The Aerospace Executive Podcast
Oil is $100, airline losses are starting to show up, and Spirit’s collapse is exposing just how hard it is to run an ultra-low-cost model when low cost has disappeared. Any one of those signals could make buyers cautious. Taken together, they should raise a bigger question: why are buyers inside middle-market aerospace and defense still leaning in? Public aerospace companies are still trading at strong multiples. Strategics still have currency. Private equity is still chasing platforms. Founder-owned businesses with real capabilities are still getting serious attention. Middle-market aerospace may be feeling pressure, but it is not behaving like a fragile market. What makes this part of the industry so unusual is that value is not tied to one clean growth story. Commercial airlines may be exposed to fuel prices. Ultra-low-cost carriers may struggle when “low cost” disappears from the system. But the middle market is full of companies supporting business aviation, defense, engine work, MRO, parts, certifications, and long-standing product lines that remain incredibly hard to replace. This is why buyers are not just chasing growth. They are chasing durability. In a world where many sectors are being disrupted quickly, aerospace and defense still reward businesses that can do difficult, regulated, safety-critical work consistently. In this episode, I sit down with Bill Alderman for our 300th episode of the Aerospace Executive podcast and for Bill’s 25th year in the business. In this conversation, we unpack what the market is really telling us right now: where the strength is real, where the risks are starting to show, and why the best buyers in this industry still understand something tourists often miss: that aerospace rewards people who think long term. You’ll also learn; * Why $100 oil is not an immediate market killer, but could become a serious drag if it stays elevated * What airline losses may be signaling, and why Spirit’s collapse is not necessarily the canary in the coal mine * Why rich public market multiples give aerospace buyers more room to pay attractive prices * How business aviation flight hours, fractional ownership, and OEM backlogs are strengthening the aftermarket story * Why “capacity,” maintenance demand, and physical capability continue to matter in an AI-disrupted economy * What makes aerospace and defense more durable than many other sectors * Why carve-outs and spin-offs can unlock focus, energy, and operational performance * How companies can become too large and lose the focus that made individual divisions valuable * Why brands like Bendix, Slick, and other long-standing product names still carry enormous value in the maintenance hangar * What private equity “tourists” often misunderstand about aerospace and defense * Why industry knowledge matters when owning companies that support safety-critical systems * The difference between making money in aerospace and respecting the long-term responsibility that comes with owning aerospace assets About the Guest William H. Alderman (Bill) is the Founding Partner of Alderman & Company. Bill is an M&A specialist in the middle market of the aerospace and defense industry with over $2 billion in mergers and acquisition-related transactions to his name. Before founding Alderman & Company in 2001, Bill worked for 15 years on Wall Street and in the Aerospace & Defense Industry, principally on M&A transactions in the middle market. His employers included BT Securities, Fieldstone, and General Electric. Bill is a Securities Principal registered with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and has four securities industry licenses (Series 7, 24, 63, and 65). Bill is a commercial pilot and owns and operates a Cirrus SR22. * URL Link: https://www.aldermanco.com/ [https://www.aldermanco.com/] * LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/williamalderman/ [https://www.linkedin.com/in/williamalderman/] About Your Host Craig Picken is an Executive Recruiter, writer, speaker, and ICF-trained Executive Coach. He is focused on recruiting senior-level executives in sales and operations across the aviation and aerospace industry. His clients include premier OEMs, aircraft operators, leasing/financial organizations, and Maintenance/Repair/Overhaul (MRO) providers. Since 2008, he has personally concluded more than 400 executive-level searches in a variety of disciplines. Craig is the ONLY industry executive recruiter who has professionally flown airplanes, sold airplanes, and successfully run a P&L in the aviation industry. His professional career started with a passion for airplanes. After eight years’ experience as a decorated Naval Flight Officer – with more than 100 combat missions, 2,000 hours of flight time, and 325 aircraft carrier landings – Craig sought challenges in business aviation, where he spent more than 7 years in sales with both Gulfstream Aircraft and Bombardier Business Aircraft. Craig is also a sought-after industry speaker who has presented at Corporate Jet Investor, the International Aviation Women’s Association, and the SOCAL Aviation Association.
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