DeepMarket: US Stocks Daily

2026-06-25:The HBM Supply Squeeze is Overpowering a Hawkish Fed, But AI's 'Napster Moment' Threatens the Software Stack

6 min · Gisteren
aflevering 2026-06-25:The HBM Supply Squeeze is Overpowering a Hawkish Fed, But AI's 'Napster Moment' Threatens the Software Stack artwork

Beschrijving

A memory-chip company just guided to fifty billion dollars in quarterly revenue and software-like margins, while the Fed may still be preparing to tighten the screws. Beneath the calm index tape, a stranger story is unfolding: Micron looks like the king of scarce AI hardware, Qualcomm flashes a surprisingly bearish technical setup, and Alibaba faces allegations that could turn model distillation into a national-security market event. Meanwhile, Hertz is wrestling with collapsing used EV values, and homebuilders are squeezing higher even as housing data weakens. Is this an AI infrastructure boom, a software moat crisis, or both at once? The market is giving clues, but not all in the same direction. Full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-25

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aflevering 2026-06-25:The HBM Supply Squeeze is Overpowering a Hawkish Fed, But AI's 'Napster Moment' Threatens the Software Stack artwork

2026-06-25:The HBM Supply Squeeze is Overpowering a Hawkish Fed, But AI's 'Napster Moment' Threatens the Software Stack

A memory-chip company just guided to fifty billion dollars in quarterly revenue and software-like margins, while the Fed may still be preparing to tighten the screws. Beneath the calm index tape, a stranger story is unfolding: Micron looks like the king of scarce AI hardware, Qualcomm flashes a surprisingly bearish technical setup, and Alibaba faces allegations that could turn model distillation into a national-security market event. Meanwhile, Hertz is wrestling with collapsing used EV values, and homebuilders are squeezing higher even as housing data weakens. Is this an AI infrastructure boom, a software moat crisis, or both at once? The market is giving clues, but not all in the same direction. Full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-25

Gisteren6 min
aflevering 2026-06-24:The Commoditization of Compute: What SpaceX’s $6.3B Landlord Deal and Cerebras’ Margin Collapse Tell Us About the AI Bubble artwork

2026-06-24:The Commoditization of Compute: What SpaceX’s $6.3B Landlord Deal and Cerebras’ Margin Collapse Tell Us About the AI Bubble

A $6.3 billion SpaceX compute deal sounds like the next great AI infrastructure story, until the chart quietly disagrees. Cerebras nearly doubled revenue, yet its margin guide forced Wall Street to ask the uncomfortable question nobody wanted to say out loud: what if AI hardware is becoming a low-margin landlord business? In this episode, we unpack why the Nasdaq's two percent slide may be less about panic and more about repricing, how leveraged semiconductor products overseas helped shake Micron, why Qualcomm's smart Modular move still faces a bearish tape, and how one DeepMind defection may have rattled Alphabet's AI premium. The twist is subtle but powerful: AI may still be real, while the old valuation story breaks. Read the full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-24

24 jun 20266 min
aflevering 2026-06-23:AI Capex Capitulation: How SpaceX's Sovereign-Sized Debt Binge Broke the Asian Hardware Trade artwork

2026-06-23:AI Capex Capitulation: How SpaceX's Sovereign-Sized Debt Binge Broke the Asian Hardware Trade

A two trillion dollar space giant raises twenty billion in debt, and suddenly the AI boom has a very different soundtrack. In this episode, DeepMarket follows the thread from SpaceX’s sixteen percent slide to a nearly ten percent KOSPI collapse, from Micron’s sold-out HBM story to Apollo’s five percent redemption gate. Is this the first real crack in the AI capex machine, or just a painful reset in a market that ran too far, too fast? The twist: not every signal is bearish. SpaceX looks oversold, Micron still has momentum, and KKR refuses to fit the contagion script. But with the ten-year yield pinned near four point four eight percent, the cost of capital is quietly rewriting the rules. Full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-23

23 jun 20265 min
aflevering 2026-06-22:AI Eats the Billable Hour: Accenture's Historic 18% Collapse Signals the End of Legacy Consulting, While Nasdaq Forwards the Neocloud Rotation artwork

2026-06-22:AI Eats the Billable Hour: Accenture's Historic 18% Collapse Signals the End of Legacy Consulting, While Nasdaq Forwards the Neocloud Rotation

An 18% collapse in Accenture may be more than a bad earnings reaction. It may be the market’s first loud verdict on what happens when AI starts eating the billable hour. But while legacy consulting gets marked down, a different machine is turning on: Nasdaq-100 inclusion is pulling capital toward CoreWeave and Nebius, with passive funds forced into the neocloud trade. Then comes the hidden bottleneck: electricity. Bloom Energy’s surge hints that the next AI shortage may not be chips, but power. And looming over it all is Micron’s near-impossible test, with 81% margin expectations and an options market bracing for a huge move. Is this a rotation, or a regime change hiding in plain sight? Full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-22

22 jun 20264 min
aflevering 2026-06-18:The Peace Dividend Meets the Sovereign Put: Why Warsh’s Hawkish Shock is Being Eclipsed by Trump's Apple-Intel Intervention artwork

2026-06-18:The Peace Dividend Meets the Sovereign Put: Why Warsh’s Hawkish Shock is Being Eclipsed by Trump's Apple-Intel Intervention

A hawkish Fed chair just removed the market’s favorite safety rail, yet stocks are trying to look through it. Why? Because oil is falling, Iran barrels may be coming back, and a quiet deflationary force is colliding with rate-hike fears. But the real twist is in single stocks: Intel is suddenly trading less like a chipmaker and more like a government-backed strategic asset, while SpaceX’s massive IPO may be draining liquidity from the very mega-caps investors thought were untouchable. Salesforce looks cheap, Accenture looks exposed, Apple sits in the middle, and Carvana may be the pressure point if yields rise again. Is this a bullish reset, or just a market pinned by options flows near 7,500? Full report: https://deepmarket.report/en/report/us_stocks/2026-06-18

18 jun 20266 min