#28: Terror and Treason in The Tropics

#28: Terror and Treason in The Tropics

Discussed: * A (very belated) recap on the Trump and Lula showdown. * Flávio Bolsonaro goes to Washington. * “It’s terror, but not that kind of terror.” * Lula’s case for national sovereignty. * Getting in the mind of the Uber driver voter. * Will Flávio achieve his father’s dream of nationalizing the crime debate? * Ciro Gomes: Brazilian Batman. * A soundbite, a screenplay, and a scandal. * A reading of Dark Horse: coming soon (?) * Flávio’s polling fallout isn’t nearly as bad as it seems. * “We have decided not grant you a third way. Please try again in four years.” * Renan Santos vs “I dunno”. Who will win? * The dichotomy of Lula’s third (and maybe fourth) term. * The trepidations of treason. * And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com [https://podgecaste.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

#27: How Bolsonaro Misread Brazil in 2022

Discussed: * Big Brother Brasil has a winner. * Will Flávio’s bad tweets [https://x.com/FlavioBolsonaro/status/2007444794994278541?s=20] get him disqualified from the race? * Glenn Greenwald’s takes on the Supreme Court. * Romeu Zema becomes the muppets [https://x.com/RomeuZema/status/2046363177974108308?s=20] latest showrunner. * The impossible politics of pardons Jan 8 and attempted coup plot. * The Path to the Planalto #01 - read it now. [https://podgecaste.substack.com/p/the-path-to-the-planalto-01] * How Bolsonaro lost the 2022 election. * Lula’s 45% trap becomes a safe haven. * The curse of viralatismo for right-wing politicians in Brazil. * “Lula in 2022 was closer to Trump in 2016 than Bolsonaro in 2018.” * The misread of imposing American polarization onto Brazil. * Does Flávio have a Trump card in 2026? * And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com [https://podgecaste.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

#26: Why Nobody Can Truly Win Brazil

Discussed: * It’s Brazilian election boy summer! * Lula’s looksmaxxing must be stopped. * “Why are you running, bro?” [https://www.youtube.com/shorts/uwhqe1qm4QE] * Geraldo Alckmin returns for Lula’s Veep Season 4. * Move over saudades. Sapatênis is the new untranslatable word. * Disinformation is just bad politics for the right. * A long LARP as Flávio Bolsonaro on the debate stage. * “Please sir, I just need one more go around the merry-go-round.” * Hunger is going, going, gone, back, and gone again. * Lula-EU vs. Flávio-Trump. Which way Centrist Dad voter? * Brazil’s Grumbleocracy gives little chance to a Bukele, or even a Milei. * Were the 2016 protests a CIA color revolution? * “To interfere, or not to interfere. That is the question.” * Brazilian politicians as the cast of Arrested Development. [https://substack.com/@podgecaste/note/c-237244757?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=4g1gmj] * And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com [https://podgecaste.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

#16: Predictions - The Havana Hazard

Discussed: * Note to self: never get distracted by Iran. * A quick phone-in from an expert on the history and geography — which is an island, in case you didn’t know. * Latin American despots were looksmaxxing before it was cool. * “If they do anything to Cuba, I’m gonna be really, really mad.” * Is Flávio Bolsonaro a low-energy [https://www.youtube.com/shorts/afslUe6Rwxs] candidate? * What we’re seeing in the polls is a consolidation. Nothing more; nothing less. * Lula is polling better than some of us would like to think. * Deep State vs. Deep State Lite. * How The Big Short has poisoned an entire generation of analysts. * Some thoughts on VP Geraldo Alckmin. * Will Mario win Lula the youth vote? * And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com [https://podgecaste.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]

BONUS: Irate on Iran

In attempt our to not talk about the events of the past 48 hours, we couldn’t help ourselves by starting a carefully thought out episode on the Brazilian election by discussing that which should not be named. Anyway, here’s our deeply uninformed take on the most complex geopolitical issue of our time. Link to video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0hZJwQlM_L0] we mention in the episode. This snippet was taken from the recording of our main episode, which will be dropping in the coming days. To hear that, and our other takes on politics, predictions, and Brazil, make sure you’re subscribed to podgecaste.substack.com [http://podgecaste.substack.com]. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com [https://podgecaste.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1]