The So What from BCG

CEOs Gamble When They Plan for Just One Future

17 min · 20 mei 2026
aflevering CEOs Gamble When They Plan for Just One Future artwork

Beschrijving

Navigating uncertainty means one thing: flexibility beats prediction. Nikolaus Lang, global leader of the BCG Henderson Institute, looks 25 years into the future, breaking down what four plausible scenarios mean for GDP growth, work hours, and defense spending. He explains what CEOs can do today to prepare for the faraway future. You’ll Learn: How scenarios connect uncertainty to revenue, risk, and strategy How to stress-test your strategy with data-driven foresight What separates resilient companies from fragile ones How to identify no-regret moves — from supply chain resilience to AI readiness to talent transformation Learn More: Nikolaus Lang: https://on.bcg.com/43abruY [https://on.bcg.com/43abruY] Beyond Tomorrow: Four Scenarios for the World of 2050: https://on.bcg.com/49RMhVF [https://on.bcg.com/49RMhVF] Latest Thinking From the BCG Henderson Institute: https://on.bcg.com/4uHtDbc [https://on.bcg.com/4uHtDbc] Chapters: (00:00) Why Planning for One Future Won’t Work (01:04) The Benefit of Planning for Plausible Futures (03:19) Should You Ignore Extreme Scenarios? (04:41) Future #1: AI Abundance (05:34) Future #2: Battling Blocs (06:09) Future #3: Climate Coalition (06:45) Future #4: Digital Darwinism (07:30) What KPIs Help Predict the Future? (09:09) What Scenario Is the Most Surprising? (13:50) Is 2050 Too Far to Plan for CEOs? (15:03) The “No-Regret Moves” That Matter for Leaders This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

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aflevering CEOs Gamble When They Plan for Just One Future artwork

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Navigating uncertainty means one thing: flexibility beats prediction. Nikolaus Lang, global leader of the BCG Henderson Institute, looks 25 years into the future, breaking down what four plausible scenarios mean for GDP growth, work hours, and defense spending. He explains what CEOs can do today to prepare for the faraway future. You’ll Learn: How scenarios connect uncertainty to revenue, risk, and strategy How to stress-test your strategy with data-driven foresight What separates resilient companies from fragile ones How to identify no-regret moves — from supply chain resilience to AI readiness to talent transformation Learn More: Nikolaus Lang: https://on.bcg.com/43abruY [https://on.bcg.com/43abruY] Beyond Tomorrow: Four Scenarios for the World of 2050: https://on.bcg.com/49RMhVF [https://on.bcg.com/49RMhVF] Latest Thinking From the BCG Henderson Institute: https://on.bcg.com/4uHtDbc [https://on.bcg.com/4uHtDbc] Chapters: (00:00) Why Planning for One Future Won’t Work (01:04) The Benefit of Planning for Plausible Futures (03:19) Should You Ignore Extreme Scenarios? (04:41) Future #1: AI Abundance (05:34) Future #2: Battling Blocs (06:09) Future #3: Climate Coalition (06:45) Future #4: Digital Darwinism (07:30) What KPIs Help Predict the Future? (09:09) What Scenario Is the Most Surprising? (13:50) Is 2050 Too Far to Plan for CEOs? (15:03) The “No-Regret Moves” That Matter for Leaders This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

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aflevering How AI is Transforming Sales—and What To Do artwork

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aflevering What’s Keeping CEOs Up at Night? artwork

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