In the Money with Amber Kanwar

AI is Killing Buy and Hold Investing

1 h 10 min · 12 de may de 2026
Portada del episodio AI is Killing Buy and Hold Investing

Descripción

AI is forcing investors to rethink one of the most time-tested strategies in the market—and it could have major implications for how you build your portfolio. On this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, Dan Rohinton, Portfolio Manager at iA Global Asset Management, makes the case that the traditional buy-and-hold approach is no longer as reliable in a world where artificial intelligence is accelerating disruption across nearly every industry. Rohinton explains why the AI supercycle is simultaneously creating massive opportunity while eroding the durability of long-standing business models—from software and consulting to telecom and consumer staples. He argues that “there are no sacred cows anymore,” with faster innovation cycles forcing investors to be more dynamic and shorten their time horizons. At the same time, he remains broadly bullish on the economic upside of AI, calling it one of the most profound technological shifts since the internet, with the potential to unlock productivity and reshape global growth. In the Mailbag, Rohinton tackles some of the most debated stocks in the market today, including Constellation Software (CSU.TO), WSP Global (WSP.TO), Blackstone (BX), Apple (AAPL), LVMH (MC.PA), and General Mills (GIS). He explains why many of these companies can still work tactically in the short term, even as AI introduces long-term risks to their business models—helping explain why some stocks are falling despite strong earnings. In Pro Picks, Rohinton first revisits his past ideas from his last appearance—Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT)—and explains why his conviction has evolved as the AI landscape shifts. While he’s still constructive, he’s more measured on Alphabet, remains bullish on Amazon as a core AI infrastructure play, and is doubling down on Microsoft (MSFT) as his top idea today given its scale and positioning despite near-term concerns. He also adds Meta Platforms (META), highlighting its massive AI investment and upside if spending translates into productivity gains, and Visa (V) as a more defensive compounder with optionality tied to increasing payment volumes in an AI-driven economy. Timestamps 00:00 Trailer  02:30 Show intro 03:30 Political uncertainty is something we need to get used to  05:30 AI agnostic to what’s going on in geopolitics  07:30 Keep an open mind but Dan universally bullish on AI  10:00 Where do you go for defence? There’s nothing truly defensive anymore 13:00 What’s happening is the diffusion of tech into every sector 15:50 Buy and Hold is changing because of AI 19:20 This is a time for extreme thinking 22:20: Hamilton ETFs: 24:30 ITM Mailbag: Constellation Software stock(CSU) 32:30 WSP Global stock(WSP)   37:30 Blackstone stock(BX) 39:45 Apple stock (AAPL) 43:00 LVMH stock (MC) 46:20 General Mills stock (GIS)  49:20 Past & Pro Picks (GOOG, AMZN, MSFT, META, V) Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com [questions@inthemoneypod.com] DISCLAIMERS  The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions. In this episode we discuss Intel, Google, General Mills, Microsoft, Meta, Constellation Software, Apple & Amazon.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been live during that period. The S&P 500 Index (“Index”) and associated data are a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors and has been licensed for use by Hamilton ETFs © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction...

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151 episodios

Portada del episodio The Biggest Canadian Mining IPO Since 2010: Ross Beaty's Secret Copper Play

The Biggest Canadian Mining IPO Since 2010: Ross Beaty's Secret Copper Play

The biggest Canadian mining IPO since 2010 is betting on a country few investors associate with mining: Poland. On this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, Amber sits down with Jordan Pandoff, CEO of Lumina Metals, to discuss the IPO which raised over $400 million, and the investment case behind one of the world's largest undeveloped copper and silver projects. Backed by mining legend Ross Beaty, Lumina spent more than a decade advancing the project before taking the company public. Jordan explains why Poland is emerging as a critical minerals powerhouse. The country already produces more than 500,000 tonnes of copper and 40 million ounces of silver annually, has more copper in the ground than any other NATO country, and more silver in the ground than any country in the world. If Poland's punitive mining tax regime is reformed, it could move from just outside the world's top 10 copper-producing nations into the global top five. The conversation also explores why governments, institutional investors, and the military are suddenly laser-focused on critical minerals. From supply chain security and NATO to Europe's growing dependence on imported copper, Jordan explains how geopolitics has transformed mining into a strategic industry—and why government officials and global investors are paying closer attention than ever before. Finally, Jordan discusses Lumina's path to production, the key catalysts investors should watch over the next several years, how the company plans to finance one of the world's largest mining projects, and whether Ross Beaty's ultimate strategy is to build the mine—or follow his proven playbook of de-risking the asset before selling it. Timestamps 00:00 Trailer 02:20: Intro  03:40 The biggest mining IPO in Canada since 2010 05:00 From Glencore to Lumina 06:20 Working with legendary miner Ross Beaty  08:20 The size and scale of Lumina’s mine in Poland 11:20 Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF- MIX 13:30 The trouble with Poland’s tax regime  17:10 Lumina IPO & stock price  19:45 Capital markets support in the U.S. and Canada 23:00 Why are investors waking up to the mining sector? 24:20 How do the ongoing issues in Ukraine impact Lumina? 25:30 When will first production start? 27:20 How will Lumina raise funds to build the project? 29:00 Beaty’s permit, de-risk, sell playbook 30:05 Thank you to our partners at ATB Financial  30:30 How often do copper and silver go together  31:30 Are copper prices in a bubble? 33:20 The excitement for base metals  35:00 Glencore war stories  Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com DISCLAIMERS  The content provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been live during that period. The S&P 500 Index (“Index”) and associated data are a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors and has been licensed for use by Hamilton ETFs © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit www.spdji.com [http://www.spdji.com/]. S&P® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“SPFS”) and Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”). Neither S&P Dow Jones...

2 de jul de 202639 min
Portada del episodio How to Buy Underperforming Stocks Without Getting Burned

How to Buy Underperforming Stocks Without Getting Burned

Value traps can destroy your portfolio—but the right turnaround stock can be a game changer. How do you tell the difference? On this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, Paul Harris, Portfolio Manager at Harris Douglas Asset Management, explains his framework for buying underperforming stocks without getting burned. He also shares why he wants nothing to do with SpaceX at current valuations, arguing the company is priced far ahead of its fundamentals despite the excitement around the space race. The conversation also dives into Elon Musk's biggest strengths—and what Paul believes are his biggest blind spots as an operator and capital allocator. In the Mailbag, Paul tackles some of the market's biggest turnaround stories. He explains why he'd rather own MDA (MDA.TO) than SpaceX to play the booming satellite industry, whether BCE (BCE.TO) or TELUS (T.TO) offer compelling value after years of underperformance, and why BlackBerry (BB.TO) still looks too speculative despite its massive rally. He also breaks down whether CAE (CAE.TO) can benefit from the global defense spending boom, why he's warming up to FedEx (FDX) after its restructuring, why Campbell's (CPB) is a classic value trap, and what it will actually take for Nike (NKE) to become a successful turnaround story. Along the way, he shares the key traits he looks for before buying any beaten-down stock. In Past Picks and Pro Picks, Paul revisits the stocks from his last appearance—including Alphabet (GOOGL), which has been his biggest winner, along with Stryker (SYK) and Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)—explaining why he continues to own them and where he's taken profits. He then unveils three new high-conviction ideas he believes are today's most compelling underperformers: Meta (META), which he sees as one of the cheapest AI winners; Microsoft (MSFT), where he believes fears about AI disruption have gone too far; and EssilorLuxottica (EL.PA), an overlooked global compounder with durable competitive advantages that the market is mispricing. Timestamps 00:00 Intro  02:20 Intro  03:20 Expect a lot more market & stock volatility  05:20 Searching for opportunities  09:10 Paul wouldn’t touch SpaceX with a 10-foot pole, or any Elon Musk related stocks  12:35 Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF- MIX 14:35 ITM Mailbag: MDA Space (MDA)  18:20 BCE stock (BCE)  23:20 Blackberry stock (BBY) 26:10 CAE stock (CAE)  29:10 FedEx stock (FDX)  32:20 Campbell’s (CPB) 34:30 Nike (NKE) 38:20 Paul’s Past & Pro Picks ( GOOGL, SYK, CNQ, META, MSFT, EL)   Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com DISCLAIMERS  The content provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been live during that period. The S&P 500 Index (“Index”) and associated data are a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors and has been licensed for use by Hamilton ETFs © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit www.spdji.com [http://www.spdji.com/]. S&P® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“SPFS”) and Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”). Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, SPFS, Dow Jones, their affiliates nor their licenso...

30 de jun de 202658 min
Portada del episodio Commodities are Faltering, Is It Time to Get Out?

Commodities are Faltering, Is It Time to Get Out?

A year ago, Bob Thompson called commodities the trade of the decade. Since then, silver miners, energy stocks and commodity-focused funds have delivered massive gains. But with gold down sharply from its highs, oil rolling over and investors questioning whether the trade has become too crowded, is it time to take profits—or is this just a correction within a much bigger bull market? In this episode, Bob Thompson of Thompson Investment Partners explains why he still believes we're in the early innings of a long-term commodities supercycle despite the recent weakness. He walks through his famous "Mining Clock" framework, outlines where he believes we are in the commodity cycle, and explains why gold, silver, copper and oil all remain strong two years from now. He also shares why the real risk may be hiding in technology stocks, where he sees echoes of previous market bubbles and growing signs that the capex cycle is nearing a dangerous stage. In the Mailbag, Bob breaks down why he believes the recent collapse in oil prices is a short-term positioning event rather than the end of the energy bull market. He discusses physical gold and silver ETFs, explains how he identifies capitulation bottoms, and shares his outlook on several investor favourites including Lundin Gold (LUG) and Altius Minerals (ALS). He also discusses why management quality matters more than ever in the resource sector and where he sees the best opportunities emerging as sentiment deteriorates. Bob revisits last year's winning ideas, including the Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF (SLVR), the Dynamic Active Mining Opportunities ETF (DXMO), and the Ninepoint Energy Fund—all of which have delivered strong returns since his last appearance. He then unveils three new high-conviction ideas: the Fidelity Global Value Long Short ETF (FGLS), which he views as portfolio insurance against a potential tech unwind; Nutrien (NTR), a beaten-down agriculture leader he believes is positioned for the next commodity cycle; and the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ), which offers exposure to one of the cheapest major commodity-producing markets in the world. Timestamps 00:00 Trailer  02:10 Intro 03:39 Bob Thompson returns to the podcast 04:18 Did commodities move too fast? 05:22 Why investors are still underallocated 07:51 Gold’s pullback and what it means 09:20 Why gold is falling now 11:37 How to think about portfolio allocation 13:24 What could signal a bottom in gold and silver 16:33 What is the mining clock? 18:43 Mining cycle stages: 4 o’clock to 6 o’clock 21:03 Mining cycle stages: 7 o’clock to 8 o’clock 22:57 Mining cycle stages: 11 o’clock to 12 o’clock 24:33 The mining clock as a credit clock 26:23 Time arbitrage and the two-year investing test 28:11 Rapid fire: bullish or bearish in two years? 28:50 Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF-MIX  30:53 ITM Mailbag: Oil prices, geopolitical premium, and the supply story 37:26 Entry points for physical gold and silver 39:11 Lundin Gold: why Bob likes it (LUG) 43:06 Altius Minerals: royalty business strength (ALS) 49:33 Bob’s Pro Picks: FGLS, NTR, EWZ Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com DISCLAIMERS  The content provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been live during that period. The S&P 500 Index (“Index”) and associated data are a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors and has been licensed for us...

25 de jun de 202658 min
Portada del episodio The AI Debt Bubble Nobody Is Talking About

The AI Debt Bubble Nobody Is Talking About

The AI boom is being financed with debt—and the numbers are staggering. The world's biggest tech companies are spending hundreds of billions of dollars to build the infrastructure behind artificial intelligence. But while investors focus on the stocks, Brian Carney, Portfolio Manager at Mawer Investment Management, is watching the credit markets—and he sees risks most investors are ignoring.  On this episode, Brian, who manages the Mawer Global Credit Opportunities Fund explains why Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Oracle and others are becoming some of the largest borrowers in the world, why credit markets may be underpricing risk, and why he believes we're getting closer to a "reckoning" after years of easy money and aggressive lending. He also shares why he's skeptical of parts of the private credit market, what surprised him about SpaceX's investment-grade rating, and why the next big opportunity could emerge when investors least expect it. Brian also makes the case that investors are too complacent about America's fiscal situation. With deficits running at historically elevated levels and government debt continuing to climb, he argues the bigger risk may not be a U.S. default—but a shift in investor sentiment that forces borrowing costs higher. What happens if investors start demanding more compensation to finance Washington's spending? And what could that mean for stocks, bonds, and the broader economy? In Pro Picks Brian shares three high-conviction bond ideas, including AI infrastructure player CoreWeave, fertilizer producer FMC Corp, and energy company Continental Resources. He breaks down where he's finding attractive yields, how he's assessing downside risk, and why he's keeping dry powder ready for a potential market dislocation. Whether you're an equity investor, bond investor, or simply trying to understand how AI is reshaping global capital markets, this conversation offers a perspective you won't hear often. Timestamps 00:00 Trailer 02:15 Intro  04:30 Mawer’s credit opportunities fund  06:45 We’re on the verge of a reckoning in the credit markets 10:25 What the spreads are telling us 12:25 The debt-fuelled AI funding boom 16:45 Will the spending pay off?  18:35 The question about who wins less important for credit investors 20:15 Where does the money come from to meet the unprecedented demand? 22:15 Does SpaceX’s investment grade rating make sense?  26:25 Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF-MIX 28:25 Any signs of strain in the CDS market? And why Carney’s portfolio is low on tech 31:55 The inflation question 35:25 How Carney is mitigating risk in the portfolio  37:25 The debt & deficit situation in the U.S. is out of control 43:10 Brian’s Pro Picks Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com DISCLAIMERS  The content provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been live during that period. The S&P 500 Index (“Index”) and associated data are a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors and has been licensed for use by Hamilton ETFs © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates and/or their licensors. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit www.spdji.com [http://www.spdji.com/]. S&P® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“SPFS”) and Dow Jones® is a reg...

23 de jun de 202651 min
Portada del episodio Larry McDonald: SpaceX Could Crash the Market — Why He's Buying Commodities Instead

Larry McDonald: SpaceX Could Crash the Market — Why He's Buying Commodities Instead

The AI boom is supposed to be a tech story. Larry McDonald thinks it's a commodities story. On this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, the Bear Traps Report founder and best-selling author explains why surging demand for copper, uranium, oil, natural gas and gold could create some of the biggest investment opportunities of the next decade. As trillions of dollars flow into AI infrastructure, data centres and power generation, Larry argues investors are overlooking the companies supplying the raw materials that make it all possible. In fact, he goes so far as to call NVIDIA (NVDA) a "dumb trade," arguing that investors are piling into an increasingly crowded corner of the market while ignoring the resources that power the entire AI ecosystem. He also shares his concerns about speculative excess in markets and why the excitement surrounding SpaceX could have much bigger implications for investors than most realize. Larry answers viewer questions on the biggest investment asymmetries he sees today, why Indonesia could be one of the most overlooked emerging-market opportunities, and whether Brazil is setting up for a major political and market shift. He also shares his outlook on pipeline operators like Energy Transfer (ET), uranium exposure through Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (U.U / SRUUF), and beaten-down consumer names including Diageo (DEO), Kraft Heinz (KHC), General Mills (GIS), and Campbell's (CPB). Plus, he explains why natural gas producers such as Tourmaline Oil (TOU), Antero Resources (AR), and Range Resources (RRC) could be unexpected winners from the AI buildout. Larry's last appearance on In the Money was a win for commodity bulls. He recommended natural gas, coal and shorting NVIDIA (NVDA), arguing that investors were underestimating the long-term opportunity in hard assets. Since then, natural gas and coal-related trades have significantly outperformed while NVIDIA has largely moved sideways despite relentless enthusiasm around AI. This time, Larry is doubling down on the commodity theme with a bullish call on gold, copper, uranium and energy producers. His top picks include Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), which he calls one of the best-managed mining companies in the world, SLB (SLB), a play on rising global energy demand and AI-driven infrastructure spending, and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), a unique healthcare and data-driven AI opportunity that has fallen out of favour with investors.  Timestamps 00:00 Trailer  02:20 Intro  05:00 There’s a massive distortion of the market 07:30 Why are cheap Mag 7 names not a screaming buy?  10:40 The forward earnings on Nvidia are complete baloney 12:40 Space X could create a credit crisis 18:40 Will the U.S. have to nationalize AI? 22:35 What’s going on with gold & gold stocks?  26:40 The smart money is looking at companies that have great data 29:03 Oil is a screaming buy right now 31:35 What’s the market signal when bank stocks are doing so well? 35:45 The Fed setup is bullish for hard assets 39:20 Thoughts on stablecoins & treasuries 41:25 Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF- MIX 43:20 ITM Mailbag: Emerging Markets & Indonesia ETF 47:00 Pipelines & Energy Transfer (ET) 48:30 Diageo stock & consumer staples (DGE)  52:40 Mispricings in Uranium 55:50 Larry’s Past & Pro Picks (short NVDA, 1:04:10: Larry’s gold price target  Sponsors For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca [http://raymondjames.ca/] today to discover how you can live a life well planned. Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ [https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/]  Links https://inthemoneypod.com/  https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740  https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod  https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod [https://www.tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod] questions@inthemoneypod.com DISCLAIMERS  The content provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.  Hamilton ETFs Disclaimer   This podcast is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs.  The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or considered as a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities. The index performance returns are for informational purposes only and are not indicative of the future returns of the ETF. The returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Certain statements contained in this podcast may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may relate to a future outlook and anticipated distributions, events or results and may include statements regarding future financial performance. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Actual results may vary from such forward-looking information. Hamilton ETFs undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the prospectus before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Source: S&P Global, Solactive AG, Hamilton ETFs. Data from November 18, 2004, to April 30, 2026. The Solactive Hamilton Mixed Asset Index (SOLHAMMA) vs. the S&P 500 Total Return Index with annual compounded total returns and the potential impact of 1.25x leveraged exposure to SOLHAMMA. This is discussed for informational purposes only and intended to demonstrate the historical impact of the indexes compound growth rate. It is not a projection of future index performance, nor does it reflect potential returns on investments in the ETF. Investors cannot directly invest in the index. All performance data assumes reinvestment of distributions and excludes management fees, transaction costs, and other expenses which would have impacted an investor’s returns. SOLHAMMA data prior to March 14, 2025, is hypothetical back-tested data using actual historical market data. Actual performance may have been different had the index been...

18 de jun de 20261 h 6 min