About Oscars Outsider Archive

Oscars Outsider is a podcast where Craig Midwinter and Dylan Ferguson break down the Oscars the way most people break down sports. We follow the awards race week by week — the narratives, the precursors, the surprises, the discourse, and the strategy behind every contender’s campaign. We treat awards season like a competitive ecosystem, tracking momentum, analyzing the politics of voting bodies, and running our own Oscars Fantasy Draft to score nominations, wins, snubs, and everything in between. If you care about movies and the game behind the movies, you’re in the right place.

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14 episodes

episode Can SINNERS Steal Best Picture? | Oscars 2026 Final Predictions artwork

Can SINNERS Steal Best Picture? | Oscars 2026 Final Predictions

It's the final reckoning. The Oscars Outsider crew is back one last time before Hollywood's biggest night to go through EVERY category and give you our ultimate predictions for the 2026 Academy Awards. The big question: Can Sinners pull off the upset and become the first horror movie to win Best Picture? Or does One Battle After Another hold the line? We break down the Sinners surge, the late-voting wrinkle that could change everything, and why you'd have to go back to Crash 20 years ago to find a precedent for what Sinners is trying to do. Plus: Is Timothée Chalamet actually going to lose Best Actor? Could Ethan Hawke be a spoiler? We get into the dumb scandals (Chalamet vs. ballet, Jesse Buckley vs. cats), the new Best Casting award, who's winning King or Queen of the Dead in the In Memoriam, and much more. Featuring Dylan Ferguson, Craig Midwinter, Sean O'Rourke, and Rory Follis. 🗳️ Drop your predictions in the comments — we'll see who got the closest after Oscar night.

11 Mar 2026 - 2 h 35 min
episode Why Were the Oscars Started? The Real Story of 1929 artwork

Why Were the Oscars Started? The Real Story of 1929

In this episode of the Oscars Outsider Podcast, we go back to 1929 to unpack why the Academy Awards were created in the first place.The Oscars weren’t born as a pure celebration of art. They emerged during a moment of labor unrest, censorship pressure, and a rapidly changing Hollywood industry. We break down the real institutional motives behind the founding of the Academy, the first ceremony at the Roosevelt Hotel, and the strange split between Wings and Sunrise at the very first awards.Plus:– The BAFTA controversy and what it says about institutional risk– The transition from silent films to talkies– Whether The Secret Agent could be a Best Picture dark horseIf you enjoy film history, awards strategy, and looking at the Oscars as a cultural institution — this one’s for you.🎙 Subscribe for weekly Oscar race analysis and deep dives.

25 Feb 2026 - 1 h 32 min
episode Was Goodfellas Robbed at the Oscars? artwork

Was Goodfellas Robbed at the Oscars?

At the 1991 Academy Awards, Dances With Wolves beat Goodfellas for Best Picture — a decision often called one of the biggest Oscar snubs in Academy Awards history. In this episode of Oscars Outsider, we revisit the 63rd Oscars and break down why the Academy made the choice it did, how the Gulf War and early ’90s cultural climate shaped the vote, and whether this was truly an Oscar robbery.We also continue our Best Picture deep dives with a review and discussion of the F1 movie — including how it plays as blockbuster Oscar contender and what makes it work (or not) as a prestige film.If you’re tracking awards season yourself, check out CineRace.com — a web-based app that lets you follow nominations across ceremonies, compete with friends, and track how many nominated films you’ve seen.And don’t forget to visit OscarsOutsider.com to see our fantasy Oscar standings and what the Outsider Supercomputer says about this year’s race.Topics covered:• Goodfellas vs Dances With Wolves• Biggest Oscar snubs ever• 1991 Best Picture controversy• F1 movie review and Oscar chances• How cultural context shapes Academy voting

19 Feb 2026 - 1 h 25 min
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