The Michael Fanone Show
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit michaelfanone.substack.com [https://michaelfanone.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_7] Fifteen weeks. Fifteen weeks that will go down as one of the most costly and moronic wastes of American taxpayer money we’ve ever made — a war that cost thousands of lives, accomplished nothing, and left us worse off in almost every way you can measure. This week the President announced that he and JD Vance had electronically signed a document ending the war with Iran. Then he flew to France and signed it again at the Palace of Versailles — the same room where the world tried to close out World War One a century ago. The symbolism was supposed to feel historic. What it actually felt like was a man staging a photo op to distract from the wreckage he made. So let’s talk about the wreckage, because the numbers are staggering. According to Moody’s Analytics, the war cost American taxpayers at least $132 billion — military spending, higher energy and commodity prices, and the interest rates we’re all living with now. The Pentagon told Congress the military tab alone hit around $29 billion, and that didn’t even count repairing the dozen or so U.S. bases Iran damaged across the region. Two decades around law enforcement teaches you to look past the press conference and ask what the operation actually accomplished. So look at the count. Roughly 3,500 Iranians dead. Thirteen American service members killed. Twenty-six Israelis. Another 3,700 killed in Lebanon after the war widened. On day one, a U.S. missile strike leveled an Iranian school and killed at least 175 people, most of them children. Those are flag-draped coffins coming home to American families. Hold onto one question as we go: what did any of them die for? Because here’s what makes it worse. We’ve been down this road before, and we walked away from a better deal — thanks to the same arrogance that started this stupid war. Back in 2015, the United States and our allies negotiated an agreement with Iran. Hard limits on their nuclear program. Inspectors on the ground. Verification. It wasn’t perfect, but it was holding. Then Trump tore it up because he didn’t like the name attached to it. No replacement. No plan. Just gone. And now, after fifteen weeks of war and $132 billion and thousands of bodies, we’re back at a table trying to claw back something we already had — except the leverage has completely flipped. Iran proved it can choke the Strait of Hormuz, where something like a fifth of the world’s oil passes through. When their military hit commercial ships there, the strait effectively shut down and the global flow of oil seized up. Crude shot to around $120 a barrel. Gas at the pump went from about three dollars a gallon to roughly four. That’s not a theory. Brown University puts the extra fuel cost at about $460 per household, and that number’s still climbing. Every commute, every grocery run, every product that moves on a truck got more expensive — because of a war that was supposed to make us safer. It reaches your dinner table, too: the closure choked the supply of things like sulfur, which goes into fertilizer, and the U.N.’s Food and Agriculture Organization is warning of higher food prices and more hunger worldwide. So Iran now knows exactly what card it holds. It can squeeze the global economy whenever it wants. Which means the old deal is never coming back. They’ll never again accept the 2015 terms, because in 2015 they didn’t have proof they could put a gun to the world’s energy supply. We handed them that proof. I don’t belong to a party, and I’m not here to score points for one team over another. I’m telling you what I see. We spent $132 billion and an enormous number of lives to end up with less security, less leverage, higher prices, and a worse deal than the one we already had and threw in the trash. That’s not strength. Strength is keeping your word so the other side believes you next time. What we showed the world is that an American agreement only lasts until the next election — and that we’ll burn down a region to relearn a lesson we already knew. And the damage isn’t just measured in dollars. It’s measured in trust. With Iran. With allies who watched us shred a signed agreement and then get dragged into a war. With the families at Dover. That kind of damage doesn’t get fixed in a 60-day negotiating window. It takes decades, if it ever happens at all. Fifteen weeks of war. $132 billion. Thousands of lives. And we’re standing in a weaker position in the Middle East than at almost any point I can remember — while Israel has already broken the ceasefire it never agreed to in the first place, just this past week. If that makes you angry, it should. 🟧 Paid subscribers get 15% off your next merch order🟧 Founding Members get 20% off for life You’ll get the link in your welcome email. GET DISCOUNTS BELOW! ENJOY!
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