Markets, Meditations, and Mental Models

Brief: Rates Held. Guidance Didn't.

23 min · 18 jun 2026
aflevering Brief: Rates Held. Guidance Didn't. artwork

Beschrijving

The Fed held rates exactly as expected and the market sold off anyway, because the real move was not the decision but the information architecture around it. The dot plot tilted sharply hawkish, Iran signed its nuclear MOU but Trump revealed a ballistic missile concession at the G7, and the largest

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