Last Visit First
The numbers are in — and home health care is at a turning point. In this data-packed episode of Last Visit First, host Tom Maxwell sits down with Scott Tapp (CEO, Trella Health) and Carter Bakkum (Senior Data Scientist, Trella Health) for a quarterly deep dive into what the Medicare claims data is actually telling us about the state of home health and hospice in America. Key Stats from This Episode: * Home health market: $162B in 2024 → projected $380B * 94% of U.S. counties saw a reduction in home health agencies (2019–2023) * 2,201 new hospice NPIs enumerated in LA County since Jan 2020 * Average patient risk score increased from 2.3 → 2.5 (2021–2024) * Readmission rates dropped from 11.9% → 11.8% * Time to start of care: 4.8 days → 3.12 days * 724 hospitals participating in the TEAM model * $11.8B in annual Medicare reimbursements tied to 3 TEAM categories Chapters: * 00:00 - Introduction & Guest Welcome * 00:59 - Who Is Carter Bakkum? Scott Explains * 01:45 - Why We're Doing Quarterly Data Deep Dives * 02:04 - Big News: Trella's Monthly CMS Data Access * 03:19 - How Trella Combines Billions of Claims * 04:43 - The Lag Problem with Finalized CMS Claims * 05:39 - CMS Moratorium on New Home Health & Hospice Licenses * 05:59 - The $162B Home Health Market & Home Infusion Surge * 07:10 - Shocking Stat: 94% of Counties Lost Home Health Agencies * 07:53 - Carter Explains the County Reduction Data * 09:10 - Trella's New Interactive NPI County Map Tool * 11:20 - 2,200+ New Hospice NPIs in LA County Alone * 12:30 - The Fraud Hotspots: Clark County, Franklin County & Miami-Dade * 12:54 - Does the Map Include Change of Ownership (CHOW)? * 13:35 - What the Moratorium Means for De Novo vs. Acquisition Strategy * 14:33 - The 36-Month Rule & Who's Actually Acquirable Right Now * 15:10 - Is This Essentially a National Certificate of Need? * 15:32 - What Comes After the Moratorium? New CMS Rules Explained * 16:22 - Real Impact: Access to Care Is Already Being Restricted * 17:09 - Tom's Story: No Home Health Available in Upstate New York * 18:30 - The PR Problem: Seniors Seeing Home Health as "All Fraud" * 19:49 - Adherence to Home Health Discharge Instructions Is Rising * 21:02 - Should We Look at Adherence by Rural vs. Urban Classification? * 21:26 - Home Health Is Treating Sicker Patients — And Doing It Better * 22:22 - Patient Risk Scores: Up from 2.3 to 2.5 (What That Really Means) * 25:00 - Readmission Rates Down Despite Higher Complexity * 25:38 - Why Patients Are Being Discharged So Much Faster Now * 27:03 - Time to Start of Care Dropped from 4.8 to 3.1 Days * 27:47 - Introducing the TEAM Model: What It Is & Who's Affected * 29:43 - Carter's TEAM Data: 724 Hospitals, Upside/Downside Risk Explained * 32:15 - $11.8 Billion in Medicare Reimbursements at Stake * 33:20 - Why CMS Chose These 5 Episode Categories * 34:10 - The $36,000 Variance in CABG Costs Across the Country * 34:39 - 39% of TEAM DRGs Are Discharged to Post-Acute — The Opportunity * 35:41 - What This Means for Home Health Agencies RIGHT NOW * 37:10 - Call to Action: Submit Your Data Questions for Next Quarter * 37:40 - Closing Thoughts from Scott & Carter * 38:51 - Goodbye & Happy Memorial Day Have a topic for next quarter's data deep dive? Drop it in the comments below. Sponsored by Trella Health: * Learn more Trella Health: https://www.trellahealth.com [https://www.trellahealth.com] * Connect with Scott Tapp: https://linkedin.com/in/scotttapp [https://linkedin.com/in/scotttapp] * Connect with Carter Bakkum: https://linkedin.com/in/carterbakkum [https://linkedin.com/in/carterbakkum] Subscribe to Last Visit First for new episodes every week with the leaders shaping home health, hospice, palliative care and the future of healthcare.
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