Notayesmanspodcast378

Notayesmanspodcast378

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on . Richard st ruth Q:😃 what do you think the Bond vigilantes are thinking about our Gilts movement over the next couple of years? Morris May To what extent do gilts sell offs relate to the £ exchange rate? We saw it to the extreme last under Truss. When does it become a problem? Alastair Smith From a quick search I couldn't find any comments from you on Modern Monetary Theory. It's been brought back into the Scottish independence debate following the recent election. In light of that, and increasing interest rates in Japan & elsewhere, wondered what you think of MMT? Lairy Sanders It looks like CDS moving too for gilts?

Notayesmanspodcast377

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on . Harrison Hi Shaun - sorry if I’ve missed the cutoff for questions already, - but what is QT please? Why would anyone do it given the losses being imposed on the public purse? Why is BoE so eager to push ahead with it? Morris May there is a fair amount of truth in this summary. So an early question for tomorrow's pod...is it possible we might see a bond strike? Dr Twatter reason for lower yields? Matt Brookes One for the podcast - will we be getting an energy/ inflationary spike as the effects of Iran filter through?

Notayesmanspodcast376

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on . GB Investor and Politics Shaun, i ask you this a lot, do you think inflation in the UK is because there is too much demand? Morris May With the 5 yr at 4.62, 2yr at 4.57 and 52wk 4.48, which bond yield gives a better indication as to mortgage rates rises along with BoE rate rises, with markets now pricing in 3 x 25bps hikes this year. Richard St Ruth I am a bit worried about Britain’s economy over the next few years. I remember back in 1976, when Britain went to the IMF, gilt rates were very high. Five-year gilts were about 12% to 14%, while 10-year gilts were fractionally higher at 13% to 16%. If our economy goes pear-shaped, heaven forbid, we could go to 8% or more. Have you given any thought to gilts going higher? Julia Macfarlane Why are people not talking about this other than on twitter? I don’t fully understand how bonds work as I am economically dyslexic 😵‍💫 yet even I can tell something disastrous is unfolding. What’s going on!

Notayesmanspodcast375

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on please talk about the plan for U K banks to buy £150 billion of UK government bonds. It's paywalled and I can't find a way round it, and even if I could, I don't know if I'd understand it. So. my Q: what's the idea, would it work, who'd benefit, who'd lose out? Alastair Smith Hi Shaun. Any thoughts on Sarah Breedon's comments which are reported by the BBC today with the headline "Stock markets are too high and set to fall, says Bank of England deputy" ? Morris May As the yield spread between the US and UK hits 67bps, at what point do either Bailey or RR take responsibility or will they continue to ignore the elephant in the room

Notayesmanspodcast374

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on According to ChatGPT the refinancing mortgage wave in the next 2 years could involve roughly: • 3½ – 4 million owner-occupier households • several hundred thousand landlord mortgages Maybe £200-£300 per month. Question for Friday: How will this effect the UK economy in the next couple of years? Morris May Just how precarious is the UK Gilts market after the spike yesterday when the guardian story broke? Mr B What was interesting Shaun, that Bessent said in an interview at the INF meeting that he believes the @bankofengland is making profits on gilt trading and intervenes when required to control negative market moves ? Do you believe he knows something we do not see ? dAVIDTHECHEF The BoE aren't that clever and proactive surely? D-COO Bluesky Podcast Question: yesterday, Fortune mag stated that "The premium U.S. Treasuries once commanded over other advanced-economy debt is narrowing." How might the UK position itself to catch an outflow from t-bonds?